Download or read book Business Dynamics Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World with CD ROM written by John Sterman and published by McGraw-Hill Education. This book was released on 2000-02-23 with total page 982 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Today’s leading authority on the subject of this text is the author, MIT Standish Professor of Management and Director of the System Dynamics Group, John D. Sterman. Sterman’s objective is to explain, in a true textbook format, what system dynamics is, and how it can be successfully applied to solve business and organizational problems. System dynamics is both a currently utilized approach to organizational problem solving at the professional level, and a field of study in business, engineering, and social and physical sciences.

Download or read book System Dynamics written by Juan Martín García and published by . This book was released on 2020-05-28 with total page 333 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book allows the reader to acquire step-by-step in a time-efficient and uncomplicated the knowledge in the formation and construction of dynamic models using Vensim. Many times, the models are performed with minimal current data and very few historical data, the simulation models that the student will design in this course accommodate these analyses, with the construction of realistic hypotheses and elaborate behavior models. That's done with the help of software Vensim that helps the construction of the models as well as performing model simulations. At the end of the book, the reader is able to: - Describe the components of a complex system. - Diagnose the natural evolution of the system under analysis. - Create a model of the system and present it using the simulation software. - Carry out simulations with the model, in order to predict the behavior of the system. Content Environmental Area 1. Population Growth 2. Ecology of a Natural Reserve 3. Effects of the Intensive Farming 4. The Fishery of Shrimp 5. Rabbits and Foxes 6. A Study of Hogs 7. Ingestion of Toxins 8. The Barays of Angkor 9. The Golden Number Management Area 10. Production and Inventory 11. CO2 Emissions 12. How to Work More and Better 13. Faults 14. Project Dynamics 15. Innovatory Companies 16. Quality Control 17. The impact of a Business Plan Social Area 18. Filling a Glass 19. A Catastrophe Study 20. The Young Ambitious Worker 21. Development of an Epidemic 22. The Dynamics of Two Clocks Mechanical Area 23. The Tank 24. Study of the Oscillatory Movements 25. Design of a Chemical Reactor 26. The Butterfly Effect 27. The Mysterious Lamp Advanced Exercises (Vensim PLE PLUS) 28. Import data from an Excel file 29. Building Games and Learning Labs 30. Interactive models 31. Input Output Controls 32. Sensitivity Analysis Annex I. Guide to creating a model II. Functions, Tables and Delays III. Frequently Asked Questions FAQs IV. Download the models of this book The author Juan Martín García is teacher and a worldwide recognized expert in System Dynamics, with more than twenty years of experience in this field. Ph.D. Industrial Engineer (Spain) and Postgraduated Diploma in Business Dynamics at Massachusetts Institute of Technology MIT (USA). He teaches Vensim online courses in http://vensim.com/vensim-online-courses/ based on System Dynamics.

Download or read book Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics Website written by John D. W. Morecroft and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2015-07-27 with total page 519 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Insightful modelling of dynamic systems for better business strategy The business environment is constantly changing and organisations need the ability to rehearse alternative futures. By mimicking the interlocking operations of firms and industries, modelling serves as a ‘dry run’ for testing ideas, anticipating consequences, avoiding strategic pitfalls and improving future performance. Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics is an essential guide to credible models; helping you to understand modelling as a creative process for distilling and communicating those factors that drive business success and sustainability. Written by an internationally regarded authority, the book covers all stages of model building, from conceptual to analytical. The book demonstrates a range of in-depth practical examples that vividly illustrate important or puzzling dynamics in firm operations, strategy, public policy, and everyday life. This updated new edition also offers a rich Learners' website with models, articles and videos, as well as a separate Instructors' website resource, with lecture slides and other course materials (see Related Websites/Extra section below). Together the book and websites deliver a powerful package of blended learning materials that: Introduce the system dynamics approach of modelling strategic problems in business and society Include industry examples and public sector applications with interactive simulators and contemporary visual modelling software Provide the latest state-of-the-art thinking, concepts and techniques for systems modelling The comprehensive Learners' website features models, microworlds, journal articles and videos. Easy-to-use simulators enable readers to experience dynamic complexity in business and society. Like would-be CEOs, readers can re-design operations and then re-simulate in the quest for well-coordinated strategy and better performance. The simulators include a baffling hotel shower, a start-up low-cost airline, an international radio broadcaster, a diversifying tyre maker, commercial fisheries and the global oil industry. "Much more than an introduction, John Morecroft’s Strategic Modelling and Business Dynamics uses interactive ‘mini-simulators and microworlds’ to create an engaging and effective learning environment in which readers, whatever their background, can develop their intuition about complex dynamic systems." John Sterman, Jay W. Forrester Professor of Management, MIT Sloan School of Management "Illustrated by examples from everyday life, business and policy, John Morecroft expertly demonstrates how systems thinking aided by system dynamics can improve our understanding of the world around us." Stewart Robinson, Associate Dean Research, President of the Operational Research Society, Professor of Management Science, School of Business and Economics, Loughborough University

Download or read book Modeling and Simulating Business Dynamics written by Juan García and published by . This book was released on 2019-10-12 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: INDEX OF PAPERS Paper 1. New Technologies and Employment Paper 2. Dynamic Balanced Scorecard Paper 3. The Procurement Process Paper 4. Scenario Planning Workshop Paper 5. Risk Analysis Methods Paper 6. Behavioural Stereotypes in Socio-Economic Systems Paper 7. Enterprise Resource Planning Paper 8. Marketing Research Paper 9. Group Model Building Paper 10. Business Dynamics Simulator Paper 11. Strategic Decision Support Paper 12. Rare Earth Elements Paper 13. Building a Learning Lab Paper 14. Human Resource Planning INDEX OF MODELS FOR BEGINNERS 1. Population Growth 2. Production and Inventory 3. How to Work More and Better 4. Project Dynamics 5. Innovatory Companies 6. Quality Control 7. Building Games and Learning Labs 8. Input Output Controls COLLECTION OF BOOKS Selected papers on System Dynamics 1.Agriculture and food production ISBN: 9781686984570 2.Business ISBN: 9781686997556 3.Ecology and the environment ISBN: 9781687000323 4.Economy: money and finances ISBN: 9781687003133 5.Energy ISBN: 9781687004932 6.Healthcare ISBN: 9781687006745 7.Housing and urban dynamics ISBN: 9781687008367 8.Supply chain and industrial dynamics ISBN: 9781687009975 9.Labor, human resources and social ISBN: 9781687015389 10.Sustainable development ISBN: 9781700341600 Detailed content in http://atc-innova.com/papers.htm ABOUT THE AUTHOR Juan Martin Garcia, expert in System Dynamics and System Thinking, Ph. D. Industrial Engineer UPC (Spain) and Postgraduate Diploma in Business Dynamics at the Sloan School of Management of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (USA). He has been teacher of building simulation models during twenty years in several universities and now he teaches the online courses of Vensim in http://vensim.com/vensim-online-courses/

Download or read book System Dynamics written by Bilash Kanti Bala and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-10-28 with total page 287 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book covers the broad spectrum of system dynamics methodologies for the modelling and simulation of complex systems: systems thinking, causal diagrams, systems structure of stock and flow diagrams, parameter estimation and tests for confidence building in system dynamics models. It includes a comprehensive review of model validation and policy design and provides a practical presentation of system dynamics modelling. It also offers numerous worked-out examples and case studies in diverse fields using STELLA and VENSIM. The system dynamics methodologies presented here can be applied to nearly all areas of research and planning, and the simulations provided make the complicated issues more easily understandable. System Dynamics: Modelling and Simulation is an essential system dynamics and systems engineering textbook for undergraduate and graduate courses. It also offers an excellent reference guide for managers in industry and policy planners who wish to use modelling and simulation to manage complex systems more effectively, as well as researchers in the fields of modelling and simulation-based systems thinking.

Download or read book Theory and Practical Exercises of System Dynamics written by Juan Martín García and published by . This book was released on 2020-06-20 with total page 286 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As the complexity of our world increases systems thinking is emerging as a critical factor for success, and even survival. How then can people become skilled systems thinkers? The most effective learning experiences combine experience with reflection, theory with practice. Traditionally, theory was taught in school and university, and experience was gained in life outside those walls. But in the world of complex dynamic systems such as a business, society, or ecosystem, everyday experience fails because the time horizon and scope of the systems is so vast-we never experience the majority of the effects of our decisions. And without relevant experience, theory is uninteresting to students. The old ways of learning fail. When experiments in the real world are impossible, simulation becomes the main way we can learn effectively about the dynamics of complex systems. For this reason I'm pleased to introduce Juan Martin Garcia's book 'Theory and Practical Exercises of System Dynamics'. Juan combines theory and practice, experience and opportunities for reflection, so that newcomers to the field can learn for themselves how complex dynamic systems work. The examples span a range of important economic and social issues, from the aging of the population in developed economies to the course of contagious diseases to the accumulation of pollutants in the environment; everyone will find some examples here of direct personal interest. The modeling exercises guide the learner through the process of building a working simulation; students will not only learn about the issues addressed, and in the use of state of the art simulation software, but will develop skill in the modeling process. Juan has written a delightful first introduction to the field of system dynamics and complexity, and provides a much-needed addition to the literature available. John D. Sterman Index System Dynamics - Identifying the Problem - Defining the System - The Boundaries of a System - The Causal Diagram - Feedback - The Limiting Factor - The Key Factors - Classification of Systems - Generic Structures - World Models Building a Model - Flow Diagrams - Computer Simulation - Behaviour of the Model - Analysis of the System - Weaknesses of Models Guide to Creating a Model - Creating a Causal Diagram - Creating a Flow Diagram - Writing the conclusions Environmental System Dynamics - Population Growth - Modeling the Ecology of a Natural Reserve - Effects of the Intensive Farming - The Fishery of Shrimp - Rabbits and Foxes - A Study of Hogs - Ingestion of Toxins - The Barays of Angkor Management System Dynamics - Production and Inventory - Global CO2 Emissions - How to work more and better - Managing of Faults - Project Dynamics - Innovatory Companies - Quality Control - The impact of a Business Plan Social System Dynamics - Filling a Glass - Dynamics of a Segmented Population - The Young Ambitious Worker - Development of an Epidemic - The Dynamics of Two Clocks Mechanical System Dynamics - Dynamics of a Tank - Study of the Oscillatory Movements - Design of a Chemical Reactor The author Juan Martín García is a teacher and worldwide recognized expert in System Dynamics, with more than twenty years of experience in this field. Ph.D. Industrial Engineer (Spain) and Postgraduated Diploma in Business Dynamics at Massachusetts Institute of Technology MIT (USA). He teaches Vensim online courses in http://vensim.com/vensim-online-courses/ based on System Dynamics.

Download or read book Common Mistakes in System Dynamics written by Juan Martín García and published by . This book was released on 2020-06-30 with total page 79 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Creating a simulation model with System Dynamics is not easy, there is the risk of making serious mistakes that force the model to remain unfinished after having dedicated days of work. There are books and courses which show the steps to be taken in the process of creating a simulation model, but it is observed that some errors are repeated frequently. This book offers a different approach, instead of explaining how to create a simulation model, it shows the mistakes that are usually made. The book is designed for students who are looking for a quick manual to identify the most common mistakes made when creating simulation models by applying System Dynamics, to correct them before presenting their research or work. The experts will find in this book a list of points to check before making a presentation to their clients.The content of the book allows the reader to identify the errors described and take them into account before submitting or publishing a work. The most essential book for beginners and experts Content Causal Loop Diagram CLD 1. Guidelines 2. Definition of the elements 3. Loops and causal chains 4. Variable that depends on many 5. Variables in a positive sense 6. Variables that do not influence anything 7. Variables with signs 8. Confusing diagrams Stocks and Flows Diagram SFD 9. Guidelines 10. One variable only once 11. Coherence of flows and their levels 12. Flow concept 13. Levels without flows, flows without levels 14. Levels only depend on flows 15. Arrows with signs 16. Uppercase for everything 17. Clouds that depend on variables 18. Variables that depend on two tables 19. It depends, but it is constant 20. Do not look up from the paper 21. Badly connected flows 22. Impossible values The author Juan Martín García is teacher, consultant, and a worldwide recognized expert in System Dynamics, with more than twenty years of experience in this field. Ph.D. Industrial Engineer (Spain) and Postgraduated Diploma in Business Dynamics at Massachusetts Institute of Technology MIT (USA). He teaches Vensim online courses in http://vensim.com/vensim-online-courses/ based on System Dynamics.

Download or read book Urban Dynamics and Simulation Models written by Denise Pumain and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-01-17 with total page 139 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This monograph presents urban simulation methods that help in better understanding urban dynamics. Over historical times, cities have progressively absorbed a larger part of human population and will concentrate three quarters of humankind before the end of the century. This “urban transition” that has totally transformed the way we inhabit the planet is globally understood in its socio-economic rationales but is less frequently questioned as a spatio-temporal process. However, the cities, because they are intrinsically linked in a game of competition for resources and development, self organize in “systems of cities” where their future becomes more and more interdependent. The high frequency and intensity of interactions between cities explain that urban systems all over the world exhibit large similarities in their hierarchical and functional structure and rather regular dynamics. They are complex systems whose emergence, structure and further evolution are widely governed by the multiple kinds of interaction that link the various actors and institutions investing in cities their efforts, capital, knowledge and intelligence. Simulation models that reconstruct this dynamics may help in better understanding it and exploring future plausible evolutions of urban systems. This would provide better insight about how societies can manage the ecological transition at local, regional and global scales. The author has developed a series of instruments that greatly improve the techniques of validation for such models of social sciences that can be submitted to many applications in a variety of geographical situations. Examples are given for several BRICS countries, Europe and United States. The target audience primarily comprises research experts in the field of urban dynamics, but the book may also be beneficial for graduate students.

Download or read book Business Dynamics written by John Sterman and published by Irwin Professional Publishing. This book was released on 2000-01-01 with total page 982 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A guide explaining the application of systems dynamics to organizational problem solving. It looks at simulation models to understand issues such as fluctuating sales, market growth and stagnation, the reliability of forecasts and the rationality of business decision making.

Download or read book Analytical System Dynamics written by Brian Fabien and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-11-09 with total page 335 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Analytical System Dynamics: Modeling and Simulation" combines results from analytical mechanics and system dynamics to develop an approach to modeling constrained multidiscipline dynamic systems. This combination yields a modeling technique based on the energy method of Lagrange, which in turn, results in a set of differential-algebraic equations that are suitable for numerical integration. Using the modeling approach presented in this book enables one to model and simulate systems as diverse as a six-link, closed-loop mechanism or a transistor power amplifier.

Download or read book Traffic Flow Dynamics written by Martin Treiber and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-10-11 with total page 505 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This textbook provides a comprehensive and instructive coverage of vehicular traffic flow dynamics and modeling. It makes this fascinating interdisciplinary topic, which to date was only documented in parts by specialized monographs, accessible to a broad readership. Numerous figures and problems with solutions help the reader to quickly understand and practice the presented concepts. This book is targeted at students of physics and traffic engineering and, more generally, also at students and professionals in computer science, mathematics, and interdisciplinary topics. It also offers material for project work in programming and simulation at college and university level. The main part, after presenting different categories of traffic data, is devoted to a mathematical description of the dynamics of traffic flow, covering macroscopic models which describe traffic in terms of density, as well as microscopic many-particle models in which each particle corresponds to a vehicle and its driver. Focus chapters on traffic instabilities and model calibration/validation present these topics in a novel and systematic way. Finally, the theoretical framework is shown at work in selected applications such as traffic-state and travel-time estimation, intelligent transportation systems, traffic operations management, and a detailed physics-based model for fuel consumption and emissions.

Download or read book Supply Chain Simulation written by Francisco Campuzano and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-07-16 with total page 110 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Supply Chain Simulation allows readers to practice modeling and simulating a multi-level supply chain. The chapters are a combination of the practical and the theoretical, covering: knowledge of simulation methods and techniques, the conceptual framework of a typical supply chain, the main concepts of system dynamics, and a set of practice problems with their corresponding solutions. The problem set includes illustrations and graphs relating to the simulation results of the Vensim® program, the main code of which is also provided. The examples used are a valuable simulation tool that can be modified and extended according to user requirements. The objective of Supply Chain Simulation is to meet the demands of supply chain simulation or similar courses taught at the postgraduate level. The “what if” analysis recreates different simulation scenarios to improve the decision-making process in terms of supply chain performance, making the book useful not only for postgraduate students, but also for industrial practitioners.

Download or read book Modeling and Simulation of Dynamic Systems written by Robert L. Woods and published by Pearson. This book was released on 1997 with total page 552 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Introduction to modeling and simulation - Models for dynamic systems and systems similarity - Modeling of engineering systems - Mechanical systems - Electrical systems - Fluid systems - Thermal systems - Mixed discipline systems - System dynamic response analysis - Frequency response - Time response and digital simulation - Engineering applications - System design and selection of components.

Download or read book Introduction to Computer Simulation written by Nancy Roberts and published by Addison Wesley Publishing Company. This book was released on 1983 with total page 576 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Modelling and Simulation written by Louis G. Birta and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-09-07 with total page 463 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a balanced and integrated presentation of modelling and simulation activity for both Discrete Event Dynamic Systems (DEDS) and Continuous Time Dynamic Systems (CYDS). The authors establish a clear distinction between the activity of modelling and that of simulation, maintaining this distinction throughout. The text offers a novel project-oriented approach for developing the modelling and simulation methodology, providing a solid basis for demonstrating the dependency of model structure and granularity on project goals. Comprehensive presentation of the verification and validation activities within the modelling and simulation context is also shown.

Download or read book Modeling and Simulation of Aerospace Vehicle Dynamics written by Peter H. Zipfel and published by AIAA. This book was released on 2000 with total page 586 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A textbook for an advanced undergraduate course in which Zipfel (aerospace engineering, U. of Florida) introduces the fundamentals of an approach to, or step in, design that has become a field in and of itself. The first part assumes an introductory course in dynamics, and the second some specialized knowledge in subsystem technologies. Practicing engineers in the aerospace industry, he suggests, should be able to cover the material without a tutor. Rather than include a disk, he has made supplementary material available on the Internet. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR

Download or read book Vensim Fast Guide written by Juan Martín García and published by . This book was released on 2020-06-20 with total page 284 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is the fastest way to learn the use of Vensim. The book allows the reader to acquire step-by-step in a time-efficient and uncomplicated the knowledge in the formation and construction of dynamic models using Vensim. Many times, the models are performed with minimal current data and very few historical data, the simulation models that the student will design in this course accommodate these analyses, with the construction of realistic hypotheses and elaborate behavior models. That''s done with the help of software Vensim that helps the construction of the models as well as performing model simulations. At the end of the book, the reader is able to: - Describe the components of a complex system. - Diagnose the natural evolution of the system under analysis. - Create a model of the system and present it using the simulation software. - Carry out simulations with the model, in order to predict the behavior of the system. The content of this book can be applied in many areas. In the business world, these topics are mainly used to address issues related to Strategic Planning, Business Planning, Leadership Development, Strategic Marketing and Sales, Organization Redesign, Process Improvement, Implementation of operational plans. In general to build and sustain high performance over the long term, and ensure successful implementation of changes. In the academic world, these topics may be used to develop Final Projects or Doctorate, theses on diverse subjects. The book contains downloadable material ! Index of exercises Environmental Area 3.1. Population Growth 3.2. Ecology of a Natural Reserve 3.3. Effects of the Intensive Farming 3.4. The Fishery of Shrimp 3.5. Rabbits and Foxes 3.6. A Study of Hogs 3.7. Ingestion of Toxins 3.8. The Barays of Angkor 3.9. The Golden Number Management Area 3.10. Production and Inventory 3.11. Global CO2 Emissions 3.12. How to Work More and Better 3.13. Managing Faults 3.14. Project Dynamics 3.15. Innovatory Companies 3.16. Quality Control 3.17. The impact of a Business Plan Social Area 3.18. Filling a Glass 3.19. A Catastrophe Study 3.20. The Young Ambitious Worker 3.21. Development of an Epidemic 3.22. The Dynamics of Two Clocks Mechanical Area 3.23. Dynamics of a Tank 3.24. Study of the Oscillatory Movements 3.25. Design of a Chemical Reactor 3.26. The Butterfly Effect 3.27. The Mysterious Lamp Advanced Exercises (Vensim PLE PLUS) 3.28. Import data from an Excel file 3.29. Building Games and Learning Labs 3.30. Interactive models 3.31. Input Output Controls 3.32. Sensitivity Analysis Index of items Defined Functions STEP MIN-MAX PULSE IF THEN ELSE RANDOM RAMP ABS EXP XIDZ AND DELAY-SMOOTH Tables or Lookups Internal table External table Model Settings Initial time not 0 Units Check Time Step values Stock and Flow Diagram Draw a bi-flow Merge models Shadow variables Counter of Time Multiple views Add comments Initial value of a Stock Qualitative variables Causal Loop Diagram Images on the SFD Curved flows Delay mark Simulations Compare simulations Reference Mode Simulate Setup SyntheSim Integration method Outputs Output graphs Output tables Causes-strip tool Line Markers X-Y graph About the author Juan Martín García is a teacher and worldwide recognized expert in System Dynamics, with more than twenty years of experience in this field. Ph.D. Industrial Engineer (Spain) and Postgraduated Diploma in Business Dynamics at Massachusetts Institute of Technology MIT (USA). He teaches Vensim online courses in http://vensim.com/vensim-online-courses/ based on System Dynamics.