Download or read book Advances In Data Mining And Modeling written by Wai Ki Ching and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2003-04-03 with total page 197 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Data mining and data modeling are hot topics and are under fast development. Because of their wide applications and rich research contents, many practitioners and academics are attracted to work in these areas. With a view to promoting communication and collaboration among the practitioners and researchers in Hong Kong, a workshop on data mining and modeling was held in June 2002. Prof Ngaiming Mok, Director of the Institute of Mathematical Research, The University of Hong Kong, and Prof Tze Leung Lai (Stanford University), C V Starr Professor of the University of Hong Kong, initiated the workshop.This book contains selected papers presented at the workshop. The papers fall into two main categories: data mining and data modeling. Data mining papers deal with pattern discovery, clustering algorithms, classification and practical applications in the stock market. Data modeling papers treat neural network models, time series models, statistical models and practical applications.

Download or read book Likelihood based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models written by Søren Johansen and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 1995 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This monograph is concerned with the statistical analysis of multivariate systems of non-stationary time series of type I. It applies the concepts of cointegration and common trends in the framework of the Gaussian vector autoregressive model.

Download or read book A Practical Guide to Heavy Tails written by Robert Adler and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 1998-10-26 with total page 560 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Twenty-four contributions, intended for a wide audience from various disciplines, cover a variety of applications of heavy-tailed modeling involving telecommunications, the Web, insurance, and finance. Along with discussion of specific applications are several papers devoted to time series analysis, regression, classical signal/noise detection problems, and the general structure of stable processes, viewed from a modeling standpoint. Emphasis is placed on developments in handling the numerical problems associated with stable distribution (a main technical difficulty until recently). No index. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR

Download or read book Dynamic Models for Volatility and Heavy Tails written by Andrew C. Harvey and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2013-04-22 with total page 281 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The volatility of financial returns changes over time and, for the last thirty years, Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models have provided the principal means of analyzing, modeling and monitoring such changes. Taking into account that financial returns typically exhibit heavy tails - that is, extreme values can occur from time to time - Andrew Harvey's new book shows how a small but radical change in the way GARCH models are formulated leads to a resolution of many of the theoretical problems inherent in the statistical theory. The approach can also be applied to other aspects of volatility. The more general class of Dynamic Conditional Score models extends to robust modeling of outliers in the levels of time series and to the treatment of time-varying relationships. The statistical theory draws on basic principles of maximum likelihood estimation and, by doing so, leads to an elegant and unified treatment of nonlinear time-series modeling.

Download or read book Artificial Neural Networks ICANN 2006 written by Stefanos Kollias and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006 with total page 1060 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Heavy Tailed Functional Time Series written by Thomas Meinguet and published by Presses univ. de Louvain. This book was released on 2010-08 with total page 173 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The goal of this thesis is to treat the temporal tail dependence and the cross-sectional tail dependence of heavy tailed functional time series. Functional time series are aimed at modelling spatio-temporal phenomena; for instance rain, temperature, pollution on a given geographical area, with temporally dependent observations. Heavy tails mean that the series can exhibit much higher spikes than with Gaussian distributions for instance. In such cases, second moments cannot be assumed to exist, violating the basic assumption in standard functional data analysis based on the sequence of autocovariance operators. As for random variables, regular variation provides the mathematical backbone for a coherent theory of extreme values. The main tools introduced in this thesis for a regularly varying functional time series are its tail process and its spectral process. These objects capture all the aspects of the probability distribution of extreme values jointly over time and space. The development of the tail and spectral process for heavy tailed functional time series is followed by three theoretical applications. The first application is a characterization of a variety of indices and objects describing the extremal behavior of the series: the extremal index, tail dependence coefficients, the extremogram and the point process of extremes. The second is the computation of an explicit expression of the tail and spectral processes for heavy tailed linear functional time series. The third and final application is the introduction and the study of a model for the spatio-temporal dependence for functional time series called maxima of moving maxima of continuous functions (CM3 processes), with the development of an estimation method.

Download or read book Finite Mixture and Markov Switching Models written by Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-11-24 with total page 506 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The past decade has seen powerful new computational tools for modeling which combine a Bayesian approach with recent Monte simulation techniques based on Markov chains. This book is the first to offer a systematic presentation of the Bayesian perspective of finite mixture modelling. The book is designed to show finite mixture and Markov switching models are formulated, what structures they imply on the data, their potential uses, and how they are estimated. Presenting its concepts informally without sacrificing mathematical correctness, it will serve a wide readership including statisticians as well as biologists, economists, engineers, financial and market researchers.

Download or read book Handbook of Financial Econometrics written by Yacine Ait-Sahalia and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2009-10-19 with total page 809 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This collection of original articles—8 years in the making—shines a bright light on recent advances in financial econometrics. From a survey of mathematical and statistical tools for understanding nonlinear Markov processes to an exploration of the time-series evolution of the risk-return tradeoff for stock market investment, noted scholars Yacine Aït-Sahalia and Lars Peter Hansen benchmark the current state of knowledge while contributors build a framework for its growth. Whether in the presence of statistical uncertainty or the proven advantages and limitations of value at risk models, readers will discover that they can set few constraints on the value of this long-awaited volume. - Presents a broad survey of current research—from local characterizations of the Markov process dynamics to financial market trading activity - Contributors include Nobel Laureate Robert Engle and leading econometricians - Offers a clarity of method and explanation unavailable in other financial econometrics collections

Download or read book Statistical Theory and Method Abstracts written by and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 750 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Heavy Tailed Distributions in Disaster Analysis written by V. Pisarenko and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-07-20 with total page 199 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mathematically, natural disasters of all types are characterized by heavy tailed distributions. The analysis of such distributions with common methods, such as averages and dispersions, can therefore lead to erroneous conclusions. The statistical methods described in this book avoid such pitfalls. Seismic disasters are studied, primarily thanks to the availability of an ample statistical database. New approaches are presented to seismic risk estimation and forecasting the damage caused by earthquakes, ranging from typical, moderate events to very rare, extreme disasters. Analysis of these latter events is based on the limit theorems of probability and the duality of the generalized Pareto distribution and generalized extreme value distribution. It is shown that the parameter most widely used to estimate seismic risk – Mmax, the maximum possible earthquake value – is potentially non-robust. Robust analogues of this parameter are suggested and calculated for some seismic catalogues. Trends in the costs inferred by damage from natural disasters as related to changing social and economic situations are examined for different regions. The results obtained argue for sustainable development, whereas entirely different, incorrect conclusions can be drawn if the specific properties of the heavy-tailed distribution and change in completeness of data on natural hazards are neglected. This pioneering work is directed at risk assessment specialists in general, seismologists, administrators and all those interested in natural disasters and their impact on society.

Download or read book ARCH Models for Financial Applications written by Evdokia Xekalaki and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2010-03-18 with total page 558 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic (ARCH) processes are used in finance to model asset price volatility over time. This book introduces both the theory and applications of ARCH models and provides the basic theoretical and empirical background, before proceeding to more advanced issues and applications. The Authors provide coverage of the recent developments in ARCH modelling which can be implemented using econometric software, model construction, fitting and forecasting and model evaluation and selection. Key Features: Presents a comprehensive overview of both the theory and the practical applications of ARCH, an increasingly popular financial modelling technique. Assumes no prior knowledge of ARCH models; the basics such as model construction are introduced, before proceeding to more complex applications such as value-at-risk, option pricing and model evaluation. Uses empirical examples to demonstrate how the recent developments in ARCH can be implemented. Provides step-by-step instructive examples, using econometric software, such as Econometric Views and the G@RCH module for the Ox software package, used in Estimating and Forecasting ARCH Models. Accompanied by a CD-ROM containing links to the software as well as the datasets used in the examples. Aimed at readers wishing to gain an aptitude in the applications of financial econometric modelling with a focus on practical implementation, via applications to real data and via examples worked with econometrics packages.

Download or read book Robust Bayesian Analysis of Heavy tailed Stochastic Volatility Models Using Scale Mixtures of Normal Distributions written by C. A. Abanto-Valle and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Structural Vector Autoregressive Analysis written by Lutz Kilian and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2017-11-23 with total page 757 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Structural vector autoregressive (VAR) models are important tools for empirical work in macroeconomics, finance, and related fields. This book not only reviews the many alternative structural VAR approaches discussed in the literature, but also highlights their pros and cons in practice. It provides guidance to empirical researchers as to the most appropriate modeling choices, methods of estimating, and evaluating structural VAR models. The book traces the evolution of the structural VAR methodology and contrasts it with other common methodologies, including dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. It is intended as a bridge between the often quite technical econometric literature on structural VAR modeling and the needs of empirical researchers. The focus is not on providing the most rigorous theoretical arguments, but on enhancing the reader's understanding of the methods in question and their assumptions. Empirical examples are provided for illustration.

Download or read book Structural Changes and their Econometric Modeling written by Vladik Kreinovich and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-11-24 with total page 784 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book focuses on structural changes and economic modeling. It presents papers describing how to model structural changes, as well as those introducing improvements to the existing before-structural-changes models, making it easier to later on combine these models with techniques describing structural changes. The book also includes related theoretical developments and practical applications of the resulting techniques to economic problems. Most traditional mathematical models of economic processes describe how the corresponding quantities change with time. However, in addition to such relatively smooth numerical changes, economical phenomena often undergo more drastic structural change. Describing such structural changes is not easy, but it is vital if we want to have a more adequate description of economic phenomena – and thus, more accurate and more reliable predictions and a better understanding on how best to influence the economic situation.

Download or read book Non Gaussian Autoregressive Type Time Series written by N. Balakrishna and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-01-27 with total page 238 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book brings together a variety of non-Gaussian autoregressive-type models to analyze time-series data. This book collects and collates most of the available models in the field and provide their probabilistic and inferential properties. This book classifies the stationary time-series models into different groups such as linear stationary models with non-Gaussian innovations, linear stationary models with non-Gaussian marginal distributions, product autoregressive models and minification models. Even though several non-Gaussian time-series models are available in the literature, most of them are focusing on the model structure and the probabilistic properties.

Download or read book Data Analysis and Decision Support written by Daniel Baier and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2005-07-13 with total page 372 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is a great privilege and pleasure to write a foreword for a book honor ing Wolfgang Gaul on the occasion of his sixtieth birthday. Wolfgang Gaul is currently Professor of Business Administration and Management Science and the Head of the Institute of Decision Theory and Management Science, Faculty of Economics, University of Karlsruhe (TH), Germany. He is, by any measure, one of the most distinguished and eminent scholars in the world today. Wolfgang Gaul has been instrumental in numerous leading research initia tives and has achieved an unprecedented level of success in facilitating com munication among researchers in diverse disciplines from around the world. A particularly remarkable and unique aspect of his work is that he has been a leading scholar in such diverse areas of research as graph theory and net work models, reliability theory, stochastic optimization, operations research, probability theory, sampling theory, cluster analysis, scaling and multivariate data analysis. His activities have been directed not only at these and other theoretical topics, but also at applications of statistical and mathematical tools to a multitude of important problems in computer science (e.g., w- mining), business research (e.g., market segmentation), management science (e.g., decision support systems) and behavioral sciences (e.g., preference mea surement and data mining). All of his endeavors have been accomplished at the highest level of professional excellence.

Download or read book Artificial Neural Networks ICANN 2002 written by Jose R. Dorronsoro and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2002-08-14 with total page 1396 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The International Conferences on Arti?cial Neural Networks, ICANN, have been held annually since 1991 and over the years have become the major European meeting in neural networks. This proceedings volume contains all the papers presented at ICANN 2002, the 12th ICANN conference, held in August 28– 30, 2002 at the Escuela T ́ecnica Superior de Inform ́atica of the Universidad Aut ́onoma de Madrid and organized by its Neural Networks group. ICANN 2002 received a very high number of contributions, more than 450. Almost all papers were revised by three independent reviewers, selected among the more than 240 serving at this year’s ICANN, and 221 papers were ?nally selected for publication in these proceedings (due to space considerations, quite a few good contributions had to be left out). I would like to thank the Program Committee and all the reviewers for the great collective e?ort and for helping us to have a high quality conference.