Download or read book Methods of Future and Scenario Analysis written by Hannah Kosow and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Scenario Planning Revised and Updated written by Mats Lindgren and published by Springer. This book was released on 2009-03-31 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent research in the field of business strategy has shown that strategic flexibility can be achieved through a scenario planning perspective for long-term competition and performance. The authors have drawn upon examples and case studies to develop a new model for scenario planning that is closely integrated with strategy and innovation.
Download or read book Next Generation Supply Chains written by Rosanna Fornasiero and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-12-31 with total page 298 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book explores supply chains strategies to help companies face challenges such as societal emergency, digitalization, climate changes and scarcity of resources. The book identifies industrial scenarios for the next decade based on the analysis of trends at social, economic, environmental technological and political level, and examines how they may impact on supply chain processes and how to design next generation supply chains to answer these challenges. By mapping enabling technologies for supply chain innovation, the book proposes a roadmap for the full implementation of the supply chain strategies based on the integration of production and logistics processes. Case studies from process industry, discrete manufacturing, distribution and logistics, as well as ICT providers are provided, and policy recommendations are put forward to support companies in this transformative process.
Download or read book Environmental Futures written by J. Alcamo and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2008-10-10 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As scientists and policymakers try to come to grips with problems such as climate change and risks to biodiversity, they turn more and more frequently to the method of scenario analysis to better understand the future of these problems. Over the last few years scenario analysis has become one of the key tools for bridging environmental science and policy. This is the first book to sum up the current practice of environmental scenario analysis and to propose directions for improving its quality and effectiveness. Chapters are written by an international group of distinguished scenario experts and provide an excellent starting basis for first-time scenario practitioners, as well as a collection of new ideas on improving scenario practice for experienced scenario analysts.* Comprehensive coverage and overview on environmental scenario analysis from a team of international experts* First book to address key contemporary issues involved with environmental scenario analysis* Gives guidelines for best practicesBenefits:* Excellent starting base for first-time scenario practitioners* Helps the reader to interpret scenarios and to place them into the correct context
Download or read book Scenario Thinking written by George Cairns and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-10-13 with total page 287 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Develops scenario planning methods in ways that link scenario analysis to improved decision making, engage time-poor senior decision makers, attenuate decision makers’ tendency to deflect responsibility for bleak, negative scenario outcomes, and enhance causal analysis within scenario-storyline development. What if? Two of the most powerful – and frightening – words in business. Almost as bad as “I didn’t see that coming.” Some things that transform the marketplace overnight come from nowhere. Some things that create potentially critical under-performance are genuinely unforeseeable. Sometimes it is impossible to predict how a change in an organizational strategy will play out. Some things and sometimes – but not many and not often. Decision makers in organizations face more-and-more complex and ambiguous problems that need to be addressed under time pressure - and the need for practical decision support has become essential. The range of methods in this book will enable you to be prepared, proactive and resilient no matter what the future brings. Based on up-to-date academic research and years of application and iteration in the real world, this book, illustrated with examples of the value delivered in Europe, Australia and the Middle East, will transfer practical skills in scenario thinking using step-by-step instructions. This thoroughly revised and expanded second edition introduces these new approaches in detail, with clear guidelines and examples to enable the reader to select and implement the most appropriate scenario method to suit the issue at hand – considering the timeframe for its investigation, the resources available and the outcomes expected.
Download or read book Scenario Planning written by M. Lindgren and published by Springer. This book was released on 2002-12-04 with total page 193 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent research in the field of business strategy has shown that strategic flexibility can be achieved through a scenario planning perspective for long term competition and performance. The authors have drawn upon examples and cases to develop a new model for scenario planning that is closely integrated with strategy. They argue that the concept of scenario planning is as much an art as a practical management tool.
Download or read book Scenario Thinking written by G. Wright and published by Springer. This book was released on 2011-05-03 with total page 111 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Presents new methods in scenario thinking, based on a mix of high-level research and top-level consultancy experience. The authors describe the logical bases of a range of scenario methods and provide detailed 'road maps' on how to implement them - together with practical examples of their application.
Download or read book Embedded Case Study Methods written by Roland W. Scholz and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2002 with total page 412 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In an embedded case study, the starting and end point is the comprehension of the case as a whole in its real-world context. This book bridges the gap between quantitative and qualitative approaches to complex problems when using this methodology.
Download or read book New Methods of Scenario Analysis and Their Application to Detecting Future Structures of B2C E commerce written by Siegfried Numberger and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 111 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Future Design written by Tatsuyoshi Saijo and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-07-25 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book discusses imaginary future generations and how current decision-making will influence those future generations. Markets and democracies focus on the present and therefore tend to make us forget that we are living in the present, with ancestors preceding and descendants succeeding us. Markets are excellent devices to equate supply and demand in the short term, but not for allocating resources between current and future generations, since future generations do not exist yet. Democracy is also not “applicable” for future generations, since citizens vote for candidates who will serve members of their, i.e., the current, generation. In order to overcome these shortcomings, the authors discusses imaginary future generations and future ministries in the context of current decision-making in fields such as the environment, urban management, forestry, water management, and finance. The idea of imaginary future generations comes from the Native American Iroquois, who had strong norms that compelled them to incorporate the interests of people seven generations ahead when making decisions.
Download or read book Futures Research Methodology written by Jerome C. Glenn and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Comprehensive and internationally peer-reviewed handbook on tools and methods for forecasting and analysis of global change.
Download or read book Shaping the Future written by Ian Pownall and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Scenario analysis requires the integration of a diversity of concepts, views, data, and practices for organizations. It is an analysis that draws upon current understanding of organizational and environmental contexts but also one that reflects creativity in the construction of future scenarios within which organizations could compete. This case study explores the application of scenario analysis using the "Field Anomaly Relaxation" technique by a group of regional stakeholders to understand and prioritize emergent futures in a U.K. seaside town. The discussion is focused on two phases of that research project: the series of stakeholder meetings to prioritize emergent futures and the factors shaping them, and final analytical and interpretive phase that generated four distinctive scenarios which were used to frame ongoing strategic planning by local and regional organizations.
Download or read book Scenario Development written by Birgit Boldt and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2004-01-10 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2003 in the subject Business economics - Offline Marketing and Online Marketing, grade: Good, Kiel University of Applied Sciences (Economics), course: Strategic Marketing, language: English, abstract: There are many different methodologies for assessing the future environment of an enterprise. But it is quite difficult to anticipate the future development successfully. Three examples illustrate this problem: • “In 1943 Thomas Watson, who was then chairman of IBM, forecast a world market for about five computers. • In 1970, Ken Olsen, founder of Digital Equipment Corporation, said no one needed to have a personal computer at home. (Of interest is that Ken ́s company was purchased by Compaq - one of the leaders in home computers). • In 1981, Microsoft ́s founder Bill Gates said that 640K would be enough memory for anyone. (Microsoft was also slow to take advantage of the early Internet - releasing Internet Explorer in August 1995, well after Netscape Navigator, which had taken a dominant lead in the early browser market.)” These examples show that it can have disadvantageous consequences to rely on one apparently safe forecast. Scenario planning is a technique that allows to operate in planning with more than one possible future. This treatise describes the very interesting methodology of scenario development and demonstrates how to use it in an eight step procedure. Concluding, it shows how the oil company Shell had a remarkable success in the 1970s by using scenario planning and gives an assessment of this remarkable technique.
Download or read book Strategic Reframing written by Rafael Ramírez and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2016 with total page 275 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides clear information and guidance on how to do scenario planning to support strategy and public policy. The book describes the Oxford Scenario Planning Approach (OSPA), an intellectually rigorous and practical methodolgy.
Download or read book Some Methods for Scenario Analysis in Defence Strategic Planning written by and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Scenarios are an important tool in the strategic planning process, and are increasingly used in both the Defence and business world. This paper describes some potentially useful scenario analysis methods for systematically selecting and developing future scenarios. The processes of each method are illustrated with small examples. We also demonstrate a single, flexible approach to combining these methods using a typical Defence strategic planning problem. Some general guidelines to consider when choosing and using an appropriate scenario analysis method are also discussed.
Download or read book Transformative Scenario Planning written by Adam Kahane and published by Berrett-Koehler Publishers. This book was released on 2012-10-15 with total page 150 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Transformative scenario planning is a way that people can work together with others to transform themselves and their relationships with one another and their systems. In this simple and practical book, Kahane explains this methodology and how to use it.
Download or read book Learning from the Future written by Liam Fahey and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1997-11-10 with total page 478 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Unter Szenarioplanung versteht man eine spezielle Methode der Vorhersage zukünftiger politischer, ökonomischer und demographischer Entwicklungen, die das Funktionieren eines Unternehmens beeinflussen können. Diese Technik wird hier von renommierten Vorreitern auf diesem Gebiet ausführlich beleuchtet - so lernt der Manager, verschiedene Implikationen plausibler Ereignisse und Einflüsse systematisch zu durchdenken. (11/97)
