Download or read book Mean Univariate GARCH VaR Portfolio Optimization written by Vladimir Rankovic and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In accordance with Basel Capital Accords, the Capital Requirements (CR) for market risk exposure of banks is a nonlinear function of Value-at-Risk (VaR). Importantly, the CR is calculated based on a bank's actual portfolio, i.e. the portfolio represented by its current holdings. To tackle mean-VaR portfolio optimization within the actual portfolio framework (APF), we propose a novel mean-VaR optimization method where VaR is estimated using a univariate Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) volatility model. The optimization was performed by employing a Nondominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm (NSGA-II). On a sample of 40 large US stocks, our procedure provided superior mean-VaR trade-offs compared to those obtained from applying more customary mean-multivariate GARCH and historical VaR models. The results hold true in both low and high volatility samples.
Download or read book Investment Portfolio Optimization with GARCH Models written by Richmond Siaw and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the introduction of the Markowitz mean-variance optimization model, several extensions have been made to improve optimality. This study examines the application of two models - the ARMA-GARCH model and the ARMA- DCC GARCH model - for the Mean-VaR optimization of funds managed by HFC Investment Limited. Weekly prices of the above mentioned funds from 2009 to 2012 were examined. The funds analyzed were the Equity Trust Fund, the Future Plan Fund and the Unit Trust Fund. The returns of the funds are modelled with the Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) whiles volatility was modelled with the univariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasti city (GARCH) as well as the multivariate Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH (DCC GARCH). This was based on the assumption of non-constant mean and volatility of fund returns. In this study, the risk of a portfolio is measured using the value-at-risk. A single constrained Mean-VaR optimization problem was obtained based on the assumption that investors' preference is solely based on risk and return. The optimization process was performed using the Lagrange Multiplier approach and the solution was obtained by the Kuhn-Tucker theorems. Conclusions which were drawn based on the results pointed to the fact that a more efficient portfolio is obtained when the value-at-risk (VaR) is modelled with a multivariate GARCH.
Download or read book Prediction Based Portfolio Optimization Using Multivariate GARCH Modelling written by Andrea Mombelli and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Das auf der Mittelwert-Varianz-Optimierung basierende Markowitz-Regelwerk geht u.a. mit der Problematik einher, dass bekannte Eigenschaften finanzwirtschaftlicher Zeitreihen wie Volatility Clustering, leptokurtische Renditverteilung u.v.m. darin keine Berücksichtigung finden. In der vorliegenden Arbeit wird die Efficient Frontier durch die Implementierung von Varianz-Kovarianz Matrizen nach dem DCC-GARCH-Modell erweitert und damit das Marktrisiko in Abhängigkeit der Zeit modelliert. Durch stichprobeninterne Prognosen und Backtesting optimierter Portfolios zu verschiedenen Zeithorizonten wird gezeigt, dass ökonometrische Modellierung in Kombination mit Risikominderungstechniken wie einer Diversifizierung der Portfoliozusammensetzung tatsächlich dazu beitragen kann, die realisierte Volatilität des Portfolios, den historischen Value at Risk und Expected Shortfall auf verschiedenen Konfidenzniveaus zu reduzieren.*****The Markowitz framework of Portfolio Optimization refers to a mean-variance optimization which disregards the phenomenon of volatility clustering and leptokurtic return distribution. In this research, with the rationale that risk is time-varying, Markowitz Efficient Frontier will be enhanced through the implementation of DCC-GARCH modelled variance-covariance matrices for the calculations of the weights that each security should hold in an Optimal Portfolio. Through in-sample forecasts and backtesting of Optimized Portfolios at different time horizons, it will be shown that econometric modelling, combined with risk mitigation techniques such as a diversification of the portfolio composition, can indeed help reduce the portfolios realized volatility, historic Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall at several confidence levels.
Download or read book Robustness Analysis in Decision Aiding Optimization and Analytics written by Michael Doumpos and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-07-12 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a broad coverage of the recent advances in robustness analysis in decision aiding, optimization, and analytics. It offers a comprehensive illustration of the challenges that robustness raises in different operations research and management science (OR/MS) contexts and the methodologies proposed from multiple perspectives. Aside from covering recent methodological developments, this volume also features applications of robust techniques in engineering and management, thus illustrating the robustness issues raised in real-world problems and their resolution within advances in OR/MS methodologies. Robustness analysis seeks to address issues by promoting solutions, which are acceptable under a wide set of hypotheses, assumptions and estimates. In OR/MS, robustness has been mostly viewed in the context of optimization under uncertainty. Several scholars, however, have emphasized the multiple facets of robustness analysis in a broader OR/MS perspective that goes beyond the traditional framework, seeking to cover the decision support nature of OR/MS methodologies as well. As new challenges emerge in a “big-data'” era, where the information volume, speed of flow, and complexity increase rapidly, and analytics play a fundamental role for strategic and operational decision-making at a global level, robustness issues such as the ones covered in this book become more relevant than ever for providing sound decision support through more powerful analytic tools.
Download or read book Dynamic Mean variance Portfolio Optimization with Value at Risk Constraint in Continuous time written by Dian Yu and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the dynamic mean-risk portfolio optimization problem with variance and Value-at-Risk(VaR) as the risk measures in recognizing the importance of incorporating different risk measures in the portfolio management model. Using the martingale approach and combining it with the quantile optimization technique, we provide the solution framework for this problem and show that the optimal terminal wealth may have different patterns under a general market setting. When the market parameters are deterministic, we develop the closed-form solution for this problem. Examples are provided to illustrate the solution procedure of our method and demonstrate the beneft of our dynamic portfolio model comparing with its static counterpart.
Download or read book Mean Variance Optimization Using Forward Looking Return Estimates written by Patrick Bielstein and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Despite its theoretical appeal, Markowitz mean-variance portfolio optimization is plagued by practical issues. It is especially difficult to obtain reliable estimates of a stock's expected return. Recent research has therefore focused on minimum volatility portfolio optimization, which implicitly assumes that expected returns for all assets are equal. We argue that investors are better off using the implied cost of capital based on analysts' earnings forecasts as a forward-looking return estimate. Correcting for predictable analyst forecast errors, we demonstrate that mean-variance optimized portfolios based on these estimates outperform on both an absolute and a risk-adjusted basis the minimum volatility portfolio as well as naive benchmarks, such as the value-weighted and equally-weighted market portfolio. The results continue to hold when extending the sample to international markets, using different methods for estimating the forward-looking return, including transaction costs, and using different optimization constraints.
Download or read book Robust Portfolio Optimization and Management written by Frank J. Fabozzi and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2007-04-27 with total page 513 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Praise for Robust Portfolio Optimization and Management "In the half century since Harry Markowitz introduced his elegant theory for selecting portfolios, investors and scholars have extended and refined its application to a wide range of real-world problems, culminating in the contents of this masterful book. Fabozzi, Kolm, Pachamanova, and Focardi deserve high praise for producing a technically rigorous yet remarkably accessible guide to the latest advances in portfolio construction." --Mark Kritzman, President and CEO, Windham Capital Management, LLC "The topic of robust optimization (RO) has become 'hot' over the past several years, especially in real-world financial applications. This interest has been sparked, in part, by practitioners who implemented classical portfolio models for asset allocation without considering estimation and model robustness a part of their overall allocation methodology, and experienced poor performance. Anyone interested in these developments ought to own a copy of this book. The authors cover the recent developments of the RO area in an intuitive, easy-to-read manner, provide numerous examples, and discuss practical considerations. I highly recommend this book to finance professionals and students alike." --John M. Mulvey, Professor of Operations Research and Financial Engineering, Princeton University
Download or read book Financial Risk Modelling and Portfolio Optimization with R written by Bernhard Pfaff and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-08-16 with total page 448 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Risk Modelling and Portfolio Optimization with R, 2nd Edition Bernhard Pfaff, Invesco Global Asset Allocation, Germany A must have text for risk modelling and portfolio optimization using R. This book introduces the latest techniques advocated for measuring financial market risk and portfolio optimization, and provides a plethora of R code examples that enable the reader to replicate the results featured throughout the book. This edition has been extensively revised to include new topics on risk surfaces and probabilistic utility optimization as well as an extended introduction to R language. Financial Risk Modelling and Portfolio Optimization with R: Demonstrates techniques in modelling financial risks and applying portfolio optimization techniques as well as recent advances in the field. Introduces stylized facts, loss function and risk measures, conditional and unconditional modelling of risk; extreme value theory, generalized hyperbolic distribution, volatility modelling and concepts for capturing dependencies. Explores portfolio risk concepts and optimization with risk constraints. Is accompanied by a supporting website featuring examples and case studies in R. Includes updated list of R packages for enabling the reader to replicate the results in the book. Graduate and postgraduate students in finance, economics, risk management as well as practitioners in finance and portfolio optimization will find this book beneficial. It also serves well as an accompanying text in computer-lab classes and is therefore suitable for self-study.
Download or read book Mean Variance Analysis in Portfolio Choice and Capital Markets written by Harry M. Markowitz and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2000-02-15 with total page 404 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In 1952, Harry Markowitz published "Portfolio Selection," a paper which revolutionized modern investment theory and practice. The paper proposed that, in selecting investments, the investor should consider both expected return and variability of return on the portfolio as a whole. Portfolios that minimized variance for a given expected return were demonstrated to be the most efficient. Markowitz formulated the full solution of the general mean-variance efficient set problem in 1956 and presented it in the appendix to his 1959 book, Portfolio Selection. Though certain special cases of the general model have become widely known, both in academia and among managers of large institutional portfolios, the characteristics of the general solution were not presented in finance books for students at any level. And although the results of the general solution are used in a few advanced portfolio optimization programs, the solution to the general problem should not be seen merely as a computing procedure. It is a body of propositions and formulas concerning the shapes and properties of mean-variance efficient sets with implications for financial theory and practice beyond those of widely known cases. The purpose of the present book, originally published in 1987, is to present a comprehensive and accessible account of the general mean-variance portfolio analysis, and to illustrate its usefulness in the practice of portfolio management and the theory of capital markets. The portfolio selection program in Part IV of the 1987 edition has been updated and contains exercises and solutions.
Download or read book Mean variance Portfolio Optimization when Means and Covariances are Unknown written by T. L. Lai and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Robust Value at risk Optimization Approach for Portfolio Management written by Maksim Oks and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book A Modified Mean variance conditional Value at Risk Model of Multi objective Portfolio Optimization with an Application in Finance written by Younes Elahi and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 117 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The VAR Implementation Handbook Chapter 15 Risk Measures and Their Applications in Asset Management written by Greg N. Gregoriou and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2009-02-19 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The following is a chapter from The VaR Implementation Handbook, which examines the latest strategies for measuring, managing, and modeling risk across a variety of applications. Packed with the insights, methods, and models that make experienced professionals competitive all over the world, this comprehensive guide features cutting-edge research and findings from some of the industry's most respected academics, practitioners, and consultants.
Download or read book Linear Models and Time Series Analysis written by Marc S. Paolella and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2018-12-17 with total page 896 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive and timely edition on an emerging new trend in time series Linear Models and Time-Series Analysis: Regression, ANOVA, ARMA and GARCH sets a strong foundation, in terms of distribution theory, for the linear model (regression and ANOVA), univariate time series analysis (ARMAX and GARCH), and some multivariate models associated primarily with modeling financial asset returns (copula-based structures and the discrete mixed normal and Laplace). It builds on the author's previous book, Fundamental Statistical Inference: A Computational Approach, which introduced the major concepts of statistical inference. Attention is explicitly paid to application and numeric computation, with examples of Matlab code throughout. The code offers a framework for discussion and illustration of numerics, and shows the mapping from theory to computation. The topic of time series analysis is on firm footing, with numerous textbooks and research journals dedicated to it. With respect to the subject/technology, many chapters in Linear Models and Time-Series Analysis cover firmly entrenched topics (regression and ARMA). Several others are dedicated to very modern methods, as used in empirical finance, asset pricing, risk management, and portfolio optimization, in order to address the severe change in performance of many pension funds, and changes in how fund managers work. Covers traditional time series analysis with new guidelines Provides access to cutting edge topics that are at the forefront of financial econometrics and industry Includes latest developments and topics such as financial returns data, notably also in a multivariate context Written by a leading expert in time series analysis Extensively classroom tested Includes a tutorial on SAS Supplemented with a companion website containing numerous Matlab programs Solutions to most exercises are provided in the book Linear Models and Time-Series Analysis: Regression, ANOVA, ARMA and GARCH is suitable for advanced masters students in statistics and quantitative finance, as well as doctoral students in economics and finance. It is also useful for quantitative financial practitioners in large financial institutions and smaller finance outlets.
Download or read book Financial Risk Modelling and Portfolio Optimization with R written by Bernhard Pfaff and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-11-05 with total page 309 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Introduces the latest techniques advocated for measuring financial market risk and portfolio optimization, and provides a plethora of R code examples that enable the reader to replicate the results featured throughout the book. Financial Risk Modelling and Portfolio Optimization with R: Demonstrates techniques in modelling financial risks and applying portfolio optimization techniques as well as recent advances in the field. Introduces stylized facts, loss function and risk measures, conditional and unconditional modelling of risk; extreme value theory, generalized hyperbolic distribution, volatility modelling and concepts for capturing dependencies. Explores portfolio risk concepts and optimization with risk constraints. Enables the reader to replicate the results in the book using R code. Is accompanied by a supporting website featuring examples and case studies in R. Graduate and postgraduate students in finance, economics, risk management as well as practitioners in finance and portfolio optimization will find this book beneficial. It also serves well as an accompanying text in computer-lab classes and is therefore suitable for self-study.
Download or read book Mean variance Portfolio Optimization written by Nicholas George Baccash and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 113 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Why is CVaR Superior to VaR written by Nivine Dalleh and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 182 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
