Download or read book Market Fragmentation and Post Earnings Announcements Drift written by Justin Cox and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study examines the effects of dark and lit market fragmentation around both earnings announcements and earnings surprises. I find that both dark and lit market fragmentation increase around earnings announcements. I further test whether dark and lit fragmentation hinders the level of price discovery around the earnings announcement, resulting in greater post-earnings announcement drift, PEAD. My analysis reveals that lit fragmentation has no significant impact on PEAD while dark fragmentation reduces the level of PEAD for stocks with positive earnings surprises consistent with the notion that dark venues capture more uninformed trading around positive news events, resulting in greater informed trading and higher informational efficiency on the lit venue. However, my results also indicate that dark fragmentation leads to stronger PEAD for stocks with negative earnings surprises. This last finding suggests that informed traders migrate to dark venues around negative earnings surprise, consistent with previous literature that argues informed traders follow passive trading strategies around negative news events.
Download or read book Investor Trading and the Post Earnings Announcement Drift written by Benjamin C. Ayers and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine whether the two distinct post-earnings-announcement drifts associated with seasonal random walk-based and analyst-based earnings surprises are attributable to the trading activities of distinct sets of investors. We predict and find that small (large) traders continue to trade in the direction of seasonal random walk-based (analyst-based) earnings surprises after earnings announcements. We also find that when small (large) traders react more thoroughly to seasonal random walk- (analyst-) based earnings surprises at the earnings announcements, the respective drift attenuates. Further evidence suggests that delayed small trades associated with random walk-based surprises are consistent with small traders' failure to understand time-series properties of earnings, whereas delayed large trades associated with analyst-based surprises are more consistent with a longer price discovery process. We also find that the analyst-based drift has declined in recent years.
Download or read book Analysis of Post earnings Announcement Market Reactions written by Nils Carlson and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The stock market, according to the efficient market hypothesis, is informationally efficient in that prices instantly reflect all available public information. Prior financial literature on the study of the relationship between earnings announcements and their effect on the stock market reveals that there is a significant "drift" of a firm's cumulative abnormal return that occurs in the direction of its earnings surprise. This phenomenon is in contrast to how the efficient market hypothesis would expect the market to react to this new information. The prior studies on this topic were conducted in the 1980s - before the existence of both high-speed access to news via cell phone alerts and the increasing ability to trade quickly on new information via online brokers. This study attempts to test this "post-earnings announcement drift" on the current market to see if this phenomenon is still relevant in today's market and to see if it can be exploited. This study finds that there is still a post-earnings announcement drift that persists for the twenty-one days following earnings announcements. The cumulative abnormal returns continue to drift upwards for "good news" firms and continue to drift downwards for "bad news" firms for twenty-one days and may continue in the same direction after this period. This study also finds that a trading strategy that involves forming long portfolios of firms that beat earnings by the greatest magnitude (most positive earnings surprise) and also have the largest abnormal return on the day of the announcement and forming a short portfolio of firms that miss estimates by the greatest magnitude (most negative earnings surprise) and have the most negative abnormal return on the day of the announcement had an average annualized return of 20.343% over the ten year period starting in 2004 while the S & P 500 had an average annualized return of 9.1% over the same period.
Download or read book Post Earnings Announcement Drift written by Tomas Tomcany and published by LAP Lambert Academic Publishing. This book was released on 2010-11 with total page 92 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is a well documented finding in finance theory that share prices drift in the direction of firms' unexpected earnings changes, a phenomenom known as post-earnings announcement drift, or earnings momentum. In this book, I study the stock prices' reaction to firms' quarterly earnings announcements. The book shows that the timeframe in which the drift occurs is related to the size of a firm and is limited in time after the earnings announcement. I further analyze the effect of the number of analysts covering a firm on the magnitude and persistance of post-earnings announcement drift. I document that recent analyst coverage predicts large drifts after the earnings announcements. I suggest several possible explanations, but the evidence seems most consistent with recent analyst coverage providing information about investor (or analyst) expectations regarding firm's future earnings. This book should be useful to professionals in Financial Economics, especially to those interested in Behavioral Finance in stock markets, but also to equity analysts, traders or investors interested in the stocks' response to earnings news.
Download or read book Post Earnings Announcement Drift in Global Markets written by Mingyi Hung and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate whether and how an exogenous and unprecedented improvement in the quality of non-U.S. firms' financial reporting affects post-earnings-announcement drift (PEAD). We find that PEAD declines after the information shock, and the decrease is more pronounced among firms with fewer concurrent earnings announcements, higher institutional holdings, and lower limits-to-arbitrage, and in countries with stronger enforcement. In addition, the decrease in PEAD is primarily driven by firms with greater changes in financial reporting, and an increase in analyst forecast accuracy, institutional ownership, and liquidity. Taken together, these findings support the mispricing explanation of PEAD in an international setting.
Download or read book Market Efficiency and the Post Earnings Announcement Drift written by Dennis Y. Chung and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine whether the post-earnings announcement drift (PEAD) varies cross-sectionally with short-horizon return predictability from order flows, which characterizes the information environment and reflects the extent to which information is efficiently impounded in prices. We first demonstrate that this proxy for market efficiency (developed by Chordia, Roll, and Subrahmanyam 2008) captures the degree of market frictions that limit arbitrage activities. We then present evidence that the inverse of short-horizon return predictability is negatively associated with the PEAD and remains statistically and economically significant after controlling for a wide range of explanatory variables used in prior research. Finally, although we find that profits of implementing the PEAD trading strategy are significantly reduced by transaction costs, we demonstrate that profits continue to remain statistically and economically significant for the less efficient firms that face otherwise higher barriers to arbitrage. Our results indicate that short-horizon return predictability from order flows better explains stock returns after earnings announcements.
Download or read book STOCK PRICE REACTIONS TO EARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENTS A written by VICTOR L. BERNARD and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Explanations written by Michael M. Grayson and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study addresses the issue of post-earnings-announcement drift. According to the present theory of how capital markets behave, the drift cannot occur if either the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) or the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) is valid. The drift is a drift away from the CAPM price, which means that CAPM cannot be how the market mechanically determines prices. The drift has been known since at least 1968, which means that an allegedly efficient market knows of the drift, yet does not take the drift into account in setting prices and thereby drive the drift out of existence. The existence of the drift means that the market cannot be completely efficient even within a time frame of three months.This article uses economic modeling to analyze the drift and the results of a field study to explain why it occurs. This article also explains (1) why the size of the drift varies by size of the company, (2) that the market is not efficient, (3) why stock prices tend to rise after a stock split, and (4) some of the incentives for managements to smooth earnings.
Download or read book When Two Anomalies Meet written by Zhipeng Yan and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study of the post-earnings announcement drift and the value-glamour anomaly finds that value stocks have greater information uncertainty, exhibit more-muted initial market reactions to earnings surprises, and have better (more positive or less negative) post-earnings announcement drifts than do glamour stocks. A trading strategy based on these findings can generate an average annual abnormal return of 16.6-18.8 percent before transaction costs.
Download or read book Do Individual Investors Cause Post Earnings Announcement Drift Direct Evidence from Personal Trades written by David A. Hirshleifer and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study tests whether naiquest;ve trading by individual investors, or some class of individual investors, causes post-earnings announcement drift (PEAD). Inconsistent with the individual trading hypothesis, individual investor trading fails to subsume any of the power of extreme earnings surprises to predict future abnormal returns. Moreover, individuals are significant net buyers after both negative and positive extreme earnings surprises, consistent with an attention effect, but not with their trades causing PEAD. Finally, we find no indication that trading by individuals explains the concentration of drift at subsequent earnings announcement dates.
Download or read book Opinion Divergence and Post Earnings Announcement Drift written by Kirsten L. Anderson and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the relationship between divergent opinions and post-earnings announcement drift. We provide an improved measure of opinion divergence constructed from the dispersion of order flow across Nasdaq market makers that captures the breadth of divergence that is lost by volume-based measures. We find evidence that both limited participation (in the form of delayed price reaction and short sale constraints) and divergent opinions contribute significantly to drift. We also find that earnings surprises induce permanent upward shifts in opinion divergence, trading volume, and return volatility that last up to nine months following the announcement. Our results suggest that opinion divergence elicits added risk in the form of increased volatility with the resulting returns comprising a component of drift. We document that daily opinion divergence is a priced risk factor over the nine month drift period. The persistence of these relationships suggests that opinion divergence represents a fundamental change in the market's assessment of the announcing firm that extends beyond the announcement period and influences post-announcement stock returns.
Download or read book Investor Inattention and the Post earnings Announcement Drift Evidence from Switzerland written by Sarah Suter and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Earlier studies on earnings numbers have discovered a market anomaly which could not be explained by flaws in the applied research design. They claim that stock prices do not incor-porate earnings news immediately, as suggested by the efficient market theory, but tend to drift into the direction of the unexpected earnings after an earnings announcement. In addi-tion, this effect seems to be stronger if investors are distracted by competing announcements at the announcement date. Based on Swiss earnings and stock price data, this paper analyses whether unexpected earnings are followed by cumulative abnormal stock returns. I find post-earnings announcement drift that increases with the magnitude of the earnings surprise. By comparing immediate and delayed market reaction and post-earnings announcement drift on high-news and low-news days, this study examines the effect of investor inattention on post-earnings announcement drift. The findings are consistent with lower immediate market re-sponse and stronger drift when investors are distracted.
Download or read book Anchoring the 52 Week High and Post Earnings Announcement Drift written by Thomas J. George and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The existence of post earnings announcement drift (PEAD) depends strongly on whether stocks' prices are near (far from) their 52-week highs when positive (negative) earnings surprises arrive. We find that the coincidence of these two effects is what generates significant PEAD. Daily returns around current and future earnings announcements follow a similar pattern -- announcement returns are more muted for extreme positive (negative) surprises, the closer (farther) are prices to the 52-week high. In addition, subsequent announcement returns are greater for these firms, consistent with a correction of previous underreaction. This suggests that an important contributing factor to PEAD is investors anchoring their beliefs about fundamental value on the 52-week high, which restrains price reactions to earnings news.
Download or read book Attention to Market Information and Underreaction to Earnings on Market Moving Days written by Badrinath Kottimukkalur and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Post-earnings announcement drift is stronger in firms that release earnings on days when market returns are higher in magnitude. This drift remains robust after controlling for previously documented factors such as Friday releases, the number of simultaneous releases, and price delay measure. Negative earnings surprises drive this drift, and the drift is more pronounced among small stocks, value stocks, and stocks that have low analyst following. Slower analyst response to earnings contributes to the drift. These findings are consistent with investors paying more attention to market information and less attention to firm-specific information due to attention constraints.
Download or read book Post earnings Announcement Drift and Market Participants Information Processing Biases written by and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Earnings Response Elasticity and Post Earnings Announcement Drift written by Zhipeng Yan and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This article studies the relationship between initial market response to earnings surprise and subsequent stock price movement.We first develop a new measure - the earnings response elasticity (ERE) - to capture initial market response. It is defined as the absolute value of earnings announcement abnormal returns (EAARs) divided by the earnings surprise. The ERE is then examined under various categories contingent on the signs of earnings surprises (+/-/0) and EAARs (+/-). We find that a weaker initial market reaction to earnings surprises, or lower ERE, leads to a larger post-announcement drift.A trading strategy of taking a long position in stocks in the lowest ERE quintile when both earnings surprises and EAARs are positive and a short position when both are negative can generate an average abnormal return of 5.11 per cent per quarter.
Download or read book An Examination of the systematic Post announcement Drift Anomaly Employing a Relative Measure of Earnings Surprises written by Myung Chul Chung and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 316 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
