Download or read book Main Theater Warfare Modeling in the Rand Strategy Assessment System 3 0 written by Rand Corporation and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Note provides an overview of the main theater warfare model developed as part of the RAND Strategy Assessment System (RSAS, Release 3.0), in a game-structured simulation of global conflict. This model covers land and air combat in Central Europe and Korea and is part of a global combat model (CAMPAIGN) that provides a fully integrated treatment of conventional, theater-nuclear, and intercontinental-nuclear warfare worldwide. The model has been designed to answer "What if?" questions quickly, to be used either as a closed simulation or as an interactive game, and to be flexible. It permits the user to vary assumptions about a broad range of qualitative and quantitative issues such as national fighting effectiveness, maximum combat intensity, air-ground interactions, etc. The model is also unique in its treatment of maneuver because it allows the attacker and defender to have explicit concepts of maneuver at corps level and above.
Download or read book Theater Analysis and Modeling in an Era of Uncertainty The Present and Future of Warfare written by Bruce W. Bennett and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This monograph report describes work done as part of the development of the RAND Strategy Assessment System (RSAS), an initiative of the Director of Net Assessment in the Office of the Secretary of Defense to improve the procedures used for analysis and modeling of major regional contingencies and higher-level conflicts. Because many of the key aspects of warfare have changed significantly over the last few years, and likely will change even more significantly in the next decade, a major component of recent RSAS development has been research into the future of warfare. This report summarizes a part of that work, describing some of our vision of the future, and what we believe that vision implies about requirements for military analysis and modeling of major regional contingencies. The work included here has involved war gaming and analysis, has spanned the spectrum of major force operations, and has considered both the present and future of warfare.
Download or read book Some Lessons Learned from Building Red Agents in the Rand Strategy Assessment System RSAS written by Paul K. Davis and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study describes some of the lessons learned from developing political-level and Theater-Commander-level decision models for Use in the Rand Strategy assessment system (rsas). Thèse knowledge-based models (called Red agents) can represent alternative mindsets and alternative Military strategies.
Download or read book The Rand Strategy Assessment Center An Overview and Interim Conclusions about Utility and Development Options written by Rand Corporation and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Rand Strategy Assessment Center (RSAC) is an ambitious multiyear effort to improve methods of strategy analysis by combining the best features of war gaming and analytic modeling. The approach is based on automated war gaming in which human teams are replaced by decision models (computer automatons) using heuristic behavior rules and by a force operational model treating: interrelationships among strategic and other forces, events in different theaters, and the operations of the several military services. The result is a capability for complex multiscenario analysis that has not previously existed. The power of the approach is due in large part to its emphasis on realism (relative to more standard approaches) and to the use of artificial-intelligence and force-modeling techniques that make behavior rules and other key assumptions both transparent and interactively variable. This report provides an introduction to RSAC work for those unfamiliar with it. It also provides, for those following the program more closely: a summary of recent conceptual and technical progress, interim conclusions about the utility of RSAC methodology, a plan for future development, and references to more detailed RSAC publications. (Author).
Download or read book Modeling of Soft Factors in the Rand Strategy Assessment System RSAS written by Paul K. Davis and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reflecting "soft factors" (defined as factors not yet reflected explicitly in analysis, and not yet well understood) has been a major goal since the RAND Strategy Assessment System (RSAS) was designed in 1982. This paper discusses how selected soft factors have been and could be represented in combat models, theater-level decision models dealing with command-control issues, and national-command-level models dealing with issues of national policy, strategy, and controls. The paper also discusses the (limited) empirical basis for the assumptions used and speculates about the degree to which the empirical and subjective bases could be improved. Finally, it notes several recent examples of policy-level analysis that have been strongly affected by assumptions about soft factors involving human and organizational issues--notably factors involving readiness, surprise, national fighting quality, the break-point phenomenon, and command-control adaptability.
Download or read book Automated War Gaming written by Herbert J. Shukiar and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Rand Strategy Assessment Center written by Herbert J. Shukiar and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Rand Strategy Assessment Center (RSAC) is a highly ambitious, multiyear research program to develop a system and methodology that combine the systematic reproducibility of analytic modeling/simulation with the behavioral richness of rule-based artificial intelligence technology. The system combines an adaptive simulation model of precombat and combat operations with three rule-based artificial intelligence agents that represent Red, Blue, and third-country behavior. The adaptive simulation model, called the Force Agent, simulates ground, air, and naval warfare in both conventional and nuclear settings on a theaterwide or global basis. The two superpower agents, Red Agent and Blue Agent, utilize wakeup rules to examine the world situation. Third-country behavior is represented by another rule-based agent--Scenario Agent. This paper examines the relationships among the four agents from the system interface, database management, and system control perspectives. The paper also discusses how the RSAC system can be used to support both automated and interactive war games.
Download or read book The Rand Strategy Assessment Center and the Future of Simulation and Gaming written by David A. Shlapak and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This paper was originally presented at a meeting of the Section for Military Studies of the International Studies Association at the University of Illinois at Champaign-Urbana on November 9, 1985. It describes the RAND Strategy Assessment Center's (RSAC) game-structured interactive simulation system in which functions of the traditional "Red," "Blue," and "Control" teams can be taken over partially or completely by automated decision models. It then discusses the roles of simulation and gaming in the training of officers and their impact on policy and strategy. It suggests that the analytic results of RSAC exercises should be very useful for enriching and extending the context of appropriately designed and implemented games, thereby enhancing their value as artificial experience."--Rand abstracts.
Download or read book Explanation Mechanisms for Knowledge based Models in the Rand Strategy Assessment System written by Paul K. Davis and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This user's manual for understanding the behavior of knowledge-based decision models written in the RAND-ABEL programming language and incorporated in the RAND Strategy Assessment System (RSAS) teaches the user how to use the RSAS explanation mechanisms. The limiting factor is often the user's intuition about where to look for the evaluation of variables determining the values of higher-level variables in the RSAS's hierarchical models. Success depends on a top-down understanding of the models (since the RSAS knowledge-based programs are structured to match the conceptual models). Summary procedures that work well and efficiently assist the user.
Download or read book The Rand Strategy Assessment System s Green Agent Model of Third country Behavior in Superpower Crises and Conflict written by Rand Corporation and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Green Agent, formerly called Scenario Agent, is the Rand Strategy Assessment System's (RSAS's) rule-based computer model of third-country political-military behavior in conflicts involving one or both superpowers. This Note describes the third-generation version, and supersedes all previous Scenario Agent documentation. The Note provides information needed to set up and run the Green Agent in RSAS war games. It should be of interest both to political-military analysts and to modelers.
Download or read book Adapting the RAND Strategy Assessment System to Force Assessment Studies in the Joint Staff written by Robert Dale Howe and published by . This book was released on 1991-01-01 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report documents the results of an effort undertaken for the Capabilities Assessment Division (CAD) of the Joint Staff. The project had two purposes: (1) to demonstrate that the operations and output of the RAND Strategy Assessment System (RSAS) could be calibrated to that of other models and games currently employed by CAD, and (2) to allow CAD to evaluate the utility of the RSAS for their purposes. This report outlines what was done in this effort, how it was done, and the degree to which the results were acceptable to CAD. RSAS proved valuable for many of CAD's assessments. In particular, the combination of analytic war plans and analyst plans used in this work proved quite flexible and robust in controlling and modifying scenario details during the course of the assessments. The most pronounced shortcoming of the RSAS from CAD's perspective is the underdeveloped state of the naval models. The work reported here also resulted in several improvements being made to the baseline RSAS system, including changes to graphics software, force data, and air warfare modeling.
Download or read book Secondary Land Theater Model written by Patrick D. Allen and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This Note describes a new approach to combat modeling and an application of this approach to modeling selected theaters of operation in a global model--the RAND Strategy Assessment System. There are five important features of this new approach: (1) using the model parallels the processes involved in developing a concept of operations or a game plan; (2) the model is rule-based rather than algorithm-based for both decision and assessment processes; (3) the model focuses on first defining a specific situation, and then selecting the most appropriate assessment process; (4) heavy emphasis is placed on the qualitative factors that determine the success or failure of operations, as well as the usual quantitative factors; and (5) the approach relies on the flexibility, clarity, structure, and speed of the RAND-ABEL programming language."--Rand abstracts.
Download or read book Representing Operational Strategies and Command control in the Rand Strategy Assessment System RSAS written by Paul K. Davis and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Knowledge Engineering for Rand Strategy Assessment Center Military Command Level Models written by William Schwabe and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The Rand Strategy Assessment Center's (RSAC) automated wargaming system includes computer programs that act as agents for Red (Soviet Union) and Blue (United States). Both Red and Blue Agent programs consist of hierarchical levels of rule-based models ranging from the highest national political-military command level to individual theater command levels. The levels below the national command level are collectively referred to as the military command levels. Military command level models are rule-based systems, consisting largely of statements written as human-readable rules that are also executable as computer programs. The rules express knowledge about military command operations. This paper describes the knowledge engineering as RSAC develops the military command level models, and includes a detailed description of the design process and the resultant structure, and a discussion of the process of developing program content."--Rand abstract.
Download or read book Analytic War Plans written by William Schwabe and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Rand Strategy Assessment System at the Naval Postgraduate School written by James John Tritten and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 67 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Report describes the RAND Strategy Assessment System (RSAS) installation at the Naval Postgraduate School (NPS). The RSAS attempts to combine the best features of political-military gaming and analytic modeling. THe RSAS can be run in a near automatic mode with essentially two expert systems playing against each other or as an interactive game with human players. In between these extremes, the RSAS can be used as an analytic tool to support research and instruction. RSAS models are not yet completely developed to the satisfaction of Navy users. The Navy should continue to encourage development of maritime models and continued in-house expertise in the use of the system. When fully operational, the RSAS will be a unique system that will aid Navy analysts and decision-makers who, for the first time, will have models that can represent every level and location of the political and military dimensions of warfare simultaneously. Keywords: Wargaming, Simulations, Rand Strategy Assessment SYstem, Strategy.
Download or read book Concepts for Improving the Military Content of Automated War Games written by Paul K. Davis and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper describes one aspect of recent work in the Rand Strategy Assessment Center (RSAC), the challenge of finding ways to incorporate military realism in analytically oriented automated war games. Meeting the challenge has required developing new concepts and techniques that show great promise. The philosophy behind them has even greater applicability. One such concept is that of analytic war plans, logic structures attempting to capture the many high-level decision points that would be faced by the United States and Soviet Union in conflict. The analytic war plans are abstract rule-based generalizations of decision trees. The other concept treated in this paper defines an approach to combat modeling that sacrifices analytic elegance for pragmatism as part of a philosophy requiring the RSAC to treat numerous special phenomena of war that can have important implications even at the strategy level, but which have traditionally been ignored or poorly treated in analytic models. (Author).
