Download or read book Macroeconomic Cycles in China written by Mr.S. E. Oppers and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1997-10-01 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the macroeconomic cycles China has experienced since the onset of reform in the late 1970s. It finds that the recurrent inflationary episodes that characterize the cycles are associated primarily with surges in the main components of aggregate demand. The most recent cycle stands out in achieving for the first time a reduction in inflation without a major slowdown in growth. The soft landing was facilitated by a number of factors, including increases in capacity as a result of the surge in investment spending early on in the cycle.
Download or read book Macroeconomic Cycles in China written by Stefan Erik Oppers and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the macroeconomic cycles China has experienced since the onset of reform in the late 1970s. It finds that the recurrent inflationary episodes that characterize the cycles are associated primarily with surges in the main components of aggregate demand. The most recent cycle stands out in achieving for the first time a reduction in inflation without a major slowdown in growth. The soft landing was facilitated by a number of factors, including increases in capacity as a result of the surge in investment spending early on in the cycle.
Download or read book Business Cycles in BRICS written by Sergey Smirnov and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-08-15 with total page 505 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume focuses on the analysis and measurement of business cycles in Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS). Divided into five parts, it begins with an overview of the main concepts and problems involved in monitoring and forecasting business cycles. Then it highlights the role of BRICS in the global economy and explores the interrelatedness of business cycles within BRICS. In turn, part two provides studies on the historical development of business cycles in the individual BRICS countries and describes the driving forces behind those cycles. Parts three and four present national business tendency surveys and composite cyclical indices for real-time monitoring and forecasting of various BRICS economies, while the final part discusses how the lessons learned in the BRICS countries can be used for the analysis of business cycles and their socio-political consequences in other emerging countries.
Download or read book The Economic Cycle and the Growth of the Chinese Economy written by Li Jianwei and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2017-03-16 with total page 325 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The nature of the economic cycle has been a long-standing problem for economists. Key questions include: What are the causes of the economic cycle? Are the causes endogenous or exogenous? and Why is the economic cycle irregular? This book explores the theory of the economic cycle in relation to economic growth in China. The book concludes that the cause of the economic cycle is endogenous, that the periodic fluctuation of economic growth and its dynamic equilibrium are natural aspects of the growth of the economy, and it puts forward a new model of the economic cycle which confidently predicts the future trajectory of China’s economic growth.
Download or read book The Chinese Economy written by Barry Naughton and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2007 with total page 545 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The most comprehensive English-language overview of the modern Chinese economy, covering China's economic development since 1949 and post-1978 reforms--from industrial change and agricultural organization to science and technology.
Download or read book China written by Hoe Ee Khor and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1991-09-01 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper explores the links between reforms, macroeconomic management and the occurrence of macroeconomic instability in China during the last decade, drawing upon previous analytical work and also employing the “Granger causality” test. It is concluded that the cycles did not originate with the reforms; rather their characteristics were modified by structural changes in the economy. It is further argued that the incompleteness of reforms (which renders macroeconomic management difficult) had the effect of exacerbating the cycles by increasing their amplitude and frequency. Finally, results from the Granger tests suggest that broad money would be a good intermediate target for monetary policy.
Download or read book Chinese Economic Growth and Fluctuations written by Liu Shucheng and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-03-27 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the economic reform of the 1980s, Chinese economy has boomed and has now become the second largest in the world. Based on the constant and systematic researches of economic periodicity, this book studies Chinese economic growth and fluctuations. As a famous Chinese economist, the author is the first one who demonstrated the investment periodicity in China. His groundbreaking studies on Chinese economic periodic fluctuation have significant impact at home and abroad. The first six papers collected in this book mainly examine issues on Chinese periodic fluctuation and macroeconomic regulation, including the periodic fluctuations from 1953 to 1994, and a comparative analysis of five macroeconomic regulations since the reform and open up in the late 1980s. The last seven papers appear in the author's collected works for the first time. They are focused on the new characteristics of Chinese macroeconomic operation and regulation after the financial crisis of 2007-2008. In addition, this book reviews on China's economic growth from 1949 to 2009 and provides some valuable suggestions on how to maintain the rising trend of the new economic cycle.
Download or read book Dynamics of China s Economy written by Zhiming Long and published by BRILL. This book was released on 2023 with total page 393 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers an analysis of China's growth from 1949 to the present day. The authors rebuild time-series databases (capital, education, R&D...), mobilize modern tools of statistics and econometrics, and use various methodologies (mainly Marxist) to carry out this research.
Download or read book Chinese Macroeconomic Operation written by Liu Shucheng and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-03-27 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Liu Shucheng is a famous Chinese economist who has a major impact on the study of China's macroeconomics and quantitative economics. Selecting some of Liu's representative studies on Chinese macroeconomy, this book will be a valuable reference for understanding and studying Chinese economy. The first five papers appear in the author's collected works for the first time. They mainly study the overall balance of Chinese macroeconomic operation and the relative economic mathematical models. The commodity-currency balance sheet improved the earliest input-output model introduced to China in the 1980s, and the author's frontier research is of great importance for Chinese economic study. In attempting to solve the problems caused by incontrollable fixed assets investment, the author examines the periodicity of fixed assets investment in China, including the characteristics, causes, and the impact of investment periodic fluctuation on economic periodic fluctuation. Besides, the author studies Phillips curves in China in a comprehensive and intensive way. These in-depth analysis provide original insights based on the author's extensive research.
Download or read book NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2015 written by Martin Eichenbaum and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2016-06-22 with total page 517 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This year, the NBER Macroeconomics Annual celebrates its thirtieth volume. The first two papers examine China’s macroeconomic development. “Trends and Cycles in China's Macroeconomy” by Chun Chang, Kaiji Chen, Daniel F. Waggoner, and Tao Zha outlines the key characteristics of growth and business cycles in China. “Demystifying the Chinese Housing Boom” by Hanming Fang, Quanlin Gu, Wei Xiong, and Li-An Zhou constructs a new house price index, showing that Chinese house prices have grown by ten percent per year over the past decade. The third paper, “External and Public Debt Crises” by Cristina Arellano, Andrew Atkeson, and Mark Wright, asks why there appear to be large differences across countries and subnational jurisdictions in the effect of rising public debts on economic outcomes. The fourth, “Networks and the Macroeconomy: An Empirical Exploration” by Daron Acemoglu, Ufuk Akcigit, and William Kerr, explains how the network structure of the US economy propagates the effect of gross output productivity shocks across upstream and downstream sectors. The fifth and sixth papers investigate the usefulness of surveys of household’s beliefs for understanding economic phenomena. “Expectations and Investment,” by Nicola Gennaioli, Yueran Ma, and Andrei Shleifer, demonstrates that a chief financial officer's expectations of a firm's future earnings growth is related to both the planned and actual future investment of that firm. “Declining Desire to Work and Downward Trends in Unemployment and Participation” by Regis Barnichon and Andrew Figura shows that an increasing number of prime-age Americans who are not in the labor force report no desire to work and that this decline accelerated during the second half of the 1990s.
Download or read book Mechanical Analysis of China s Macro Economic Structure written by Xiaojiang Zhang and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-03-07 with total page 239 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume is a major breakthrough in helping decipher and piece together the major interactive and flow investment dynamics within the complex Chinese economic structure, in an effort to guide global investors to formulate their own macro assessment and investment strategy in or related to China. Different from US that had a relatively short and ascending economic past, China endured a much longer history with quite a few volatile economic cycles. With that lesson of history in the background as the country’s guiding management principle, China’s economic policy and management superstructure, combined with regional government, business, consumer and investment community, form together a huge and complex operating environment of investment flow dynamics within which macro investment opportunities can be identified and strategies can be formulated by interested global and domestic investors..
Download or read book China written by Hoe Ee Khor and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Hong Kong s Growth Synchronization with China and the U S written by Mr.Dong He and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-07-08 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the synchronization of Hong Kong SAR’s economic growth with mainland China and the United States. This paper identifies trends of economic growth based on the permanent income hypothesis. Specifically, the paper confirms whether real consumption in Hong Kong SAR and mainland China satisfy the permanent income hypothesis, at least in a weak form. It then identifies the permanent and transitory components of income of each economy using a simple state-space model. It uses structural vector autoregression models to analyze how permanent and transitory shocks originating from mainland China and the United States affect the Hong Kong economy, and how such influences evolve over time. The paper’s main findings suggest that transitory shocks from the United States remain a major driving force behind Hong Kong SAR’s business cycle fluctuations. On the other hand, permanent shocks from mainland China have a larger impact on Hong Kong SAR’s trend growth.
Download or read book The Chinese Economy written by Barry J. Naughton and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2006-10-27 with total page 545 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This comprehensive overview of the modern Chinese economy by a noted expert on China's economic development offers a quality and breadth of coverage not found in any other English-language text. In The Chinese Economy, Barry Naughton provides both an engaging, broadly focused introduction to China's economy since 1949 and original insights based on his own extensive research. The book will be an essential resource for students, teachers, scholars, business people, and policymakers. It is suitable for classroom use for undergraduate or graduate courses. After presenting background material on the pre-1949 economy and the industrialization, reform, and market transition that have taken place since, the book examines different aspects of the modern Chinese economy. It analyzes patterns of growth and development, including population growth and the one-child family policy; the rural economy, including agriculture and rural industrialization; industrial and technological development in urban areas; international trade and foreign investment; macroeconomic trends and cycles and the financial system; and the largely unaddressed problems of environmental quality and the sustainability of growth. The text is notable also for placing China's economy in interesting comparative contexts, discussing it in relation to other transitional or developing economies and to such advanced industrial countries as the United States and Japan. It provides both a broad historical and macro perspective as well as a focused examination of the actual workings of China's complex and dynamic economic development. Interest in the Chinese economy will only grow as China becomes an increasingly important player on the world's stage. This book will be the standard reference for understanding and teaching about the next economic superpower.
Download or read book Trends and Cycles in China s Macroeconomy written by Chun Chang and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 73 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We make four contributions in this paper. First, we provide a core of macroeconomic time series usable for systematic research on China. Second, we document, through various empirical methods, the robust findings about striking patterns of trend and cycle. Third, we build a theoretical model that accounts for these facts. Fourth, the model's mechanism and assumptions are corroborated by institutional details, disaggregated data, and banking time series, all of which are distinctive of Chinese characteristics. We argue that preferential credit policy for promoting heavy industries accounts for the unusual cyclical patterns as well as the post-1990s economic transition featured by the persistently rising investment rate, the declining labor income share, and a growing foreign surplus. The departure of our theoretical model from standard ones offers a constructive framework for studying China's modern macroeconomy.
Download or read book The New Cycle and New Finance in China written by Shusong Ba and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-01-23 with total page 364 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a selection of research by a Chinese economist who explains China's financial system, as well as predicting the future. The selected 45 articles focus on six topics covering diverse levels: China's macroeconomic and financial system, financial institutions, payment and clearing industry, inclusive finance, urbanization and financial supervision. The book builds a brand overview on China's financial development trend in the past recent years and long term.--
Download or read book The China Miracle written by Justin Yifu Lin and published by The Chinese University of Hong Kong Press. This book was released on 2004-03-15 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The tremendous success of China's economic reform, in contrast with the vast difficulties encountered by the former Soviet Union and Eastern European countries in their transition, has attracted worldwide attention. Using a historical, comparative and analytic approach grounded in mainstream economics, the authors develop a consistent and rational framework of state-owned enterprises and individual agents to analyze the internal logic of the traditional planning system. They also explain why the Chinese economy grew slowly before the market-oriented reform in 1979 but became one of the fastest growing economies afterwards, and why the vigour/chaos cycle became part of China's reform process. The book also addresses to the questions that whether China can continue its trend of reform and development and become the largest economy in the world in the early 21st century, and what the general implications of China's experience of development and reform are for other developing and transition economies. The first edition has been well-received and is the standard textbook or reference for students and researchers of China studies. In this thoroughly revised edition, the authors have updated the data and information in the book and include a new chapter on the impact of China's WTO accession on its economic reforms and causes of the current deflation.
