Download or read book Limits to Speculation and Nonlinearity in Deviations from Uncovered Interest Parity written by Lucio Sarno and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine empirically the hypothesis that limits to speculation in the foreign exchange market may induce nonlinearities in the spot-forward relationship and in the process driving the deviations from the uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) condition. Our empirical results provide strong evidence of nonlinearities which are consistent with a model of deviations from UIP with two extreme regimes: one regime with persistent but tiny deviations from UIP, and another regime where UIP holds. In a battery of Monte Carlo experiments, we show that if the true data generating process of UIP deviations were of the nonlinear form we consider, estimation of conventional spot-forward regressions would generate the well known forward bias puzzle and the predictability of foreign exchange excess returns documented in the literature. In turn, these findings have implications for the economic significance of the statistical rejection of foreign exchange market efficiency.
Download or read book Nonlinearity in Deviations from Uncovered Interest Parity An Explanation of the Forward Bias Puzzle written by Lucio Sarno and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-05 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We provide empirical evidence that deviations from uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) display significant nonlinearities, consistent with theories based on transaction costs or limits to speculation. This evidence suggests that the forward bias documented in the literature may be less indicative of major market inefficiencies than previously thought. Monte Carlo experiments allow us to reconcile these results with the large empirical literature on the forward bias puzzle since we show that, if the true process of UIP deviations were of the nonlinear form we consider, estimation of conventional spot-forward regressions would generate the anomalies documented in previous research.
Download or read book The Forward Bias Puzzle and Nonlinearity in Deviations from Uncovered Interest Parity written by Giorgio Valente and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We provide empirical evidence that deviations from the uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) condition display significant nonlinearities, which have a natural interpretation consistent with several recent theories based on transactions costs or limits to speculation in the foreign exchange market. This evidence suggests that the forward bias documented in the literature may be less indicative of major inefficiencies in the foreign exchange market than previously thought. Further, Monte Carlo experiments allow us to reconcile our results with the large empirical literature on the forward bias puzzle since we show that, if the true data generating process of UIP deviations were of the nonlinear form we consider, estimation of conventional linear spot-forward regressions would generate the well known anomalies documented in much previous research.
Download or read book Nonlinearity in Deviations from Uncovered Parity written by Lucio Sarno and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Three Parity Conditions and Deviations from Uncovered Interest Parity written by Anders Vik and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Interconnected Deviations from Covered Interest Parity written by Daniel Felix Ahelegbey and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book A Research Examination of Covered Uncovered Interest Rate Parity and the Purchase Power Parity PPP hypothesis Applications in MATLAB RATS and EVIEWS written by Eleftherios Giovanis and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2010-02-17 with total page 114 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2008 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 95.00%, , language: English, abstract: This project examines in the first part the covered and uncovered interest parity between US dollar and Swiss Franc. We present simple summary statistics, unit root tests, deviations from covered interest parity, regression analysis, threshold autoregression and exponential transition autoregression. Then we present the uncovered interest parity and, as in the case of covered interest parity, we apply some tests to examine if it’s valid. We apply Johansen cointegration tests between spot and forward rates, but also between forward premia and interest rates differentials and we test if there is a cointegration equation and we estimate the vector error correction model. After this procedure we present the impulse responses. Next we test if there is a threshold cointegration relation between the above variables. Finally in the last section we apply a dynamic OLS (DOLS) estimation with Newey-West HAC standard errors. In the second part the purchasing power parity (PPP) hypothesis is examined with a similar methodology followed, where additionally we present a long span study, unit root tests allowing for structural breaks in data, panel unit root tests as also Markov switching regime autoregressive model is examined in the category of the non linear models
Download or read book Exchange Rate Economics written by Norman C. Miller and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2014-09-26 with total page 217 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) puzzle has remained a moot point since it first circulated economic discourse in 1984 and, despite a number of attempts at a solution, the UIP puzzle and other anomalies in Exchange Rate Economics continue to perplex
Download or read book Palgrave Handbook of Econometrics written by Terence C. Mills and published by Palgrave Handbook of Econometr. This book was released on 2009-06-25 with total page 1432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Palgrave Handbooks of Econometrics comprises 'landmark' essays by the world's leading scholars and provides authoritative guidance in key areas of econometrics. With definitive contributions on the subject, the Handbook is an essential source for reference for professional econometricians, economists, researchers and students. Following the successful Palgrave Handbook of Econometrics: Volume 1, this second volume brings together leading academics working in econometrics today and explores applied econometrics. Volume 2 contains contributions on subjects including growth/development econometrics, computing, microeconomics, macroeconomics, finance, spatial and urban economics and international economics.
Download or read book Uncovered Interest Parity written by Mr.Peter Isard and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1991-05 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This note provides an overview of the uncovered interest parity assumption. It traces the history of the interest parity concept, summarizes evidence on the empirical validity of uncovered interest parity, and discusses the implications for macroeconomic analysis. The uncovered interest parity assumption has been an important building block in multiperiod and continuous time models of open economies, and although its validity is strongly challenged by the empirical evidence, its retention in macroeconomic models is supported on pragmatic grounds, at least for the time being, by the lack of much empirical support for existing models of the exchange risk premium.
Download or read book Covered Interest Parity Deviations written by Eugenio Cerutti and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Uncovered Interest Parity written by Jörg Breitung and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book A study of actual deviations from ther interest parity theory of forward exchange written by Eugene Yu-seng Tsoa and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 150 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Uncovered Interest Parity in Long Run written by Chang Liu and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book What Do Deviations from Covered Interest Parity and Higher FX Hedging Costs Mean for Asia written by Mr.Gee Hee Hong and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-08-02 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Asian countries have high demand for U.S. dollars and are sensitive to U.S. dollar funding costs. An important, but often overlooked, component of these costs is the basis spread in the cross-currency swap market that emerges when there are deviations from covered interest parity (CIP). CIP deviations mean that investors need to pay a premium to borrow U.S. dollars or other currencies on a hedged basis via cross-currency swap markets. These deviations can be explained by regulatory changes since the global financial crisis, which have limited arbitrage opportunities and country-specific factors that contribute to a mismatch in the demand and supply of U.S. dollars. We find that an increase in the basis spread tightens financial conditions in net debtor countries, while easing financial conditions in net creditor countries. The main reason is that net debtor countries are, in general, unable to substitute smoothly to other domestic funding channels. Policies that promote reliable alternative funding sources, such as long-term corporate bond market or stable long-term investors, including a “hedging counterpart of last resort,” can help stabilize financial intermediation when U.S. dollar funding markets come under stress.
Download or read book Journal of International Economics written by and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 862 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book A Comparison of Risk premium Forecasts Implied by Parametric Versus Nonparametric Conditional Mean Estimators written by Thomas H. McCurdy and published by Kingston, Ont. : Institute for Economic Research, Queen's University. This book was released on 1991 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
