Download or read book Kuskokwim River Chinook Salmon Run Reconstruction 2015 written by Zachary W. Liller and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Because it is not possible to count all chinook salmon that return to the Kuskokwim River, estimates of annual abundance and escapement are made using a maximum likelihood model. The model was used to estimate the 2015 drainage-wide runs size. This report discusses the model inputs, model results, uncertainty of the estimates, and conclusions of the reconstruction model.
Download or read book 2021 Kuskokwim River Chinook Salmon Run Reconstruction and 2022 Forecast written by Sean D. Larson and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A maximum likelihood model was used to estimate the 2021 drainagewide run size and escapement of Kuskokwim River Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha). The total run was estimated to be 129,751 (95% CI: 94,489–178,171) fish and escapement was estimated to be 101,000 (95% CI: 65,738–149,420) fish. Model estimates were informed by direct observations of the 2021 escapement at 3 weirs and 2021 harvest, combined with historical observations of escapement (up to 6 weirs and 14 aerial surveys), harvest, test fishery, and mark–recapture data dating back to 1976. Model results are adequate to draw broad conclusions about the 2021 run and escapement. The 2021 total run of Chinook salmon was below the 1976–2020 average of 214,475 fish. The drainagewide sustainable escapement goal of 65,000–120,000 was met in 2021. The 2022 Kuskokwim River Chinook salmon forecast is for a range of 99,000–161,000 fish.
Download or read book 2019 Kuskokwim River Chinook Salmon Run Reconstruction and 2020 Forecast written by Sean D. Larson and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A maximum likelihood model was used to estimate the 2019 drainagewide run size and escapement of Kuskokwim River Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha). Total run and escapement were estimated to be 226,987 (95% CI: 182,811–281,839) and 188,483 (95% CI: 144,307–243,335) fish, respectively. Model estimates were informed by direct observations of the 2019 escapement at 16 locations (4 weirs and 12 aerial surveys) and harvest, combined with historical observations of escapement (up to 6 weirs and 14 aerial surveys), harvest, test fishery, and mark–recapture data dating back to 1976. Model results are adequate to draw broad conclusions about the 2019 run and escapement. The 2019 total run of Chinook salmon was the largest since 2007 and was probably above the 1976–2018 average of 215,529 fish. The drainagewide sustainable escapement goal of 65,000–120,000 was exceeded in 2019. The 2020 Kuskokwim River Chinook salmon forecast is for a range of 193,000–261,000 fish.
Download or read book 2020 Kuskokwim River Chinook Salmon Run Reconstruction and 2021 Forecast written by Sean D. Larson and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A maximum likelihood model was used to estimate the 2020 drainagewide run size and escapement of Kuskokwim River Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha). The total run was estimated to be 124,486 fish (95% CI: 102,661–150,952) and escapement was estimated to be 88,285 fish (95% CI: 66,460–114,751). Model estimates were informed by direct observations of the 2020 escapement at 15 locations (3 weirs and 12 aerial surveys) and harvest, combined with historical observations of escapement (up to 6 weirs and 14 aerial surveys), harvest, test fishery, and mark–recapture data dating back to 1976. Model results are adequate to draw broad conclusions about the 2020 run and escapement. The 2020 total run of Chinook salmon was below the 1976–2019 average of 215,870 fish. The drainagewide sustainable escapement goal of 65,000–120,000 was met in 2020. The 2021 Kuskokwim River Chinook salmon forecast is for a range of 94,000–155,000 fish.
Download or read book 2022 Kuskokwim River Chinook Salmon Run Reconstruction and 2023 Forecast written by Sean D. Larson and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A maximum likelihood model was used to estimate the 2022 drainagewide run size and escapement of Kuskokwim River Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha). The total run was estimated to be 142,495 (95% CI: 107,579–188,743) fish, and escapement was estimated to be 107,980 (95% CI: 73,064–154,228) fish. Model estimates were informed by direct observations of the 2022 escapement at 3 weirs and 2022 harvest, combined with historical observations of escapement (up to 6 weirs and 14 aerial surveys), harvest, test fishery, and mark–recapture data dating back to 1976. Model results are adequate to draw broad conclusions about the 2022 run and escapement. The 2022 total run of Chinook salmon was below the 1976–2021 average of 211,081 fish. The drainagewide sustainable escapement goal of 65,000–120,000 was met in 2022. The 2022 Kuskokwim River Chinook salmon forecast is for a range of 115,000–170,000 fish.
Download or read book Kuskokwim River Chum Salmon Run Reconstruction written by Brian Bue and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The goal of this project was to reconstruct the chum salmon Oncorhynchus keta run to the Kuskokwim River for the years 1976 to 2007 with sufficient accuracy and precision to allow for the estimation of productivity on a drainage-wide basis.
Download or read book Run Reconstruction Spawner recruit Analysis and Escapement Goal Recommendation for Early run Chinook Salmon in the Kenai River written by Timothy R. McKinley and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 71 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Run Reconstruction Spawner recruit Analysis and Escapement Goal Recommendation for Late run Chinook Salmon in the Kenai River written by Steven J. Fleischman and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 69 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Run Reconstruction Spawner recruit Analysis and Escapement Goal Recommendation for Chinook Salmon in the Copper River written by James William Savereide and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An age-structured state-space spawner–recruit model was fit to estimates of relative and absolute abundance, harvest, and age composition for Copper River Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) from 1980 to 2016. Bayesian statistical methods were employed to assess uncertainty in the presence of measurement error, serial correlation, and missing data. Ricker stock-recruit parameters and management reference points were estimated, including the escapement that provides for maximum sustained yield (SMSY). It is recommended that a sustainable escapement goal range of 18,500 to 33,000 fish be adopted for Copper River Chinook salmon. Escapement is evaluated by subtracting estimates of inriver harvest from estimates of inriver abundance. Escapements within this range have a high probability of producing sustainable yields.
Download or read book Susitna River Chinook Salmon Run Reconstruction and Escapement Goal Analysis written by Adam M. Reimer and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 109 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Susitna River drains approximately 52,000 square kilometers of the southern slopes of the Alaska Range and the Talkeetna mountains. This watershed supports wild populations of all 5 species of Pacific salmon and vibrant sport fisheries when production allows. Chinook salmon spawning escapements have been monitored since the late 1970s by aerial survey and a weir has been used to count returning adults on the Deshka River (a tributary) since 1995. The Deshka River is currently managed by an escapement goal based on weir passage whereas several other spawning populations are managed using escapement goals based only on once-per-year aerial surveys. Other fishery data, such as inriver and marine harvest estimates, age estimates, recent mark–recapture abundance estimates, and spawner distribution data are also available. We present a state-space model that incorporates all available datasets to generate annual inriver and spawning escapement abundance estimates of 4 stocks of Susitna River Chinook salmon. These stocks were created by dividing the drainage into geographical units similar to existing management units used in Alaska Department of Fish and Game sport fishing regulations: Deshka River, Eastside Susitna, Talkeetna River, and Yentna River. The state-space model estimates a spawner-recruitment (S-R) relationship for each stock that is used in developing escapement goal recommendations based on the number of spawners that provide maximum sustained yield (SMSY). SMSY was estimated for each stock: 12,564 for Deshka River; 12,971 for Eastside Susitna; 10,570 for Talkeetna River; and 13,614 for Yentna River. We used a decision matrix to choose escapement goals based on the probability of achieving maximum sustained yield for the 4 stocks. We recommend discontinuing escapement goals for individual spawning populations within these stocks and replacing them with stock-based escapement goals of 9,000–18,000 for Deshka River, 13,000–25,000 for Eastside Susitna, 9,000–17,500 for Talkeetna River, and 13,000–22,000 for Yentna River stocks.
Download or read book Anchor River Chinook Salmon Escapement 2015 written by Carol M. Kerkvliet and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 63 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 2015 Anchor River Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) escapement (10,241) exceeded the sustainable escapement goal (SEG) range of 3,800–10,000 Chinook salmon. Escapement was more than twice the average of recent low-productivity years (2009–2014) and was more similar to the large escapements from 2003 to 2005. Some preseason emergency orders that restricted the inriver and nearby marine sport fisheries were rescinded as a result of the unexpectedly strong run. Escapement was based on combined counts collected on the north and south forks of the Anchor River using weirs fitted with an underwater video system in the passage chute. The midpoint of the combined Chinook salmon run was 15 June. Daily Chinook salmon counts on the south fork and average south fork river stage were significantly correlated. Age composition was determined from samples collected during weekly beach seining downstream of the weirs. The dominant age class was ocean age 3 (44.6% SE 2.6%). No significant difference was detected between the length of ocean-age-3 males and females, but there was a significant difference in the average length of the sexes for ocean-age-2 and ocean-age-4 fish. There was no significant difference between the sex composition collected from beach seine samples and that observed at the video weirs, but there was a significant difference in the proportion of jacks captured in the beach seine and that observed at the video weirs.
Download or read book Estimates of the Historic Run and Escapement for the Chinook Salmon Stock Returning to the Kuskokwim River 1976 2011 written by Brian Bue and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Total run of Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) to the Kuskokwim River from 1976 through 2011 was estimated using a model developed for data-limited situations. The model simultaneously combined information on subsistence harvest, commercial harvest and effort, sport harvest, test fish harvest and catch per unit of effort at Bethel, mark-recapture estimates of inriver abundance, and counts of salmon at 6 weirs and peak aerial counts from 14 drainages all spread throughout the Kuskokwim River drainage. The estimates of historic run size were then combined with available information on the age structure of the stock to reconstruct the total return by age and ultimately estimate a brood table.
Download or read book Unalakleet River Chinook Salmon Escapement Monitoring and Assessment 2015 written by Scott Kent and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Declining run sizes and ensuing state and federal restrictions and closures to Unalakleet River Chinook salmon Oncorhynchus tshawytscha fisheries highlighted the need to obtain more complete estimates of spawning escapement. In response, multiple agencies and entities began the Unalakleet River weir in 2010 funded by United States Fish and Wildlife Service's Office of Subsistence Management. The goal was to obtain estimates of the mainstem Chinook salmon escapement and age, sex, and length composition. An estimated 2,789 Chinook salmon were enumerated during the 2015 season. The central 50% of the Chinook salmon run was enumerated 7 July to 15 July in 2015. Interpolation was not needed in 2015 because there were only minor breaches that were repaired quickly. Female Chinook salmon comprised 37% of the fish sampled for age, sex, and length data and age composition of the samples was 40% age-1.3 and 35% age-1.4 Chinook salmon.
Download or read book Chinook Salmon Escapement and Run Timing in the Gulkana River 2013 2015 written by Corey J. Schwanke and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Counting tower techniques were used to estimate Chinook salmon Oncorhynchus tshawytscha escapement at the Gulkana River for 2013, 2014 and 2015. The counting tower was located in the mainstem Gulkana River about 2.5 rkm upstream of the West Fork Gulkana River confluence. The counting tower was operational for all 3 years for the entire Chinook salmon run and a portion of the sockeye salmon O. nerka run. The estimated escapement of Chinook salmon was 3,936 (SE = 215; 95% CI = 3,515-4,357) in 2013, 3,478 (SE = 271; 95% CI = 2,947-4,009) in 2014, and 3,738 (SE = 251; 95% CI = 3,246-4,230) in 2015. These numbers do not represent total inriver escapement, just passage above the counting tower site. The date of 50th percentile passage of Chinook salmon varied from 14 July in 2013 to 5 July in 2015. The estimated escapement of sockeye salmon during the counting tower's operational period was 48,024 (SE = 1,834; 95% CI = 44,429-51,619) in 2013, 27,186 (SE = 1,236; 95% CI = 24,763-29,609) in 2014 and 24,624 (SE = 970; 95% CI = 22,723-26,525) in 2015.
Download or read book Characterization of the 2011 Salmon Run in the Kuskokwim River Based on the Test Fishery at Bethel written by Douglas G. Bue and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 86 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Annual abundance indices and run timing of adult Chinook Oncorhynchus tshawytscha, sockeye O. nerka, chum O. keta, and coho O. kisutch salmon returning to the Kuskokwim River have been assessed by the Bethel test fishery since 1984. In 2011, the Bethel test fishery operated from June 1 through August 20. A series of timed drifts using 8.0 inch and 5.375 inch stretched mesh gillnets were made at 3 stations across the river channel. Each series of drifts began approximately 1 hour following each high tide throughout the fishing season. Mean tidal catch per unit effort (CPUE) was calculated for each species and served as an index of abundance. The cumulative mean tidal CPUE was compared to information from earlier years and to the results from the lower Kuskokwim inseason subsistence salmon harvest monitoring project to determine salmon abundance and run timing to help direct subsistence and commercial management decisions. The final cumulative CPUE index through August 20 was: 201 Chinook, 1,517 sockeye, 10,028 chum, and 3,234 coho salmon. Relative abundance indices were below the 2001–2010 average for Chinook, near average for sockeye and coho salmon, and above average for chum salmon. Run timing of Chinook salmon peaked on June 23; sockeye salmon peaked on June 29; chum salmon peaked on July 7; and coho salmon peaked on August 5. Chinook salmon cumulative CPUE indices tracked historical years when escapement goals were not achieved. Sockeye, chum, and coho salmon cumulative CPUE indices tracked historical years when escapement goals were met.
Download or read book Migratory Timing of Adult Chinook and Chum Salmon in the Kuskokwim River Alaska Based on Commercial and Test Fishing Data written by Phillip Roy Mundy and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
