Download or read book Is There Long Term Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance written by and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, I analyze long-term performance persistence for a sample of 6525 US equity mutual funds between 1970 and 2013. I test for evidence of five-year performance persistence by using a non-parametric method involving the construction of contingency tables. I also apply a parametric cross-sectional regression of fund performance on past fund performance. I conduct the tests with four different performance measures, namely continuous returns, Jensen's alphas, Four Factor alphas and Sharpe Ratios. I find evidence for performance persistence across all performance measures and with both methodologies. Four Factor alphas show the most significant evidence. The observed persistence is to a great extent driven by funds that consistently perform below or equal to the median of their peers during the analyzed time periods. Performance persistence is especially pronounced during periods where the market shows a sustained upward or downward trend. The results are robust for longer time horizons up to ten years. I find reversals in performance to occur especially when the testing period is to a large extent characterized by a sharp negative market movement, such as the aftermath of the technology bubble in the early years of the 21st century. Past performance over longer time periods can therefore be considered for the evaluation of a long-term investment in a mutual fund, but should not be used as a standalone criterion.

Download or read book Short Term Persistence in Mutual Fund Market Timing and Stock Selection Abilities written by Evangelos Benos and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using daily return data from 448 actively managed mutual funds over a recent 9-year period, we look for persistence, over two consecutive quarters, in the ability of funds to select individual stocks and time the market. That is, we decompose overall fund performance into excess returns resulting from stock selection and timing abilities and we separately test for persistence in each ability. We find persistence in the ability to time the market only among well performing funds and in the ability to select stocks only among the very best and worst performers. The existing literature patterns appear only when funds are ranked by their overall performance, which includes stock selection, market timing and fees. With respect to overall performance, there is persistence among most poorly performing and only the top well performing funds. Furthermore, the profitability of a winner-picking strategy depends on the rebalancing frequency and potentially the size of the investment. Small investors cannot profit, whereas large investors can take advantage of the class A share fee structure and realize positive abnormal returns by annually rebalancing their portfolios.

Download or read book A Comparison of Short Term Persistence of Mutual Fund Performance in Europe written by Javier Vidal-García and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The mutual fund industry in Europe has experienced significant growth during recent years as a consequence of the integration of its markets. However, the European mutual fund industry is still an unexplored area of research with only a few significant articles compared to the US industry. In this article, we examine the short-term persistence in mutual fund performance in Europe between 1990 and 2015. Using a sample of daily survivorship bias-free data on the five most important European mutual fund countries, we find statistically significant persistence in the post-ranking quarter across different performance models for all countries. This evidence is present across all deciles including the top-decile and bottom-decile mutual funds.

Download or read book Short Term Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance written by s P. B. Bollen and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We estimate parameters of standard stock selection and market timing models using daily mutual fund returns and quarterly measurement periods. We then rank funds quarterly by abnormal return and measure the performance of each decile the following quarter. The average abnormal return of the top decile in the post-ranking quarter is 39 basis points. The post-ranking abnormal return disappears when funds are evaluated over longer periods. These results suggest that superior performance is a short-lived phenomenon that is observable only when funds are evaluated several times a year.

Download or read book Heterogeneity and Persistence in Returns to Wealth written by Andreas Fagereng and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-07-27 with total page 69 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We provide a systematic analysis of the properties of individual returns to wealth using twelve years of population data from Norway’s administrative tax records. We document a number of novel results. First, during our sample period individuals earn markedly different average returns on their financial assets (a standard deviation of 14%) and on their net worth (a standard deviation of 8%). Second, heterogeneity in returns does not arise merely from differences in the allocation of wealth between safe and risky assets: returns are heterogeneous even within asset classes. Third, returns are positively correlated with wealth: moving from the 10th to the 90th percentile of the financial wealth distribution increases the return by 3 percentage points - and by 17 percentage points when the same exercise is performed for the return to net worth. Fourth, wealth returns exhibit substantial persistence over time. We argue that while this persistence partly reflects stable differences in risk exposure and assets scale, it also reflects persistent heterogeneity in sophistication and financial information, as well as entrepreneurial talent. Finally, wealth returns are (mildly) correlated across generations. We discuss the implications of these findings for several strands of the wealth inequality debate.

Download or read book Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance written by Zekeriya Eser and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 209 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Keywords. Persistence, Calendar-Related Distortions, Robot Funds, Performance Attribution Models, Momentum Factors

Download or read book The Short Term Persistence of International Mutual Fund Performance written by Javier Vidal-García and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the short term persistence in performance of equity mutual funds around the world between 1990 and 2013. Using a large survivorship bias-free sample for 35 countries, we document strong evidence of persistence in daily mutual fund returns over quarterly measurement periods. We rank countries by abnormal return and estimate the performance of each country the following quarter. We find statistically and economically significant performance persistence, although persistence is much more pronounced for the top and bottom countries. The post-ranking abnormal return disappears when performance is examined over longer time periods. Thus, our results confirm that superior performance is a short-lived phenomenon.

Download or read book Short term Persistence in U S Equity Mutual Fund Performance written by Jinlin Li and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Explaining Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance written by F. Detzel and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study investigates the determinants of persistence in mutual fund performance. Previous research that uses factor-mimicking portfolios and characteristic benchmarks to model fund performance fails to explain all the persistence in fund returns. This study employs a model that directly relates mutual fund returns to the characteristics of the stocks held by funds. Adjusting fund returns for the size of the stocks in which funds invest and financial ratios intended to capture fund manager investment styles explains all the persistence in mutual fund returns from 1976-1985, the period in which persistence is most prevalent.

Download or read book Short Term Persistence in Greek Mutual Fund Performance written by Daniel Giamouridis and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the short-term performance of Greek mutual funds. We hypothesise that the returns earned by mutual fund managers are either due to their capacity in selecting successful investments ex-ante, i.e. 'selectivity', or due to their ability to increase (decrease) their exposure to market risk prior to a bullish (bearish) market, i.e. 'market timing'. Contrary to prior studies in the Greek mutual fund industry we set up our screening processes so that both stock picking and market timing ability could be identified. We carry out a battery of tests - non-parametric and parametric - to test our hypotheses. Our analysis shows that mutual fund performance does not persist over short term horizons of any kind, i.e. monthly, bi-monthly, and quarterly. These findings are robust when we use alternative settings in our empirical experiments.

Download or read book Mutual Fund Performance and Performance Persistence written by Peter Lückoff and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-01-22 with total page 604 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Peter Lückoff investigates why fund flows and manager changes act as equilibrium mechanisms and drive the performance of both previously outperforming and previously underperforming funds back to average levels.

Download or read book Short Term Persistence in Mutual Funds Performance written by Sanjay Sehgal and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we examine if there is any short-term persistence in mutual funds performance in the Indian context. We find no evidence that confirms persistence using monthly data. Using daily data, we observe that for fund schemes sorted on prior period four-factor abnormal returns, the winners portfolio does provide gross abnormal returns of 10% per annum on post-formation basis. The economic feasibility of zero-investment trading strategies that involve buying past winners and selling past losers is however in doubt. This is owing to the fact that these strategies generate low gross returns and that the winners portfolios involve higher investment costs than losers portfolios, thus destroying a major portion of extra-normal returns. Our empirical findings are consistent with the efficient market hypothesis and have implications for hedge funds and other managed portfolios who rely on innovative investment styles, including the fund of funds trading strategies that implicitly assume short-term persistence.

Download or read book Swing Pricing and Fragility in Open end Mutual Funds written by Dunhong Jin and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-11-01 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How to prevent runs on open-end mutual funds? In recent years, markets have observed an innovation that changed the way open-end funds are priced. Alternative pricing rules (known as swing pricing) adjust funds’ net asset values to pass on funds’ trading costs to transacting shareholders. Using unique data on investor transactions in U.K. corporate bond funds, we show that swing pricing eliminates the first-mover advantage arising from the traditional pricing rule and significantly reduces redemptions during stress periods. The positive impact of alternative pricing rules on fund flows reverses in calm periods when costs associated with higher tracking error dominate the pricing effect.

Download or read book Cross Sectional Learning and Short Run Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance written by Marno Verbeek and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using monthly return data of more than 6,400 US equity mutual funds we investigate short-run performance persistence over the period 1984-2003. We sort funds into rank portfolios based on past performance, and evaluate the portfolios' out-of-sample performance. To cope with short ranking periods, we employ an empirical Bayes approach to measure past performance more efficiently. Our main finding is that when funds are sorted into decile portfolios based on 12-month ranking periods, the top decile of funds earns a statistically significant, abnormal return of 0.26 percent per month. This effect persists beyond load fees, and is mainly concentrated in relatively young, small cap/growth funds.

Download or read book On persistence in mutual fund performance written by M M Carhart and published by . This book was released on with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book The Persistence of Mutual Fund Performance written by Mark Grinblatt and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 10 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Did Mutual Fund Return Persistence Persist written by James J. Choi and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 8 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: A seminal study of persistence in mutual fund performance is Carhart (1997), who found that U.S. equity mutual funds' past-year returns positively predict their raw excess return and one-factor alpha over the next year. Based on these results, an investor may believe that she can earn higher returns by buying mutual funds with high past-year returns. We are able to replicate Carhart's results in his 1963-1993 sample period, but we find that significant performance persistence does not exist in the 1994-2018 period. Even during the 1963-1993 period, performance persistence weakened in later years. The disappearance of significant performance persistence is due to lower returns to favorable styles, as well as less favorable style tilts and increased style-adjusted underperformance by past winning funds