Download or read book Is There a Structural Break in the Risk Free Interest Rate Dynamics written by Jun Ma and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 13 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I use the endogenous structural breakpoint tests to search for a structural change in the risk free interest rate dynamics based on the model proposed by Chan, Karolyi, Longstaff and Sanders (1992) (hereafter CKLS). Monte Carlo experiments show that a reliance of the asymptotic distribution leads to a size distortion in finite sample, but bootstrapping can reduce the size distortion. My results indicate a mild evidence of a structural break in the risk free rate which coincides with the monetary policy change in the early 1980s and after that the volatility of risk free rate dropped dramatically.
Download or read book Econometrics of Structural Change written by Walter Krämer and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 134 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Econometric models are made up of assumptions which never exactly match reality. Among the most contested ones is the requirement that the coefficients of an econometric model remain stable over time. Recent years have therefore seen numerous attempts to test for it or to model possible structural change when it can no longer be ignored. This collection of papers from Empirical Economics mirrors part of this development. The point of departure of most studies in this volume is the standard linear regression model Yt = x;fJt + U (t = I, ... , 1), t where notation is obvious and where the index t emphasises the fact that structural change is mostly discussed and encountered in a time series context. It is much less of a problem for cross section data, although many tests apply there as well. The null hypothesis of most tests for structural change is that fJt = fJo for all t, i.e. that the same regression applies to all time periods in the sample and that the disturbances u are well behaved. The well known Chow test for instance assumes t that there is a single structural shift at a known point in time, i.e. that fJt = fJo (t
Download or read book The Term Structure of Interest Rates written by John Driffill and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines data on interest rates in the United Kingdom information on changes in policy regime and their credibility in order to discover the period from 1959-87 using quarterly data. A stochastic regime switching model used by Hamilton, based on an AR(4) model for short rates, and the corresponding model for long rates, does not adequately represent the UK data. Yields on long-term UK government debt behave consistently with the expectations model of the term structure, on a number of basic tests. Their relationship with yields on treasury bills, however, is not consistent with the theory unless an autoregressive risk premium is introduced into the holding period yield on long bonds. The only evidence of a change in the time-series behaviour of long bond yields in these data occurs at the end of 1974. There is no evidence of a policy change in 1979 or 1980. The hypothesis that these interest rates contain unit roots cannot be rejected. Therefore, tests of the expectations model devised by Campbell and Shiller to take account of unit roots in the data were undertaken, but they revealed no evidence of departures from the expectations model.
Download or read book Cycles Growth and Structural Change written by Lionello F Punzo and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2003-09-02 with total page 415 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume gathers together key new contributions on the subject of the relationship, both empirical and theoretical, between economic oscillations, growth and structural change. Employing a sophisticated level of mathematical modelling, the collection contains articles from, amongst others, William Baumol, Katsuhito Iwai and William Brock.
Download or read book The Yield Curve and Financial Risk Premia written by Felix Geiger and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-08-17 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The determinants of yield curve dynamics have been thoroughly discussed in finance models. However, little can be said about the macroeconomic factors behind the movements of short- and long-term interest rates as well as the risk compensation demanded by financial investors. By taking on a macro-finance perspective, the book’s approach explicitly acknowledges the close feedback between monetary policy, the macroeconomy and financial conditions. Both theoretical and empirical models are applied in order to get a profound understanding of the interlinkages between economic activity, the conduct of monetary policy and the underlying macroeconomic factors of bond price movements. Moreover, the book identifies a broad risk-taking channel of monetary transmission which allows a reassessment of the role of financial constraints; it enables policy makers to develop new guidelines for monetary policy and for financial supervision of how to cope with evolving financial imbalances.
Download or read book Monetary Policy and Issues written by Lauren C. Williams and published by Nova Publishers. This book was released on 2006 with total page 182 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the 1970's, many countries were plagued by persistently high inflation rates, which were thought to cause a significant loss in economic efficiency. Since persistent inflation is considered to be ultimately the result of monetary policy, many countries in the 1990s sought institutional reforms to their central banks to prevent a return to the 1970s experience. A popular reform was to move from giving central banks multiple policy goals to a single mandate of price stability. The single mandate was accompanied by the introduction of an inflation target, in which central banks aim to keep inflation within a pre-defined numerical range. The logic behind these reforms was a belief among proponents that it would remove the political temptation to 'pump up' the economy in the short run at the expense of long-run price stability, and a belief that 'fine tuning' monetary policy in response to every change in economic conditions, was of little value. This book develops quantitative measurements to analyse the success of inflation targeting abroad by comparing both the performance of targeters to non-targeters and the performance of countries before and after targeting was adopted.
Download or read book International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards written by and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 2004 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book A Structural Framework for the Pricing of Corporate Securities written by Michael Genser and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-01-20 with total page 199 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A treatment of structural credit risk models for simultaneous and consistent pricing of corporate securities. This book takes us from the economic principles of firm value models to the empirical implementation, through the development of an economic framework. It provides exposition of corporate securities pricing for academics and practitioners.
Download or read book Dynamics of Market Anomalies and Measurement Errors of Risk free Interest Rates written by Cho H. Hui and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Econometrics for Financial Applications written by Ly H. Anh and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-12-18 with total page 1089 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book addresses both theoretical developments in and practical applications of econometric techniques to finance-related problems. It includes selected edited outcomes of the International Econometric Conference of Vietnam (ECONVN2018), held at Banking University, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam on January 15-16, 2018. Econometrics is a branch of economics that uses mathematical (especially statistical) methods to analyze economic systems, to forecast economic and financial dynamics, and to develop strategies for achieving desirable economic performance. An extremely important part of economics is finances: a financial crisis can bring the whole economy to a standstill and, vice versa, a smart financial policy can dramatically boost economic development. It is therefore crucial to be able to apply mathematical techniques of econometrics to financial problems. Such applications are a growing field, with many interesting results – and an even larger number of challenges and open problems.
Download or read book Common Trends and Structural Change written by Mr.Torbjorn I. Becker and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-06-01 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper uses a common trends model to study how prices, the black market exchange rate, money, and real output have developed over a period covering both pre- and post-revolution Iranian data. It is shown that monetary shocks have significant short-run effects on output, but permanent effects on the price level and exchange rate, that is, expansionary monetary policy is not consistent with achieving low inflation or a stable unified exchange rate. The real shocks generate higher growth and lower inflation, suggesting that supply-side policies are consistent with the goals in the Islamic Republic of Iran’s second five-year development plan.
Download or read book Negative Interest Rates and Financial Stability written by Karol Rogowicz and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2022-12-01 with total page 247 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book sheds new light on a recently introduced monetary tool – negative interest rates policy (NIRP). It provides in-depth insight into this phenomenon, conducted by the central banks in several economies, for example, the Eurozone, Switzerland and Japan, and its possible impact on systemic risk. Although it has been introduced as a temporary policy instrument, it may remain widely used for a longer period and by a greater range of central banks than initially expected, thus the book explores its effects and implications on the banking sector and financial markets, with a particular focus on potentially adverse consequences. There is a strong accent on the uniqueness of negative policy rates in the context of financial stability concerns. The authors assess whether NIRP has any – or in principle a stronger – impact on systemic risk than conventional monetary policy. The book is targeted at presenting and evaluating the initial experiences of NIRP policy during normal, i.e. pre-COVID, times, rather than in periods in which pre-established macroeconomic relations are rapidly disrupted or, specifically, when the source of the disruption is not purely economic in nature, unlike in systemic crisis. The authors adopt both theoretical and practical approaches to explore the key issues and outline the policy implications for both monetary and macroprudential authorities, with respect to negative interest rate policy, thus the book will provide a useful guide for policymakers, academics, advanced students and researchers of financial economics and international finance.
Download or read book Negative Interest Rates written by Luís Brandão Marques and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-03-03 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper focuses on negative interest rate policies and covers a broad range of its effects, with a detailed discussion of findings in the academic literature and of broader country experiences.
Download or read book Financial Market Integration and Growth written by Paul J.J. Welfens and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-02-14 with total page 411 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial capital, whether mediated through the financial market or Foreign Direct Investment has been a key factor in European economic growth. This book examines the interaction between European and global financial integration and analyses the dynamics of the monetary sector and the real economy in Europe. The key analytical focus is on the theoretical and empirical dynamics of financial markets in Europe, however, it also provides regional case studies of key institutional developments and lessons from foreign direct investment. There is a broad range of findings for Central, Eastern and Western Europe as well as EU Partner Countries. Crucially the analysis includes new approaches and options for solving the transatlantic banking crisis and suggests policy innovations for a world with unstable financial markets.
Download or read book A Model Based Analysis of Spillovers written by Michal Andrle and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-10-17 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies economic and financial spillovers from the euro area to Poland in a two-country semi-structural model. The model incorporates various channels of macrofinancial linkages and cross-border spillovers. We parameterize the model through an extensive calibration process, and provide a wide range of model properties and evaluation exercises. Simulation results suggest a prominent role of foreign demand shocks (euro area and global) in driving Poland’s output, inflation and interest rate dynamics, particularly in recent years. Our model also has the capability for medium-term conditional forecasting and policy analysis.
Download or read book Can Interest Rate Dynamics Save Structural Models written by Steven Simon and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Understanding and Managing Model Risk written by Massimo Morini and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-11-07 with total page 452 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A guide to the validation and risk management of quantitative models used for pricing and hedging Whereas the majority of quantitative finance books focus on mathematics and risk management books focus on regulatory aspects, this book addresses the elements missed by this literature--the risks of the models themselves. This book starts from regulatory issues, but translates them into practical suggestions to reduce the likelihood of model losses, basing model risk and validation on market experience and on a wide range of real-world examples, with a high level of detail and precise operative indications.
