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Book Iran s strategic intentions and capabilities

Download or read book Iran s strategic intentions and capabilities written by and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on with total page 225 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Iran s Strategic Intentions and Capabilities

Download or read book Iran s Strategic Intentions and Capabilities written by Laurent Lamote and published by . This book was released on 2012-07-06 with total page 230 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Iran appears to be pursuing an assertive foreign policy that confronts the United States on a variety of points: the Middle East peace process, the stability of moderate Muslim states, terrorism (such as the death threat to Rushdie), security in the Persian Gulf, and nuclear proliferation. However, Iran's intentions and capabilities are by no means clear. One the intentions side, some observers expect that a desire for good economic relations with the West and a waning of revolutionary fervor will lead to moderation in action if not in words; others see a broad consensus inside Iran for assertiveness, uniting Persian nationalism with Islamic fundamentalism. On the capabilities side, Iran is short on cash and faces growing internal political dissension, which some say means it will not be able to devote much to foreign adventures and the military build-up, while other say internal problems give Iran reason to acquire a military with which to pressure its rich neighbors. To discuss these issues the Institute for National Strategic Studies at the National Defense University convened a workshop on "Iran's Strategic Intentions." The workshop brought together leading experts on Iranian security policy: speakers with access to Iranian officials and with the language skills to follow Iranian developments. Some of the points taken from the discussion, which by no means represent the view of all the authors or discussion participants, were: Iran is absorbed with domestic problems. Foreign affairs is a secondary concern for Iran's leaders and its people. Foreign policies are in large part a by-product of domestic politics. The government lacks legitimacy. The post-Khomeini leadership is not accepted by many believers as the voice of religious authority. Religious figures in the provinces, especially those with large Sunni or non-Persian populations, increasingly reject the representatives sent from Tehran. The hold of the central government over the provinces in weakening. The economic situation is bad, and the popular mood is worse. Public and elite opinion both believe that the continued existence of the Islamic Republic is in doubt. Iran's military strategy does not emphasize external defense. Iran sees itself as friendless in a hostile world, but it does not see itself as facing a serious danger from its neighbors. Iraq is not seen as a credible threat for the foreseeable future, for political and military reasons. Turmoil in the southern parts of the former Soviet Union is not seen as posing a conventional military problem for Iran. Iran's principal external aims for its military are to discourage US involvement I the Gulf and to spread its influence in its neighborhood. The Revolutionary Guards and the security forces, which are increasingly coordinated with the military, may be called on regularly to suppress domestic unrest. Iran will pursue military capabilities at the low end and high end, not in the middle. Development of nuclear weapons makes excellent sense, to assert the revolutions success and its claim of equality to the great powers. Iran lacks the resources to engage in an extensive buildup of its conventional military. The leadership realizes that high-technology weapons are essential for success on the modern battlefield; revolutionary fervor is not sufficient. Support subversion and terrorism fits Iran's budget, its ideology, and its predilections. Nor does Iran believe it will have to pay a high price for this sort of low-intensity conflict.

Book Iran s Strategic Intentions and Capabilities

Download or read book Iran s Strategic Intentions and Capabilities written by Patrick Clawson and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Iran s Strategic Intentions And Capabilities

Download or read book Iran s Strategic Intentions And Capabilities written by Patrick Clawson and published by . This book was released on 2004-08-30 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Iran appears to be pursuing an assertive foreign policy that confronts the U.S. on a variety of points: the Middle East peace process, the stability of moderate Muslim states, terrorism, security in the Persian Gulf, and nuclear proliferation. However, its intentions are by no means clear. This document discusses these issues. Contents: domestic politics and strategic intentions (Iran's foreign policy and internal crisis); Russia and Iran; Iran's military intentions and capabilities (Iran's strategic aims and constraints, assessment of Iran's military buildup).

Book Iran s Strategic Intentions and Capabilities

Download or read book Iran s Strategic Intentions and Capabilities written by Jeremy Bernstein and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Iran s Strategic Intentions and Capabilities

Download or read book Iran s Strategic Intentions and Capabilities written by Patrick Clawson and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Iran s National Security Policy

Download or read book Iran s National Security Policy written by Shahram Chubin and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 122 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How dangerous is the Iranian military build-up and what are the strategic objectives of the Islamic regime following Operation Deset Storm? This book address these important issues in the context of the dangerous, perplexing and ever changing regional politics of the Persian Gulf.

Book U S  Sanctions of Iran

Download or read book U S Sanctions of Iran written by Patrick Clawson and published by Emirates Center for Strategic Studies and Research. This book was released on 1997-08-13 with total page 8 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Patrick Clawson's paper examines US policy on sanctions against Iran. In particular, it analyzes the background and international reaction towards sanctions on the Islamic Republic, their economic and political impact, and the existence of alternative policies such as the European Union's 'critical dialogue'. The sharp divisions in opinion over sanctions both within the United States and among its allies are closely considered. Clawson states that although sanctions have had some modest accomplishments, they have come about at a price of strained inter-allied relations. Indeed, the disagreement between the US and the European Union over the efficacy of engaging Iran in a 'critical dialogue' is an example of this. Given the present domestic politics in both Iran and the US Clawson does not foresee a significant breakthrough in relations between the two nations. He believes the US will maintain sanctions on Iran for the indefinite future, and that the current level of hostility between the two powers will endure. Even with the impact that US sanctions have had on the Iranian economy, the author remains unconvinced that Tehran has any intentions of altering its policies.

Book Iran s Military Forces and Warfighting Capabilities

Download or read book Iran s Military Forces and Warfighting Capabilities written by Anthony H. Cordesman and published by Bloomsbury Publishing USA. This book was released on 2007-09-30 with total page 289 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Nations around the world are uncertain and anxious about Iran's intentions in the Middle East and the wider global arena. Its current president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, has made no secret of his opposition to Western society, particularly Israel, and his desire to acquire nuclear weapons. However, as Anthony H. Cordesman and Martin Kleiber point out, Ahmadinejad does not necessarily speak for the Iranian clerical regime, who operate in a cloud of secrecy and also directly control Iran's military. Given the ambiguous nature of Iran's global objectives, this new study focuses on the tangible aspects of Iran's military forces and takes an objective look at the realistic threats that Iran poses to the region and the world. The authors systematically assess each aspect of Iranian military forces from their conventional armies to their asymmetric threat via proxy wars in the region. Much attention in national security debates is paid to Iran's intentions without first understanding its capabilities. Lacking such a fundamental understanding, much of this speculation tends to be wasted and irrelevant to what could actually happen in the event of a conflict. Cordesman and Kleiber's study provides, in meticulous detail, a basis for understanding the realistic threat that Iran poses to the Northern Gulf.

Book Iran  Nuclear Intentions and Capabilities

Download or read book Iran Nuclear Intentions and Capabilities written by Barry Leonard and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2009-12 with total page 9 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Assesses the status of Iran¿s nuclear program, and the program¿s outlook over the next 10 years, as of 10/31/07, and focuses on these questions: What are Iran¿s intentions toward developing nuclear weapons? What domestic factors affect Iran¿s decisionmaking on whether to develop nuclear weapons? What external factors affect Iran¿s decisionmaking on whether to develop nuclear weapons? What is the range of potential Iranian actions concerning the development of nuclear weapons, and the decisive factors that would lead Iran to choose one course of action over another? What is Iran¿s current and projected capability to develop nuclear weapons? What are our key assumptions, and Iran¿s key chokepoints/vulnerabilities? Illus.

Book Iran s Strategic Weapons Programmes

Download or read book Iran s Strategic Weapons Programmes written by Gary Samore and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-08-06 with total page 129 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The possibility that Iran will acquire a nuclear weapons capability poses a significant threat to the stability of the Middle East and a potential challenge to the long-term viability of the nuclear non-proliferation regime. Since 2003, diplomatic efforts by the EU-3 (United Kingdom, France and Germany) have succeeded in suspending the sensitive aspects of Iran’s nuclear programme, but prospects for reaching a permanent agreement with the Iranian government are uncertain. If the EU-3 effort collapses, a number of policy options will be given more serious consideration, including sanctions, containment, regime change and military action. This IISS ‘Strategic Dossier’ on Iran’s strategic weapons programmes provides an objective technical assessment of Iran’s nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons capabilities, as well as its ballistic missile programme. The dossier evaluates what is known and what is not known about these capabilities and projects potential future developments. In addition, the dossier provides a history of democratic efforts over the last three decades, to prevent Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapons capability and examines different options for current diplomatic efforts. Each chapter has been written and reviewed by recognised international experts in their respective fields. The IISS does not advocate any particular policy option for dealing with the Iranian nuclear issue. The objective of Iran’s Strategic Weapons Programmes: A Net Assessment is to assess, as accurately and dispassionately as possible, Iran’s capabilities and evaluate the pros and cons of different policy options in the order to foster a well-informed policy debate.

Book Iranian Naval Forces  A Tale of Two Navies

Download or read book Iranian Naval Forces A Tale of Two Navies written by Office of Naval Intelligence (U S ) and published by Government Printing Office. This book was released on 2017-06-21 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This updated resource provides a more comprehensive history, including: Iran's Persian imperial past, the spread of Islam, and the Iran-Iraq War The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy (IRGCN) emphasizes an asymetric doctrine to ensure national security in the Persian Gulf against regional neighbors and foreign presence. The Islamic Republic of Iran Navy (IRIN) employs a more conventional doctrine and focuses on forward presence and naval diplomacy. Both navies have considerable equities and are well positioned to influence and leverage the Strait of Hormuz; a vital chokepoint for the flow of resources and international commerce. Illustrated with organizational charts, and photos of key Iranian leaders, including commanders within the Navy Command and Control Leadership, as well as rank insignia graphics, maps, ships, aircrafts, missile images, and more. Check out ourMiddle East resources collection for more resources on this topic. You may also be interested in ourForeign Military History collection Other products produced by theUnited States Navy

Book The Centrality of Iraq in the Iranian Strategic Mentality

Download or read book The Centrality of Iraq in the Iranian Strategic Mentality written by Rasanah and published by Partridge Publishing Singapore. This book was released on 2020-03-18 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Centrality of Iraq in the Iranian Strategic Mentality, written by Firas Elias provides readers with a comprehensive insight into the Iranian strategy in Iraq and the region. Researchers, often when analyzing Iranian geopolitics, do not offer a comprehensive description of this complicated variable, unlike Elias who provides throughout this book a richly detailed analysis and description of the dimensions and geopolitical variables which play an integral role in shaping Iran’s strategy in post-2003 Iraq. The book is divided into four chapters: The first chapter provides an overview of the approaches shaping Iran’s strategy through addressing four main topics: the basic approach to understanding Iran’s strategy, its intellectual and theoretical principles; its main goals, and its key tools. The second chapter defines Iran’s significance in the Iranian strategy through analyzing Iranian hegemony and expansion; Iraq’s geostrategic position in the Iranian perception; Iran’s penetration of post-2003 Iraq; and the dimensions and goals of Iranian strategy in Iraq. The third chapter reviews the Iranian strategic output in Iraq through analyzing the main variables affecting the Iranian strategy in Iraq as follows: variables related to the internal environment in Iran and Iraq and variables related to the regional and international environment. Finally, the fourth chapter forecasts the future of the Iranian strategy in Iraq through reviewing potential scenarios. The book was published by the International Institute for Iranian Studies (Rasanah) in 2018 and written by Firas Elias, a political science and national studies researcher.

Book Iran s Developing Military Capabilities

Download or read book Iran s Developing Military Capabilities written by Anthony H. Cordesman and published by CSIS. This book was released on 2005 with total page 164 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Iran and the Gulf

Download or read book Iran and the Gulf written by Jamal Sanad Al-Suwaidi and published by Emirates Center for Strategic Studies and Research. This book was released on 1996-06-20 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume presents the research and analyses of internationally recognized scholars concerning the internal and external dynamics which affect and often determine the policies of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Following an introduction designed to provide an analytical and contextual backdrop, the volume begins with a detailed look at the Iranian polity, its evolution before and after the revolution, and the role of ideology. The next section addresses Iranian foreign policy with respect to the Arab Gulf states, as a function of domestic dynamics, and as a response to regional and international events and constraints. The third section discusses Iran's military capabilities and includes reasoned judgments concerning the Islamic Republic's intentions and aspirations in the military realm. The book concludes with a discussion of the evolving relationship between the GCC states and Iran with particular focus on the security dynamics that attend that relationship for the foreseeable future. This timely and comprehensive work acknowledges Iran's important and immutable role in Gulf affairs, and particularly in Gulf security affairs. It also acknowledges the important evolution in Iranian foreign policy which has occurred since the revolution of 1979 and, particularly, since the death of the Iranian revolutionary leader Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini.

Book Iran s Revolutionary Guard

Download or read book Iran s Revolutionary Guard written by Steven O'Hern and published by Potomac Books, Inc.. This book was released on 2012-10-31 with total page 289 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the Iranian Revolution more than thirty years ago, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), also known as the Revolutionary Guard, has conducted covert and overt military operations, built an economic empire, and trained, financed, and guided terrorists to pursue one goalùthe preservation and expansion of the Islamic revolution. Inside Iran the IRGC influences the country's politics, economy, and foreign policy, and controls its nuclear program. Outside Iran the operations of the IRGC and its proxies, including Hezbollah in Lebanon and Shiite militias in Iraq, have left a trail of deathùfrom the 1983 truck bombings in Beirut that killed 241 U.S. peacekeepers and 58 French paratroopers to numerous attacks on U.S. (and allied) troops in Iraq and Afghanistan. Now, no longer content to strike in Iraq and Afghanistan or at targets in the Middle East and south Asia, the IRGC and Hezbollah operate throughout North and South America, developing the capability to strike the continental United States and deliver a blow to America's economy far worse than today's financial crisis. In Iran's Revolutionary Guard, Steven O'Hern reveals new information about the IRGC and Hezbollah operations inside America based on interviews with former and active members of the FBI, CIA, local law enforcement, military intelligence, and even one former Revolutionary Guard officer. The author details how the IRGC has grown into such a dangerous foe and explains how its members' activities have put the American economy and American lives at risk. His research suggests that the IRGC may be planning to explode, high above a Midwestern city, a nuclear weapon that would emit an electromagnetic pulse strong enough to render anything with a computer chip useless, including the hundreds of transformers that control the country's electrical grid. One thing is certain, according to O'Hern: the Revolutionary Guard is a serious threat to the well-being of all U.S. citizens.

Book Iran s Strategic Competition with the US and Arab States

Download or read book Iran s Strategic Competition with the US and Arab States written by Anthony H. Cordesman and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The tone and content of Iranian military competition with the US and Arab states continues to move in a hardline direction. Iran's ongoing efforts to enhance its asymmetric warfare capabilities and its accelerated R & D in its ballistic missile and nuclear programs have been accompanied by increasingly defiant statements from the regime. These developments reflect Iran's stated goals of building a deterrent capacity, establishing its capability to close the Gulf, and influencing the political, religious, and social environment of the region toward the likely end-goal of asserting itself as the dominant regional power. Although the regime often affirms peaceful regional intentions, a net assessment of its push to expand the aforementioned capabilities is necessary. Repeated assertions that the Gulf is 'Persian' and belongs to Iran, threats to 'close the Gulf, ' and menacing rhetoric concerning Israel signify Iran's intentions to vigorously compete with the U.S. and other regional actors. This report examines ramifications for the strategic landscape in the Gulf region, and potential U.S., Israeli, and other regional responses to Iran's burgeoning efforts to compete strategically in the Gulf.