Download or read book Internet Search Behavior as an Economic Forecasting Tool written by Giselle Guzman and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper proposes a measure of real-time inflation expectations based on metadata, i.e., data about data, constructed from internet search queries performed on the search engine Google. The forecasting performance of the Google Inflation Search Index (GISI) is assessed relative to 37 other indicators of inflation expectations - 36 survey measures and the TIPS spread. For decades, the academic literature has focused on three measures of inflation expectations: the Livingston Survey, Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the Michigan Survey. While useful in developing models of forecasting inflation, these low frequency measures appear anachronistic in the modern era of higher frequency and real-time data. I demonstrate that higher frequency measures tend to outperform lower frequency measures in tests of accuracy, predictive power, and rationality. Furthermore, Granger Causality tests indicate that the GISI metadata indicator anticipates the inflation rate by 12 months, and out-of-sample forecasts show that the GISI has the lowest forecast error of all the inflation expectations indicators tested.
Download or read book Economic Analysis of the Digital Economy written by Avi Goldfarb and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2015-05-08 with total page 510 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is a small and growing literature that explores the impact of digitization in a variety of contexts, but its economic consequences, surprisingly, remain poorly understood. This volume aims to set the agenda for research in the economics of digitization, with each chapter identifying a promising area of research. "Economics of Digitization "identifies urgent topics with research already underway that warrant further exploration from economists. In addition to the growing importance of digitization itself, digital technologies have some features that suggest that many well-studied economic models may not apply and, indeed, so many aspects of the digital economy throw normal economics in a loop. "Economics of Digitization" will be one of the first to focus on the economic implications of digitization and to bring together leading scholars in the economics of digitization to explore emerging research.
Download or read book Internet of Behaviors IoB written by R. Dhaya and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2023-05-23 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is intended to survey the Internet of Behavior (IoB). The book begins with the benefits and potential pitfalls of IoB. Today, IoB has huge potential in every sector of the world. There are numerous applications for IoB which benefit users as well as the business market in order to enhance the user experience. In this book, the benefits of IoB and its negative constraints are discussed in detail. It is a high time that IoB is to take its crown and ruled the world. The work of IoB is critical in keeping our data secure because it can currently identify all humans who attempt to steal someone’s data. Moreover, the business uses of IoB are in high demand. By leveraging promising technical improvements and advances in machine learning algorithms, IoB enables capture, analysis, comprehension, and response for all types of human behavior in a technique that enables the tracking and interpretation of the behavior. IoB can be very useful wherever the behavior, preferences, interests, and location of people need to be examined. On the other hand, an analytical study on consumers’ social and behavioral psychology and their influence on online purchasing is much needed. With the help of visualization tools such as Tableau and detailed reporting on selection patterns, the impact of social media on decision making and the relationship between personality and purchasing power in various age groups is found. The presented study lists major decision-making psychometric factors and highlights critical factors affecting online purchases. The role of IoB is to shape customer service through the use of artificial intelligence, cloud computing, data, smart analytics, machine learning, and other volatile technologies. The attractive components of this book are discussions of dynamic routing mechanisms to reduce energy consumption in software-defined networks; deep insight into Internet of Things (IoT) and IoB security and privacy concerns – applications and future challenges; sentiment analysis and feature reduction using an arboreal monkey compression algorithm with a deep modified neural network classifier; cybersecurity concerns for IoB; and identification of nutrients and microbial contamination in fruits and vegetables using a technology using the Internet of Behavior. There is no doubt that this book covers numerous interesting themes and details on the Internet of Behavior.
Download or read book Big Data Investments Effects of Internet Search Queries on German Stocks written by Jan Becker and published by Diplomica Verlag. This book was released on 2015-08 with total page 93 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years, the internet has developed very quickly and became a major source of information all over the planet. Many scientists have used search engine query data to forecast econometric time series like consumer confidence indicators, unemployment rates, retail sales, house price indices, stock prices, volatility of stocks and even commodity prices. Following the prior research this study analyzes the impact of internet search engine data on capital markets. Many authors already have contributed to index level data and most of them on the US market. This study adds to the existing literature on the German stock market. Two research questions are answered: First, whether an increase in search queries drives individual stock returns and second, whether queries affect the implied volatility of stock options. After controlling for seasonality, autocorrelation and general market risk, in the further analysis also the Price-to-Book valuation, one year performance and historical volatility are examined in interaction with internet search queries.
Download or read book Demand Forecasting and Order Planning in Supply Chains and Humanitarian Logistics written by Taghipour, Atour and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2020-09-18 with total page 313 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In a decentralized supply chain, most of the supply chain agents may not share information due to confidentiality policies, quality of information, or different system incompatibilities. Every actor holds its own set of information and attempts to maximize its objective (minimizing costs/minimizing inventory holdings) based on the available settings. Therefore, the agents control their own activities with the objective of improving their own competitiveness, which leads them to make decisions that maximize their local performance by ignoring the other agents or even the final consumer. These decisions are myopic because they do not consider the performance of all the partners to satisfy the consumer. Demand Forecasting and Order Planning in Supply Chains and Humanitarian Logistics is a collection of innovative research that focuses on demand anticipation, forecasting, and order planning as well as humanitarian logistics to propose original solutions for existing problems. While highlighting topics including artificial intelligence, information sharing, and operations management, this book is ideally designed for supply chain managers, logistics personnel, business executives, management experts, operation industry professionals, academicians, researchers, and students who want to improve their understanding of supply chain coordination in order to be competitive in the new era of globalization.
Download or read book Proceedings of the Fifth International Forum on Decision Sciences written by Xiang Li and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-05-11 with total page 316 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The proceedings volume consists of academic papers on decision-making under uncertainty, smart decision, stochastic optimization, management simulation and its applications. It presents some compelling and valuable results on the cutting-edge modeling methods and the practical case studies in the operations management process for power, transportation, and logistics companies.
Download or read book Credible Asset Allocation Optimal Transport Methods and Related Topics written by Songsak Sriboonchitta and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-07-29 with total page 762 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book describes state-of-the-art economic ideas and how these ideas can be (and are) used to make economic decision (in particular, to optimally allocate assets) and to gauge the results of different economic decisions (in particular, by using optimal transport methods). Special emphasis is paid to machine learning techniques (including deep learning) and to different aspects of quantum econometrics—when quantum physics and quantum computing models are techniques are applied to study economic phenomena. Applications range from more traditional economic areas to more non-traditional topics such as economic aspects of tourism, cryptocurrencies, telecommunication infrastructure, and pandemic. This book helps student to learn new techniques, practitioners to become better knowledgeable of the state-of-the-art econometric techniques, and researchers to further develop these important research directions
Download or read book Handbook of Research on Digital Marketing Innovations in Social Entrepreneurship and Solidarity Economics written by Saiz-Alvarez, Jose Manuel and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2019-04-26 with total page 438 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Technological advances in the realm of business have attributed to the global interest of using digital innovations to increase consumer traffic. Utilizing these new techniques can increase the profitability of business industries and consumer analytic information for future reference. The Handbook of Research on Digital Marketing Innovations in Social Entrepreneurship and Solidarity Economics is a collection of research on social entrepreneurship as a critical element of economic growth with a look at the evolutionary aspects of digital technologies on the industry. While highlighting topics including social media, microfinance, and consumer behavior, this book is ideally designed for marketers, managers, professionals, academics, and graduate-level students concerned about the fields of economics, sociology, education, politics, and digital technology innovation.
Download or read book Tracking the Future on the Web written by Concha Artola and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews some of the applications that use the vast swathes of information provided by Internet user searches for economic analysis and forecasting. This enormous volume of information, available in real time, can be handled by analysts thanks to statistical tools such as “Google Insights for Search”, which allow trends in different areas of interest to be classified and evaluated. Previous work focused predominantly on the labour market, on the housing market, on retail sales and on consumer confidence. This paper presents a very specific application for the Spanish economy: British tourist inflows to Spain (the Spanish tourist industry's main customers). The improvement in the forecasting provided by the short-term models that include the G-indicator depends on the benchmark model. This does, however, allow an adjusted indicator of the inflow of British tourists to be obtained with a lead of almost one month. This is but an initial step in the use of on-line searches for constructing leading indicators of economic activity. Other applications to be explored are car sales, consumer confidence and house purchases. The chief characteristic of these procedures is that, with time and the continuous growth of Internet use, results can only improve in the future. It should nonetheless be recalled that the construction of these G-indicators requires caution so as to avoid mistakes arising, inter alia, from the different use of language in different countries. Not taking due caution and blindly confiding in these indicators may lead to erroneous results being obtained.
Download or read book Advances in Pacific Basin Business Economics and Finance written by Dr. Cheng-Few Lee and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2021-07-22 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Advances in Pacific Basin Business, Economics, and Finance is an annual publication designed to focus on interdisciplinary research in finance, economics, accounting and management among Pacific Rim countries. All articles published have been reviewed and recommended by at least two members of the editorial board.
Download or read book Mastering the Hype Cycle written by Jackie Fenn and published by Harvard Business Press. This book was released on 2008-10-14 with total page 257 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It happens over and over again. Some innovation (a new product, a management trend) comes along that captures the public's imagination. Everybody joins the parade with great fanfare and high expectations. This "next big thing" promises to transform the companies that adopt it -- and inflict great peril on those that don't. Then, when the innovation fails to deliver as promised immediately, everyone starts bailing out. Investments are wasted; stock prices plunge; disillusionment sets in. It doesn't have to be this way. In Mastering the Hype Cycle, Jackie Fenn and Mark Raskino explain what drives this pattern and how your company can avoid its potential dangers. By understanding the hype cycle, you can ride it more skillfully -- timing your investment decisions so that the innovations you adopt stand the best chance of succeeding in the long-term. Drawing on company examples and Gartner's proven STREET (Scope, Track, Rank, Evaluate, Evangelize, Transfer) framework, the authors show how to orchestrate the key steps in the innovation-adoption process -- from choosing which innovations to take on and when in their life cycle you should adopt, to paving the way for a successful introduction. The hype cycle isn't going away. But this book arms you with the strategies you need to ride the crest of a new idea to success -- and steer clear of the trough of disillusionment.
Download or read book In Search of Information Use of Google Trends Data to Narrow Information Gaps for Low income Developing Countries written by Mr.Futoshi Narita and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-12-14 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Timely data availability is a long-standing challenge in policy-making and analysis for low-income developing countries. This paper explores the use of Google Trends’ data to narrow such information gaps and finds that online search frequencies about a country significantly correlate with macroeconomic variables (e.g., real GDP, inflation, capital flows), conditional on other covariates. The correlation with real GDP is stronger than that of nighttime lights, whereas the opposite is found for emerging market economies. The search frequencies also improve out-of-sample forecasting performance albeit slightly, demonstrating their potential to facilitate timely assessments of economic conditions in low-income developing countries.
Download or read book Pulse written by Douglas W. Hubbard and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-04-06 with total page 210 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The ultimate guide to mining the Internet for real-time assessment of trends and data Showing how the Internet can be an incredible tool for businesses and others to measure trends in real time, Pulse describes tools for inexpensive and real time measurement methodologies businesses can start using right away. This timely book also puts this emerging science in perspective and explains how this new measurement instrument will profoundly change decision making in business and government. Shows how the Internet can be used as an incredibly powerful measurement tool Reveals how to mine the Internet to measure and forecast business progress Written by leading expert in business analytics and performance management Pulse reveals how the Internet is evolving into a tool for measuring and forecasting trends in society, the economy, public opinion and even public health and security. It is an absolutely essential book for every business leader to turn a powerful, underutilized tool to its complete potential.
Download or read book Computer and Information Science written by Roger Lee and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-11-22 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents scientific results of the 22nd IEEE/ACIS International Conference on Computer and Information Science (ICIS 2022) held on June 26-28, 2022 in Zhuhai China. The aim of this conference was to bring together researchers and scientists, businessmen and entrepreneurs, teachers, engineers, computer users, and students to discuss the numerous fields of computer science and to share their experiences and exchange new ideas and information in a meaningful way. Research results about all aspects (theory, applications, and tools) of computer and information science and to discuss the practical challenges encountered along the way and the solutions adopted to solve them. The conference organizers selected the best papers from those papers accepted for presentation at the conference. The papers were chosen based on review scores submitted by members of the program committee and underwent further rigorous rounds of review. From this second round of review, 14 of the conference’s most promising papers are then published in this Springer (SCI) book and not the conference proceedings. We impatiently await the important contributions that we know these authors will bring to the field of computer and information science.
Download or read book The Value of Social Behavioral and Economic Sciences to National Priorities written by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2017-08-12 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Nearly every major challenge the United States facesâ€"from alleviating unemployment to protecting itself from terrorismâ€"requires understanding the causes and consequences of people's behavior. Even societal challenges that at first glance appear to be issues only of medicine or engineering or computer science have social and behavioral components. Having a fundamental understanding of how people and societies behave, why they respond the way they do, what they find important, what they believe or value, and what and how they think about others is critical for the country's well-being in today's shrinking global world. The diverse disciplines of the social, behavioral, and economic (SBE) sciences ―anthropology, archaeology, demography, economics, geography, linguistics, neuroscience, political science, psychology, sociology, and statistics―all produce fundamental knowledge, methods, and tools that provide a greater understanding of people and how they live. The Value of Social, Behavioral, and Economic Sciences to National Priorities evaluates whether the federal government should fund SBE research at the National Science Foundation (NSF), and, specifically, whether SBE research furthers the mission of the NSF to advance national priorities in the areas of health, prosperity and welfare, national defense, and progress in science; advances the missions of other federal agencies; and advances business and industry, and to provide examples of such research. This report identifies priorities for NSF investment in the SBE sciences and important considerations for the NSF for strategic planning.
Download or read book The Age of Surveillance Capitalism written by Shoshana Zuboff and published by PublicAffairs. This book was released on 2019-01-15 with total page 658 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The challenges to humanity posed by the digital future, the first detailed examination of the unprecedented form of power called "surveillance capitalism," and the quest by powerful corporations to predict and control our behavior. In this masterwork of original thinking and research, Shoshana Zuboff provides startling insights into the phenomenon that she has named surveillance capitalism. The stakes could not be higher: a global architecture of behavior modification threatens human nature in the twenty-first century just as industrial capitalism disfigured the natural world in the twentieth. Zuboff vividly brings to life the consequences as surveillance capitalism advances from Silicon Valley into every economic sector. Vast wealth and power are accumulated in ominous new "behavioral futures markets," where predictions about our behavior are bought and sold, and the production of goods and services is subordinated to a new "means of behavioral modification." The threat has shifted from a totalitarian Big Brother state to a ubiquitous digital architecture: a "Big Other" operating in the interests of surveillance capital. Here is the crucible of an unprecedented form of power marked by extreme concentrations of knowledge and free from democratic oversight. Zuboff's comprehensive and moving analysis lays bare the threats to twenty-first century society: a controlled "hive" of total connection that seduces with promises of total certainty for maximum profit -- at the expense of democracy, freedom, and our human future. With little resistance from law or society, surveillance capitalism is on the verge of dominating the social order and shaping the digital future -- if we let it.
Download or read book Economics Information Systems and Electronic Commerce written by Robert J. Kauffman and published by M.E. Sharpe. This book was released on 2008 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This groundbreaking volume introduces new methodological approaches to data analysis as well as new techniques for collecting and cataloging transactional data to assist IS researchers in dealing with new and radical forms of IT innovation that continue to energize electronic commerce.
