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Book Informational Content of Options Trading on Equity Returns and Corporate Events

Download or read book Informational Content of Options Trading on Equity Returns and Corporate Events written by Li Ge and published by Open Dissertation Press. This book was released on 2017-01-27 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation, "Informational Content of Options Trading on Equity Returns and Corporate Events" by Li, Ge, 葛麗, was obtained from The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong) and is being sold pursuant to Creative Commons: Attribution 3.0 Hong Kong License. The content of this dissertation has not been altered in any way. We have altered the formatting in order to facilitate the ease of printing and reading of the dissertation. All rights not granted by the above license are retained by the author. Abstract: This dissertation consists of three empirical studies about the informational content of options trading on subsequent equity returns and around major corporate events, such as mergers and acquisitions, and bankruptcies. The first chapter examines the informational content of options trading on acquirer announcement returns. I show that implied volatility spread predicts positively on the cumulative abnormal return (CAR), and implied volatility skew predicts negatively on the CAR. The predictability is much stronger around actual merger and acquisition (M&A) announcement days, compared with pseudo-event days. The prediction is weaker if pre-M&A stock price has incorporated part of the information, but stronger if acquirer's options trading is more liquid. Finally, I find that higher relative trading volume of options to stock predicts higher absolute CARs. The relation also exists among the target firms. In the second chapter, I reassess the presence of pre- bankruptcy-filing informed and insider trades by examining the information content of options trading before bankruptcy announcements. I find that bankruptcy filing returns are not significantly related to pre-filing insider stock trading. However, filing returns are significantly negatively related to pre-filing insider and informed options trading. The informational content of options trading reduces with options illiquidity and the amount of information impounded into pre-filing stock prices. In the third chapter, I use data on signed option volume to study which components of option volume predict returns and resolve the apparent inconsistency in the literature. I find no evidence that trades related to synthetic short positions in the underlying stocks contain more information than trades related to synthetic long positions. Purchases of calls that open new positions are the strongest predictor of returns, followed by call sales that close out existing purchased call positions. The signed O/S measures also predict announcement returns for both earnings announcements and unscheduled corporate events. Overall the results indicate that the role of options in providing embedded leverage is the most important channel why options trading predict stock returns. Subjects: Options (Finance)

Book The Information Content of Options

Download or read book The Information Content of Options written by Yonatan Navon and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 382 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The objective of this thesis is to examine the information content of stock options in financial markets. A key question in financial economics is how information diffuses across markets and how quickly it is reflected in security prices. This thesis aims at exploring this question by investigating the informational role that options play in financial markets. This is achieved by exploring the joint cross section of option and bond prices, the informational role of options in seasoned equity offerings (SEOs), and the information content of options trading prior to announcements of changes to the S&P 500 Index.The thesis comprises three essays, each exploring the information content of equity options trading from a different angle. The first essay examines the joint cross section of option implied volatility and corporate bond returns. Theoretical and empirical work in finance suggests that stocks and bonds of the same issuing firm should share common risk factors. Therefore, new information about a firm should affect both its stock and bond prices. However, if one market offers trading incentives over other markets, informed traders and traders with better ability to process information may choose to trade in that market over the others. As a result, markets that provide advantages to informed traders will incorporate information prior to other markets. The empirical analysis in this chapter reveals that options trading is strongly predictive of corporate bond returns. A strategy of buying (selling) the portfolio with the lowest (highest) changes in option implied volatility yields an average monthly excess bond return of 1.03%. This strategy is statistically highly significant and economically very meaningful and indicates that information is incorporated into option prices prior to bond prices. In contrast, I find no evidence that bond prices incorporate information prior to option or stock prices. Since bond investors are generally sophisticated institutional investors who process information efficiently and the predictive ability of options is persistent, I conclude that informed trading rather than superior information processing abilities is responsible for the predictive ability of options.The second essay explores the information content of option implied volatility around the announcements and issue dates of SEOs. The literature on SEOs indicates that announcements and issue dates contain important information about firms and therefore provide profitable opportunities for traders with private information. While prior research has focused on the information content of short sales around SEOs, this study focuses on the information content of options which can act as an alternative for short selling. The empirical analysis provides evidence of informed trading in the options market around SEO announcements. Around SEO issue dates, I find that higher demand for put options is significantly related to larger issue discounts which is consistent with the manipulative trading hypothesis. The results in this study indicate that regulators should consider extending the short-sale restrictions of Rule 105 to restrict trading in related securities.Finally, the third essay investigates the information content of options prior to the S&P 500 Index inclusion and exclusion announcements. These announcements are unique events since they are not announced by the firm and, as stated by S&P, they should convey no new information. In addition, the large abnormal returns observed following these announcements make them distinctive ground for testing the informational role of options. Consistent with the notion that informed traders operate in the options market, the empirical results in this essay indicate that there is a significant relationship between options trading preceding index inclusion announcements and abnormal returns following these announcements. In contrast, I find no evidence for a relationship between options trading and abnormal returns following exclusion announcements.

Book Trading on Corporate Earnings News

Download or read book Trading on Corporate Earnings News written by John Shon and published by FT Press. This book was released on 2011-03-09 with total page 225 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Profit from earnings announcements, by taking targeted, short-term option positions explicitly timed to exploit them! Based on rigorous research and huge data sets, this book identifies the specific earnings-announcement trades most likely to yield profits, and teaches how to make these trades—in plain English, with real examples! Trading on Corporate Earnings News is the first practical, hands-on guide to profiting from earnings announcements. Writing for investors and traders at all experience levels, the authors show how to take targeted, short-term option positions that are explicitly timed to exploit the information in companies’ quarterly earnings announcements. They first present powerful findings of cutting-edge studies that have examined market reactions to quarterly earnings announcements, regularities of earnings surprises, and option trading around corporate events. Drawing on enormous data sets, they identify the types of earnings-announcement trades most likely to yield profits, based on the predictable impacts of variables such as firm size, visibility, past performance, analyst coverage, forecast dispersion, volatility, and the impact of restructurings and acquisitions. Next, they provide real examples of individual stocks–and, in some cases, conduct large sample tests–to guide investors in taking advantage of these documented regularities. Finally, they discuss crucial nuances and pitfalls that can powerfully impact performance.

Book An Empirical Examination of Informed Trading in the Option Market

Download or read book An Empirical Examination of Informed Trading in the Option Market written by Thi Thanh Van Le and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 376 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Despite a growing research interest in option trading and its impact on the pricing of the underlying asset, the role of options as a vehicle for informed trading remains an important economic question which has not yet been fully explored. In fact, even though academics have often argued that informed traders may prefer to trade in the option market rather than the equity market1, the question of whether (and to what extent) such a proposition would hold in practice has not been systematically addressed in the literature. This overarching research problem forms the foundation of this doctoral research project, leading to two important research questions. First, if investors do in fact use options to trade on information about underlying stock prices in practice, what implications does this have for the option (stock) pricing and forecasting? Second, what are the key factors driving traders' decisions to trade on new information in one market over another? These two issues correspond to the two gaps found in the extant literature on option trading, and also in the strand of empirical studies focusing on the role of options as a mechanism for trading on information about the underlying asset. To explore these research questions, three interrelated projects have been undertaken, each with a unique contribution to informing the research topic. These closely related investigations jointly provide consolidated answers to the two research questions raised previously. In response to the first research question, we pursue two strands of empirical investigation to examine the presence of informed trading in the option market. Firstly, we investigate the extent to which the information content extracted from options trading can be used to enhance predictions of the future volatility realised by underlying stocks. Secondly, we examine the price impact of information trading activities within the option market, focusing especially on the way in which the level of trading activities can explain and predict the future dynamics of the option implied volatility smile. Both of these strands yield evidence in support of information trading activities existing in the option market. Regarding the second research question, our collective evidence indicates that the allocation of informed traders between option and stock markets depends on the trade-off of transaction costs and trading opportunities existing in two related markets. This finding has consistently been corroborated by separate evidence emerging from our independent investigations. We found that the degree of information trading in the option market varies across different stocks, corresponding to variations in the level of individual stock liquidity. It has also been found that the degree of information asymmetry of option trades changed in response to changes in trading costs driven by regulatory changes observed during the 2008 short-sale ban. This research makes a valuable contribution to the field of option research. From the theoretical perspective, it addresses significant gaps in the existing literature and extends our understanding of informed trading activities in the option market. In particular, it contributes to the body of knowledge on the economic value of derivatives by investigating the critical role they have played in the process of incorporating new information into the market. From the practical perspective, it proposes a simple-yet-effective technique which employs trading volume to improve forecasts of the underlying stock volatility and of the option implied volatility (price) respectively. Since volatility plays such a central role in the practice of derivatives trading, risk analysis and portfolio management, better forecasts of these quantities are clearly important and highly regarded by practitioners. 1 Mainly due to higher financial leverages, reduced transactions costs and wider trading opportunities (eg speculation on volatility) (Black, 1975).

Book The Nature of Informed Option Trading  Evidence from the Takeover Market

Download or read book The Nature of Informed Option Trading Evidence from the Takeover Market written by Marco Klapper and published by Anchor Academic Publishing (aap_verlag). This book was released on 2013-10 with total page 73 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study examines the kind of information ‘informed’ traders have prior to a takeover announcement using options of target firms and elaborates on the cross-sectional relationship between options and stocks around takeover announcements. Financial markets are driven by information and by individuals that generate, process, and disclose this information to the market. Naturally, there have to be individuals who possess more information about a firm or a future event than other market participants. Mergers and acquisitions are particularly interesting events in this regard because they can have significant implications for the firms and stakeholders involved, as well as for the competitive dynamics in the respective market. Because of the large potential price impact of such transactions, traders with private information about a prospective takeover are expected to trade on this information to make a profit. But who are these ‘informed traders’ and what kind of information do they possess? This study tries to give a respond to this question.

Book Analysts  Options Trading and Equity Short Selling

Download or read book Analysts Options Trading and Equity Short Selling written by Xiaolong Lu and published by Open Dissertation Press. This book was released on 2017-01-27 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation, "Analysts, Options Trading and Equity Short Selling" by Xiaolong, Lu, 盧曉瓏, was obtained from The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong) and is being sold pursuant to Creative Commons: Attribution 3.0 Hong Kong License. The content of this dissertation has not been altered in any way. We have altered the formatting in order to facilitate the ease of printing and reading of the dissertation. All rights not granted by the above license are retained by the author. Abstract: This dissertation consists of two empirical essays on the interactions among three financial markets, namely, the stock market, the options market, and the equity lending market. In the first essay, we study the role of analysts and options traders in the information transmission between options and stock markets. We first show that the predictive power of option-implied volatilities (IVs) on stock returns is more than doubled around analyst-related events, indicating a significant proportion of the options predictability on stock returns comes from informed options traders' information about upcoming analyst-related news. We examine three explanations for this finding: tipping, reverse tipping and common information. We find that analyst tipping to options traders is the most consistent explanation of these predictive patterns. In the second essay, we examine the relationship between put options and short sales. We are able to separate the speculative demand of informed traders from the hedging demand of options market makers in the lending market. We find that the put option bid-ask spread and put option trading volume both increase with the equity lending fee. However, we also find that put option trading volume decreases with the lending fee for banned stocks during the 2008 Short-Sale Ban period, i.e., when only options market makers can short. These findings suggest that when informed traders are allowed to short, their speculative demand dominates and drives the substitution that is observed between the two financial instruments. Nevertheless, the "complementarity" of these financial instruments might prevail when options market makers significantly reduce the supply of put options because of high hedging costs. DOI: 10.5353/th_b5270543 Subjects: Options (Finance) Short selling Stocks

Book The nature of informed option trading  Evidence from the takeover market

Download or read book The nature of informed option trading Evidence from the takeover market written by Marco Klapper and published by Anchor Academic Publishing (aap_verlag). This book was released on 2014-02-01 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study examines the kind of information ‘informed’ traders have prior to a takeover announcement using options of target firms and elaborates on the cross-sectional relationship between options and stocks around takeover announcements. Financial markets are driven by information and by individuals that generate, process, and disclose this information to the market. Naturally, there have to be individuals who possess more information about a firm or a future event than other market participants. Mergers and acquisitions are particularly interesting events in this regard because they can have significant implications for the firms and stakeholders involved, as well as for the competitive dynamics in the respective market. Because of the large potential price impact of such transactions, traders with private information about a prospective takeover are expected to trade on this information to make a profit. But who are these ‘informed traders’ and what kind of information do they possess? This study tries to give a respond to this question.

Book Informational Content of Option Volume Prior to Takeovers

Download or read book Informational Content of Option Volume Prior to Takeovers written by Charles Cao and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the information embedded in both the stock and option markets prior to takeover announcements. During normal periods, buyer-seller initiated stock volume imbalances are significant predictors of next-day stock returns and option volume imbalances are uninformative. However, prior to takeover announcements, call volume imbalances are strongly positively related to next-day stock returns. Cross-sectional analysis shows that those takeover targets with the largest pre-announcement call-imbalance increases experience the highest announcement-day returns. The largest increase in buyer-initiated trading activity is in short-term out-of-the-money calls that subsequently experience the largest returns. Collectively, these findings are consistent with the hypothesis that, in the presence of pending extreme informational events, the options market plays an important role in price discovery.

Book Trading on the Information Content of Open Interest

Download or read book Trading on the Information Content of Open Interest written by Rafiqul Bhuyan and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we use daily closing data on CBOE options of 30 stocks during February through July of 1999 to investigate whether options open interest contains information that can be used for trading purposes. Individual stock price at option maturity is first predicted based on the distribution of options open interest. Several stock only and stock plus options directional trading strategies are then considered after comparing the predicted stock price at maturity and the actual stock price at the trade initiation date. In our sample, these trading strategies generate better returns compared to the Samp;P 500, the buy and hold strategy involving the sample stocks and the Merton et al (1978) style covered call strategy. Our empirical evidence thus indicates that non-price measures of activity in the derivatives market such as the open interest contain information about the future level of the underlying asset. This lends support to prior works (such as Copeland and Galai (1983), and Easley et al (1998)) that suggest that the derivatives cannot be considered redundant in a market with information-related frictions. One implication is that the distribution of non-price derivatives market activity may be helpful for other purposes where the physical instead of the risk-neutral distribution of the underlying asset is needed. These include beta estimation, volatility forecasting and volatility trading.

Book Informational Content of Options Trading on Acquirer Announcement Return

Download or read book Informational Content of Options Trading on Acquirer Announcement Return written by Konan Chan and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study examines the informational content of options trading on acquirer announcement returns. We show that implied volatility spread predicts positively on the cumulative abnormal return (CAR), and implied volatility skew predicts negatively on the CAR. The predictability is much stronger around actual merger and acquisition (M&A) announcement days, compared with pseudo-event days. The prediction is weaker if pre-M&A stock price has incorporated part of the information, but stronger if acquirer's options trading is more liquid. Finally, we find that higher relative trading volume of options to stock predicts higher absolute CARs. The relation also exists among the target firms.

Book Informed Trading in Options Markets and Its Information Value

Download or read book Informed Trading in Options Markets and Its Information Value written by Justin Vitanza and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 83 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "In this paper, I present evidence that informed traders represent a large enough portion of option market activity to impact market prices. By entering the market on the long side before positive or negative events, they drive up both open interest and ask prices, while bid prices remain relatively stable. Seeing this pattern is indicative of either positive (when found in calls) or negative (for puts) future news announcements. When conditioning on these announcements, we also see that this pattern predicts return reactions. In particular, information embedded in option prices is useful in predicting earnings surprises and reactions to mergers. My primary measure of option information content is the change in the difference between implied volatility and realized daily volatility measured over the previous month. With hindsight, this difference rises prior to positive announcements for call options, while it rises prior to negative announcements for put options. This differential behavior provides strong evidence that these assets are not redundant in practice, as is often implied by option pricing models. Further, this information constitutes a primary risk factor in equity markets, as positive announcement risk is positively related to future returns due to the procyclicality of these announcements. Efficiently utilizing this information suggests a long-short trading strategy that yields over 1.2 percent per month. This strategy also completely explains the call-put volatility spread anomaly and is robust to controls for aggregate volatility sensitivity and known metrics that purport to monitor informed trading"--Page v.

Book The Oxford Handbook of Quantitative Asset Management

Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of Quantitative Asset Management written by Bernd Scherer and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2012 with total page 530 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores the current state of the art in quantitative investment management across seven key areas. Chapters by academics and practitioners working in leading investment management organizations bring together major theoretical and practical aspects of the field.

Book Corporate Actions

Download or read book Corporate Actions written by Michael Simmons and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2006-02-03 with total page 429 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Corporate actions are events that affect large corporations through to the individual investor - even those that own a single-share! All organizations that hold equity and debt securities for themselves and/or on behalf of others are affected when the issuer of a security announces an income or corporate action event. The successful management of the array of different event types requires understanding of the inherent risks, and tight controls at critical points in the event lifecycle. The management of income and corporate action events are important and essential parts of the securities industry business. Written by authors with many years experience within this sector, Corporate Actions: A Guide to Securities Event Management sets out to demystify the subject and provides a thorough, step-by-step introduction to corporate actions and income events. Corporate Actions is a comprehensive source for understanding a major component of operational processing. The individual components and their relation to each other within the corporate actions lifecycle are explained in detail, through which the reader will gain a clear and thorough understanding of the lifecycle together with potential processing risks and the strategies to mitigate Corporate Actions is essential reading for all those involved in the securities industry, from new recruits to those involved in both the day-to-day operations process and those within executive management. It will also prove invaluable to those providing consultancy and software solutions to the securities industry. Corporate Actions is the first major work on this subject. Many people within the securities industry have heard of corporate actions - many people know they can be highly risky - many organizations have lost vast sums of cash in attempting to process them - very few understand them!

Book Ebook  Fundamentals of Corporate Finance

Download or read book Ebook Fundamentals of Corporate Finance written by Brealey; Myers; and published by McGraw Hill. This book was released on 2016-04-16 with total page 802 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Ebook: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance

Book Three Essays in Financial Markets  The Bright Side of Financial Derivatives  Options Trading and Firm Innovation

Download or read book Three Essays in Financial Markets The Bright Side of Financial Derivatives Options Trading and Firm Innovation written by Iván Blanco and published by Ed. Universidad de Cantabria. This book was released on 2019-02-15 with total page 90 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Do financial derivatives enhance or impede innovation? We aim to answer this question by examining the relationship between equity options markets and standard measures of firm innovation. Our baseline results show that firms with more options trading activity generate more patents and patent citations per dollar of R&D invested. We then investigate how more active options markets affect firms' innovation strategy. Our results suggest that firms with greater trading activity pursue a more creative, diverse and risky innovation strategy. We discuss potential underlying mechanisms and show that options appear to mitigate managerial career concerns that would induce managers to take actions that boost short-term performance measures. Finally, using several econometric specifications that try to account for the potential endogeneity of options trading, we argue that the positive effect of options trading on firm innovation is causal.

Book Trading Volatility

    Book Details:
  • Author : Colin Bennett
  • Publisher :
  • Release : 2014-08-17
  • ISBN : 9781461108757
  • Pages : 316 pages

Download or read book Trading Volatility written by Colin Bennett and published by . This book was released on 2014-08-17 with total page 316 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This publication aims to fill the void between books providing an introduction to derivatives, and advanced books whose target audience are members of quantitative modelling community. In order to appeal to the widest audience, this publication tries to assume the least amount of prior knowledge. The content quickly moves onto more advanced subjects in order to concentrate on more practical and advanced topics. "A master piece to learn in a nutshell all the essentials about volatility with a practical and lively approach. A must read!" Carole Bernard, Equity Derivatives Specialist at Bloomberg "This book could be seen as the 'volatility bible'!" Markus-Alexander Flesch, Head of Sales & Marketing at Eurex "I highly recommend this book both for those new to the equity derivatives business, and for more advanced readers. The balance between theory and practice is struck At-The-Money" Paul Stephens, Head of Institutional Marketing at CBOE "One of the best resources out there for the volatility community" Paul Britton, CEO and Founder of Capstone Investment Advisors "Colin has managed to convey often complex derivative and volatility concepts with an admirable simplicity, a welcome change from the all-too-dense tomes one usually finds on the subject" Edmund Shing PhD, former Proprietary Trader at BNP Paribas "In a crowded space, Colin has supplied a useful and concise guide" Gary Delany, Director Europe at the Options Industry Council