Download or read book Inflation Since World War Ii Persistence Credibility and Stability written by Ning Zeng and published by . This book was released on 2014-04 with total page 96 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book addresses inflation persistence, monetary credibility and stability through modelling US macroeconomic and financial data in the post-war period. First, an ARFIMA-EGARCH model is used to generate estimations capturing the stylized facts of inflation dynamics and examine the links between the inflation rate, volatility and inflation persistence. Then a modified and reduced form of accelerationist Phillips curve is employed to analyse the inflation-unemployment trade-off and thus assess monetary policy credibility. Finally, a conditional constant correlation bivariate EGARCH-in-mean model is used to investigate interactions among inflation rates, stock returns and their respective volatilities. Results provide new evidence that inflation and its volatility are involved in more active interactions in a high inflation environment, whereas less or little related when the inflation rate is lower. The core findings also suggest that the degree of inflation persistence is a reliable measure of monetary credibility. Moreover, promoting monetary stability contributes to more mutual interactions between inflation rates, stock returns and their respective volatilities. In particular, common stock is a more effective hedge against inflation, and the level of the inflation rate is central to explaining the relation between the two volatilities.
- Author : Ning Zeng
- Publisher :
- Release : 2011
- ISBN :
- Pages : pages
Inflation in the Postwar United States with Respect to Its Persistence Credibility and Stock Returns
Download or read book Inflation in the Postwar United States with Respect to Its Persistence Credibility and Stock Returns written by Ning Zeng and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Great Inflation written by Michael D. Bordo and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2013-06-28 with total page 545 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Controlling inflation is among the most important objectives of economic policy. By maintaining price stability, policy makers are able to reduce uncertainty, improve price-monitoring mechanisms, and facilitate more efficient planning and allocation of resources, thereby raising productivity. This volume focuses on understanding the causes of the Great Inflation of the 1970s and ’80s, which saw rising inflation in many nations, and which propelled interest rates across the developing world into the double digits. In the decades since, the immediate cause of the period’s rise in inflation has been the subject of considerable debate. Among the areas of contention are the role of monetary policy in driving inflation and the implications this had both for policy design and for evaluating the performance of those who set the policy. Here, contributors map monetary policy from the 1960s to the present, shedding light on the ways in which the lessons of the Great Inflation were absorbed and applied to today’s global and increasingly complex economic environment.
Download or read book Imperfect Credibility and Inflation Persistence written by Christopher J. Erceg and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Monetary Stability in Europe written by Stefan Collignon and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2003-09-02 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this book, the author presents fresh perspectives on the theories surrounding European Monetary Union. Urging the reader to examine conventional ideas from new viewpoints, he discusses the events which led to EMU, analyses the current situation, and projects possible futures. Essential reading for academics and professionals concerned with the background and implications of EMU, this book will also be of considerable interest to scholars in the fields of European studies, monetary economics, international economics and economic history.
Download or read book Essays in Credibility and the Source of Inflation Persistence written by Juan A. García and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 420 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Still Minding the Gap Inflation Dynamics during Episodes of Persistent Large Output Gaps written by Mr.Andre Meier and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-08-01 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies inflation dynamics during 25 historical episodes in advanced economies where output remained well below potential for an extended period. We find that such episodes generally brought about significant disinflation, underpinned by weak labor markets, slowing wage growth, and, in many cases, falling oil prices. Indeed, inflation declined by about the same fraction of the initial inflation rate across episodes. That said, disinflation has tended to taper off at very low positive inflation rates, arguably reflecting downward nominal rigidities and well-anchored inflation expectations. Temporary inflation increases during episodes were, in turn, systematically related to currency depreciation or higher oil prices. Overall, the historical patterns suggest little upside inflation risk in advanced economies facing the prospect of persistent large output gaps.
Download or read book Inflation Institutions and Information written by Daniel Vaz and published by Springer. This book was released on 1996-04-22 with total page 416 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Macroeconomics has undergone profound changes since the Keynesian consensus broke down in the mid-60s. Axel Leijonhufvud belonged to that core group of distinguished macroeconomists who wrought the changes that brought back the classical questions to the subject: microfoundations, money, markets, institutions, information, transition dynamics and much else. He fashioned a whole series of conceptual innovations that have become part of the folklore of monetary macroeconomics. In this collection of essays distinguished colleagues and former students pay homage to this gentle intellectual giant. Issues that have featured at the centre of Axel Leijonhufvud's research for over 30 years are discussed by the contributors. History of thought, philosophy of science and transition dynamics in addition to the more central issues of money, inflation, monetary regimes, information, institutions, microfoundations, increasing returns and stabilizing speculation are some of the central topics discussed, empirically and theoretically, in these essays.
Download or read book 21st Century Monetary Policy The Federal Reserve from the Great Inflation to COVID 19 written by Ben S. Bernanke and published by W. W. Norton & Company. This book was released on 2022-05-17 with total page 448 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 21st Century Monetary Policy takes readers inside the Federal Reserve, explaining what it does and why. In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, the Federal Reserve deployed an extraordinary range of policy tools that helped prevent the collapse of the financial system and the U.S. economy. Chair Jerome Powell and his colleagues lent directly to U.S. businesses, purchased trillions of dollars of government securities, pumped dollars into the international financial system, and crafted a new framework for monetary policy that emphasized job creation. These strategies would have astonished Powell’s late-20th-century predecessors, from William McChesney Martin to Alan Greenspan, and the advent of these tools raises new questions about the future landscape of economic policy. In 21st Century Monetary Policy, Ben S. Bernanke—former chair of the Federal Reserve and one of the world’s leading economists—explains the Fed’s evolution and speculates on its future. Taking a fresh look at the bank’s policymaking over the past seventy years, including his own time as chair, Bernanke shows how changes in the economy have driven the Fed’s innovations. He also lays out new challenges confronting the Fed, including the return of inflation, cryptocurrencies, increased risks of financial instability, and threats to its independence. Beyond explaining the central bank’s new policymaking tools, Bernanke also captures the drama of moments when so much hung on the Fed’s decisions, as well as the personalities and philosophies of those who led the institution.
Download or read book Central Banks at a Crossroads written by Michael D. Bordo and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2016-06-09 with total page 719 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book discusses the role of central banks and draws lessons from examining their evolution over the past two centuries.
Download or read book One Hundred Inflation Shocks Seven Stylized Facts written by Mr. Anil Ari and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-09-15 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper identifies over 100 inflation shock episodes in 56 countries since the 1970s, including over 60 episodes linked to the 1973–79 oil crises. We document that only in 60 percent of the episodes was inflation brought back down (or “resolved”) within 5 years, and that even in these “successful” cases resolving inflation took, on average, over 3 years. Success rates were lower and resolution times longer for episodes induced by terms-of-trade shocks during the 1973–79 oil crises. Most unresolved episodes involved “premature celebrations”, where inflation declined initially, only to plateau at an elevated level or re-accelerate. Сountries that resolved inflation had tighter monetary policy that was maintained more consistently over time, lower nominal wage growth, and less currency depreciation, compared to unresolved cases. Successful disinflations were associated with short-term output losses, but not with larger output, employment, or real wage losses over a 5-year horizon, potentially indicating the value of policy credibility and macroeconomic stability.
Download or read book Commodity Markets and the Global Economy written by Blake C. Clayton and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2016 with total page 215 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a clear-eyed analysis of questions at the intersection of commodity markets, natural resource economics, and public policy.
Download or read book Inflation a World wide Disaster written by Irving Sigmund Friedman and published by Boston : Houghton Mifflin. This book was released on 1973 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Handbook of Macroeconomics written by John B. Taylor and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 1999-12-13 with total page 600 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Part 6: Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy. 19. Asset prices, consumption, and the business cycle (J.Y. Campbell). 20. Human behavior and the efficiency of the financial system (R.J. Shiller). 21. The financial accelerator in a quantitative business cycle framework (B. Bernanke, M. Gertler and S. Gilchrist). Part 7: Monetary and Fiscal Policy. 22. Political economics and macroeconomic policy (T. Persson, G. Tabellini). 23. Issues in the design of monetary policy rules (B.T. McCallum). 24. Inflation stabilization and BOP crises in developing countries (G.A. Calvo, C.A. Vegh). 25. Government debt (D.W. Elmendorf, N.G. Mankiw). 26. Optimal fiscal and monetary policy (V.V. Chari, P.J. Kehoe).
Download or read book The Changing Dynamics of US Inflation Persistence written by Peter Tillmann and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Modern Perspectives on the Gold Standard written by Tamim Bayoumi and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1996 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Currency crises in Europe and Mexico during the 1990s provided stark reminders of the importance and the fragility of international financial markets. These experiences led some commentators to conclude that open international capital markets are incompatible with financial stability. But the pre-1914 gold standard is an obvious challenge to the notion that open capital markets are sources of instability. To deepen our understanding of how this system worked, this volume draws together recent research on the gold standard. Theoretical models are used to guide qualitative discussions of historical experience, while econometric methods are used to help the historical data speak clearly. The result is an overview of the gold standard, a survey of the relevant applied research in international macroeconomics, and a demonstration of how the past can help to inform the present.
Download or read book The Changing Face of Central Banking written by Pierre L. Siklos and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2002-11-21 with total page 372 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Central banks have emerged as the key players in national and international policy making. This book explores their evolution since World War II in 20 industrial countries. The study considers the mix of economic, political and institutional forces that have affected central bank behaviour and its relationship with government. The analysis reconciles vastly different views about the role of central banks in the making of economic policies. One finding is that monetary policy is an evolutionary process.