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Book Exchange Rate Movements  Inflation Expectations  and Currency Substitution in Turkey

Download or read book Exchange Rate Movements Inflation Expectations and Currency Substitution in Turkey written by Mr.Fabio Scacciavillani and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1995-11-01 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper contains an empirical analysis of currency substitution in Turkey: a simple relationship between the share of foreign currency holdings in M2X on one side and movements in the exchange rate or inflation on the other is derived from a two-stage portfolio choice model. This relationship is estimated by band spectrum regression which allows to remove from the data the short-term cyclical components. The results show that the relationship between currency substitution depends mainly on long-term movements in the exchange rate, while the effect of inflation on currency substitution is not statistically significant.

Book Inflation Expectations  and Currency Substitution in Turkey

Download or read book Inflation Expectations and Currency Substitution in Turkey written by Fabio Scacciavillani and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Inflation and Disinflation in Turkey

Download or read book Inflation and Disinflation in Turkey written by Faruk Selcuk and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2018-04-27 with total page 190 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This title was first published in 2002. Since the 1990s Turkey has experienced a number of disasters, both physical and economic. The result has been a decrease in economic performance compared to other European states. This study addresses the country's ongoing economic struggles.

Book Financial Dollarization and Currency Substitution in Turkey

Download or read book Financial Dollarization and Currency Substitution in Turkey written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study aims to investigate currency substitution and financial dollarization in Turkey. The extend of dollarization in Turkey appears to be very high according to both the conventional currency substitution and the recently developed financial dollarization measures. This has serious policy implications as a source of financial fragility through currency/maturity mismatches and balance sheet effects. The empirical part of this study contained an investigation of the long run relationships between the variables in a system containing currency substitution ratio, expected exchange rate change and rates of return on domestic and foreign currency denominated assets. The results of the Johansen cointegration analysis based on quarterly data for the 1987-2004 period appeared not to be strongly supporting the General Portfolio Balance Model (GPBM). The theoretical part of this study suggests that the GPBM can be reduced to the Sequential Portfolio Balance Model (SPBM) under the uncovered interest parity (UIP) hypothesis. Consequently, the GPBM may be misleading under UIP. The Johansen cointegration results suggested the validity of the UIP for the Turkish data. The estimation of the SPBM suggested that there is a long-run relationship between currency substitution and expected exchange rate change in Turkey. The elasticity of currency substitution appeared to be high but consistent with those estimated for other high inflation developing countries. The results further supported the presence of a ratchet/hysteresis effect proxied by a trend variable. All these results are consistent with the argument that currency substitution and financial dollarization are important especially in high inflation countries.

Book Inflation and Disinflation in Turkey

Download or read book Inflation and Disinflation in Turkey written by Faruk Selcuk and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2018-04-27 with total page 190 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This title was first published in 2002. Since the 1990s Turkey has experienced a number of disasters, both physical and economic. The result has been a decrease in economic performance compared to other European states. This study addresses the country's ongoing economic struggles.

Book Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries

Download or read book Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries written by Mr.Marco Airaudo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-03-08 with total page 65 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze coordination of monetary and exchange rate policy in a two-sector model of a small open economy featuring imperfect substitution between domestic and foreign financial assets. Our central finding is that management of the exchange rate greatly enhances the efficacy of inflation targeting. In a flexible exchange rate system, inflation targeting incurs a high risk of indeterminacy where macroeconomic fluctuations can be driven by self-fulfilling expectations. Moreover, small inflation shocks may escalate into much larger increases in inflation ex post. Both problems disappear when the central bank leans heavily against the wind in a managed float.

Book Inflation Expectations

Download or read book Inflation Expectations written by Peter J. N. Sinclair and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2009-12-16 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.

Book Financial Programming and Policy the Case of Turkey  Reprint

Download or read book Financial Programming and Policy the Case of Turkey Reprint written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2005-11-30 with total page 476 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The art of financial programming is a central element in the design of IMF-supported macroeconomic adjustment programs. This volume, edited by Richard Barth and William Hemphill, includes contributions from staff members of the IMF institute and introduces the reader to the concepts and tools of analysis needed to formulate a financial program. The book presents a series of workshops that explain the accounting identities, behavioral relationships, and forecasting techniques that underlie the constuction of a financial program. The workshops use the case of Turkey to illustrate the techniques, and the complete data set for Turkey is included on a diskette (supplied in a back-cover pocket).

Book Dedollarization

    Book Details:
  • Author : Annamaria Kokenyne
  • Publisher : International Monetary Fund
  • Release : 2010-08-01
  • ISBN : 1455201715
  • Pages : 53 pages

Download or read book Dedollarization written by Annamaria Kokenyne and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-08-01 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides a summary of the key policies that encourage dedollarization. It focuses on cases in which the authorities’ intention is to gain greater control of monetary policy and draws on the experiences of countries that have successfully dedollarized. Unlike previous work on the subject, this paper examines both macroeconomic stabilization policies and microeconomic measures, such as prudential regulation of the financial system. This study is also the first attempt to make extensive use of the foreign exchange regulation data reported in the IMF’s Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions. The main conclusion is that durable dedollarization depends on a credible disinflation plan and specific microeconomic measures.

Book IMF Staff papers  Volume 43 No  1

Download or read book IMF Staff papers Volume 43 No 1 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1996-01-01 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper extends a standard growth model and obtains consistent panel data estimates of the growth retarding effects of military spending via its adverse impact on capital formation and resource allocation. Simulation experiments suggest that a substantial long-term “peace dividend”—in the form of higher capacity output—may result from markedly lower military expenditure levels achieved in most regions during the late 1980s, and the further military spending cuts that would be possible if global peace could be secured.

Book Tracing the Economic Transformation of Turkey from the 1920s to EU Accession

Download or read book Tracing the Economic Transformation of Turkey from the 1920s to EU Accession written by Tevfik F. Nas and published by Martinus Nijhoff Publishers. This book was released on 2008 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Providing valuable lessons for emerging economies, this book examines Turkeya (TM)s economic development and growth from the early 1920s to the present, and documents its transformation to a thriving market economy in the process of negotiating its entry into the EU.

Book Theories of Inflation

Download or read book Theories of Inflation written by Helmut Frisch and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1983 with total page 276 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A survey of the new theories of inflation that have developed over the past two decades in response to the inflationary pressures experienced by Western countries examines the shifting debate from explaining inflation as a "causal" process to explaining its increase as a result of constantly changing expectations.

Book Fiscal Imbalances  Capital Inflows  and the Real Exchange Rate

Download or read book Fiscal Imbalances Capital Inflows and the Real Exchange Rate written by E. Murat Ucer and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1997-01-01 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the links between fiscal policy, capital inflows, and the real exchange rate in Turkey since the late 1980s. After an overview of recent macroeconomic developments in Turkey, a vector autoregression model is estimated linking government spending, interest rate differentials, capital inflows, and the temporary component of the real exchange rate. Positive shocks to government spending and capital inflows lead to an appreciation of the temporary component of the real exchange rate, whereas positive shocks to the uncovered interest rate differential lead to a capital inflow and an appreciation of the temporary component of the real exchange rate. The findings highlight the role of fiscal adjustment in restoring macroeconomic stability.

Book IMF Survey

    Book Details:
  • Author : International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.
  • Publisher : International Monetary Fund
  • Release : 1996-01-01
  • ISBN : 145193744X
  • Pages : 458 pages

Download or read book IMF Survey written by International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1996-01-01 with total page 458 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Web edition of the IMF Survey is updated several times a week, and contains a wealth of articles about topical policy and economic issues in the news. Access the latest IMF research, read interviews, and listen to podcasts given by top IMF economists on important issues in the global economy. www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/survey/so/home.aspx

Book OECD Economic Surveys  Turkey 1997

Download or read book OECD Economic Surveys Turkey 1997 written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 1997-07-01 with total page 125 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This 1997 edition of OECD's periodic review of Turkey's economy examines recent economic developments, policies and prospects. It includes a special feature on structural reform.

Book The 1944 Currency Crisis in Turkey

Download or read book The 1944 Currency Crisis in Turkey written by and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: