Download or read book Inflation and the Growth Rate of Output written by Christina D. Romer and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper shows that inflation has depended strongly on the growth rate of output for most of the twentieth century. Only in recent years has the deviation of output from trend become the predominant determinant of price behavior. The paper also shows that the growth rate effect works primarily through materials prices, and that the declining importance of materials can explain why the growth rate effect has weakened over time. Finally, the paper shows that the growth rate effect can explain why prices rose in the mid- and late- 1930s despite the fact that output was substantially below trend.

Download or read book Output Inflation and Growth written by David Culloden Rowan and published by . This book was released on 1968 with total page 538 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Output and Inflation in the Long Run written by Neil R. Ericsson and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Cross-country regressions explaining output growth often obtain a negative effect from inflation. However, that result is not robust, due to the selection of countries in sample, temporal aggregation, and omission of consequential variables in levels. This paper demonstrates some implications of these mis-specifications, both analytically and empirically. In particular, for most G-7 countries, annual time series of inflation and the log-level of output are cointegrated, thus rejecting the existence of a long-run relation between output growth and inflation. Typically, output and inflation are positively related in these cointegrating relationships: a price markup model helps interpret this surprising feature.

Download or read book Productivity Growth Inflation and Unemployment written by Robert James Gordon and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2004 with total page 520 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Publisher Description

Download or read book Output Inflation and Growth written by D.C. Rowan and published by Springer. This book was released on 1983-06-18 with total page 523 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book The Great Inflation written by Michael D. Bordo and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2013-06-28 with total page 545 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Controlling inflation is among the most important objectives of economic policy. By maintaining price stability, policy makers are able to reduce uncertainty, improve price-monitoring mechanisms, and facilitate more efficient planning and allocation of resources, thereby raising productivity. This volume focuses on understanding the causes of the Great Inflation of the 1970s and ’80s, which saw rising inflation in many nations, and which propelled interest rates across the developing world into the double digits. In the decades since, the immediate cause of the period’s rise in inflation has been the subject of considerable debate. Among the areas of contention are the role of monetary policy in driving inflation and the implications this had both for policy design and for evaluating the performance of those who set the policy. Here, contributors map monetary policy from the 1960s to the present, shedding light on the ways in which the lessons of the Great Inflation were absorbed and applied to today’s global and increasingly complex economic environment.

Download or read book Estimates of Potential Output and the Neutral Rate for the U S Economy written by Ali Alichi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-07-06 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Estimates of potential output and the neutral short-term interest rate play important roles in policy making. However, such estimates are associated with significant uncertainty and subject to significant revisions. This paper extends the structural multivariate filter methodology by adding a monetary policy block, which allows estimating the neutral rate of interest for the U.S. economy. The addition of the monetary policy block further improves the reliability of the structural multivariate filter.

Download or read book Inflation Monetary Balances and the Aggregate Production Function written by Robert M. Buckley and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1989 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book The Level and Variability of Inflation Output Growth and Money written by Yeong-Chun Park and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 310 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates various long-run relationships among the level and variability of money growth, inflation and real output growth using cross-section analysis based on 90 countries' time series data. The empirical results presented in this paper support the hypothesis that the variability of inflation is positively related to the level of inflation, and also suggest the existence of the threshold level of inflation for the sample period of the 1980s and early 1990s. The results also show that inflation variability appears to have insignificant relationships with the long-run average growth rate of real output overall. The positive relationship between two variables prevails during the 1970s, but this relationship weakens considerably during the 1980s and early 1990s. The OECD group has consistently positive slope coefficients for all considered sample periods. The empirical results of this paper also confirm the well-known proposition that money is very closely related to the rate of inflation, And, overall, the growth rate of money supply does not seem to have strong relationship with the long-run real output growth rate. However, the OECD group shows weak positive relationship between two variables, which appears to be the result of relatively strong positive correlation especially during the 1970s. For the Asian group, one of the fastest economic growth groups, the growth rate of money supply does not have one-for-one relationship with inflation, and has strong positive relationship with real output growth. This paper does not support the proposition of a significant negative relationship between the variability of money growth and the average growth rate of real output. However, especially after 1980, the relationship changes to negative. The evidence presented in this paper shows that both the level or variability of inflation and the level or variability of money growth has positive relationship with the variability of real output growth. This result suggests that we may have to consider an additional welfare cost of high inflation or high money growth (and high variability of those) since they tend to induce unstable economic growth pattern even though they play no important role on the determination of the long-run average growth rate of real output.

Download or read book Money and Inflation Some Critical Issues written by Bennett T. McCallum and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2010 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book From Inflation to Growth written by Mr.Peter Doyle and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-07-01 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reexamines growth in transition using panel data to 1997. It suggests that output has been strongly affected by export market growth; that inflation has been associated with weaker output only above a threshold inflation rate; that structural reform has been associated with weaker output initially, but that it stimulates higher growth thereafter; and that rapid disinflation has been associated with output losses only in the presence of pegged exchange rates.

Download or read book Nominal Income and the Inflation Growth Divide written by Sheetal K. Chand and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1997-11-01 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper deals with aggregate demand fluctuations and their price and output effects. Starting with a nominal income solution, a rule for determining the inflation and output growth effects is presented. Assigning alternative values to the key parameters of the suggested rule generates different closure rules, such as the classical and the Keynesian and their modern counterparts. An application to major industrial country data indicates that the suggested rule is robust. Both inflation and output growth are affected by nominal shocks, but response patterns vary among the countries.

Download or read book Nonlinear Effects of Inflationon Economic Growth written by Michael Sarel and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1995-06 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the possibility of nonlinear effects of inflation on economic growth. It finds evidence of a significant structural break in the function that relates economic growth to inflation. The break is estimated to occur when the inflation rate is 8 percent. Below that rate, inflation does not have any effect on growth, or it may even have a slightly positive effect. When the inflation rate is above 8 percent, however, the estimated effect of inflation on growth rates is significant, robust and extremely powerful. The paper also demonstrates that when the existence of the structural break is ignored, the estimated effect of inflation on growth is biased by a factor of three.

Download or read book Inflation Expectations written by Peter J. N. Sinclair and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2009-12-16 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.

Download or read book Growth And Inflation In The Soviet Economy written by Fyodor I Kushnirsky and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-09-10 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While growth figures are high for Soviet industry in general, they are especially impressive for the MBMW sector which has far outperformed other sectors of the economy. The question widely debated in the U.S.S.R. now is whether these impressive figures actually reflect the growth of physical output. To put it differently, did the Soviet economy receive more machines and equipment as a result of this growth, and, if so, was the rate of real growth the same as the growth in value terms? But why would one raise such a question in the first place? To answer this and similar questions, the procedures of Soviet measurement of output, productivity, costs and prices have been analyzed in this study. Special attention is given to the processes of planning quality improvements and pricing new technological items. An analysis of procedures and methodological instructions used in planning and pricing MBMW products may be helpful in revealing possible discrepancies between prices of new goods and their quality characteristics.

Download or read book Inflation and the Structure of Aggregate Output written by Nwankwo, Abraham and published by Adonis and Abbey Publishers. This book was released on 2017-09-26 with total page 266 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Contrary to the Quantity Theory of Money, which in its various forms, implies that increases in output of goods and services will, ceteris paribus, exert downward pressure on the general price level, Dr. Nwankwo in this book, argues that the growth of some components of output could accentuate, rather than dampen inflation. This phenomenon, which the author has termed 'Disaggregation Dissonance Hypothesis', states that while some components of the GDP may be inversely related to the price level, other components may be positively related to the price level. In addition, interaction between sectors, measured for example with the ratio of non-agricultural output to agricultural output, could also affect the price level. In view of these observations, the author argues that the practice based on the Quantity Theory of using aggregate output as an explanatory variable for the price level is defective and inappropriate and that the use of aggregate output in an empirical study is of limited relevance because it obscures a lot of the underlying influences which are necessary for understanding the structure and dynamics of inflation. He contends that a more appropriate approach will be to use disaggregated components of the GDP, as well as sectoral interaction variables in order to bring out the different ways in which the different components of the GDP impact inflation. The author supports his thesis with an econometric investigation, using Nigeria's data from 1960 to 2011, which shows that when the GDP is split into agricultural and non-agricultural components, the former impacts the price level inversely, while the latter impacts the price level positively.

Download or read book The Path of Output From Plan to Market written by Thorvaldur Gylfason and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1994-06-01 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper is intended to clarify the contribution of macroeconomic stabilization and structural adjustment to the transformation from plan to market in Central and Eastern Europe and elsewhere. Four main points emerge. First, increased price stability improves the utilization of capital and thus increases the level of output at full employment in the long run, even though output decreases initially. Second, the static output gain from stabilization is captured in a simple formula in which the gain is approximately proportional to the square of the original inflation distortion. Third, successful stabilization increases the rate of growth of output per head, and not only its level, in the presence of constant returns to capital in a broad sense. Fourth, substitution of plausible parameter estimates into the simple formulae reflecting the gains from stabilization indicate that the static and dynamic output gains can be quite large.