Download or read book Inflation and Economic Growth Relationship in the West African Monetary Zone written by Chioma P. Nwosu and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Threshold Effect of Inflation on Economic Growth in the West African Monetary Zone written by Olorunsola E. Olowofeso and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While previous studies have explored the relationship between inflation and economic growth, the existing literature on threshold effect of inflation on economic growth in the West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ) predominantly assumes a linear association, neglecting the possibility of nonlinearity. This study aims to fill the gap in the empirical literature by exploiting the variation in inflation rates across countries and over time to identify endogenously the threshold inflation level that affects economic growth in WAMZ countries over the period 2001-2019. The paper applies a Panel Smooth Transition Regression (PSTR) model, considering the heterogeneity in inflation rates across countries and over time and nonlinearities in the inflation-growth nexus. Results reveal an inflation threshold of 10.3 per cent per annum for WAMZ countries, showing that achieving moderate inflation below this threshold will stimulate economic growth while high inflation above the threshold is detrimental to growth. The result provides strong empirical support for the policy stance of WAMZ countries regarding the convergence criterion to contain inflation to a single-digit level. This finding highlights the importance of adopting moderate inflation target below the identified threshold of 10.3 percent to foster sustainable economic growth. It underscores the need for central banks to adopt more proactive approach to monetary policy by closely monitoring inflation levels and taking appropriate actions to keep inflation within this desired range. Indeed, the evidence of such a nonlinear relationship implies that central banks should pay close attention to managing inflation expectations, through measures including clear and effective communication of monetary policy actions, which would help anchor inflation expectations to ensure a favourable inflation environment that supports economic growth and improve credibility of monetary policy in the region.

Download or read book West African Economic and Monetary Union written by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2024-04-17 with total page 89 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: West African Economic and Monetary Union: Selected Issues

Download or read book Inflation Dynamics in the West African Economic and Monetary Union written by Cecilia Melo Fernandes and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-06-19 with total page 19 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes recent inflation developments in the WAEMU. As in all inflation spikes in the past two decades, food is the main driver of inflation. The contribution from energy prices is also increasing, while inflation contagion effects are still limited to a few sectors. The share of professionals that believe that inflation will continue above the target within the one-year horizon is at high levels compared to 2021. Based on projections from two models, the chapter also evaluates the appropriate monetary policy responses to the recent inflationary pressures. The results suggest that inflation is expected to converge to its target range within 24 months given the reduction of exogenous shocks weighing-in on food and energy prices, the exhaustion of base effects as well as a reduction in supply and demand imbalances. However, numerous external and internal factors affect inflation prospects and should be carefully monitored, given the pronounced uncertainty surrounding geopolitical and economic developments, and further monetary policy tighten would be necessary unless downside risks to forecasts for baseline inflation and external buffers improve.

Download or read book West African Economic and Monetary Union WAEMU written by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-04-25 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Selected Issues

Download or read book West African Economic and Monetary Union Selected Issues written by International Monetary and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-03-02 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Selected Issues

Download or read book The West African Economic and Monetary Union written by C. A. François and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-09-30 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Following a serious deterioration of the competitive position of the WAEMU region in the 1980s and the eary 1990s, the countries took steps that have led to a significant turnaround in economic activity, a drop in inflation, and increases in output, exports and investment. This study describes policy issues that the region continues to face and suggests how the WAEMU countries can address them.

Download or read book West African Economic and Monetary Union written by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2024-04-17 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The WAEMU has seen strong growth and rising living standards over the past decade. Economic growth averaged 5.4 percent in 2013-2019 and 5.8 percent in 2021-2023. Policy efforts from regional and national authorities have cushioned the impact of several external and internal shocks, prompting a solid economic recovery since the COVID-19 pandemic, despite increasing security issues. Meanwhile, the Human Development Index has increased from 0.44 in 2013 to 0.48 in 2021.

Download or read book How to Improve the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in the West African Economic and Monetary Union written by Mr.Alexei Kireyev and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-05-05 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) is a currency union with a fixed exchange rate and limited capital mobility and, therefore, an independent monetary policy in the short run. The Central Bank of West African States (BCEAO) is conducting the single monetary policy with the main goal of preserving price stability and supporting economic growth. However, the effectiveness of its monetary policy remains low, with a weak reaction of market interest rates and inflation to BCEAO’s policy actions. The paper concludes that, while the institutional setup and the instruments of monetary policy are adequate, the transmission mechanism of monetary policy remains constrained by liquidity management practices, shallow and segmented financial markets, and interest rate rigidities. To improve the effectiveness of monetary policy the BCEAO should be more proactive in determining the stance of fiscal policies, develop financial markets, and liberalize controlled interest rates. The BCEAO is undertaking important reforms in these directions.

Download or read book West African Economic and Monetary Union written by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-02-28 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The WAEMU’s post-Covid-19 recovery has so far withstood the new global and regional shocks, partly owing to supportive fiscal and monetary policies as well as relatively strong macroeconomic fundamentals over the previous decade. Growth prospects remain favorable, reserves—albeit declining—remain adequate, and the financial system appears to be resilient. However, the region faces important challenges associated with rising inflation, limited access to international capital markets, eroding external buffers, and regional security issues, in the presence of elevated global risks.

Download or read book West African Monetary Zone written by and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Payments System Study in the West African Monetary Zone WAMZ written by and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Inflation Growth Nexus and Regional Integration in West Africa written by Makiliwè Barcola and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we test the existence of an optimal inflation interval within which, the inflation of the west African countries supports economic growth. Besides this objective, we seek to test the validity of the 5% inflation threshold not to be exceeded, proposed as a convergence criterion for the fifteen countries of the region called to form a monetary union by 2020. Our analysis covers the period 2007-2016. By adopting a nonlinear approach, our investigation reveals two (02) endogenous inflation thresholds estimated at 8.01% and 15.46%. The positive effect on growth begins when inflation is comprised between the two thresholds. Above this interval, inflation has no effect on economic growth. Our results invalidate hence the 5% inflation threshold proposed as a convergence criterion and for supporting economic growth within the future monetary union. For a high-performing monetary union, preferably it would be better to define an inflation threshold between 8.01 and 15.46% as convergence criterion.

Download or read book Inflation in African Countries written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1989-10-19 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the mid-1970s the annual inflation rate in Africa has averaged more than 15 percent, with many countries experiencing rates of 20 percent or more. Inflation rates of this magnitude have significant adverse effects on the financial sectors of African countries, particularly in the context of fixed nominal interest rates. Econometric analysis points strongly to monetary expansion as a major cause of inflation in African countries generally. Exchange rate depreciation is also associated with higher inflation, although in some countries the domestic currency was depreciated to offset the effects of recent inflation, rather than being a cause of inflation.

Download or read book West African Economic and Monetary Union written by International Monetary and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-05-18 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: After almost a decade of strong growth, the WAEMU region is facing severe challenges from a triple crisis impacting the health, economic and security situations. Both fiscal and monetary policies were relaxed significantly in 2020 to contain the pandemic and support the economy. A gradual fiscal consolidation is expected to start in 2021 and bring back the aggregate fiscal deficit towards the 3 percent of GDP regional ceiling within three years. Growth is expected to recover swiftly in 2021-22 to pre-crisis levels, but the economic outlook is still uncertain.

Download or read book West African Financial and Economic Review written by and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Money Demand and Regional Monetary Policy in the West African Economic and Monetary Union written by Mr.Philipp C. Rother and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-04-01 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Regional monetary integration, financial liberalization, and the adoption of indirect policy instruments have changed the conditions for monetary policy in the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU). The stability of money demand has become a crucial element for monetary policy. This paper presents empirical money demand estimations for regional monetary aggregates and analyzes their stability and forecast performance. The estimations result in a stable relationship for narrow money (M1). Consequently, the region’;s central bank, the BCEAO, can continue to conduct monetary policy in line with the fixed exchange rate system if it succeeds in maintaining financial stability.