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Book Country and Industry Dynamics in Stock Returns

Download or read book Country and Industry Dynamics in Stock Returns written by Mr.Allan Timmermann and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-03-01 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A perennial question in international finance is to what extent stock returns are influenced by country-location, as opposed to industry-affiliation, factors. This paper develops a novel methodology to measure these effects, in which portfolios mimicking "pure" country and industry factors are first constructed and their joint dynamics then modeled as regime-switching processes. Estimation using global firm-level data allows us to identify well-defined volatility states over the past thirty years and shows that the contribution of the industry factor becomes systematically more prominent during high global volatility states, while the country factor contribution declines. Using the model's estimates, we find that portfolio diversification possibilities vary considerably across economic states.

Book Industry and Country Components in Emerging Market Stock Returns

Download or read book Industry and Country Components in Emerging Market Stock Returns written by Sara J. Zervos and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Country and Industry Factors in Stock Returns

Download or read book Country and Industry Factors in Stock Returns written by Luis Catão and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Cash Flows and Discount Rates  Industry and Country Effects and Co Movement in Stock Returns

Download or read book Cash Flows and Discount Rates Industry and Country Effects and Co Movement in Stock Returns written by John Ammer and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We apply the Campbell (1991) decomposition to industry-by-country, national, global industry, and world stock index returns, using 1995-2003 data. World, global industry, and country factors are all important for each of the two key components of stock returns: news about future dividends and news about future discount rates. Furthermore, the world component of future discount rates is more important than the idiosyncratic component, while the reverse is true for news about future dividends. Our results are broadly consistent with co-movement in future discount rates arising from perceptions of common elements of risk in international equity markets.

Book Firm Level Evidenceon International Stock Market Comovement

Download or read book Firm Level Evidenceon International Stock Market Comovement written by Mr.Marco Del Negro and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-03-01 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We explore the link between international stock market comovement and the degree to which firms operate globally. Using stock returns and balance sheet data for companies in 20 countries, we estimate a factor model that decomposes stock returns into global, country-specific and industry-specific shocks. We find a large and highly significant link: on average, a firm raising its international sales by 10 percent raises the exposure of its stock return to global shocks by 2 percent and reduces its exposure to country-specific shocks by 1.5 percent. This link has grown stronger since the mid-1980s.

Book A Latent Factor Model with Global  Country  and Industry Shocks for International Stock Returns

Download or read book A Latent Factor Model with Global Country and Industry Shocks for International Stock Returns written by Robin Brooks and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We estimate a latent factor model that decomposes international stock returns into global, country-, and industry-specific shocks and allows for stock-specific exposures to these shocks. We find that across stocks there is substantial dispersion in these exposures, which is partly explained by the extent to which firms operate across countries. We show that portfolios consisting of stocks with low exposures to country shocks achieve substantial variance reduction relative to the global market, both in- and out-of-sample. The shock exposures are thus a stock-selection device for international portfolio diversification.

Book Country Versus Industry Factors in Global Stock Returns

Download or read book Country Versus Industry Factors in Global Stock Returns written by Marco Del Negro and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book International Stock Returns and Market Integration

Download or read book International Stock Returns and Market Integration written by Mr.Marco Del Negro and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2002-11-01 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the relative importance of country and industry effects in international stock returns, with the innovation that we decompose country effects into region and within-region country effects. We divide the global stock market into the Americas, Asia, and Europe and find that most of the variation explained by country effects is actually due to region effects. Over time, these region effects have fallen. Within regions, however, only in Europe has segmentation declined, while it has increased elsewhere. Europe is also the only region where industry effects are now robustly more important than country effects.

Book International Stock Return Comovements

Download or read book International Stock Return Comovements written by Geert Bekaert and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine international stock return comovements using country-industry and country-style portfolios. We first establish that parsimonious risk-based factor models capture the covariance structure of the data better than the popular Heston-Rouwenhorst (1994) model. We then establish the following stylized facts regarding stock return comovements. First, we do not find evidence for an upward trend in return correlations, excpet for the European stock markets. Second, the increasing imporatnce of industry factors relative to country factors was a short-lived, temporary phenomenon. Third, we find no evidence for a trend in idiosyncratic risk in any of the countries we examine.

Book Country and Industry Dynamics in Stock Returns

Download or read book Country and Industry Dynamics in Stock Returns written by Luis Catão and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A perennial question in international finance is to what extent stock returns are influenced by country-location, as opposed to industry-affiliation, factors. This paper develops a novel methodology to measure these effects, in which portfolios mimicking pure country and industry factors are first constructed and their joint dynamics then modeled as regime-switching processes. This methodology is applied to international firm level data over the period 1973-2002. Well-defined periods of high and low stock return volatility are identified, and the relative contribution of industry and country factors is shown to vary significantly across states. Implications for portfolio diversification possibilities are discussed.

Book Emerging Market Capital Flows

Download or read book Emerging Market Capital Flows written by Richard M. Levich and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 1998-01-31 with total page 498 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In a little over one decade, the spread of market-oriented policies has turned the once so-called lesser developed countries into emerging markets. Many forces have been responsible for the tremendous growth in emerging markets. Trends toward market-oriented policies that permit private ownership of economic activities, such as public utilities and telecommunications, are part of the explanation. Corporate restructuring, following the debt crisis of the early 1980's has permitted many emerging market companies to gain international competitiveness. And an essential condition, a basic sea-change in economic policy, has opened up many emerging markets to international investors. This growth in emerging markets has been accompanied by volatility in individual markets, and a sector-wide shock after the meltdown in the Mexican Bolsa and Mexican peso, resulting in heated debate over the nature of these markets. Emerging market capital flows continue to be the subject of intense discussion around the world among investors, academics, and policymakers. Emerging Market Capital Flows examines the issues of emerging market capital flows from several distinct perspectives, addressing a number of related questions about emerging markets.

Book Three Essays on International Equity Returns and Valuation Ratios

Download or read book Three Essays on International Equity Returns and Valuation Ratios written by Ji Youn An and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation explores the importance of firm valuation ratios (or stock price multiples) in predicting returns in international markets. This characteristic has been documented by literature as the value premium. In Chapter 2, "Warranted Multiples and Future Returns" joint with Sanjeev Bhojraj and David Ng, we look into the U.S. stock market and examine whether adjusted stock multiples can lead to higher predictability in stock returns. We adjust stock multiples by common economic factors and find that the adjusted price multiples can explain future returns better than unadjusted price multiples. In Chapter 3, "Country, Industry and Idiosyncratic Components in Valuation Ratios" joint with Sanjeev Bhojraj and David Ng, we examine the importance of country, industry and firm-idiosyncratic components in firm valuation ratios with a sample from 33 countries. We find that firm valuation ratios are largely affected by country membership. However, we confirm that firmidiosyncratic component in a firm valuation ratio leads the returns predictability, i.e. higher level of value premium. In Chapter 4, "Can the Long-Run Risks Explain the International Value Premium? Evidence Using Last Century Data", I examine where the value premium is coming from. I explore in depth whether the long-run risks model, a recently introduced asset pricing model, can explain the value premium in 17 developed countries.

Book Handbook Of Global Financial Markets  Transformations  Dependence  And Risk Spillovers

Download or read book Handbook Of Global Financial Markets Transformations Dependence And Risk Spillovers written by Sabri Boubaker and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2019-06-27 with total page 828 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The objective of this handbook is to provide the readers with insights about current dynamics and future potential transformations of global financial markets. We intend to focus on four main areas: Dynamics of Financial Markets; Financial Uncertainty and Volatility; Market Linkages and Spillover Effects; and Extreme Events and Financial Transformations and address the following critical issues, but not limited to: market integration and its implications; crisis risk assessment and contagion effects; financial uncertainty and volatility; role of emerging financial markets in the global economy; role of complex dynamics of economic and financial systems; market linkages, asset valuation and risk management; exchange rate volatility and firm-level exposure; financial effects of economic, political and social risks; link between financial development and economic growth; country risks; and sovereign debt markets.

Book International Stock Returns and Market Integration

Download or read book International Stock Returns and Market Integration written by Ray Brooks and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the relative importance of country and industry effects in international stock returns, with the innovation that we decompose country effects into region and within-region country effects. We divide the global stock market into the Americas, Asia, and Europe and find that most of the variation explained by country effects is actually due to region effects. Over time, these region effects have fallen. Within regions, however, only in Europe has segmentation declined, while it has increased elsewhere. Europe is also the only region where industry effects are now robustly more important than country effects.

Book Are Practitioners Right  On the Relative Importance of Industrial Factors in International Stock Returns

Download or read book Are Practitioners Right On the Relative Importance of Industrial Factors in International Stock Returns written by Dušan Isakov and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the relative influences of industrial and country factors in international stock returns. Until very recently, academic research has consistently found that country factors dominate industrial factors. This result is in contradiction with practitioners beliefs. This paper re-examines this issue by analyzing a sample of more than 4000 stocks quoted in 20 developed countries. We find that on average the country effect still dominates stock returns over the period 1997-2000. This result has to be interpreted with caution though, as an analysis that allows for time-varying relative influences demonstrates the rapidly increasing impact of industry effects in recent times. We find, in particular, that this trend is common to all 20 developed countries considered and not only to those that are member of the European Monetary Union. We interpret this result as evidence of the increasing globalization of international equity markets.

Book The New Economy and Global Stock Returns

Download or read book The New Economy and Global Stock Returns written by Robin Brooks and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper revisits the relative importance of global versus country-specific factors underlying stock returns. It constructs a new firm level data set covering emerging and developed markets and estimates a simple factor model, which breaks down stock returns into a global business cycle factor, global industry factors, country-specific factors and firm-level effects. The results indicate that the share of variation in stock returns explained by global industry factors has grown sharply since the mid-1990s, at the expense of country-specific factors. Foremost among the global factors is a new economy factor, which has become a key determinant of global stock returns.