Download or read book Improving Your Judgment for Better Decision Making written by Becki Saltzman and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Join critical thinking and applied curiosity expert Becki Saltzman as she explains the difference between being judgmental and exercising good judgment. This short course is designed for anyone who would like to improve decision-making ability. Learn about how to identify your default judging style, and how to expand that style and make better decisions. Discover a formula for practicing good judgment in challenging situations, when making decisions about the future, and when interacting with others at work.
Download or read book Judgment written by Noel M. Tichy and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2007-11-08 with total page 412 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “With good judgment, little else matters. Without it, nothing else matters.” Whether we’re talking about United States presidents, CEOs, Major League coaches, or wartime generals, leaders are remembered for their best and worst judgment calls. In the face of ambiguity, uncertainty, and conflicting demands, the quality of a leader’s judgment determines the fate of the entire organization. That’s why judgment is the essence of leadership. Yet despite its importance, judgment has always been a fairly murky concept. The leadership literature has been conspicuously quiet on what, exactly, defines it. Does judgment differ from common sense or gut instinct? Is it a product of luck? Of smarts? Or is there a process for making consistently good calls? Noel Tichy and Warren Bennis have each spent decades studying and teaching leadership and advising top CEOs such as Jack Welch and Howard Schultz. Now, in their first collaboration, they offer a powerful framework for making tough calls when the stakes are high and the right path is far from obvious. They show how to recognize the critical moment before a judgment call, when swift and decisive action is essential, and also how to execute a decision after the call. Tichy and Bennis bring their three-dimensional model to life with interviews with world-class leaders who have thrived or suffered because of their judgment calls. These stories include: • Jeff Immelt, CEO of General Electric, whose judgment to grow through research and development transformed GE into the world’s premier technology growth company. • Joel Klein, chancellor of the New York City Department of Education, who made tough calls about teachers, students, and parents while turning around a troubled school system. • Jim McNerney, CEO of Boeing, whose strategic judgment helped him reinvigorate his company and restore a culture of trust and respect. • The late general Wayne Downing, who found an unexpected opportunity in the midst of crisis when he led the Special Operations raid to capture Manuel Noriega. • A. G. Lafley, CEO of Procter & Gamble, who bet $57 billion to purchase Gillette and reinvent his company. • Brad Anderson, CEO of Best Buy, who made the call to commit totally to a customer-centric strategy and led his people to execute it. Whether you’re running a small department or a global corporation, Judgment will give you a framework for evaluating any situation, making the call, and correcting if necessary during the execution phase. It will show you how to handle the overlapping domains of people, strategy, and crisis management. And it will help you teach your entire team to make the right call more often. No organization can afford to neglect this crucial discipline—and no previous book has ever brought it into such clear focus.
Download or read book Judgment in Managerial Decision Making written by Max H. Bazerman and published by Wiley. This book was released on 2001-07-27 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Author is a leading theorist in negotiation and decision-making.
Download or read book The Art of Judgment written by John Adair and published by Bloomsbury Publishing. This book was released on 2020-07-09 with total page 225 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An essential guide for any business leader looking to hone, develop and master the art of judgment. The success of any organization or individual depends upon making good decisions, arrived at through the use of a sound judgment. Too often, this elusive characteristic has been misperceived as an unchangeable, entrenched element of our character, over which we have little control. In fact, judgment is an art – one that can be honed, developed and mastered. In The Art of Judgment, John Adair draws upon his decades of experience and expertise to provide a practical and fascinating insight into how you can harness the full potential of your judgment. These in-depth methods are summarised in 10 key principles, which include: - Thinking to Some Purpose - Experience – the Seedbed - Truth – the Leading Star - How to Share Decisions - The Role of Values With the divisiveness of public discourse and the complexities of modern business, it is more difficult than ever to be sure that you're making the right decision. Adair provides a clear pathway to improving your judgment, beginning with an exploration of the machinations behind decision-making, before demonstrating how you can develop a stronger understanding and control of your judgment. This is an essential companion for any business leader interested in making the best decisions, whether personal or for their organization. Good judgment is the secret behind any success, and also has the potential to accelerate one's own career. This book provides insight, expertise and inspiration for anyone looking to cultivate and develop their art of judgment.
Download or read book Critical Thinking for Better Judgment and Decision Making written by and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The pace of change and volume of information we encounter in daily life make it hard to think through decisions. Instead, people often rely on biases and rules of thumb, which trap them into drawing faulty conclusions. The most successful teams use critical thinking-objective and rational analysis-to illuminate the wisest conclusions. This course prepares leaders to hone the critical thinking skills of their entire organization. Learn how to upgrade critical thinking to avoid deceiving fallacies, spot misleading cognitive biases, craft better arguments, hone judgment, and improve decision-making. Instructor Becki Saltzman teaches skills that will improve how your company or team innovates, tackles challenges, and responds to change.
Download or read book Judgment and Decision Making written by Baruch Fischhoff and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-06-17 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Behavioral decision research offers a distinctive approach to understanding and improving decision making. It combines theory and method from multiple disciples (psychology, economics, statistics, decision theory, management science). It employs both empirical methods, to study how decisions are actually made, and analytical ones, to study how decisions should be made and how consequential imperfections are. This book brings together key publications, selected to represent the major topics and approaches used in the field. Put in one place, with integrating commentary, it shows the common elements in a research program that represents the scope of the field, while offering depth in each. Together, they provide a vision for what has become a burgeoning field.
Download or read book Psychology of Judgment and Decision Making The Comprehensive Guide written by VIRUTI SATYAN SHIVAN and published by Viruti Satyan Shivan. This book was released on with total page 194 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dive deep into the complexities of the human psyche with "Psychology of Judgment and Decision Making - The Comprehensive Guide," your essential resource for understanding the intricate processes that guide how we make decisions and form judgments. This meticulously researched book presents an exhaustive exploration of cognitive biases, heuristics, risk perception, and the impact of emotions on decision-making. Through engaging explanations and real-world examples, readers will gain insights into the psychological mechanisms that influence their daily choices, from the mundane to the monumental. This guide aims to empower individuals with the knowledge to recognize and mitigate cognitive errors, leading to more rational, effective decision-making. For educators, students, professionals, and anyone keen to sharpen their critical thinking skills, this book serves as an invaluable tool. It synthesizes theories and findings from psychology, behavioral economics, and neuroscience, presenting them in a clear, accessible manner. While this comprehensive guide is rich in detail and analysis, it does not contain images or illustrations, adhering to copyright considerations. Instead, it focuses on delivering powerful insights and practical strategies to enhance judgment and decision-making capabilities. Whether you're looking to improve your personal life, boost professional decision-making, or deepen your understanding of human behavior, this book offers the knowledge and tools to transform your approach to making choices.
Download or read book The Decision Making Blueprint written by Patrik Edblad and published by Patrik Edblad. This book was released on 2019-09-04 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Radically Upgrade Your Thinking & Dramatically Increase Your Success What if there was a way to routinely make smart decisions? What if you could reliably avoid costly mistakes? What if you could remarkably improve your results in all areas of life? Mental trainer and best-selling author Patrik Edblad has helped tens of thousands of readers to think rationally, logically, and effectively. In this book, he lays out a simple, concise, and actionable guide to intelligent decision-making. Step-by-step, you’ll discover: - The cognitive biases that distort your thinking, and how to counteract them. - The logical fallacies that derail your judgment, and how to prevent them. - The mental models you need to equip your mind with to make great decisions. - PLUS: The Decision-Making Blueprint Bonus Bundle — A FREE complimentary resource to easily apply everything you learn in your own decisions. Make a life-changing decision today! Get your copy NOW to radically improve your thinking and dramatically increase your success!
Download or read book The Great Mental Models Volume 1 written by Shane Parrish and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2024-10-15 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Discover the essential thinking tools you’ve been missing with The Great Mental Models series by Shane Parrish, New York Times bestselling author and the mind behind the acclaimed Farnam Street blog and “The Knowledge Project” podcast. This first book in the series is your guide to learning the crucial thinking tools nobody ever taught you. Time and time again, great thinkers such as Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett have credited their success to mental models–representations of how something works that can scale onto other fields. Mastering a small number of mental models enables you to rapidly grasp new information, identify patterns others miss, and avoid the common mistakes that hold people back. The Great Mental Models: Volume 1, General Thinking Concepts shows you how making a few tiny changes in the way you think can deliver big results. Drawing on examples from history, business, art, and science, this book details nine of the most versatile, all-purpose mental models you can use right away to improve your decision making and productivity. This book will teach you how to: Avoid blind spots when looking at problems. Find non-obvious solutions. Anticipate and achieve desired outcomes. Play to your strengths, avoid your weaknesses, … and more. The Great Mental Models series demystifies once elusive concepts and illuminates rich knowledge that traditional education overlooks. This series is the most comprehensive and accessible guide on using mental models to better understand our world, solve problems, and gain an advantage.
Download or read book How to Improve Your Decision Making Skills written by Minghai Zheng and published by Independently Published. This book was released on 2023-07-20 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 1. Are you tired of making poor decisions and struggling with the consequences? 'How to Improve Your Decision Making Skills' is a must-read book for anyone looking to make better decisions and achieve better outcomes. #DecisionMakingSkills #BetterOutcomes #Success 2. Discover the smart techniques for making effective decisions in any situation, from personal to professional. This book provides insights into how to assess risks, gather information, evaluate options, and make confident choices. #EffectiveDecisions #RiskAssessment #OptionEvaluation 3. Find out how to overcome common biases and blind spots that can cloud your judgment. 'How to Improve Your Decision Making Skills' offers advice on recognizing and addressing cognitive biases, and using critical thinking skills to make better decisions. #CognitiveBiases #CriticalThinkingSkills #JudgmentImprovement 4. Explore ways to balance intuition and data-driven approaches to decision making. This book provides guidance on when to trust your gut, and when to rely on objective data and analysis. #Intuition #DataAnalysis #BalancedDecisionMaking 5. Discover how to handle high-pressure situations and make decisions under uncertainty. 'How to Improve Your Decision Making Skills' provides insights into how to manage emotions, reduce stress, and maintain focus when making critical choices. #HighPressureDecisions #StressManagement #Focus Decisions are an inevitable part of life. From small, everyday choices to major life-changing decisions, the ability to make effective decisions is crucial for success in both personal and professional pursuits. Yet, decision making can be challenging as it involves sifting through information, weighing options, and considering the potential consequences of different choices. This book, "How to Improve Your Decision Making Skills: Smart Techniques for Better Outcomes", is a comprehensive guide to helping individuals improve their decision-making abilities. With proven strategies and techniques, this book provides practical advice for making better decisions in all areas of life. Whether you're looking to become a better leader, manage risk more effectively, or simply make smarter decisions in your personal life, this book offers valuable insights and actionable steps to help you improve your decision-making abilities. The book covers a range of topics, including different types of decision making, the decision-making process, data-driven decision making, collaborative decision making, emotional and intuitive decision making, strategic decision making, risk management, overcoming decision-making biases, and more. By reading this book, you will learn how to recognize and overcome common decision-making biases, use data and analysis to make informed decisions, collaborate effectively with others, and make strategic decisions that align with organizational goals and objectives. We hope that this book will be a valuable resource for anyone looking to improve their decision-making skills and achieve better outcomes in all areas of life. MingHai Zheng is the founder of zhengpublishing.com and lives in Wuhan, China. His main publishing areas are business, management, self-help, computers and other emerging foreword fields.
Download or read book Judgment and Decision Making written by Terry Connolly and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2000 with total page 814 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work examines issues such as medical diagnosis, weather forecasting, labour negotiations, risk, public policy, business strategy, eyewitnesses, and jury decisions. This is a revision of Arkes and Hammond's 1986 collection of papers on judgment and decision-making. Updated and extended, the focus of this volume is interdisciplinary and applied.
Download or read book Superforecasting written by Philip E. Tetlock and published by Crown. This book was released on 2015-09-29 with total page 331 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST “The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught? In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They’ve beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They’ve even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters." In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn’t require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future—whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life—and is destined to become a modern classic.
Download or read book Thinking Fast and Slow written by Daniel Kahneman and published by Farrar, Straus and Giroux. This book was released on 2011-10-25 with total page 511 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Major New York Times bestseller Winner of the National Academy of Sciences Best Book Award in 2012 Selected by the New York Times Book Review as one of the ten best books of 2011 A Globe and Mail Best Books of the Year 2011 Title One of The Economist's 2011 Books of the Year One of The Wall Street Journal's Best Nonfiction Books of the Year 2011 2013 Presidential Medal of Freedom Recipient Kahneman's work with Amos Tversky is the subject of Michael Lewis's The Undoing Project: A Friendship That Changed Our Minds In his mega bestseller, Thinking, Fast and Slow, Daniel Kahneman, the renowned psychologist and winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics, takes us on a groundbreaking tour of the mind and explains the two systems that drive the way we think. System 1 is fast, intuitive, and emotional; System 2 is slower, more deliberative, and more logical. The impact of overconfidence on corporate strategies, the difficulties of predicting what will make us happy in the future, the profound effect of cognitive biases on everything from playing the stock market to planning our next vacation—each of these can be understood only by knowing how the two systems shape our judgments and decisions. Engaging the reader in a lively conversation about how we think, Kahneman reveals where we can and cannot trust our intuitions and how we can tap into the benefits of slow thinking. He offers practical and enlightening insights into how choices are made in both our business and our personal lives—and how we can use different techniques to guard against the mental glitches that often get us into trouble. Winner of the National Academy of Sciences Best Book Award and the Los Angeles Times Book Prize and selected by The New York Times Book Review as one of the ten best books of 2011, Thinking, Fast and Slow is destined to be a classic.
Download or read book Noise written by Daniel Kahneman and published by Little, Brown. This book was released on 2021-05-18 with total page 429 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the Nobel Prize-winning author of Thinking, Fast and Slow and the coauthor of Nudge, a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments and how to make better ones—"a tour de force” (New York Times). Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients—or that two judges in the same courthouse give markedly different sentences to people who have committed the same crime. Suppose that different interviewers at the same firm make different decisions about indistinguishable job applicants—or that when a company is handling customer complaints, the resolution depends on who happens to answer the phone. Now imagine that the same doctor, the same judge, the same interviewer, or the same customer service agent makes different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. These are examples of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical. In Noise, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunstein show the detrimental effects of noise in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection. Wherever there is judgment, there is noise. Yet, most of the time, individuals and organizations alike are unaware of it. They neglect noise. With a few simple remedies, people can reduce both noise and bias, and so make far better decisions. Packed with original ideas, and offering the same kinds of research-based insights that made Thinking, Fast and Slow and Nudge groundbreaking New York Times bestsellers, Noise explains how and why humans are so susceptible to noise in judgment—and what we can do about it.
Download or read book The Critical Mind written by Zoe McKey and published by Createspace Independent Publishing Platform. This book was released on 2017-12-21 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Are you often cheated, tricked by others? Do you wish you could think faster and spot logical inconsistencies and lies better? Wish to influence others more? If you want to become a logical thinker instead of an irrational, snap-judging one, this book is for you. Critical thinking skills not only turn you a more logical thinker but also strengthen your decision making muscle, speed up your thinking process, and help you spot thinking errors of others easily. The Critical Mind offers a profound introduction to the rules and principles of critical thinking, giving tips and tricks how to acquire this skill quickly and efficiently. You will find broadly usable and situation-specific advice on how to approach critically your private life, business, friendships, politics, social media, and others. Critical thinking not only saves you time, but often saves you money, helps you prevent tragedies and disappointment, and accumulate resources quicker. - Learn what are the main parts of critical thinking. - The theories and practices of the best critical thinking experts of the world. -Tips to keep your brain in good shape, receptive to thinking fallacies. - Solve your problems with critical thinking. - Become a quicker and better decision maker. Cut out the inefficiencies of your life. The Critical Mind is a good guideline for everyone who wishes to learn the basics of critical thinking and looks for a resource how to advance with the skill. If you work in business, education, healthcare, or you study, you'll find the book equally useful. The book takes a deep peek into the framework of geniuses like Richard Paul and Linda Elder to give you a well-established base on critical thinking. And takes their idea further giving you a mix of the personal experiences of everyday people and studies. - Become a more effective communicator having relevant argument points. - How to apply critical thinking in a group. - Guiding questions that help you think more critically. - Four types of critical thinking exercise to deepen your knowledge each day. The Critical Mind gives you the best theories and practices to become a more successful and better thinker. Know that the people who you admire for their mind aren't aliens, they just use their minds differently. In this book, I unveil how and what they do differently. Discover hidden opportunities, get a solution-oriented mindset, solve difficult tasks, understand the world deeper, and embrace reality as it is. Critical thinking enhances your creativity, logic, intelligence, and helps you navigate through everyday life matters more easily. Think faster, argue better, and succeed more often. Start improving your cognition now with The Critical Mind.
Download or read book Perfectly Confident written by Don A. Moore and published by HarperCollins. This book was released on 2020-05-26 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An expert on the psychology of decision making at Berkeley’s Haas School of Business helps readers calibrate their confidence, arguing that some confidence is good, but overconfidence can hinder growth. A surge of confidence can feel fantastic—offering a rush of energy, even a dazzling vision of the future. It can give us courage and bolster our determination when facing adversity. But if that self-assurance leads us to pursue impossible goals, it can waste time, money, and energy. Self-help books and motivational speakers tell us that the more confident we are, the better. But this way of thinking can lead to enormous trouble. Decades of research demonstrates that we often have an over-inflated sense of self and are rarely as good as we believe. Perfectly Confident is the first book to bring together the best psychological and economic studies to explain exactly what confidence is, when it can be helpful, and when it can be destructive in our lives. Confidence is an attitude that takes into account both personal feelings and the facts. Don Moore identifies the ways confidence behaves in real life and raises thought-provoking questions. How optimistic should you be about an uncertain future? What justifies your confidence in something amorphous and subjective like your attractiveness or sense of humor? Moore reminds us that the key to success is to avoid being both over- and under-confident. In this essential guide, he shows how to become perfectly confident—how to strive for and maintain the well-calibrated, adaptive confidence that can elevate all areas of our lives.
Download or read book Judgment Decision Making and Embodied Choices written by Markus Raab and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2020-11-02 with total page 172 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Judgment, Decision-Making, and Embodied Choices introduces a new concept of embodied choices which take sensorimotor experiences into account when limited time and resources forces a person to make a quick decision. This book combines areas of cognitive psychology and movement science, presenting an integrative approach to understanding human functioning in everyday scenarios. This is the first book focusing on the role of the gut as a second brain, introducing the link to risky behavior. The book's author engages readers by providing real-life experiences and scenarios connecting theory to practice. Discusses the role of gut feelings and the brain-gut behavior connection Demonstrates that behavior influences decision and other people's perceptions about mood or character Includes research on medical decisions and shopping decisions Illustrates how to train embodied choices
