Download or read book Improvement of Economic Forecasts written by Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Understanding Economic Forecasts written by David F. Hendry and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2003 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How to interpret and evaluate economic forecasts and the uncertainties inherent in them.

Download or read book Improvement of Economic Forecasts written by OECD and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Improvement of economic forecasts written by Nick Mansley and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Improvement of Economic Forecasts written by Organisation de coopération et de développement économiques and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book OECD Economic Outlook Volume 2021 Issue 1 written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2021-05-31 with total page 221 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2021 Issue 1, highlights the improved prospects for the global economy due to vaccinations and stronger policy support, but also points to uneven progress across countries and key risks and challenges in maintaining and strengthening the recovery.

Download or read book The Making of National Economic Forecasts written by Lawrence Robert Klein and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2009-01-01 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this valuable volume, Nobel Prize-winner Klein gathers together a group of authors who focus on forecasting models for a number of economies. The variety of the models and the structural differences among them are especially interesting. . . Readers interested in forecasting methodologies will find much of value in this volume. Highly recommended. I. Walter, Choice This important book, prepared under the direction of Nobel Laureate Lawrence R. Klein, shows how economic forecasts are made. It explains how modern developments in information technology have made it possible to forecast frequently at least monthly but also weekly or bi-weekly depending upon the perceived needs of potential forecast users and also on the availability of updated material. The book focuses on forecasts in a diverse range of economies including the United States, China, India, Russia, Germany, Japan, South Korea, and Turkey. At a time of great economic uncertainty, this book makes an important contribution by showing how new information technology can be used to prepare national economic forecasts.

Download or read book Economic Forecasting written by Elia Kacapyr and published by M.E. Sharpe. This book was released on 1996 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Widening the focus from the usual business forecasts, explains the techniques for predicting macroeconomic factors such as economic growth, interest rates, and employment. Reviews the concepts of business cycles and long waves, then describes techniques using economic indicators, time series, econometric models, and consensus. Also considers the evaluation of forecasts. Readers with a solid background in mathematics and statistics should learn now to make forecasts; others should get an intuitive understanding that will improve their interpretation of forecasts by others. Paper edition (unseen), $29.95. Annotation copyright by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR

Download or read book Handbook of Economic Forecasting written by Graham Elliott and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2013-08-23 with total page 667 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics

Download or read book Using Economic Indicators to Improve Investment Analysis written by Evelina M. Tainer and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2006-03-10 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "A virtual bible of how economic indicators are constructed andused. Important tidbits of history are mixed with present-daynuances to explain why we should care about all the economicindicators." ?Allen Grommet, Senior Economist, Cambridge Consumer Credit Index "This book is an indispensable resource for anyone that wants apractical understanding of the economy and how it is measured. Theinformation is clear, concise, and will help investors at alllevels leverage the vast amount of economic data available." ?Jesse Harriott, PhD, Vice President of Research, MonsterWorldwide, Inc. This updated guide to economic indicators -- what they are andwhat they really mean -- covers all major economic indicators, fromGDP to the consumer price index. You'll not only learn what keyeconomic measurements are and how to read and interpret them,you'll discover how to use them to make better, more-informedfinancial, trading, and investing decisions.

Download or read book Overfitting in Judgment based Economic Forecasts The Case of IMF Growth Projections written by Klaus-Peter Hellwig and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-12-07 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I regress real GDP growth rates on the IMF’s growth forecasts and find that IMF forecasts behave similarly to those generated by overfitted models, placing too much weight on observable predictors and underestimating the forces of mean reversion. I identify several such variables that explain forecasts well but are not predictors of actual growth. I show that, at long horizons, IMF forecasts are little better than a forecasting rule that uses no information other than the historical global sample average growth rate (i.e., a constant). Given the large noise component in forecasts, particularly at longer horizons, the paper calls into question the usefulness of judgment-based medium and long-run forecasts for policy analysis, including for debt sustainability assessments, and points to statistical methods to improve forecast accuracy by taking into account the risk of overfitting.

Download or read book The Improvement of Annual Economic Forecasts by Using Non annual Indicators written by Johannes Scheier and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Economic and Business Forecasting written by John E. Silvia and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2014-03-10 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Discover the secrets to applying simple econometric techniques to improve forecasting Equipping analysts, practitioners, and graduate students with a statistical framework to make effective decisions based on the application of simple economic and statistical methods, Economic and Business Forecasting offers a comprehensive and practical approach to quantifying and accurate forecasting of key variables. Using simple econometric techniques, author John E. Silvia focuses on a select set of major economic and financial variables, revealing how to optimally use statistical software as a template to apply to your own variables of interest. Presents the economic and financial variables that offer unique insights into economic performance Highlights the econometric techniques that can be used to characterize variables Explores the application of SAS software, complete with simple explanations of SAS-code and output Identifies key econometric issues with practical solutions to those problems Presenting the "ten commandments" for economic and business forecasting, this book provides you with a practical forecasting framework you can use for important everyday business applications.

Download or read book The Production and Use of Economic Forecasts written by Giles Keating and published by Routledge. This book was released on 1985-01-01 with total page 238 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Can We Improve Perceivec Quality of Economic Forecasts written by Clive William J. Granger and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Can We Improve the Perceived Quality of Economic Forecasts written by Clive William John Granger and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Economic Forecasts and Expectations written by National Bureau of Economic Research and published by New York : National Bureau of Economic Research, distributed by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 1969 with total page 630 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Collection of essays in the evaluation of efficiency in economic forecasting methodology - includes estimates of gross national product, consumption patterns, statistical methods, simulation models, etc. References.