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Book An Improved Estimation to Make Markowitz s Portfolio Optimization Theory Users Friendly and Estimation Accurate with Application on the US Stock Market Investment

Download or read book An Improved Estimation to Make Markowitz s Portfolio Optimization Theory Users Friendly and Estimation Accurate with Application on the US Stock Market Investment written by Pui-lam Leung and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using the Markowitz mean-variance portfolio optimization theory, researchers have shown that the traditional estimated return greatly overestimates the theoretical optimal return, especially when the dimension to sample size ratio p/n is large. Bai, Liu, and Wong (2009) propose a bootstrap-corrected estimator to correct the overestimation, but there is no closed form for their estimator. To circumvent this limitation, this paper derives explicit formulas for the estimator of the optimal portfolio return. We also prove that our proposed closed-form return estimator is consistent when n rightarrow infty and p/n rightarrow y in (0,1). Our simulation results show that our proposed estimators dramatically outperform traditional estimators for both the optimal return and its corresponding allocation under different values of p/n ratios and different inter-asset correlations p, especially when p/n is close to 1. We also find that our proposed estimators perform better than the bootstrap-corrected estimators for both the optimal return and its corresponding allocation. Another advantage of our improved estimation of returns is that we can also obtain an explicit formula for the standard deviation of the improved return estimate and it is smaller than that of the traditional estimate, especially when p/n is large. In addition, we illustrate the applicability of our proposed estimate on the US stock market investment.

Book Efficient Asset Management

Download or read book Efficient Asset Management written by Richard O. Michaud and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2008-03-03 with total page 145 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In spite of theoretical benefits, Markowitz mean-variance (MV) optimized portfolios often fail to meet practical investment goals of marketability, usability, and performance, prompting many investors to seek simpler alternatives. Financial experts Richard and Robert Michaud demonstrate that the limitations of MV optimization are not the result of conceptual flaws in Markowitz theory but unrealistic representation of investment information. What is missing is a realistic treatment of estimation error in the optimization and rebalancing process. The text provides a non-technical review of classical Markowitz optimization and traditional objections. The authors demonstrate that in practice the single most important limitation of MV optimization is oversensitivity to estimation error. Portfolio optimization requires a modern statistical perspective. Efficient Asset Management, Second Edition uses Monte Carlo resampling to address information uncertainty and define Resampled Efficiency (RE) technology. RE optimized portfolios represent a new definition of portfolio optimality that is more investment intuitive, robust, and provably investment effective. RE rebalancing provides the first rigorous portfolio trading, monitoring, and asset importance rules, avoiding widespread ad hoc methods in current practice. The Second Edition resolves several open issues and misunderstandings that have emerged since the original edition. The new edition includes new proofs of effectiveness, substantial revisions of statistical estimation, extensive discussion of long-short optimization, and new tools for dealing with estimation error in applications and enhancing computational efficiency. RE optimization is shown to be a Bayesian-based generalization and enhancement of Markowitz's solution. RE technology corrects many current practices that may adversely impact the investment value of trillions of dollars under current asset management. RE optimization technology may also be useful in other financial optimizations and more generally in multivariate estimation contexts of information uncertainty with Bayesian linear constraints. Michaud and Michaud's new book includes numerous additional proposals to enhance investment value including Stein and Bayesian methods for improved input estimation, the use of portfolio priors, and an economic perspective for asset-liability optimization. Applications include investment policy, asset allocation, and equity portfolio optimization. A simple global asset allocation problem illustrates portfolio optimization techniques. A final chapter includes practical advice for avoiding simple portfolio design errors. With its important implications for investment practice, Efficient Asset Management 's highly intuitive yet rigorous approach to defining optimal portfolios will appeal to investment management executives, consultants, brokers, and anyone seeking to stay abreast of current investment technology. Through practical examples and illustrations, Michaud and Michaud update the practice of optimization for modern investment management.

Book Statistical Inference for Markowitz Efficient Portfolios

Download or read book Statistical Inference for Markowitz Efficient Portfolios written by Yuanyuan Zhu and published by Open Dissertation Press. This book was released on 2017-01-26 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation, "Statistical Inference for Markowitz Efficient Portfolios" by Yuanyuan, Zhu, 朱淵遠, was obtained from The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong) and is being sold pursuant to Creative Commons: Attribution 3.0 Hong Kong License. The content of this dissertation has not been altered in any way. We have altered the formatting in order to facilitate the ease of printing and reading of the dissertation. All rights not granted by the above license are retained by the author. Abstract: Abstract of the thesis entitled ST A TISTICAL INFERENCE FOR MARKOWITZ EFFICIENT POR TFOLIOS Submitted by ZHU, YUANYUAN for the degree of Do ctor of Philosophy at The University of Hong Kong in September 2015 Markowitz mean-v ariance mo del has been the foundation of modern portfolio theory . The Markowitz model attempts to maximize the portfolio expected return for a given level of portfolio risk, or equiv alently to minimize portfolio risk for a given level of expected return. Assuming multivariate normality of the asset returns, the optimal portfolio weights can be treated as a function of the unknown mean vector and covariance matrix. However it has b een criti- cized by many researchers the ineective and unstable performance of the op- timal portfolio under the model. This thesis intends to improve the Markowitz mean-variance model through two new methods. The rst method is to make use of generalized pivotal quantity (GPQ). The GPQ approach is widely used in constructing hypothesis tests and condence interv als. In this thesis, the GPQ approach is used to make statistical inference on the optimal portfolio weights. Dierent approaches are proposed for con- structing point estimator and simultaneous condence interv als for the optimal portfolio weights. Simulation studies has been conducted to compare the GPQ estimators with existing estimators based on Markowitz model, bootstrap andshrinkage methods. The results show that the GPQ based approach results in a smallest mean squared error for the point estimate of the portfolio weights in most cases and satisfactory coverage rate for the simultaneous condence interv als. F urthermore, an application on portfolio re-balancing problem is considered. Results show that the condence intervals help investors decide whether or not to update the p ortfolio weights so as to achieve a higher prot. This thesis not only focuses on the portfolio optimal weights, but also proposes a new estimator for the Sharpe ratio. Sharpe ratio serves as an important measure of the portfolio performance measure. Some researches have been done on the estimation of the distribution of Sharpe ratio when the number of assets is not too large but the sample size is big. This thesis makes use of GPQ to estimate the Sharpe ratio for high-dimensional data or small-sample-size data. The second method attempts to improve the estimation of the unknown cov ariance matrix. Note that the plug-in estimator for the optimal portfolio weights is biased and p erforms po orly due to the estimation error, especially in the cases of high dimensions. Instead of the sample covariance matrix, we consider the scaled sample cov ariance matrix to construct the new estimator for weights. The explicit formulae for both the mean and v ariance of the new estimator are derived. T wo approaches are prop osed to determine the optimal scale parameter of the covariance matrix estimator. Simulation studies show that the new estimators outperform the existing ones, especially when the number of assets is large. In addition, we illustrate the new estimators with an example from the US stock market. DOI: 10.5353/th_b5689290 Subjects: Portfolio management - Statistical methods

Book Portfolio Selection

Download or read book Portfolio Selection written by Harry Markowitz and published by Yale University Press. This book was released on 2008-10-01 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Embracing finance, economics, operations research, and computers, this book applies modern techniques of analysis and computation to find combinations of securities that best meet the needs of private or institutional investors.

Book Improvement of Portfolio Selection

Download or read book Improvement of Portfolio Selection written by Yiyun Fang and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "As one of the most important models in finance, efficient portfolio theory pioneered by Markowitz (1952) has been developed since 1950s. Although it has been widely used in practice, Markowitz's mean-variance model has been questioned about its validity because of its bad estimation performance especially in small samples due to the parameter uncertainty problem. Many strategies have been proposed for the purpose of lower the estimation error of mean-variance model. This paper gives a review of the existing literature with the goal of improving the performance of the Markowitz mean-variance model. We evaluate across five empirical data sets of 11 estimation methods. Among these methods, the combination rules of Tu and Zhou (2010) are practicable in terms of Sharpe ratio, and optimal two-fund rule and shrinkage on the covariance rule are praticable in terms of CEQ return. However, in comparison with the in-sample performance, these models surely still have room to improve."--Author's abstract.

Book Statistical Portfolio Estimation

Download or read book Statistical Portfolio Estimation written by Masanobu Taniguchi and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2017-09-01 with total page 455 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The composition of portfolios is one of the most fundamental and important methods in financial engineering, used to control the risk of investments. This book provides a comprehensive overview of statistical inference for portfolios and their various applications. A variety of asset processes are introduced, including non-Gaussian stationary processes, nonlinear processes, non-stationary processes, and the book provides a framework for statistical inference using local asymptotic normality (LAN). The approach is generalized for portfolio estimation, so that many important problems can be covered. This book can primarily be used as a reference by researchers from statistics, mathematics, finance, econometrics, and genomics. It can also be used as a textbook by senior undergraduate and graduate students in these fields.

Book Portfolio Theory  25 Years After

Download or read book Portfolio Theory 25 Years After written by Harry Markowitz and published by North-Holland. This book was released on 1979 with total page 282 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Portfolio Choice Problems

    Book Details:
  • Author : Nicolas Chapados
  • Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
  • Release : 2011-07-12
  • ISBN : 1461405777
  • Pages : 107 pages

Download or read book Portfolio Choice Problems written by Nicolas Chapados and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-07-12 with total page 107 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This brief offers a broad, yet concise, coverage of portfolio choice, containing both application-oriented and academic results, along with abundant pointers to the literature for further study. It cuts through many strands of the subject, presenting not only the classical results from financial economics but also approaches originating from information theory, machine learning and operations research. This compact treatment of the topic will be valuable to students entering the field, as well as practitioners looking for a broad coverage of the topic.

Book Modern Portfolio Theory

Download or read book Modern Portfolio Theory written by Jack Clark Francis and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-01-18 with total page 576 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A through guide covering Modern Portfolio Theory as well as the recent developments surrounding it Modern portfolio theory (MPT), which originated with Harry Markowitz's seminal paper "Portfolio Selection" in 1952, has stood the test of time and continues to be the intellectual foundation for real-world portfolio management. This book presents a comprehensive picture of MPT in a manner that can be effectively used by financial practitioners and understood by students. Modern Portfolio Theory provides a summary of the important findings from all of the financial research done since MPT was created and presents all the MPT formulas and models using one consistent set of mathematical symbols. Opening with an informative introduction to the concepts of probability and utility theory, it quickly moves on to discuss Markowitz's seminal work on the topic with a thorough explanation of the underlying mathematics. Analyzes portfolios of all sizes and types, shows how the advanced findings and formulas are derived, and offers a concise and comprehensive review of MPT literature Addresses logical extensions to Markowitz's work, including the Capital Asset Pricing Model, Arbitrage Pricing Theory, portfolio ranking models, and performance attribution Considers stock market developments like decimalization, high frequency trading, and algorithmic trading, and reveals how they align with MPT Companion Website contains Excel spreadsheets that allow you to compute and graph Markowitz efficient frontiers with riskless and risky assets If you want to gain a complete understanding of modern portfolio theory this is the book you need to read.

Book Aspects of Multivariate Statistical Theory

Download or read book Aspects of Multivariate Statistical Theory written by Robb J. Muirhead and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2009-09-25 with total page 706 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Wiley-Interscience Paperback Series consists of selected books that have been made more accessible to consumers in an effort to increase global appeal and general circulation. With these new unabridged softcover volumes, Wiley hopes to extend the lives of these works by making them available to future generations of statisticians, mathematicians, and scientists. ". . . the wealth of material on statistics concerning the multivariate normal distribution is quite exceptional. As such it is a very useful source of information for the general statistician and a must for anyone wanting to penetrate deeper into the multivariate field." -Mededelingen van het Wiskundig Genootschap "This book is a comprehensive and clearly written text on multivariate analysis from a theoretical point of view." -The Statistician Aspects of Multivariate Statistical Theory presents a classical mathematical treatment of the techniques, distributions, and inferences based on multivariate normal distribution. Noncentral distribution theory, decision theoretic estimation of the parameters of a multivariate normal distribution, and the uses of spherical and elliptical distributions in multivariate analysis are introduced. Advances in multivariate analysis are discussed, including decision theory and robustness. The book also includes tables of percentage points of many of the standard likelihood statistics used in multivariate statistical procedures. This definitive resource provides in-depth discussion of the multivariate field and serves admirably as both a textbook and reference.

Book Handbook of Portfolio Construction

Download or read book Handbook of Portfolio Construction written by John B. Guerard, Jr. and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-12-12 with total page 796 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Portfolio construction is fundamental to the investment management process. In the 1950s, Harry Markowitz demonstrated the benefits of efficient diversification by formulating a mathematical program for generating the "efficient frontier" to summarize optimal trade-offs between expected return and risk. The Markowitz framework continues to be used as a basis for both practical portfolio construction and emerging research in financial economics. Such concepts as the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT), for example, provide the foundation for setting benchmarks, for predicting returns and risk, and for performance measurement. This volume showcases original essays by some of today’s most prominent academics and practitioners in the field on the contemporary application of Markowitz techniques. Covering a wide spectrum of topics, including portfolio selection, data mining tests, and multi-factor risk models, the book presents a comprehensive approach to portfolio construction tools, models, frameworks, and analyses, with both practical and theoretical implications.

Book Statistics and Data Analysis for Financial Engineering

Download or read book Statistics and Data Analysis for Financial Engineering written by David Ruppert and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-11-08 with total page 638 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial engineers have access to enormous quantities of data but need powerful methods for extracting quantitative information, particularly about volatility and risks. Key features of this textbook are: illustration of concepts with financial markets and economic data, R Labs with real-data exercises, and integration of graphical and analytic methods for modeling and diagnosing modeling errors. Despite some overlap with the author's undergraduate textbook Statistics and Finance: An Introduction, this book differs from that earlier volume in several important aspects: it is graduate-level; computations and graphics are done in R; and many advanced topics are covered, for example, multivariate distributions, copulas, Bayesian computations, VaR and expected shortfall, and cointegration. The prerequisites are basic statistics and probability, matrices and linear algebra, and calculus. Some exposure to finance is helpful.

Book Bayesian Methods in Finance

Download or read book Bayesian Methods in Finance written by Svetlozar T. Rachev and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-02-13 with total page 351 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bayesian Methods in Finance provides a detailed overview of the theory of Bayesian methods and explains their real-world applications to financial modeling. While the principles and concepts explained throughout the book can be used in financial modeling and decision making in general, the authors focus on portfolio management and market risk management—since these are the areas in finance where Bayesian methods have had the greatest penetration to date.

Book Handbook of Financial Econometrics

Download or read book Handbook of Financial Econometrics written by Yacine Ait-Sahalia and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2009-10-19 with total page 809 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This collection of original articles—8 years in the making—shines a bright light on recent advances in financial econometrics. From a survey of mathematical and statistical tools for understanding nonlinear Markov processes to an exploration of the time-series evolution of the risk-return tradeoff for stock market investment, noted scholars Yacine Aït-Sahalia and Lars Peter Hansen benchmark the current state of knowledge while contributors build a framework for its growth. Whether in the presence of statistical uncertainty or the proven advantages and limitations of value at risk models, readers will discover that they can set few constraints on the value of this long-awaited volume. Presents a broad survey of current research—from local characterizations of the Markov process dynamics to financial market trading activity Contributors include Nobel Laureate Robert Engle and leading econometricians Offers a clarity of method and explanation unavailable in other financial econometrics collections

Book Robust Equity Portfolio Management

Download or read book Robust Equity Portfolio Management written by Woo Chang Kim and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2015-11-25 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive portfolio optimization guide, with provided MATLAB code Robust Equity Portfolio Management + Website offers the most comprehensive coverage available in this burgeoning field. Beginning with the fundamentals before moving into advanced techniques, this book provides useful coverage for both beginners and advanced readers. MATLAB code is provided to allow readers of all levels to begin implementing robust models immediately, with detailed explanations and applications in the equity market included to help you grasp the real-world use of each technique. The discussion includes the most up-to-date thinking and cutting-edge methods, including a much-needed alternative to the traditional Markowitz mean-variance model. Unparalleled in depth and breadth, this book is an invaluable reference for all risk managers, portfolio managers, and analysts. Portfolio construction models originating from the standard Markowitz mean-variance model have a high input sensitivity that threatens optimization, spawning a flurry of research into new analytic techniques. This book covers the latest developments along with the basics, to give you a truly comprehensive understanding backed by a robust, practical skill set. Get up to speed on the latest developments in portfolio optimization Implement robust models using provided MATLAB code Learn advanced optimization methods with equity portfolio applications Understand the formulations, performances, and properties of robust portfolios The Markowitz mean-variance model remains the standard framework for portfolio optimization, but the interest in—and need for—an alternative is rapidly increasing. Resolving the sensitivity issue and dramatically reducing portfolio risk is a major focus of today's portfolio manager. Robust Equity Portfolio Management + Website provides a viable alternative framework, and the hard skills to implement any optimization method.

Book Recent Developments in Multivariate and Random Matrix Analysis

Download or read book Recent Developments in Multivariate and Random Matrix Analysis written by Thomas Holgersson and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-09-17 with total page 377 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume is a tribute to Professor Dietrich von Rosen on the occasion of his 65th birthday. It contains a collection of twenty original papers. The contents of the papers evolve around multivariate analysis and random matrices with topics such as high-dimensional analysis, goodness-of-fit measures, variable selection and information criteria, inference of covariance structures, the Wishart distribution and growth curve models.