Download or read book Implied Volatility and Stock Market Speculation written by Ramesh Thimmaraya and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The stability of an economy is directly linked to the stability of the capital markets in which it operates and vice versa. The capital market stability is in turn linked to the asset price dynamics; most of these asset prices are modelled based on expected rate of return. The expected rate of return and direction of markets is determined from the implied market volatility (VIX index). The implied volatility is a forward looking variable which tells about the realised market volatility based of market participant's expectations. Most of the times this implied volatility is over estimated compared to the realised volatility due to the speculative behaviour of the market participants. This speculative behaviour causes virtual dynamics in the implied variables which in turn caused virtual dynamics in the individual asset prices. The virtual dynamics in the asset prices causes the divergence in the realised or fundamental value of the market; which can be attributed to the irrational behavioural of the financial market participants. The present paper aims at understanding the source and level of the speculation, and also an attempt has been made to develop a novel quantitative behavioral framework to understand and rectify this speculative behaviour. An empirical analysis has been carried out on the S&P 500 Index and CBOE VIX Index to validate the proposed model. Some interesting results have been obtained from the present study which clearly shows the quantitative behavioural model has the capability to convergence the expected volatility with the realised market volatility, this helps the market participants, regulators and policy makers to make necessary corrections based on the predicted speculation.

Download or read book The Volatility Course written by George A. Fontanills and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2002-10-11 with total page 360 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It takes a special set of trading skills to thrive in today's intensely volatile markets, where point swings of plus or minus 200 points can occur on a weekly, sometimes daily, basis. The Volatility Course arms stock and options traders with those skills. George Fontanills and Tom Gentile provide readers with a deeper understanding of market volatility and the forces that drive it. They develop a comprehensive road map detailing how to identify its ups and downs. And they describe proven strategies and tools for quantifying volatility and confidently developing plans tailored to virtually any given market condition. The companion workbook provides step-by-step exercises to help you master the strategies outlined in The Volatility Course before putting them into action in the markets.

Download or read book Financial Speculation written by Gerald Ashley and published by Harriman House Limited. This book was released on 2010-08-27 with total page 247 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: When we deal in the financial markets are we investing, speculating or gambling? Does it really matter what we call it? As this book shows, the world of finance is not an easily defined game. Simple labels, such as gambling and speculation, won't help us grasp the underlying forces that drive the markets. It's far more important to understand the behaviour and biases of the players - their actions and motivations are the vital components that drive everything; bubbles, crashes, huge fortunes, reckless borrowing and complex instruments and strategies, all flow from this simple fact. And the markets are not just an external object, to be studied dispassionately under a microscope. How we act within our inner self, and apply our own set of risk and reward values to the seeming chaos of the market, is absolutely crucial. Clearly whatever games that are going on in the market are also going on inside our heads. In this fully updated and revised edition, Gerald Ashley gets to the heart of the financial markets. He draws on a wealth of revealing and instructive market insights, stories and anecdotes, challenges all the tired cliches about speculation, and slaughters many of the outdated sacred cows of finance. The book ranges across all the major asset classes, looks at past masters of the art, examines modern thinking on finance and risk, and assesses the value of experts, economists, chartists, market gurus and analysts. Simple examples are used to explain how the basic tools of finance fit together and how to profit in this often complex and unforgiving landscape.

Download or read book The Theory of Stock Exchange Speculation written by Arthur Crump and published by Good Press. This book was released on 2019-12-05 with total page 114 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Learn the fundamentals of trading in the stock exchange market with this comprehensive guidebook, written in the early 20th century. Although some of the terms might be outdated today, it is still a perfect resource for beginners looking to understand the basics of stock trading. With a focus on cultivating the right temperament for successful speculation, readers will find valuable insights into the mindset and strategies necessary for profitable trading that remains true throughout the ages.

Download or read book Beast on Wall Street written by Robert A. Haugen and published by Pearson. This book was released on 1999 with total page 170 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is now abundantly clear that stock volatility is a contagious disease that spreads virulently from market to market around the world. Price changes in one market drive subsequent price changes in that market as well as in others. In Beast, Haugen makes a compelling case for the fact that even under normal conditions, fully 80 percent of stock volatility is price driven. Moreover, this volatility is far from benign. It acts to reduce the level of investment spending and constitutes a significant and permanent drag on economic growth. Price-driven volatility is unstable. Dramatic and unpredictable explosions in price-driven volatility can send stock markets in a downward spiral and cause significant disruptions in economic activity. Haugen argues that this indeed happened in 1929 and 1930. If volatility in Asian markets persists, it can easily become the source of the problem rather than merely a symptom.

Download or read book New Research in Financial Markets written by Bruno Biais and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2001 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This text reflects research by European scholars into financial economics. Topics include asset pricing in perfect markets, take-over bids, and the interplay between banks and financial markets.

Download or read book Essays on the Impact of Investors Speculation and Disagreements on Security Prices and Trading Volume written by Siu Kai Choy and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Successful Stock Market Speculation a Speculator s Manual written by Thomas Edward Carter and published by Calgary : Mistaya Holdings. This book was released on 1990 with total page 122 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Option Strategies for Earnings Announcements written by Ping Zhou and published by FT Press. This book was released on 2012-10-15 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: By trading on corporate earnings, investors can reliably profit in both up and down markets, while avoiding market risk for nearly the entire quarter. In this book, two leading traders and portfolio managers present specific, actionable techniques anyone can use to capture these sizable profits. Ping Zhou and John Shon have performed an unprecedented empirical analysis of thousands of stocks, reviewing tens of millions of data points associated with option prices, earnings announcement returns, and fundamentals. Their massive analysis has identified consistent opportunities associated with focusing on the magnitude of the market’s reaction to earnings, not its direction. Option Trading Set-Ups for Corporate Earnings News offers concrete guidance for improving the likelihood of making correct forecasts, and managing the risks of incorrect forecasts. It introduces several ways to exploit option trading opportunities around earnings news, discuss crucial issues that most retail investors haven’t considered, and explore aspects of earnings-related option trading that have never been empirically examined and documented before. For example, they identify hidden patterns and potential opportunities based on valuation, industry, volatility, analyst forecasts, seasonality, and trades that immediately follow earnings announcements. Simply put, trading on earnings reports offers immense profit opportunities, if you know how. This book provides incontrovertible facts and detailed strategies, not just theories and anecdotes!

Download or read book Understanding Options written by Michael Sincere and published by Michael Sincere. This book was released on 2006-09-22 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This straightforward, accessible guide clearly explains what options are and how they work, their pros and cons, their relationship with stocks, and how to use them to gain leverage, generate extra income, and protect against adverse price movements.

Download or read book Introduction to Trading and Investing with Options Collection written by Guy Cohen and published by Pearson Education. This book was released on 2011-01-07 with total page 1238 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Your complete three-book options library: up-to-date techniques, crystal-clear explanations, real examples, step-by-step instructions! Three options best-sellers, one great price! Guy Cohen introduces options in plain English, so you can start earning profits fast. W. Edward Olmstead teaches step-by-step how to control risk, safeguard investments, and much more. Then, Michael Thomsett presents 12 conservative strategies for hedging losses, mitigating risk, creating income, and increasing overall returns. From world-renowned leaders and experts, including Guy Cohen, Dr. W. Edward Olmstead, and Michael C. Thomsett.

Download or read book The Economics of Food Price Volatility written by Jean-Paul Chavas and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2014-10-14 with total page 394 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The conference was organized by the three editors of this book and took place on August 15-16, 2012 in Seattle."--Preface.

Download or read book Construction and Construction Materials written by and published by . This book was released on 1947 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Oil Price Volatility and the Role of Speculation written by Samya Beidas-Strom and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-12-12 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How much does speculation contribute to oil price volatility? We revisit this contentious question by estimating a sign-restricted structural vector autoregression (SVAR). First, using a simple storage model, we show that revisions to expectations regarding oil market fundamentals and the effect of mispricing in oil derivative markets can be observationally equivalent in a SVAR model of the world oil market à la Kilian and Murphy (2013), since both imply a positive co-movement of oil prices and inventories. Second, we impose additional restrictions on the set of admissible models embodying the assumption that the impact from noise trading shocks in oil derivative markets is temporary. Our additional restrictions effectively put a bound on the contribution of speculation to short-term oil price volatility (lying between 3 and 22 percent). This estimated short-run impact is smaller than that of flow demand shocks but possibly larger than that of flow supply shocks.

Download or read book The Complete Options Trader written by Michael C. Thomsett and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-05-08 with total page 253 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Options traders rely on a vast array of information concerning probability, risk, strategy components, calculations, and trading rules. Traders at all levels, as well as portfolio managers, must refer to numerous print and online sources, each source only providing part of the information they need. This is less than ideal, as online sources tend to be basic, simplified, and in some cases incorrect. Print sources, on the other hand, are mostly focused on a very narrow range of strategies or trading systems. Up until now, there has been no single source to provide a comprehensive reference for the serious trader. The Complete Options Trader is that much-need comprehensive reference, a compilation of the many attributes options traders need. Thomsett lays out a rich and complete guide to 100 strategies, including profit and loss calculations, illustrations, examples, and much more. A thorough evaluation of these strategies (and the rewards and risk involved) demonstrates how a broad approach to analytically using options can and does enhance portfolio profits with lower levels of risk. The book also features a complete glossary of terms used in the options industry, the most comprehensive glossary of this nature currently available. All too often, the attributes of options trading are poorly understood; risk is ignored or over-simplified; hedging is not folded into a strategic evaluation; and options traders shun the value of holding equity positions. No longer—if options traders rely on this comprehensive guide as the reference for the industry.

Download or read book The Stock Market Bubbles Volatility and Chaos written by G.P. Dwyer and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Gerald P. Dwyer, Jr. and R. W. Hafer The articles and commentaries included in this volume were presented at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis' thirteenth annual economic policy conference, held on October 21-22, 1988. The conference focused on the behavior of asset market prices, a topic of increasing interest to both the popular press and to academic journals as the bull market of the 1980s continued. The events that transpired during October, 1987, both in the United States and abroad, provide an informative setting to test alter native theories. In assembling the papers presented during this conference, we asked the authors to explore the issue of asset pricing and financial market behavior from several vantages. Was the crash evidence of the bursting of a speculative bubble? Do we know enough about the work ings of asset markets to hazard an intelligent guess why they dropped so dramatically in such a brief time? Do we know enough to propose regulatory changes that will prevent any such occurrence in the future, or do we want to even if we can? We think that the articles and commentaries contained in this volume provide significant insight to inform and to answer such questions. The article by Behzad Diba surveys existing theoretical and empirical research on rational bubbles in asset prices.

Download or read book Speculation Trading and Bubbles written by José A. Scheinkman and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 2014-07-08 with total page 137 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As long as there have been financial markets, there have been bubbles—those moments in which asset prices inflate far beyond their intrinsic value, often with ruinous results. Yet economists are slow to agree on the underlying forces behind these events. In this book José A. Scheinkman offers new insight into the mystery of bubbles. Noting some general characteristics of bubbles—such as the rise in trading volume and the coincidence between increases in supply and bubble implosions—Scheinkman offers a model, based on differences in beliefs among investors, that explains these observations. Other top economists also offer their own thoughts on the issue: Sanford J. Grossman and Patrick Bolton expand on Scheinkman's discussion by looking at factors that contribute to bubbles—such as excessive leverage, overconfidence, mania, and panic in speculative markets—and Kenneth J. Arrow and Joseph E. Stiglitz contextualize Scheinkman's findings.