Download or read book Impact of Global Shocks and Volatility on Herd Behavior in an Emerging Market written by Mehmet Balcilar and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper contributes to the literature on the financial integration in international stock markets by examining the dynamic relationship between global factors and herd behavior in an emerging market. Utilizing a time-varying transition probability Markov Switching model (TVTP-MS), we examine the role of global risk factors on investor behavior in Borsa Istanbul, dominated largely by foreign investors who hold a substantial share of the stocks traded in this market. Our tests yield three distinct market regimes - low, high, and extreme volatility - and evidence consistent with herd behavior during both the high and extreme volatility regimes. U.S. market related factors are found to dominate regime transitions and thus significantly contribute to herd behavior in all market sectors with the exception of industrials, suggesting that industrials are relatively immune from global shocks. Multivariate synchronization tests further suggest that herding regimes are perfectly synchronized across all market sectors, implying that none of the sectors can serve as a leading indicator for switching to (or from) the herding regimes.
Download or read book Herd Behavior in Financial Markets written by Sushil Bikhchandani and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Theoretical and Empirical Aspects of Financial Market Volatility written by D. Sumila Tharanga Wanaguru and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 284 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis examines the theoretical and empirical aspects of financial market volatility. Financial markets are essentially volatile. However, excess volatility may impair the smooth functioning of the financial system and economic performance. Volatility that was evident in financial markets during the recent financial crisis, and, even more recently, during the European debt crisis, has attracted renewed interest in studying volatility. The most prominent feature of this crisis was its widespread effects on the financial markets of developed countries, while leaving emerging markets as the success story. The main objectives of this thesis are twofold. The first is to quantify and investigate the nature of the factors behind the transmission of volatility on and among financial markets during the crisis of 2007-2011, with a special focus on developed countries. Both analytical and empirical modeling approaches are used. The analytical approach in Chapter 2 is built up on the herd behavior of international investors, using the role of carry traders' as a conduit. Particular attention is given to modeling the way in which private signals on margin requirements lead some investors to change their decisions, and how their strategic behavior transmits shocks across countries. Chapter 3 adopts an empirical approach using a latent factor methodology, and aims to explore the transmission mechanisms of the crisis through equity and bond markets over different phases of the crisis of 2007-2011. The factor model in particular specifies contagion channels through cross-country and cross-market contagion linkages, after controlling for other forms of fundamentals through the factor structure. The second objective of the thesis is to examine whether and how successfully emerging market central banks attempt to shield their domestic currency market from externally sourced financial market volatility through foreign exchange intervention. Two empirical approaches, the generalized autoregressive heteroskedasticity approach in Chapter 4 and the latent factor approach in Chapter 5, are used to explore the significance and effectiveness of foreign exchange intervention using a unique data set of daily intervention obtained from the Central Bank of Sri Lanka. Overall, this thesis finds strong evidence for the transmission of asset market volatility across developed countries during the crisis of 2007-2011. Through herd behavior and the feedback effects in asset prices and exchange rates, financial markets can be destabilized during crises. Financial market contagion is another significant channel through which the stability in the financial system can be compromised, and several channels of contagion are identified and estimated for different phases of the crisis. However, the relative importance of each contagion channel varies depending on the source asset market and the phase of the crisis. Turning to emerging market responses to periods of global volatility, foreign exchange intervention is found to be an effective policy instrument for shielding against external shocks, as is evident for Sri Lanka. Intervention is aimed to ""lean against the wind"" to reduce volatility and to accumulate international reserves. The central bank responds to global movements in currency markets when intervening, rather than movements specific to the domestic currency market. -- provided by Candidate.
Download or read book Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy written by Matthias Kalkuhl and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-04-12 with total page 620 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides fresh insights into concepts, methods and new research findings on the causes of excessive food price volatility. It also discusses the implications for food security and policy responses to mitigate excessive volatility. The approaches applied by the contributors range from on-the-ground surveys, to panel econometrics and innovative high-frequency time series analysis as well as computational economics methods. It offers policy analysts and decision-makers guidance on dealing with extreme volatility.
Download or read book Papers in ITJEMAST 11 9 2020 written by and published by International Transaction Journal of Engineering, Management, & Applied Sciences & Technologies. This book was released on with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: International Transaction Journal of Engineering, Management, & Applied Sciences & Technologies publishes a wide spectrum of research and technical articles as well as reviews, experiments, experiences, modelings, simulations, designs, and innovations from engineering, sciences, life sciences, and related disciplines as well as interdisciplinary/cross-disciplinary/multidisciplinary subjects. Original work is required. Article submitted must not be under consideration of other publishers for publications.
Download or read book Hedge Funds and Financial Market Dynamics written by Mrs.Anne Jansen and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-05-15 with total page 92 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Hedge funds are collective investment vehicles, often organized as private partnerships and resident offshore for tax and regulatory purposes. Their legal status places few restrictions on their portfolios and transactions, leaving their managers free to use short sales, derivative securities, and leverage to raise returns and cushion risk. This paper considers the role of hedge funds in financial market dynamics, with particular reference to the Asian crisis.
Download or read book Financial Crises Explanations Types and Implications written by Mr.Stijn Claessens and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-01-30 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper briefly reviews theoretical and empirical studies on developments in these markets around financial crises. Second, what are the major types of financial crises? The paper focuses on the main theoretical and empirical explanations of four types of financial crises—currency crises, sudden stops, debt crises, and banking crises—and presents a survey of the literature that attempts to identify these episodes. Third, what are the real and financial sector implications of crises? The paper briefly reviews the short- and medium-run implications of crises for the real economy and financial sector. It concludes with a summary of the main lessons from the literature and future research directions.
Download or read book Emerging Market Finance written by Bang Nam Jeon and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2020-09-28 with total page 227 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This edited volume of International Finance Review examines the rising challenges facing emerging financial markets and institutions. It provides significant insight and policy implications on topics including global banking, risk and contagion, stock market behaviour, financial inclusion in the major emerging economies, and more.
Download or read book Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs written by Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Global Trends 2040 written by National Intelligence Council and published by Cosimo Reports. This book was released on 2021-03 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.
Download or read book Shock Waves written by Stephane Hallegatte and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2015-11-23 with total page 227 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Ending poverty and stabilizing climate change will be two unprecedented global achievements and two major steps toward sustainable development. But the two objectives cannot be considered in isolation: they need to be jointly tackled through an integrated strategy. This report brings together those two objectives and explores how they can more easily be achieved if considered together. It examines the potential impact of climate change and climate policies on poverty reduction. It also provides guidance on how to create a “win-win†? situation so that climate change policies contribute to poverty reduction and poverty-reduction policies contribute to climate change mitigation and resilience building. The key finding of the report is that climate change represents a significant obstacle to the sustained eradication of poverty, but future impacts on poverty are determined by policy choices: rapid, inclusive, and climate-informed development can prevent most short-term impacts whereas immediate pro-poor, emissions-reduction policies can drastically limit long-term ones.
Download or read book Quantifying Systemic Risk written by Joseph G. Haubrich and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2013-01-24 with total page 286 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the aftermath of the recent financial crisis, the federal government has pursued significant regulatory reforms, including proposals to measure and monitor systemic risk. However, there is much debate about how this might be accomplished quantitatively and objectively—or whether this is even possible. A key issue is determining the appropriate trade-offs between risk and reward from a policy and social welfare perspective given the potential negative impact of crises. One of the first books to address the challenges of measuring statistical risk from a system-wide persepective, Quantifying Systemic Risk looks at the means of measuring systemic risk and explores alternative approaches. Among the topics discussed are the challenges of tying regulations to specific quantitative measures, the effects of learning and adaptation on the evolution of the market, and the distinction between the shocks that start a crisis and the mechanisms that enable it to grow.
Download or read book Global Economic Prospects 2010 written by World Bank and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2010-02-12 with total page 187 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “The crisis has deeply impacted virtually every economy in the world, and although growth has returned, much progress in the fight against poverty has been lost. More difficult international conditions in the years to come will mean that developing countries will have to place even more emphasis on improving domestic economic conditions to achieve the kind of growth that can durably eradicate poverty.� —Justin Yifu Lin, Chief Economist and Senior Vice President The World Bank 'Global Economic Prospects 2010: Crisis, Finance, and Growth' explores both the short- and medium-term impacts of the financial crisis on developing countries. Although global growth has resumed, the recovery is fragile, and unless business and consumer demand strengthen, the world economy could slow down again. Even if, as appears likely, a double-dip recession is avoided, the recovery is expected to be slow. High unemployment and widespread restructuring will continue to characterize the global economy for the next several years. Already, the crisis has provoked large-scale human suffering. Some 64 million more people around the world are expected to be living on less than a $1.25 per day by the end of 2010, and between 30,000 and 50,000 more infants may have died of malnutrition in 2009 in Sub-Saharan Africa, than would have been the case if the crisis had not occurred. Over the medium term, economic growth is expected to recover. But increased risk aversion, a necessary and desirable tightening of financial regulations in high-income countries, and measures to reduce the exposure of developing economies to external shocks are likely to make finance scarcer and more costly than it was during the boom period. As a result, just as the ample liquidity of the early 2000s prompted an investment boom and an acceleration in developing-country potential output, higher costs will likely yield a slowing in developing-country potential growth rates of between 0.2 and 0.7 percentage points, and as much as an 8 percent decline in potential output over the medium term. In the longer term, however, developing countries can more than offset the implications of more expensive international finance by reducing the cost of capital channeled through their domestic financial markets. For more information, please visit www.worldbank.org/gep2010. To access Prospects for the Global Economy, an online companion publication, please visit www.worldbank.org/globaloutlook.
Download or read book Safeguarding Food Security in Volatile Global Markets written by Adam Prakash and published by Bright Sparks. This book was released on 2011 with total page 620 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A timely publication as world leaders deliberate the causes of the latest bouts of food price volatility and search for solutions that address the recent velocity of financial, economic, political, demographic, and climatic change. As a collection compiled from a diverse group of economists, analysts, traders, institutions and policy formulators - comprising multiple methodologies and viewpoints - the book exposes the impact of volatility on global food security, with particular focus on the world's most vulnerable.
Download or read book The Asian Financial Crisis written by Morris Goldstein and published by Peterson Institute. This book was released on 1998 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The turmoil that has rocked Asian markets since the middle of 1997, and that is now having such deep effects on the economies in the region, is the third major currency crisis of the 1990s. This study explains how the Asian crisis arose and spread. It then outlines the corrective policy measures that could help end the crisis, and the shortcomings that have been revealed in the international financial system that require reform to reduce the chances of a recurrence.
Download or read book Financial Risk Management and Modeling written by Constantin Zopounidis and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-09-13 with total page 480 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk is the main source of uncertainty for investors, debtholders, corporate managers and other stakeholders. For all these actors, it is vital to focus on identifying and managing risk before making decisions. The success of their businesses depends on the relevance of their decisions and consequently, on their ability to manage and deal with the different types of risk. Accordingly, the main objective of this book is to promote scientific research in the different areas of risk management, aiming at being transversal and dealing with different aspects of risk management related to corporate finance as well as market finance. Thus, this book should provide useful insights for academics as well as professionals to better understand and assess the different types of risk.
Download or read book Research on Pandemics written by Yezhou Sha and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2021-11-24 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The lasting turmoil associated with the unprecedented pandemic, triggered by the novel corona virus COVID-19, has dragged the world into a mud of uncertainty. Fiscal stimulation, interest rate cuts, global supply-chain redeployment, "pandemic bond" and circuit breakers kicked in and the world is responding to this great challenge. But how can finance and economic research help the world under such circumstances? This book dwells on this new area of research and tries to understand how pandemics impact the economic and financial ecosystem of both emerging and advanced economies. Lessons learnt from the experience of previous pandemics maybe presented and discussed through drawing on policy lessons to date. By gathering research on political economy, geopolitical issues, behavioral finance, international institutional responses and medical and health issues resulting from pandemics, the chapters in this edited volume help in expanding the knowledge of social and economic consequences of the pandemic as well as set the foundation for future research. This book would benefit scholars, policy makers and entrepreneurs worldwide as a valuable archive of research on pandemics. The chapters in this book were originally published as a special issue of Emerging Markets Finance and Trade.
