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Book A Research Assistant s Guide to Random Coefficients Discrete Choice Models of Demand

Download or read book A Research Assistant s Guide to Random Coefficients Discrete Choice Models of Demand written by Aviv Nevo and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The study of differentiated-products markets is a central part of empirical industrial organization. Questions regarding market power, mergers, innovation, and valuation of new brands are addressed using cutting-edge econometric methods and relying on economic theory. Unfortunately, difficulty of use and computational costs have limited the scope of application of recent developments in one of the main methods for estimating demand for differentiated products: random coefficients discrete choice models. As our understanding of these models of demand has increased, both the difficulty and costs have been greatly reduced. This paper carefully discusses the latest innovations in these methods with the hope of (1) increasing the understanding, and therefore the trust, among researchers who never used these methods, and (2) reducing the difficulty of use, and therefore aiding in realizing the full potential of these methods.

Book Demand Estimation with Heterogeneous Consumers and Unobserved Product Characteristics

Download or read book Demand Estimation with Heterogeneous Consumers and Unobserved Product Characteristics written by Patrick Bajari and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the identification and estimation of preferences in hedonic discrete choice models of demand for differentiated products. In the hedonic discrete choice model, products are represented as a finite dimensional bundle of characteristics, and consumers maximize utility subject to a budget constraint. Our hedonic model also incorporates product characteristics that are observed by consumers but not by the economist. We demonstrate that, unlike the case where all product characteristics are observed, it is not in general possible to uniquely recover consumer preferences from data on a consumer's choices. However, we provide several sets of assumptions under which preferences can be recovered uniquely, that we think may be satisfied in many applications. Our identification and estimation strategy is a two stage approach in the spirit of Rosen (1974). In the first stage, we show under some weak conditions that price data can be used to nonparametrically recover the unobserved product characteristics and the hedonic pricing function. In the second stage, we show under some weak conditions that if the product space is continuous and the functional form of utility is known, then there exists an inversion between a consumer's choices and her preference parameters. If the product space is discrete, we propose a Gibbs sampling algorithm to simulate the population distribution of consumers' taste coefficients.

Book Flexible Estimation of Random Coefficient Logit Models of Differentiated Product Demand

Download or read book Flexible Estimation of Random Coefficient Logit Models of Differentiated Product Demand written by Johannes Kandelhardt and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Berry, Levinsohn, and Pakes (1995, BLP) model is widely used to obtain parameter estimates of market forces in differentiated product markets. The results are often used as an input to evaluate economic activity in a structural model of demand and supply. Precise estimation of parameter estimates is therefore crucial to obtain realistic economic predictions. The present paper combines the BLP model and the logit mixed logit model of Train (2016) to estimate the distribution of consumer heterogeneity in a flexible and parsimonious way. A Monte Carlo study yields asymptotically normally distributed and consistent estimates of the structural parameters. With access to micro data, the approach allows for the estimation of highly flexible parametric distributions. The estimator further allows to introduce correlations between tastes, yielding more realistic demand patterns without substantially altering the procedure of estimation, making it relevant for practitioners. The BLP estimator is established to yield biased and inconsistent results when the underlying distributional shape is non-normally distributed. An application shows the estimator to perform well on a real world dataset and provides similar estimates as the BLP estimator with the option of specifying consumer heterogeneity as a function of a polynomial, step function or spline, resulting in a flexible estimation procedure.

Book The random coefficients logit model is identified

Download or read book The random coefficients logit model is identified written by Patrick Bajari and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The random coefficients, multinomial choice logit model has been widely used in empirical choice analysis for the last 30 years. We are the first to prove that the distribution of random coefficients in this model is nonparametrically identified. Our approach exploits the structure of the logit model, and so requires no monotonicity assumptions and requires variation in product characteristics within only an infinitesimally small open set. Our identification argument is constructive and may be applied to other choice models with random coefficients.

Book Improving the numerical performance of BLP static and dynamic discrete choice random coefficients demand estimation

Download or read book Improving the numerical performance of BLP static and dynamic discrete choice random coefficients demand estimation written by Jean-Pierre H. Dubé and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The widely-used estimator of Berry, Levinsohn and Pakes (1995) produces estimates of consumer preferences from a discrete-choice demand model with random coefficients, market-level demand shocks and endogenous prices. We derive numerical theory results characterizing the properties of the nested fixed point algorithm used to evaluate the objective function of BLP's estimator. We discuss problems with typical implementations, including cases that can lead to incorrect parameter estimates. As a solution, we recast estimation as a mathematical program with equilibrium constraints, which can be faster and which avoids the numerical issues associated with nested inner loops. The advantages are even more pronounced for forward-looking demand models where Bellman's equation must also be solved repeatedly. Several Monte Carlo and real-data experiments support our numerical concerns about the nested fixed point approach and the advantages of constrained optimization.

Book Improving the Numerical Performance of BLP Static and Dynamic Discrete Choice Random Coefficients Demand Estimation

Download or read book Improving the Numerical Performance of BLP Static and Dynamic Discrete Choice Random Coefficients Demand Estimation written by Jean-Pierre Dubé and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The widely-used estimator of Berry, Levinsohn and Pakes (1995) produces estimates of consumer preferences from a discrete-choice demand model with random coefficients, market-level demand shocks and endogenous prices. We derive numerical theory results characterizing the properties of the nested fixed point algorithm used to evaluate the objective function of BLP's estimator. We discuss problems with typical implementations, including cases that can lead to incorrect parameter estimates. As a solution, we recast estimation as a mathematical program with equilibrium constraints, which can be faster and which avoids the numerical issues associated with nested inner loops. The advantages are even more pronounced for forward-looking demand models where the Bellman equation must also be solved repeatedly. Several Monte Carlo and real-data experiments support our numerical concerns about the nested fixed point approach and the advantages of constrained optimization. For static BLP, the constrained optimization algorithm can be as much as ten to forty times faster.

Book Nonparametric Identification of Endogenous and Heterogeneous Aggregate Demand Models

Download or read book Nonparametric Identification of Endogenous and Heterogeneous Aggregate Demand Models written by Stefan Hoderlein and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Improving the Numerical Performace of BLP Static and Dynamic Discrete Choice Random Coefficients Demand Estimation

Download or read book Improving the Numerical Performace of BLP Static and Dynamic Discrete Choice Random Coefficients Demand Estimation written by Jean-Pierre H. Dubé and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The widely-used estimator of Berry, Levinsohn and Pakes (1995) produces estimates of consumer preferences from a discrete-choice demand model with random coefficients, market-level demand shocks and endogenous prices. We derive numerical theory results characterizing the properties of the nested fixed point algorithm used to evaluate the objective function of BLP's estimator. We discuss problems with typical implementations, including cases that can lead to incorrect parameter estimates. As a solution, we recast estimation as a mathematical program with equilibrium constraints, which can be faster and which avoids the numerical issues associated with nested inner loops. The advantages are even more pronounced for forward-looking demand models where Bellman's equation must also be solved repeatedly. Several Monte Carlo and real-data experiments support our numerical concerns about the nested fixed point approach and the advantages of constrained optimization.

Book Identification and Estimation of Discrete Choice Demand Models when Observed and Unobserved Characteristics are Correlated

Download or read book Identification and Estimation of Discrete Choice Demand Models when Observed and Unobserved Characteristics are Correlated written by Amil Petrin and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The standard Berry, Levinsohn, and Pakes (1995) (BLP) approach to estimation of demand and supply parameters assumes that the product characteristic observed by consumers and producers but not the researcher is conditionally mean independent of observed characteristics. We extend BLP to allow all product characteristics to be endogenous, so the unobserved characteristic can be correlated with the observed characteristics. We derive moment conditions based on the assumption that firms choose product characteristics to maximize expected profits given their beliefs at that time about market conditions and that the "mistake" in the amount of the characteristic that is revealed once all products are on the market is conditionally mean independent of the firm's information set. Using the original BLP dataset we find that observed and unobserved product characteristics are highly positively correlated, biasing demand elasticities upward, as average estimated price elasticities double in absolute value and average markups fall by 50%.

Book Identifying Demand with Multidimensional Unobservables

Download or read book Identifying Demand with Multidimensional Unobservables written by Jeremy T. Fox and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We explore the identification of nonseparable models without relying on the property that the model can be inverted in the econometric unobservables. In particular, we allow for infinite dimensional unobservables. In the context of a demand system, this allows each product to have multiple unobservables. We identify the distribution of demand both unconditional and conditional on market observables, which allows us to identify several quantities of economic interest such as the (conditional and unconditional) distributions of elasticities and the distribution of price effects following a merger. Our approach is based on a significant generalization of the linear in random coefficients model that only restricts the random functions to be analytic in the endogenous variables, which is satisfied by several standard demand models used in practice. We assume an (unknown) countable support for the the distribution of the infinite dimensional unobservables.

Book Nonparametric Identification of Multinomial Choice Demand Models with Heterogeneous Consumers

Download or read book Nonparametric Identification of Multinomial Choice Demand Models with Heterogeneous Consumers written by Steven T. Berry and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We consider identification of nonparametric random utility models of multinomial choice using "micro data," i.e., observation of the characteristics and choices of individual consumers. Our model of preferences nests random coefficients discrete choice models widely used in practice with parametric functional form and distributional assumptions. However, the model is nonparametric and distribution free. It allows choice-specific unobservables, endogenous choice characteristics, unknown heteroskedasticity, and high-dimensional correlated taste shocks. Under standard "large support" and instrumental variables assumptions, we show identifiability of the random utility model. We demonstrate robustness of these results to relaxation of the large support condition and show that when it is replaced with a weaker "common choice probability" condition, the demand structure is still identified. We show that key maintained hypotheses are testable.

Book A Practitioner s Guide to Estimation of Random Coefficients Logit Models of Demand

Download or read book A Practitioner s Guide to Estimation of Random Coefficients Logit Models of Demand written by Aviv Nevo and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Estimation of demand is at the heart of many recent studies that examine questions of market power, mergers, innovation, and valuation of new brands in differentiated-products markets. This paper focuses on one of the main methods for estimating demand for differentiated products: random-coefficients logit models. The paper carefully discusses the latest innovations in these methods with the hope of increasing the understanding, and therefore the trust among researchers who have never used them, and reducing the difficulty of their use, thereby aiding in realizing their full potential.

Book The Blp Method of Demand Curve Estimation in Industrial Organization

Download or read book The Blp Method of Demand Curve Estimation in Industrial Organization written by Eric Bennett Rasmusen and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is an exposition of the BLP method of structural demand estimation using the random-coefficients logit model.

Book Eliminating the Outside Good Bias in Logit Models of Demand with Aggregate Data

Download or read book Eliminating the Outside Good Bias in Logit Models of Demand with Aggregate Data written by Dongling Huang and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The logit model is the most popular tool in estimating demand for differentiated products. In this model, the outside good plays a crucial role because it allows consumers to stop buying the differentiated good altogether if all brands simultaneously become less attractive (for example if a simultaneous price increase occurs). But practitioners lack data on the outside good when only aggregate data is available. The currently accepted procedure is to assume a “market potential” that implicitly defines the size of the outside good (i.e. the number of consumers who considered the product but did not purchase); in practice, this means that an endogenous quantity is approximated by a reasonable guess thereby introducing the possibility of an additional source of error and, most importantly, bias. We provide two contributions in this paper. First, we show that structural parameters can be substantially biased when the assumed market potential does not approximate the outside option correctly. Second, we show how to use panel data techniques to produce unbiased structural estimates by treating the market potential as a fixed effect (known as a “correlated random effect” in the non-linear panel data literature). We explore three possible solutions: a) controlling for the unobservable with market fixed effects, b) specifying the unobservable to be a linear function of the (average) product characteristics, and c) a “demeaned” regression approach. Solution a) is feasible (and preferable) when the number of goods is large relative to the number of markets, whereas b) and c) are attractive when the number of markets is too large. Importantly, we find that all three solutions are nearly as effective in removing the bias. We demonstrate our two contributions in the simple and random coefficients versions of logit via Monte Carlo experiments and with data from the automobile and breakfast cereals markets.