Download or read book Understanding Volatility the Case of the Introduction of Futures Trading in the National Stock Exchange India written by Saurabh Kumar and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 13 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This project attempts to investigate the effect of the introduction of Futures trading in the National Stock Exchange, India (NSE) and get insights into the effect upon the volatility of the NSE. The underlying spot market volatility is estimated using symmetric GARCH methods. Any increase in stock market volatility that has followed the onset of futures trading has generally been taken as justifying the traditional view that the introduction of futures markets induces destabilizing speculation. This has led to calls for greater regulation to minimise any detrimental effects. An alternative view is that futures markets provide an additional route by which information can be transmitted, and, therefore, increased spot market volatility may simply be a consequence of the more frequent arrival, and more rapid processing of information. Thus, futures trading may be fully consistent with efficiently functioning markets.This paper attempts to investigate the change, if any, in the volatility observed in the Indian stock market due to the introduction of futures trading. The change in the volatility is compared not only in absolute levels of volatility but also in terms of the structure of the volatility. This is done to give insights into the way the futures market is influencing the Indian spot market's volatility.

Download or read book Effect of Futures Trading on Spot Market Volatility written by Brajesh Kumar and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study investigates the relationship between futures trading activity and spot market volatility for agricultural, metal, precious metals and energy commodities in Indian commodity derivatives market. This article contributes to the debate whether the futures trading in Indian commodity futures market stabilizes or destabilizes spot market. We explore this issue by modeling contemporaneous as well as dynamic relationship between spot volatility and futures trading activity including trading volume (speculative/day trading) and open interest (hedging). Following Bessembinder and Senguin (1992), we examine contemporaneous relationship through augmented GARCH model in which spot volatility is modeled as GARCH (1,1) process and trading activity is used as explanatory variable. We also decompose futures trading volume and open interest series into expected and unexpected component. The lead-lag relationship between spot price volatility and futures trading volume and open interest is investigated through VAR model. Granger causality tests, forecast error variance decompositions and impulse response function are used to understand the dynamic relationship between these variables. We found that both expected and unexpected futures trading volume affects contemporaneous spot volatility positively. However, in case of agricultural commodities only unexpected volume affects the contemporaneous spot volatility. Granger causality tests, forecast error variance decompositions and impulse response function confirm that the lagged unexpected volatility causes spot price volatility for all commodities. The effect of speculative/day trading activity measured by trading volume on spot market volatility is positive. However, hedging activity measured by open interest does not show significant effect on spot market volatility. We do not find any effect of spot volatility on futures trading activity for most of the commodities.

Download or read book Futures Trading and Spot Market Volatility in India written by Pretimaya Samanta and published by LAP Lambert Academic Publishing. This book was released on 2012-01 with total page 92 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Derivatives in the securities markets were launched mainly with the twofold objective of risk transfer and to enhance liquidity in the underlying cash market and thereby ensuring better market efficiency. In the late 1990s, various derivative instruments were introduced in the equity segment of major markets worldwide. It further complicated the volatility behavior of these markets as derivatives opened new avenues for hedging and speculation. Since futures trading encourage speculation, the debate on the impact of speculators on the cash market volatility intensified with the introduction of futures trading. This constitutes the main research problem of this study and the objectives have been set out in accordance to this phenomenon of the derivatives market. The current research work examines the effect of the introduction of futures trading on the volatility of the underlying cash market in India. The standard univariate GARCH model has been used to capture the time-varying nature of volatility and volatility clustering phenomenon in the data. This research study adds a new dimension to the existing literature on futures trading and will be useful to all the market participants.

Download or read book Index Futures Trading and Spot Market Volatility Evidence from an Emerging Market written by Kiran and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Studies on the impact of futures introduction on the volatility of the underlying index report no increase in the spot volatility after the futures introduction. However, the prior studies do not comment on how exactly the information transmits from the futures market to the spot market. This paper focuses on investigating whether the change in the structure of spot volatility evolution process is due to the futures trading activity. The relation between the Futures trading activity (measured through trading volume and open interest) and spot index volatility is documented, following Bessembinder and Seguin (1992), by partitioning trading activity into expected and shock components by an appropriate ARMA model. The series are then appended in the variance equation through an appropriate ARMA-GARCH model, following Gulen and Mayhew (2000). Further, the study examines the effect of the Sept. 11th terrorist attack has had on the Nifty spot-futures relation.The study concludes that post the Sept. 11th attack, the relation between Futures Trading Activity and Spot volatility has strengthened, implying that the market has become more efficient in assimilating the information into its prices. This is evident in both volume and open interest (expected and activity shock) being significant post Sept. 11 while not being significant pre Sept. 11.

Download or read book Futures Trading Impact on Stock Market Volatility and Hedging Efficiency written by Chandra Bhola and published by Ary Publisher. This book was released on 2023-06-10 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study investigates the impact of futures trading on stock market volatility and hedging efficiency, focusing on the S&P CNX Nifty index and select stocks in India. By conducting a comprehensive analysis, this research aims to examine the relationship between futures trading activity and its influence on market volatility and the effectiveness of hedging strategies. The study utilizes empirical methods to evaluate the effects of futures trading on stock market volatility. It analyzes the S&P CNX Nifty index, which represents the broader market, and specific individual stocks to understand how futures trading impacts price fluctuations and overall market stability. Furthermore, the research assesses the hedging efficiency of futures contracts as risk management tools. It examines whether investors can effectively hedge their positions and reduce portfolio risk through futures trading. By evaluating the effectiveness of hedging strategies in the context of the Indian stock market, this study provides valuable insights for market participants. Overall, this study delves into the impact of futures trading on stock market volatility and hedging efficiency in India. By examining the S&P CNX Nifty index and select stocks, it aims to shed light on the relationship between futures trading and market dynamics. The findings contribute to the understanding of risk management practices and assist investors in making informed decisions related to hedging strategies in the Indian stock market.

Download or read book An Analysis of Price Volatility Trading Volume and Market Depth of Stock Futures Market in India written by Srinivasan Kaliyaperumal and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2018-03-13 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Project Report from the year 2010 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, , course: Ph. D, language: English, abstract: Every modern economy is based on a sound financial system and acts as a monetary channel for productive purpose with effecting economic growth. It encourages saving habit by throwing open and plethora of instrument avenues suiting to the individuals requirements, mobilizing savings from households and other segments and allocating savings into productive usage such as trade, commerce, manufacture etc. Thus a financial system can also be understood as institutional arrangements, through which financial surpluses are mobilized from the units generating surplus income and transferring them to the others in need of them. In nutshell, financial market, financial assets, financial services and financial institutions constitute the financial system. The activities include exchange and holding of financial assets or instruments of different kinds of financial institutions, banks and other intermediaries of the market. Financial markets provide channels for allocation of savings to investment and provide variety of assets to savers in various forms in which the investors can park their funds. At the same time, financial market is one that integral part of the financial system which makes significant contribution to the countries’ economic development. It establishes a link between the demand and supply of long-term capital funds. The economic strength of a country depends squarely on the state of financial market, apart from the productive potential of the country. The efficient allocation of fund by the capital market depends on the state of capital market. All the countries therefore focus more on the functioning of the capital market. Indian financial market has faced many challenges in the process of effecting more efficient allocation and mobilization of capital. It has attained a remarkable degree of growth in the last decade and in continuing to achieve the same in current decade also. Opening up of the economy and adoption of the liberalized economic policies have driven our economy more towards the free market. Over the last few years, financial markets, more specifically the security market were experiencing a lot of structural and regulatory changes. The major constituents of financial market are money market and the capital market catering to the type of capital requirements.

Download or read book Futures Market Determinants of Indian Futures Market written by Babu Jose and published by LAP Lambert Academic Publishing. This book was released on 2013 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Futures Market movement always depends on the fluctuation of the spot market. Elements of the futures market such as Open Interest, Trade volume, Volatility of futures return and Turn over are having direct link with futures return. Underlying Market return is the major influencing factor of the futures market, but the uncertain events of the futures market can be explained by observing the different relation ships of variables in the futures market.Market Depth, Market Volatility and market Trends are having causal relationship with futures return. Market responses and reflections are explained by the study with the help of econometric models like VAR Granger Causality/Block Exogeniety test, Impulse Response Function and Variance Decomposition.Indian stock and derivative markets are so speculative and volatile, the prediction of the movement is very difficult. Daily return series of S&P CNX Nifty and its underlying index from 2000 to 2010 are taken for the analysis. The whole study period is divided in to five stages as per the market movement and structural break of the data series. The empirical results of the study reveals the determinants of the futures market in India.

Download or read book Determinants of Futures Market in India written by Babu Jose and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 11 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In India, spot market return, number of contract, turnover and volatility of the futures market are having short run relationship with futures market return. On the basis of the empirical analysis it is clearly found that spot market is the key factor which predicts the movement of futures market and the trader can depend upon volatility and trading volume to take any decision on futures market trading. In precise, spot market return, volatility of the futures market, turnover and number of contract are the determinants of futures market in India. Spot market return is the major determinants of futures market, indeed variables from futures market itself like open interest and turnover of futures market can be taken in to consideration for determining the futures market return. The empirical study is made with spot return, futures return, volatility of futures return, number of contract, trading volume and open interest of S&P CNX Nifty and its underlying index Nifty-50 for the period 12th June 2000- 30th June 2011 by applying the VAR Granger Causality/Block Exogenity Test.

Download or read book Futures Trading and Market Volatility in Indian Equity Market written by T. Mallikarjunappa and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Impact of Futures and Options on the Underlying Market Volatility written by Sibani Prasad Sarangi and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 10 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides a theoretical background to and empirical evidence of the impact of futures and options on the spot market volatility. This study is based on both closing and opening price returns. The sample data consist of daily opening and closing price returns of Samp;P CNX Nifty, Nifty Junior and Samp;P 500 index from January 1, 1997 to March 31, 2005. Earlier studies have used different time-series techniques like GARCH, IGARCH, ECM, OLS, etc. to access the impact of derivatives on the spot market volatility. The present study uses family of GARCH techniques to capture the time-varying nature of volatility and volatility clustering phenomenon in the data. The empirical evidence suggests that there are no significant changes in the volatility of the spot market of the Samp;P CNX Nifty Index, but the structure of the volatility has been changed to some extent. However, the study also found that the new information is assimilated into prices more rapidly than before, and there is a decline in the persistence of volatility since the inception of futures trading.

Download or read book ABCD Of F O written by Ashok Nahar and published by Ashok Nahar. This book was released on 2019-06-29 with total page 134 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inside This book is targeted for those readers who wish to trade in stock market in India and by this means wish to earn reasonable profits. Specialization in options trading can definitely help you get decent earnings. Basic Education About Derivatives, Futures & Options Option Trading Strategies It’s easy to make profits from the Option trading. Only you need to have your basics clear. Unless you do..You will be wasting your time and losing money. One need to be crystal clear view of your own Stock for Trading Futures & Options. In This Book we have simplified all the basic knowledge needed to be a smart Trader, even though you don’t have much knowledge earlier.. Thanks and regards …… Ashok Nahar

Download or read book RETURNS AND VOLATILITY RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN FUTURES AND SPOT MARKET IN INDIA written by Mohd Atif and published by Mohd Atif. This book was released on 2023-01-22 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: One of the important reasons for the development of derivatives worldwide is economic risk associated with trading in financial assets and commodities. In the last few decades, financial markets have undergone a tremendous change. On one hand, financial markets have been deregulated and on the other hand, financial innovation coupled with advancement in computing technology has made trading mechanism easier and automated. This has led to increased volatility in the financial markets. Fluctuations in economic variables such as interest rates have further increased risk. Management and measurement of risk have undergone a huge change. To mitigate the risk associated with the rapid fluctuations in the financial markets the demand for hedging instruments have increased. One of the most important such risk mitigation instruments is a futures contract.

Download or read book Establishing a Foreign Exchange Futures Market in China written by Mr. Zhongxia Jin and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-11-12 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: During China’s transition toward a more flexible exchange rate, it is essential to further develop its foreign exchange (FX) derivatives markets to meet the growing hedging needs associated with greater exchange rate fluctuations. Although over-the-counter (OTC) FX derivatives markets already exist in China, it lacks a FX futures market that offers critical complementarities. With standardized products, greater transparency and centralized oversight, a FX futures market can better satisfy the hedging needs of small and medium-sized enterprises and enhance regulatory efficiency. To address concerns regarding whether FX futures market will amplify the volatility of spot exchange rates, this paper analyzes the impact of establishing FX futures markets on spot market volatility using data from major emerging market economies. The result shows that FX futures market is not empirically associated with an increase in spot market volatility; in some cases, it is even associated with a decrease in spot market volatility. This paper further suggests that for a well-functioning FX futures market to be established, it is essential for China to substitute the inefficient documentation requirement of underlying exposures with a new set of market-oriented measures for the purpose of prudent regulation.

Download or read book Stock Index Futures Trading and Spot Market Volatility written by George Karathanassis and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates possible spill-over effects on the Spot Market due to the initiation of Futures contracts. According to many analysts there still exists a puzzle regarding the stabilization or destabilization effects of futures contracts. Although the speculative forces (uninformed investors) tend to destabilize the market, rational hedging strategies and the transition of risk allow for stabilization shift. In order to investigate this issue, many researchers during the last decade, have utilized the GARCH framework enriched to capture many stylized financial features, such as the asymmetric response to news and leptokurtosis. However, in this paper the GARCH framework is extended to allow for skewness in the return's distribution and to examine the timing of possible structural changes, while the conditional mean of the process is adjusted to account for time-varying risk premia and for the day of the week effects decomposition. Furthermore, the distinguishing feature of this paper is the SWARCH econometric model, which enables a dynamic regime shifting through a Markov Chain transition matrix. According to the empirical findings on the FTSE-20/ASE futures contract, there exists a significant stabilization effect on the long run, while in the short run this seems to be non-robust.

Download or read book Futures Trading Activity and Stock Price Volatility written by Hendrik Bessembinder and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Farmers Participation in India s Futures Markets written by Kushankur Dey and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-08-23 with total page 145 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Futures markets offer numerous advantages in the marketing of agricultural commodities, and in this context, the book examines the major factors and issues that determine the participation of India’s farmers in the futures markets. These include the efficiency of the futures markets in price discovery, the convergence of spot and futures prices, the dissemination of spot price information, and the socio-economic and exchange-related issues affecting farmer participation. It also examines the factors affecting the demand and supply of participation, and the access to futures trading services. The purpose is to identify different factors that can enhance or constrain farmer participation in the futures markets, which may include market characteristics, institutional features, socio-economic issues, and behavioural aspects of farmer participation. A number of organizations related to rural development, as well as farmer producer companies have sought to facilitate farmer participation in the forward/futures market through offering aggregation and other trading services, and the book also examines these efforts towards the exchange-traded derivative markets and the direct and indirect benefits that accrue. The book also studies the efficiency of futures markets in price discovery and price dissemination applying co-integration tests, and error correction and volatility models, using available data of wheat, rapeseed-mustard, cotton, guar seed, castor, cumin and coriander futures contracts traded in the largest agricultural commodity exchanges in India. Besides, case studies are used to examine and understand the institutional roles of aggregators in aggregation efforts towards the forward/futures market. This book covers several states and locations in India to enhance the representation and validity of the findings. It also examines representative farmer organizations which have obtained institutional membership in the forward or futures markets, and identifies areas of further research. In the current scenario, the book would be of immense importance and relevance to governments, commodity exchanges/markets, aggregators, many private and development organizations, as well as interested researchers and students.

Download or read book Price Discovery and Volatility Spillover in the Agricultural Commodity Futures Market in India written by M Ajoy Kumar and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In 2002, when the government permitted futures trading on most of the commodities and allowed setting up of national level exchanges, trading in agricultural commodities grew very fast with soy oil, soy bean, mustard seed and chana constituting the major share in 2013. The current study attempts to analyze the price behavior in terms of returns as well as volatility between the spot and futures markets for these four commodities. The study uses a combination of VECM and EGARCH models to analyze the data. The study finds existence of long-term equilibrium relationship between the futures and spot prices, with the futures leading the spot. In the short run, futures returns seem to have a stronger impact on the spot returns in most of the commodities.