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Book Forecasting Volume and Price Impact of Earnings Surprises Using Google Insights

Download or read book Forecasting Volume and Price Impact of Earnings Surprises Using Google Insights written by Jedediah Baker and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 10 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the predictability of price and volume movements using Google Insights on equities exhibiting earnings surprise and the association with pre-announcement information searching. The motivation for this paper is to answer two primary research questions. First of all, using more recent stocks earnings surprise, is Google search data a good indicator of investor interest prior to the earnings announcement? Second does the Google data add to the predictability of post earnings volume and pricing direction? Data on earnings surprise were taken from Yahoo Finance and Google search volume data were taken from the Google trends website. While the results found in the analyses above are not highly convincing regarding Google trends data and price movement from earnings surprise, the results on the volume models yielded promising (i.e. significant) results. Moreover, Mean Absolute Error was reduced by approximately 8% when incorporating the Google trends data on volume predictions.

Book Trading on Corporate Earnings News

Download or read book Trading on Corporate Earnings News written by John Shon and published by FT Press. This book was released on 2011-03-09 with total page 225 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Profit from earnings announcements, by taking targeted, short-term option positions explicitly timed to exploit them! Based on rigorous research and huge data sets, this book identifies the specific earnings-announcement trades most likely to yield profits, and teaches how to make these trades—in plain English, with real examples! Trading on Corporate Earnings News is the first practical, hands-on guide to profiting from earnings announcements. Writing for investors and traders at all experience levels, the authors show how to take targeted, short-term option positions that are explicitly timed to exploit the information in companies’ quarterly earnings announcements. They first present powerful findings of cutting-edge studies that have examined market reactions to quarterly earnings announcements, regularities of earnings surprises, and option trading around corporate events. Drawing on enormous data sets, they identify the types of earnings-announcement trades most likely to yield profits, based on the predictable impacts of variables such as firm size, visibility, past performance, analyst coverage, forecast dispersion, volatility, and the impact of restructurings and acquisitions. Next, they provide real examples of individual stocks–and, in some cases, conduct large sample tests–to guide investors in taking advantage of these documented regularities. Finally, they discuss crucial nuances and pitfalls that can powerfully impact performance.

Book The Price Impact of Earnings Surprises

Download or read book The Price Impact of Earnings Surprises written by Eric H. Sorensen and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book The Handbook of Financial Communication and Investor Relations

Download or read book The Handbook of Financial Communication and Investor Relations written by Alexander V. Laskin and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2017-09-07 with total page 542 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first book to offer a global look at the state-of-the-art thinking and practice in investor relations and financial communication Featuring contributions from leading scholars and practitioners in financial communication and related fields—including public relations, corporate communications, finance, and accounting— this volume in the critically acclaimed “Handbooks in Communication and Media” seriesprovides readers with a comprehensive, up-to-date picture of investor relations and financial communications as they are practiced in North America and around the world. The Handbook of Financial Communication and Investor Relations provides an overview of the past, present, and future of investor relations and financial communications as a profession. It identifies the central issues of contemporary investor relations and financial communications practice, including financial information versus non-financial information, intangibles, risk, value, and growth. Authors address key topics of concern to contemporary practitioners, such as socially responsible investing, corporate governance, shareholder activism, ethics, and professionalism. In addition, the book arms readers with metrics and proven techniques for reliably measuring and evaluating the effectiveness of investor relations and financial communications. Bringing together the most up-to-date research on investor relations and financial communication and the insights and expertise of an all-star team of practitioners, The Handbook of Financial Communication and Investor Relations: Explores how the profession is practiced in various regions of the globe, including North America, South America, Europe, the Middle East, India, Australia, and other areas Provides a unique look at financial communication as it is practiced beyond the corporate world, including in families, the medical profession, government, and the not-for-profit sector Addresses “big-picture” strategies as well as specific tactics for financial communication during crises, the use of social media, dealing with shareholder activism, integrated reporting and CSR, and more This book makes an ideal reference resource for undergrads and graduate students, scholars, and practitioners studying or researching investor relations and financial communication across schools of communication, journalism, business, and management. It also offers professionals an up-to-date, uniquely holistic look at best practices in financial communication investor relations worldwide.

Book Tests for Predicting Stock Price Reactions to Earnings Surprises

Download or read book Tests for Predicting Stock Price Reactions to Earnings Surprises written by Rabih Ali Moussawi and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book The Dynamics of Earnings Forecast Management

Download or read book The Dynamics of Earnings Forecast Management written by Dan Bernhardt and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates whether firms manage analyst forecasts to generate positive earnings surprises and the consequences of such forecast management. We first document that firms quot;talk downquot; forecasts. Forecasts of quarterly earnings issued later in the forecasting horizon grow increasingly pessimistic on average. More importantly, the exact timing of changes in earnings forecasts turn out to be a key determinant of whether a firm indeed succeeds at generating positive earnings surprises. In particular, (i) changes in consensus early in the forecast horizon have no effect on the probability that earnings will exceed the consensus, (ii) late forecasts that raise the consensus sharply reduce the probability of a positive earnings surprise, and (iii) late forecasts that lower the consensus sharply raise the probability of a positive earnings surprise. These last two findings are the opposite of what would be predicted if deviations of late forecasts from the consensus were due to new information arrival. We then find evidence that investors are systematically quot;misledquot; by late arriving forecasts. In particular, downward revisions in the consensus lead to large positive cumulative abnormal returns following the earnings announcement. Finally, while the finding that investors reward firms that successfully manage forecasts down might seem to provide a rationale for downward forecast management, this is not so. Specifically, controlling for the extant earnings-consensus forecast differential, the negative impact of downward forecast revisions on stock price dominates the stock price appreciation following the earnings announcement. This begs the question: Firms manage analyst forecasts (down), but why?

Book Earnings Management

Download or read book Earnings Management written by Joshua Ronen and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-08-06 with total page 587 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a study of earnings management, aimed at scholars and professionals in accounting, finance, economics, and law. The authors address research questions including: Why are earnings so important that firms feel compelled to manipulate them? What set of circumstances will induce earnings management? How will the interaction among management, boards of directors, investors, employees, suppliers, customers and regulators affect earnings management? How to design empirical research addressing earnings management? What are the limitations and strengths of current empirical models?

Book Public Disclosure of Corporate Earnings Forecasts

Download or read book Public Disclosure of Corporate Earnings Forecasts written by Francis A. Lees and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Market Response to Earnings Announcements

Download or read book Market Response to Earnings Announcements written by Ki Choong Han and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 318 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Crowdsourced Earnings Forecasts

Download or read book Crowdsourced Earnings Forecasts written by Rajiv D. Banker and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 57 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate how the arrival of Estimize, a provider of crowdsourced earnings forecasts, impacts IBES analysts' forecast timeliness and facilitates market efficiency. We find that IBES analysts become more responsive to earnings announcements and start issuing their quarterly forecasts earlier when faced with competition from Estimize. The Estimize effect is strongest when Estimize quarterly forecasts pose a direct competitive threat to IBES -- when Estimize forecasts are present within 3 days of earnings announcements (i.e., are issued early). Specifically, IBES analysts become more responsive to earnings announcements post Estimize, and issue more than 9% of their one-quarter-ahead forecasts earlier in the quarter when early Estimize coverage is present in the prior quarter. We also document that this increased responsiveness of IBES analysts facilitates market efficiency as it results in greater immediate market reaction to earnings surprises and mostly eliminates the post-earnings-announcement drift.

Book Robust Measures of Earnings Surprises

Download or read book Robust Measures of Earnings Surprises written by Chin-Han Chiang and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Event studies of market efficiency measure an earnings surprise with the consensus error (CE), defined as earnings minus the average of professional forecasts. If a subset of forecasts can be biased, the ideal but difficult to estimate parameter-dependent alternative to CE is a nonlinear filter of individual errors that adjusts for bias. We show that CE is a poor parameter-free approximation for this ideal measure. The fraction of misses on the same side FOM, by discarding the magnitude of misses, offers a far better approximation. FOM performs particularly well against CE in predicting the returns of US stocks, where bias is potentially large, than that of international stocks.

Book Analyst Information Precision and Small Earnings Surprises

Download or read book Analyst Information Precision and Small Earnings Surprises written by Sanjay Bissessur and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study proposes and tests an alternative to the extant earnings management explanation for zero and small positive earnings surprises (i.e., analyst forecast errors). We argue that analysts' ability to strategically induce slight pessimism in earnings forecasts varies with the precision of their information. Accordingly, we predict that the probability that a firm reports a small positive instead of a small negative earnings surprise is negatively related to earnings forecast uncertainty and present evidence consistent with this prediction. Our findings have important implications for the earnings management interpretation of the asymmetry around zero in the frequency distribution of earnings surprises. We demonstrate how empirically controlling for earnings forecast uncertainty can materially change inferences in studies that employ the incidence of zero and small positive earnings surprises to categorize firms as “suspect” of managing earnings.

Book Accounting and Regulation

Download or read book Accounting and Regulation written by Roberto Di Pietra and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-11-05 with total page 424 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since 1998, the world’s leading experts on accounting and regulation have convened in a series of workshops to explore and analyze emerging issues in the field. They have covered a wide array of topics, including corporate governance, auditing, financial disclosure, international standards boards, and the dynamics of markets and institutions. Most recently, they have focused on the role that accounting practices and policies may have played in the global financial crisis of 2008. In this volume, the editors showcase contributions from the workshops that represent the full spectrum of issues and perspectives relating to accounting and regulation. Each paper incorporates the most current examples and references to reflect the latest insights, with an emphasis on exploring future implications for theory and research, practice, and policymaking. ​

Book Investor Information Demand

Download or read book Investor Information Demand written by Michael S. Drake and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 55 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The objective of this study is to investigate factors that influence investor information demand around earnings announcements and to provide insights into how variation in information demand impacts the capital market response to earnings. The internet is one channel through which public information is disseminated to investors and we propose that one way that investors express their demand for public information is via Google searches. We find that abnormal Google search increases about two weeks prior to the earnings announcement, spikes markedly at the announcement, and continues at high levels for a period after the announcement. This finding suggests that information diffusion is not instantaneous with the release of the earnings information, but rather is spread over a period surrounding the announcement. We also find that information demand is positively associated with media attention and news, and is negatively associated with investor distraction. When investors search for more information in the days just prior to the announcement, pre-announcement price and volume changes reflect more of the upcoming earnings news and there is less of a price and volume response when the news is announced. This result suggests that when investors demand more information about a firm, the information content of the earnings announcement is partially preempted.

Book Streetwise

    Book Details:
  • Author : Peter L. Bernstein
  • Publisher : Princeton University Press
  • Release : 2021-07-13
  • ISBN : 1400829402
  • Pages : 338 pages

Download or read book Streetwise written by Peter L. Bernstein and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2021-07-13 with total page 338 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Streetwise brings together classic articles from the publication that helped revolutionize the way Wall Street does business. During the recession of the early 1970s, investment professionals turned to the theories of a small band of mathematical economists, whose ideas on such topics as portfolio development and risk management eventually led to the reform and maintenance of entire economies. This was the first time economists and practitioners had joined forces to such remarkable effect. Economist and money manager Peter Bernstein sought to encourage this exchange when, in 1974, he founded The Journal of Portfolio Management (JPM). For this present volume, Bernstein and JPM editor Frank Fabozzi have selected forty-one of the most influential articles to appear in the journal over the past twenty-five years, some of them written by Nobel laureates and all aimed at stimulating dialogue between academic economists wishing to understand the real-world problems of finance and investment professionals wanting to bring the most advanced theoretical work to bear on commerce. Financial economics is a youthful but vital field. Streetwise not only reflects its fascinating history but through articles on topics ranging from stock prices and risk management to bonds and real estate also offers relevant insights for today. The contributors are: R. Akhoury, R. D. Arnott, G. L. Bergstrom, G. O. Bierwag, F. Black, R. Bookstaber, K. Cholerton, R. Clarke, D. M. Cutler, C. P. Dialynas, P. O. Dietz, D. H. Edington, M. W. Einhorn, J. Evnine, R. Ferguson, P. M. Firstenberg, H. R. Fogler, F. Garrone, R. Grieves, R. C. Grinold, D. J. Hardy, D. P. Jacob, B. I. Jacobs, R. H. Jeffrey, R. N. Kahn, G. G. Kaufman, M. Kritzman, R. Lanstein, C. M. Latta, M. L. Leibowitz, K. N. Levy, R. Lochoff, R. W. McEnally, K. R. Meyer, E. M. Miller, A. F. Perold, P. Pieraerts, J. M. Poterba, K. Reid, R. R. Reitano, R. Roll, B. Rosenberg, S. A. Ross, M. Rubinstein, A. Rudd, P. A. Samuelson, R. Schweitzer, C. Seix, W. F. Sharpe, B. Solnik, L. H. Summers, A. L. Toevs, J. L. Treynor, A. Weinberger, and R. C. Zisler.

Book Digital Transformation in the Viral Age

Download or read book Digital Transformation in the Viral Age written by Abhishek Kathuria and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on with total page 141 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Intermediate Accounting  Volume 1

Download or read book Intermediate Accounting Volume 1 written by Donald E. Kieso and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2019-04-16 with total page 850 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the unbound, loose-leaf version of Intermediate Accounting, 17th Edition, Volume 1. This book is written by industry thought leaders, Kieso, Weygandt, and Warfield and is developed around one simple proposition: create great accountants. Upholding industry standards, this edition incorporates new data analytics content and up-to-date coverage of leases, revenue recognition, financial instruments, and US GAAP & IFRS. While maintaining its reputation for accuracy, comprehensiveness, and accessibility, Intermediate Accounting drives results by helping students build professional competencies through reliable problem material.