Download or read book Forecasting Uncertainty and Public Project Appraisal written by Jock R. Anderson and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1989 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A measure of the probability of commodity price forecasts is not necessary for most project analysis, but it does give users a realistic view of the forecast's precision -- and imposes a useful discipline on the forecaster.

Download or read book Forecasting Uncertainty and Public Project Appraisal written by Jock R. Anderson and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A measure of the probability of commodity price forecasts is not necessary for most project analysis, but it does give users a realistic view of the forecast's precision -- and imposes a useful discipline on the forecaster.

Download or read book Techniques for Project Appraisal Under Uncertainty written by Shlomo Reutlinger and published by Johns Hopkins University Press. This book was released on 1970 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The appraisal of events that have uncertain outcomes is discussed with particular reference to a feasible method for evaluating the riskiness of investment projects. The essence of the uncertainty problem is that many of the variables affecting the outcome of a particular plan are outside of the planner's control. Uncertainty, which is relevant for most decisions, is best characterized in terms of a decision agent's subjective beliefs about probabilities. The probabilistic approach lends itself best to an appraisal of possible outcomes of a project that is affected by uncertainties from many sources. Probability judgments about many basic variables and parameters affecting the final outcome can be aggregated into an estimate of the probability distribution of that final outcome. This aggregation method is demonstrated for calculation of the economic returns of a project. The method of approximation by a simulated sample is described, and its application to probability distribution rates of returns from actual projects is explained. The preparation of a mathematical model is detailed, emphasizing the usefulness of computerized calculations. Fourteen tables and nine figures are provided.

Download or read book Forecasting Uncertainly and Public Project Appraisal written by Jock R. Anderson and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Uncertainty and Public Project Appraisal written by J. R. Anderson and published by . This book was released on 1987-02-01 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Engineering Project Appraisal written by Martin Rogers and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-07-03 with total page 396 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In most cases of civil engineering development, a range of alternative schemes meeting project goals are feasible, so some form of evaluation must be carried out to select the most appropriate to take forward. Evaluation criteria usually include the economic, environmental and social contexts of a project as well as the engineering challenges, so engineers must be familiar with the processes and tools used. The second edition of Engineering Project Appraisal equips students with the understanding and analytical tools to carry out effective appraisals of alternative development schemes, using both economic and non-economic criteria. The building blocks of economic appraisal are covered early, leading to techniques such as net present worth, internal rate of return and annual worth. Cost Benefit Analysis is dealt with in detail, together with related methods such as Cost Effectiveness and the Goal Achievement Matrix. The text also details three multi-criteria models which have proved useful in the evaluation of proposals in the transportation, solid waste, energy and water resources fields: the Simple Additive Weighting (SAW) Model, the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) technique and Concordance Analysis. There is a full discussion dealing with risk and uncertainty in these models. With many worked examples and case studies, Engineering Project Appraisal is an essential text for both undergraduate and postgraduate students on professional civil engineering courses, and it is expected that students on planning and construction management courses will find it a valuable addition to their reading.

Download or read book Technological Change from Inside written by Ashoka Mody and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1989 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book A Policy Model for Tunisia with Real and Financial Flows written by Martha De Melo and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on with total page 71 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Hospital Management Staffing and Training Issues written by Julio Frenk and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1989 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Do Price Increases for Staple Foods Help Or Hurt the Rural Poor written by Martin Ravallion and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1989 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the short run the rural rich in Bangladesh are likely to gain, and the rural poor to lose, from an increase in the relative price of food staples in a food producing economy. But in the long run the welfare of a typical poor household will be neutral to such price increases (after allowing for wage adjustment), and the poorest households will benefit somewhat.

Download or read book Achieving and Sustaining Universal Primary Education written by Nat J. Colletta and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1989 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book The Cost effectiveness of National Training Systems in Developing Countries written by Christopher Dougherty and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1989 with total page 169 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Credit Cooperatives in Israeli Agriculture written by Yoav Kislev and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1989 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many businesses suffered with the introduction of anti-inflationary policies in 1985. Only in agriculture did a whole sector -- cooperatives -- collapse financially. The reasons for this failure lie in the character and operating mode of Israeli cooperative credit.

Download or read book Shifting Patterns of Comparative Advantage Manfactured Exports of Developing Countries written by Alexander J. Yeats and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1989 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Labor -intensive goods are the developing countries' strongest export items -- and the United States is the chief import market for these goods. What's more, the industrial countries can expect increasing competition in the 1990s in clothing, footwear, leather products, wood manufactures, and some primary metal manufactures.

Download or read book PRE Working Papers written by and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1990 with total page 86 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Australian National Bibliography written by and published by National Library Australia. This book was released on 1978 with total page 1734 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Appraisal Risk and Uncertainty written by Nigel J. Smith and published by Thomas Telford. This book was released on 2003-11-28 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Projects need to achieve strategic goals and to that end must work in different levels of uncertainty. Engineers must be aware of methods to operate in ambiguous situations. This book offers one of the first integrated approaches to these three topics based on the views of experts in these disciplines.