Download or read book Shaping Tomorrow s World written by Elke Seefried and published by Berghahn Books. This book was released on 2024-05-01 with total page 616 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Shaping Tomorrow’s World tells the crucial story of how futures studies developed in West Germany, Europe, the US and within global futures networks from the 1940s to the 1980s. It charts the emergence of different approaches and thought styles within the field ranging from Cold War defense intellectuals such as Herman Kahn to critical peace activists like Robert Jungk. Engaging with the challenges of the looming nuclear war, the changing phases of the Cold War, ‘1968’, and the growing importance of both the Global South and environmentalism, this book argues that futures scholars actively contributed to these processes of change. This multiple award-winning study combines national and transnational perspectives to present a unique history of envisioning, forecasting, and shaping the future.
Download or read book Forecasting Guide written by United States. Weather Bureau and published by . This book was released on 1960 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Forecast for Life written by Ron Craycraft and published by Xulon Press. This book was released on 2005-06 with total page 170 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Your personal forecast is reporting what is expected-in advance-just as weather forecasters do. With encouragement from Forecast For Life, you can reach for the best you can be in Christ!
Download or read book Forecasting the 10 hour Timelag Fuel Moisture written by Michael A. Fosberg and published by . This book was released on 1977 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Forecast Verification written by Ian T. Jolliffe and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-12-30 with total page 316 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecast Verification: A Practioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science, 2nd Edition provides an indispensible guide to this area of active research by combining depth of information with a range of topics to appeal both to professional practitioners and researchers and postgraduates. The editors have succeeded in presenting chapters by a variety of the leading experts in the field while still retaining a cohesive and highly accessible style. The book balances explanations of concepts with clear and useful discussion of the main application areas. Reviews of first edition: "This book will provide a good reference, and I recommend it especially for developers and evaluators of statistical forecast systems." (Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society; April 2004) "...a good mixture of theory and practical applications...well organized and clearly written..." (Royal Statistical Society, Vol.168, No.1, January 2005) NEW to the second edition: Completely updated chapter on the Verification of Spatial Forecasts taking account of the wealth of new research in the area New separate chapters on Probability Forecasts and Ensemble Forecasts Includes new chapter on Forecasts of Extreme Events and Warnings Includes new chapter on Seasonal and Climate Forecasts Includes new Appendix on Verification Software Cover image credit: The triangle of barplots shows a novel use of colour for visualizing probability forecasts of ternary categories – see Fig 6b of Jupp et al. 2011, On the visualisation, verification and recalibration of ternary probabilistic forecasts, Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. (in press).
Download or read book Forecasting the 10 hour Timelag Fuel Moisture written by Robert C. Szaro and published by . This book was released on 1977 with total page 910 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Avalanche dynamics equations are used to estimate flow heights, velocities, specific thrust pressure, maximum specific weight of avalanche debris, and runout distance for 12 avalanche case studies from the Colorado Rocky Mountains. Suggestions are made for using this engineering approach for avalanche zoning and land use planning.
Download or read book Completing the Forecast written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2006-11-09 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainty is a fundamental characteristic of weather, seasonal climate, and hydrological prediction, and no forecast is complete without a description of its uncertainty. Effective communication of uncertainty helps people better understand the likelihood of a particular event and improves their ability to make decisions based on the forecast. Nonetheless, for decades, users of these forecasts have been conditioned to receive incomplete information about uncertainty. They have become used to single-valued (deterministic) forecasts (e.g., "the high temperature will be 70 degrees Farenheit 9 days from now") and applied their own experience in determining how much confidence to place in the forecast. Most forecast products from the public and private sectors, including those from the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration's National Weather Service, continue this deterministic legacy. Fortunately, the National Weather Service and others in the prediction community have recognized the need to view uncertainty as a fundamental part of forecasts. By partnering with other segments of the community to understand user needs, generate relevant and rich informational products, and utilize effective communication vehicles, the National Weather Service can take a leading role in the transition to widespread, effective incorporation of uncertainty information into predictions. "Completing the Forecast" makes recommendations to the National Weather Service and the broader prediction community on how to make this transition.
Download or read book Extreme Environmental Events written by Robert A. Meyers and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-11-03 with total page 1273 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Extreme Environmental Events is an authoritative single source for understanding and applying the basic tenets of complexity and systems theory, as well as the tools and measures for analyzing complex systems, to the prediction, monitoring, and evaluation of major natural phenomena affecting life on earth. These phenomena are often highly destructive, and include earthquakes, tsunamis, volcanoes, climate change,, and weather. Early warning, damage, and the immediate response of human populations to these phenomena are also covered from the point of view of complexity and nonlinear systems. In 61 authoritative, state-of-the art articles, world experts in each field apply such tools and concepts as fractals, cellular automata, solitons game theory, network theory, and statistical physics to an understanding of these complex geophysical phenomena.
Download or read book Managing Organizations for Sport and Physical Activity written by Packianathan Chelladurai and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2014-04-15 with total page 786 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Managing Organizations for Sport and Physical Activity, fourth edition, presents a clear and concise treatment of managing organizations in sport and physical activity. The four functions of management--planning, organizing, leading, and evaluating--provide a general framework that represents the simplest and best approach for introducing readers to the intricacies of management. For each management function, Chelladurai presents relevant theories and their practical applications, citing those theoretical models that are most appropriate to the unique aspects of the sports industry. He uses the open systems perspective, placing organizations in the context of their environment and emphasizing the manager's role in adapting and reacting to changes in that environment. To apply theory to sport management practices, Chelladurai provides numerous examples from the fields of physical activity and sport, including professional sports, intercollegiate athletics, health and sports clubs, and recreation/fitness programs. New to the Fourth Edition A chapter on service quality, which describes the notion of quality in sport management services--from the local fitness center to the pro sport arena. It also discusses the measurement of service quality and the gaps in translating customer expectations into the desired service. A new feature providing "An Expert's View," which offers additional perspectives on relevant topics contributed by scholars who research and publish in a specific area. New sidebars on current topics relevant to the field of sport management; some examples include US Track and Field's SMART goal setting as well as genes and technology of leadership. Pedagogical Aids Developing Your Perspective. Thought-provoking questions ask learners to apply theoretical information to contexts relevant to them from their current experiences or in their future careers. Managing Your Learning. Key points from each chapter enhance comprehension. Strategic Concepts. Key terms lists provide for a shared vocabulary in discussing the major concepts of management. In Brief. Short summaries of the important points in a section help crystallize concepts. To Recap. Brief boxes revisit key concepts discussed earlier in the book. Extensive references to journals, scholarly texts, and relevant websites.
Download or read book Introductory Econometrics for Finance written by Chris Brooks and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2019-03-28 with total page 729 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Offers econometrics for finance students with no prior knowledge of the field. Includes case studies, examples and extensive online support.
Download or read book Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences written by Daniel S. Wilks and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2019-06-09 with total page 842 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences, Fourth Edition, continues the tradition of trying to meet the needs of students, researchers and operational practitioners. This updated edition not only includes expanded sections built upon the strengths of the prior edition, but also provides new content where there have been advances in the field, including Bayesian analysis, forecast verification and a new chapter dedicated to ensemble forecasting. - Provides a strong, yet concise, introduction to applied statistics that is specific to atmospheric science - Contains revised and expanded sections on nonparametric tests, test multiplicity and quality uncertainty descriptors - Includes new sections on ANOVA, quantile regression, the lasso and other regularization methods, regression trees, changepoint detection, ensemble forecasting and exponential smoothing
Download or read book The Beginner s Guide to Data Science written by Robert Ball and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-11-15 with total page 251 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book discusses the principles and practical applications of data science, addressing key topics including data wrangling, statistics, machine learning, data visualization, natural language processing and time series analysis. Detailed investigations of techniques used in the implementation of recommendation engines and the proper selection of metrics for distance-based analysis are also covered. Utilizing numerous comprehensive code examples, figures, and tables to help clarify and illuminate essential data science topics, the authors provide an extensive treatment and analysis of real-world questions, focusing especially on the task of determining and assessing answers to these questions as expeditiously and precisely as possible. This book addresses the challenges related to uncovering the actionable insights in “big data,” leveraging database and data collection tools such as web scraping and text identification. This book is organized as 11 chapters, structured as independent treatments of the following crucial data science topics: Data gathering and acquisition techniques including data creation Managing, transforming, and organizing data to ultimately package the information into an accessible format ready for analysis Fundamentals of descriptive statistics intended to summarize and aggregate data into a few concise but meaningful measurements Inferential statistics that allow us to infer (or generalize) trends about the larger population based only on the sample portion collected and recorded Metrics that measure some quantity such as distance, similarity, or error and which are especially useful when comparing one or more data observations Recommendation engines representing a set of algorithms designed to predict (or recommend) a particular product, service, or other item of interest a user or customer wishes to buy or utilize in some manner Machine learning implementations and associated algorithms, comprising core data science technologies with many practical applications, especially predictive analytics Natural Language Processing, which expedites the parsing and comprehension of written and spoken language in an effective and accurate manner Time series analysis, techniques to examine and generate forecasts about the progress and evolution of data over time Data science provides the methodology and tools to accurately interpret an increasing volume of incoming information in order to discern patterns, evaluate trends, and make the right decisions. The results of data science analysis provide real world answers to real world questions. Professionals working on data science and business intelligence projects as well as advanced-level students and researchers focused on data science, computer science, business and mathematics programs will benefit from this book.
Download or read book Predictive Analytics written by Conrad Carlberg and published by Que Publishing. This book was released on 2017-07-13 with total page 585 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: EXCEL 2016 PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS FOR SERIOUS DATA CRUNCHERS! Now, you can apply cutting-edge predictive analytics techniques to help your business win–and you don’t need multimillion-dollar software to do it. All the tools you need are available in Microsoft Excel 2016, and all the knowledge and skills are right here, in this book! Microsoft Excel MVP Conrad Carlberg shows you how to use Excel predictive analytics to solve real problems in areas ranging from sales and marketing to operations. Carlberg offers unprecedented insight into building powerful, credible, and reliable forecasts, helping you gain deep insights from Excel that would be difficult to uncover with costly tools such as SAS or SPSS. Fully updated for Excel 2016, this guide contains valuable new coverage of accounting for seasonality and managing complex consumer choice scenarios. Throughout, Carlberg provides downloadable Excel 2016 workbooks you can easily adapt to your own needs, plus VBA code–much of it open-source–to streamline especially complex techniques. Step by step, you’ll build on Excel skills you already have, learning advanced techniques that can help you increase revenue, reduce costs, and improve productivity. By mastering predictive analytics, you’ll gain a powerful competitive advantage for your company and yourself. Learn the “how” and “why” of using data to make better decisions, and choose the right technique for each problem Capture live real-time data from diverse sources, including third-party websites Use logistic regression to predict behaviors such as “will buy” versus “won’t buy” Distinguish random data bounces from real, fundamental changes Forecast time series with smoothing and regression Account for trends and seasonality via Holt-Winters smoothing Prevent trends from running out of control over long time horizons Construct more accurate predictions by using Solver Manage large numbers of variables and unwieldy datasets with principal components analysis and Varimax factor rotation Apply ARIMA (Box-Jenkins) techniques to build better forecasts and clarify their meaning Handle complex consumer choice problems with advanced logistic regression Benchmark Excel results against R results
Download or read book Forecast Ozone Levels Using a Time Series Model Plus Principal Component Triggers written by Pao-Wen Grace Liu and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Production and Operations Analytics written by Steven Nahmias and published by Waveland Press. This book was released on 2020-10-01 with total page 847 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Nahmias and Olsen skillfully blend comprehensive coverage of topics with careful integration of mathematics. The authors’ decades of experience in the field contributed to the success of previous editions; the eighth edition continues the long tradition of excellence. Clearly written, reasonably priced, with an abundance of expertly formulated practice problems and updated examples, this textbook is essential reading for analyzing and improving all facets of operations. Some of the material in the newest edition has been reorganized. For example, the first chapter introduces service strategy, the product/process matrix and flexible manufacturing systems, benchmarking, the productivity frontier, the innovation curve, and lean production as a strategy. The focus is slightly more international. The analysis of capacity growth planning now appears in the chapter on supply chain analytics. Aggregate planning details were added to chapter 3, including chase and level strategies in an appendix to the chapter. There is an expanded discussion on risk pooling in the chapter on supply chain strategy. The mechanics behind lean production are included in the chapter on push and pull production systems. The chapter on quality and assurance downplays sampling in favor of discussions of quality management, process capability, and the waste elimination side of lean. The separate chapter on facilities layout and location was eliminated and the information redistributed throughout the text. The authors reinforce the learning process through key points at the beginning of each chapter to guide the reader, snapshots that provide useful examples of applications to businesses, and historical notes that provide a context for the topics discussed. Production and Operations Analytics, 8/e provides the tools for adapting to the dynamic global marketplace.
Download or read book Forecast for the Rush written by Ron Craycraft and published by Xulon Press. This book was released on 2006-05 with total page 165 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Harnessing the genie science and technology forecasting for the Air Force 1944 1986 written by and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on with total page 238 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
