Download or read book Forecasting in Military Affairs written by Юрий Васильевич Чуев and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 286 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book provides a rather broad review on an international scale of recent thinking on the subject of scientific planning, forecasting, and decisionmaking as it relates to the military. The scientific approach to these matters is observed to be highly essential in an age in which scientific and technical development gives rise to rapid changes in weapons and techniques. The results of the use of nuclear weapons are likely to be such as to deny decisionmakers the luxury approach to their task. Scientific forecasting is proposed as a means of ensuring the rapid production of soundly based information on which to make proper decisions in military affairs. It is not put forth as a substitute for the thinking of talented and experienced military experts but as a means for them to achieve their decisions in a more timely and scientific manner. The authors employ a mathematical-statistical approach in arriving at their hypotehtical forecasts, and, particulary because of the numerous examples of forecasting situations to which these techniques are applied, those involved or interested in the activity should be able to confirm their understanding of the methods of arrival at the various conclusions.
Download or read book Forecasting in Military Affairs written by Jurij Vasil'evic Cuev and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Forecasting in Military Affairs written by and published by . This book was released on 1979 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Forecasting in Military Affairs written by Yu. V. Chuyev and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 230 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Forecasting in Military Affairs written by Yu V. Chuyev and published by International Law & Taxation Pub. This book was released on 2004-11-01 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book analyzes existing and developing methods of forecasting (heuristic, mathematical, and composite) and examines their use in solving various military problems. It demonstrates the errors inherent in all the methods and how they affect the results of decisions that can be made and the final results of operations. The fields of application of particular methods are discussed and concrete examples are given. The book is intended for a wide range of military readers and for workers in industry and related educational institutions.
Download or read book Forecasting in Military Affairs written by Yu. V. Chuyev and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 230 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Forecasting in Military Affairs written by Yu V. Chuyev and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Forecasting in military affairs written by Ûrij Vasilʹevič Čuev and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 230 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Methodology of Foresight and Forecasting in Soviet Military Affairs written by Jacob W. Kipp and published by . This book was released on 1988* with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In spite of a growing body of Soviet military literature which expressly addresses the problem of foresight and forecasting in military affairs, very little has been written on this important topic in the West. Professor John Erickson has pointed out that 'Forecasting has become something of a favourite Soviet pasttime' indeed more than that, for it has been endowed with a certain ideological rectitude ... ' Forecasting (prognozirovanie), which includes highly sophisticated techniques employed in operations research and systems analysis, in this context, has become a basic tool in the exercise of foresight (predvidenie), and foresight in the political and military realms is viewed as a weapon, which the skilled commander wields against his opponent. While Soviet authors freely acknowledge all the difficulties associated with foresight in military affairs, making it much more difficult than in other realms, they still see the skill as a key to victory over an opponent. (fr).
Download or read book Forecasting in Military Affairs written by I︠U︡riĭ Vasilʹevich Chuev and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book provides a rather broad review on an international scale of recent thinking on the subject of scientific planning, forecasting, and decisionmaking as it relates to the military. The scientific approach to these matters is observed to be highly essential in an age in which scientific and technical development gives rise to rapid changes in weapons and techniques. The results of the use of nuclear weapons are likely to be such as to deny decisionmakers the luxury approach to their task. Scientific forecasting is proposed as a means of ensuring the rapid production of soundly based information on which to make proper decisions in military affairs. It is not put forth as a substitute for the thinking of talented and experienced military experts but as a means for them to achieve their decisions in a more timely and scientific manner. The authors employ a mathematical-statistical approach in arriving at their hypothetical forecasts, and, particularly because of the numerous examples of forecasting situations to which these techniques are applied, those involved or interested in the activity should be able to confirm their understanding of the methods of arrival at the various conclusions.
Download or read book Armed Conflict in the 21st Century The Information Revolution and Post Modern Warfare written by and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on with total page 129 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Armed Conflict in the 21st Century written by Steven Metz and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 140 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Battlefield of the Future written by Barry R. Schneider and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The authors of the essays in this book focus on issues relating to strategy and war fighting as the world moves into the twenty-first century. In these ten essays, the authors examine the debate over the future of airpower, the unique threat of biological warfare, the impact of the information revolution on warfare, and how changes in military technology might require a rethinking of the principles of warfare. These authors address whether new military technologies, new organization for warfare, and new strategies for employing forces on future battlefields will produce a revolution in military affairs.
Download or read book Long Term Projections of Power Political Economic and Military Forecasting written by Oskar Morgenstern and published by Cambridge, Mass : Ballinger Publishing Company. This book was released on 1973 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Monograph presenting a critique of long term forecasting techniques operationally useful for predicting the shape of political power and technological capacity in the future - comprises a literature survey of major projections to the year 2000, and examines their relevance to armed forces power, economic systems, environmental problems, research and development efforts, etc. Bibliography pp. 217 to 224, references and statistical tables.
Download or read book Battlefield of the Future written by Air University Press and published by . This book was released on 2017-04-08 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a book about strategy and war fighting in the midst of a revolution in military affairs as the world moves into the twenty-first century. Its 11 essays examine topics such as military operations against a well-armed rogue state or NASTT (NBC-arming sponsor of terrorism and intervention) state; the potential of parallel warfare strategy for different kinds of states; the revolutionary potential of information warfare; the lethal possibilities of biological warfare; and the elements of an ongoing revolution in military affairs (RMA). The book's purpose is to focus attention on the operational problems, enemy strategies, and threats that will confront US national security decision makers in the twenty-first century. The participating authors are either professional military officers or civilian professionals who specialize in national security issues. Two of the architects of the US air campaign in the 1991 Gulf War have contributed essays that discuss the evolving utility of airpower to achieve decisive results and the lessons that might portend for the future of warfare. In "Principles of War on the Battlefield of the Future," which sets the tone for the book, Dr. Barry Schneider examines how traditional principles of war may have to be reassessed in light of a proliferation of weapons of mass destruction (WMD) among third world states. Regarding the principle of "mass," traditional theory dictated that forces be massed for an offensive breakthrough. But Schneider argues that, against an enemy armed with WMD, dispersed of one's forces may, in fact, be more prudent, and fighting by means of "disengaged combat" prior to a decisive strike may be necessary. This requires high coordination and "superior targeting and damage assessment intelligence, combined with superior high-tech weapons." Still, the United States and its allies would not likely be able to dominate a future battlefield even with advanced conventional arms if they did not have close-in air bases to operate from and thereby to achieve air dominance over the battle space. Therefore, while it sounds good, striking from outside the enemy's range is not a real option for long if the enemy is mounting a ground campaign that is closing in on vital areas. Local air, sea, and ground power will be needed to contain the adversary forces and roll them back. This means local air bases and seaports must be available and protected. Contents * Introduction * 1 Principles of War for the Battlefield of the Future * Barry R. Schneider * Overview: New Era Warfare? A Revolution In Military Affairs? * 2 New-Era Warfare * Gen Charles A. Horner, USAF, (Ret.) * 3 The Revolution in Military Affairs * Jeffrey McKitrick, James Blackwell, Fred Littlepage, George Kraus, Richard Blanchfield and Dale Hill * Overview: Future Airpower and Strategy Issues * 4 Air Theory for the Twenty-First Century * Col John A. Warden III, USAF * 5 Parallel War and Hyperwar: Is Every Want a Weakness? * Col Richard Szafranski, USAF * Overview: Information Warfare Issues * 6 Information War - Cyberwar - Netwar * George Stein * 7 Information Warfare: Impacts and Concerns * Col James W. McLendon, USAF * Overview: Biological Warfare Issues * 8 The Biological Weapon: A Poor Nation's Weapon of Mass Destruction * Lt Col Terry N. Mayer, USAF * 9 Twenty-First Century Germ Warfare * Lt Col Robert P. Kadlec, MD, USAF * 10 Biological Weapons for Waging Economic Warfare * Lt Col Robert P. Kadlec, MD, USAF * 11 On Twenty-First Century Warfare * Lawrence E. Grinter and Dr. Barry R. Schneider
Download or read book Soviet Future War written by ARMY COMBINED ARMS CENTER FORT LEAVENWORTH KS SOVIET ARMY STUDIES OFFICE. and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 85 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Contents: The Methodology of Foresight and Forecasting in Soviet Military Affairs; Impact of the Dialectical Process: Periods of Military Development; The Future Development of the Soviet Army: Weaponry, Military Doctrine, and Military Organizations; Foresight and Forecasting from the Soviet Military Encyclopedia; Anticipated Directions for Change in Tactics of Ground Troops from the Polish Ground Forces Review. (sdw).
