Download or read book Fiscal Policy in Debt Constrained Economies written by Mark Aguiar and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study optimal fiscal policy in a small open economy (SOE) with sovereign and private default risk. The SOE's government uses linear taxation to fund exogenous expenditures and uses public debt to inter-temporally allocate tax distortions. We characterize a class of environments in which the tax on labor goes to zero in the long run, while the tax on capital income may be non-zero, reversing the standard prediction of the Ramsey tax literature. The zero labor tax is an optimal long run outcome if the private agents are impatient relative to the international interest rate and the economy is subject to sovereign debt constraints. The front loading of labor taxes allows the economy to build a large (aggregate) debt position in the presence of limited commitment. We show that a similar result holds in a closed economy with imperfect inter-generational altruism -- National Bureau of Economic Research web site.

Download or read book Debt Reduction Fiscal Adjustment and Growth in Credit Constrained Economies written by Mr.Emanuele Baldacci and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-11-22 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper assesses the effects of fiscal consolidations associated with public debt reduction on medium-term output growth during periods of private debt deleveraging. The analysis covers 107 countries and 79 episodes of public debt reduction driven by discretionary fiscal adjustments during 1980–2012. It shows that expenditure-based, front-loaded fiscal adjustments can dampen growth when there are credit supply restrictions. Instead, fiscal adjustments that are gradual and rely on a mix of revenue and expenditure measures can support output expansion, while reducing public debt. In this context, protecting public investment is critical for medium-term growth, as is the implementation of supply-side, productivity-enhancing reforms.

Download or read book The Economics of the Government Budget Constraint written by Stanley Fischer and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1989 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy Debt Crisis and Management written by Mr.Cristiano Cantore and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-03-30 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The initial government debt-to-GDP ratio and the government’s commitment play a pivotal role in determining the welfare-optimal speed of fiscal consolidation in the management of a debt crisis. Under commitment, for low or moderate initial government debt-to-GPD ratios, the optimal consolidation is very slow. A faster pace is optimal when the economy starts from a high level of public debt implying high sovereign risk premia, unless these are suppressed via a bailout by official creditors. Under discretion, the cost of not being able to commit is reflected into a quick consolidation of government debt. Simple monetary-fiscal rules with passive fiscal policy, designed for an environment with “normal shocks”, perform reasonably well in mimicking the Ramsey-optimal response to one-off government debt shocks. When the government can issue also long-term bonds–under commitment–the optimal debt consolidation pace is slower than in the case of short-term bonds only, and entails an increase in the ratio between long and short-term bonds.

Download or read book Fiscal Buffers Private Debt and Stagnation written by Nicoletta Batini and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-05-23 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We revisit the empirical relationship between private/public debt and output, and build a model that reproduces it. In the model, the government provides financial assistance to credit-constrained agents to mitigate deleveraging. As we observe in the data, surges in private debt are potentially more damaging for the economy than surges in public debt. The model suggests two policy implications. First, capping leverage leads to milder recessions, but also implies more muted expansions. Second, with fiscal buffers, financial assistance to credit-constrained agents helps avoid stagnation. The growth returns from intervention decline as the government approaches the fiscal limit.

Download or read book Sovereign Risk Fiscal Policy and Macroeconomic Stability written by Giancarlo Corsetti and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-01-01 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the impact of strained government finances on macroeconomic stability and the transmission of fiscal policy. Using a variant of the model by Curdia and Woodford (2009), we study a "sovereign risk channel" through which sovereign default risk raises funding costs in the private sector. If monetary policy is constrained, the sovereign risk channel exacerbates indeterminacy problems: private-sector beliefs of a weakening economy may become self-fulfilling. In addition, sovereign risk amplifies the effects of negative cyclical shocks. Under those conditions, fiscal retrenchment can help curtail the risk of macroeconomic instability and, in extreme cases, even stimulate economic activity.

Download or read book Jointly Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Policy Rules under Borrowing Constraints written by Mr.Michael Kumhof and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-12-01 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the welfare properties of an economy where both monetary and fiscal policy follow simple rules, and where a subset of agents is borrowing constrained. The optimized fiscal rule is far more aggressive than automatic stabilizers, and stabilizes the income of borrowingconstrained agents, rather than output. The optimized monetary rule features super-inertia and a very low coefficient on inflation, which minimizes real wage volatility. The welfare gains of optimizing the fiscal rule are far larger than the welfare gains of optimizing the monetary rule. The preferred fiscal instruments are government spending and transfers targeted to borrowing-constrained agents.

Download or read book Government Spending Effects in a Policy Constrained Environment written by Ruoyun Mao and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-06-12 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The theoretical literature generally finds that government spending multipliers are bigger than unity in a low interest rate environment. Using a fully nonlinear New Keynesian model, we show that such big multipliers can decrease when 1) an initial debt-to-GDP ratio is higher, 2) tax burden is higher, 3) debt maturity is longer, and 4) monetary policy is more responsive to inflation. When monetary and fiscal policy regimes can switch, policy uncertainty also reduces spending multipliers. In particular, when higher inflation induces a rising probability to switch to a regime in which monetary policy actively controls inflation and fiscal policy raises future taxes to stabilize government debt, the multipliers can fall much below unity, especially with an initial high debt ratio. Our findings help reconcile the mixed empirical evidence on government spending effects with low interest rates.

Download or read book Macroeconomic Management When Policy Space is Constrained written by Vitor Gaspar and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-09-28 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: TBD

Download or read book Fiscal Policy Economic Adjustment and Financial Markets written by Mr.Mario Monti and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1989-06-15 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Edited by Mario Monti, this volume contains the proceedings of a seminar that was held in Milan at the Centre for Financial and Monetary Economics, Universitá Luigi Bocconi. Participants included government officials, academicians, and economists; they provide a many-faceted view of fiscal policy at the domestic level and in the broader context of international policy coordination.

Download or read book External Constraints on Macroeconomic Policy written by George Alogoskoufis and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1991 with total page 428 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book from the Centre for Economic Policy Research deals with the implications of the exchange rate regimes and capital flows of the 1990s for government macroeconomic policy-making and EC policy co-ordination.

Download or read book Fiscal Policy Public Debt and Monetary Policy in Emerging Market Economies written by Bank for International Settlements. Monetary and Economic Department and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Fiscal Adjustment for Stability and Growth written by Mr.James Daniel and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-08-17 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The pamphlet (which updates the 1995 Guidelines for Fiscal Adjustment) presents the IMF’s approach to fiscal adjustment, and focuses on the role that sound government finances play in promoting macroeconomic stability and growth. Structured around five practical questions—when to adjust, how to assess the fiscal position, what makes for successful adjustment, how to carry out adjustment, and which institutions can help—it covers topics such as tax policies, debt sustainability, fiscal responsibility laws, and transparency.

Download or read book Fiscal Policy Rules written by Mr.George Kopits and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-07-22 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What are fiscal policy rules? What are the principal benefits and drawbacks associated with various fiscal rules, particularly compared with alternative approaches to fiscal adjustment? Can fiscal rules contribute to long-run sustainability and welfare without sacrificing short-run stabilization? If so, what characteristics of fiscal rules make this contribution most effective? And in what circumstances and contexts, if any should the IMF encourage its member countries to adopt fiscal rules? This paper seeks to identify sensible fiscal policy rules that can succeed, if chosen by a member country, as an alternative to descretionary fiscal rules.

Download or read book The Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Stimulating Economic Activity written by Richard Hemming and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2002-12 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews the theoretical and empirical literature on the effectiveness of fiscal policy. The focus is on the size of fiscal multipliers, and on the possibility that multipliers can turn negative (i.e., that fiscal contractions can be expansionary). The paper concludes that fiscal multipliers are overwhelmingly positive but small. However, there is some evidence of negative fiscal multipliers.

Download or read book Fiscal and Debt Policies for the Future written by P. Arestis and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-04-30 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers detailed analysis and informed comment on the future of emerging economic policies. It is essential reading for all postgraduates and scholars looking for expert discussion and debate on the issues surrounding economic policy.

Download or read book What Really Drives Public Debt written by Pablo Anaya and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-06-25 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a novel approach to detail the propagation of shocks to public debt. The modeling technique involves a structural vector auto-regression (SVAR) estimator with an endogenous debt accumulation equation. It explores how the main drivers of sovereign debt dynamics—the primary balance, the interest rate, growth and inflation—interact with each other. Such analysis is particularly useful for debt sustainability analysis. We find that some interactions exacerbate the impact of shocks to the accumulation of debt, while others act to stabilize debt dynamics. Furthermore, the choice of monetary policy regime plays an important role in these debt dynamics – countries with constrained monetary policy are more at risk from changes in market sentiment and must rely much more on fiscal policy to constrain debt.