Download or read book Firm Characteristics Industry Horizon and Time Effects in the Cross Section of Expected Stock Returns written by Rob Bauer and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We construct a panel data model to explain the cross-section of individual stock returns, using monthly data for 1,880 large US firms for 1985-2005. Model specification is geared towards multiple explanatory variables, poolability across industries, alternative forecast horizons, and the effects of unobserved heterogeneity among firms. We find that combining multiple firm characteristics increases the predictive power. High expected returns are mostly related to size, cashflow-to-price and turnover, and somewhat to earnings revisions and momentum. Diversified portfolios sorted on expected returns have moderate risk exposures and generate significant risk-adjusted returns over all horizons. Longer forecasting horizons drastically reduce portfolio turnover and hence lower costs.
Download or read book Firm Characteristics and the Cross Section of Covariance Risk written by Chris Kirby and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I analyze the cross-section of covariance risk for individual stocks using a new type of multivariate volatility model in which firm characteristics serve as time-varying loadings on fundamental factors. The evidence points to strong linkages between firm characteristics and covariance risk, and also reveals that cross-sectional differences in covariance risk explain much of the cross-sectional variation in expected excess stock returns. I find, for example, that the fundamental factors perform at least as well as the Fama-French factors in regression-based pricing tests. In view of its tractability and performance, the proposed model should find use in a variety of applications.
Download or read book Statistics of Random Processes II written by Robert Shevilevich Lipt︠s︡er and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2001 with total page 428 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Written by two renowned experts in the field, the books under review contain a thorough and insightful treatment of the fundamental underpinnings of various aspects of stochastic processes as well as a wide range of applications. Providing clear exposition, deep mathematical results, and superb technical representation, they are masterpieces of the subject of stochastic analysis and nonlinear filtering....These books...will become classics." --SIAM REVIEW
Download or read book Aggregation of Information About the Cross Section of Stock Returns written by Nathaniel Light and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose a new approach for estimating expected returns on individual stocks from a large number of firm characteristics. We treat expected returns as latent variables and apply the partial least squares (PLS) estimator that filters them out from the characteristics under an assumption that the characteristics are linked to expected returns through one or few common latent factors. The estimates of expected returns constructed by our approach from twenty six firm characteristics generate a wide cross-sectional dispersion of realized returns and outperform estimates obtained by alternative techniques. Our results also provide evidence of commonality in asset pricing anomalies.
Download or read book Stocks Bonds Bills and Inflation written by Roger G. Ibbotson and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 202 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Cross Section of Expected Stock Returns Revisited written by Jean-Paul Sursock and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 122 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Handbook of Corporate Finance written by Bjørn Espen Eckbo and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2007-05-21 with total page 559 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Judging by the sheer number of papers reviewed in this Handbook, the empirical analysis of firms’ financing and investment decisions—empirical corporate finance—has become a dominant field in financial economics. The growing interest in everything “corporate is fueled by a healthy combination of fundamental theoretical developments and recent widespread access to large transactional data bases. A less scientific—but nevertheless important—source of inspiration is a growing awareness of the important social implications of corporate behavior and governance. This Handbook takes stock of the main empirical findings to date across an unprecedented spectrum of corporate finance issues, ranging from econometric methodology, to raising capital and capital structure choice, and to managerial incentives and corporate investment behavior. The surveys are written by leading empirical researchers that remain active in their respective areas of interest. With few exceptions, the writing style makes the chapters accessible to industry practitioners. For doctoral students and seasoned academics, the surveys offer dense roadmaps into the empirical research landscape and provide suggestions for future work. *The Handbooks in Finance series offers a broad group of outstanding volumes in various areas of finance *Each individual volume in the series should present an accurate self-contained survey of a sub-field of finance *The series is international in scope with contributions from field leaders the world over
Download or read book Firm Characteristics Covariances and Cross sectional Expected Returns written by Pengqin Gao and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 159 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I investigate the relationship among firm characteristics, conditional covariance structure of stock returns, and cross-sectional expected returns. In the first chapter of my dissertation, I explore the (abnormal) return covariance pattern of S & P 500 stocks. Their covariance pattern, without being associated with any common factors, is explicitly linked to firm characteristics such as size, momentum, and accounting-based fundamentals. I propose a new covariance estimator based on this observation. In comparison to factor-based covariance models, a characteristic-based covariance model brings substantial diversification benefits and utility gains for a risk-averse investor seeking a global minimum variance portfolio and an optimal tangency portfolio, respectively.
Download or read book Predicting Stock Returns Using Industry Relative Firm Characteristics written by Clifford S. Asness and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Better proxies for the information about future returns contained in firm characteristics such as size, book-to-market equity, cash flow-to-price, percent change in employees, and various past return measures are obtained by breaking these explanatory variables into two industry-related components. The components represent (1) the difference between firms' own characteristics and the average characteristics of their industries (within-industry variables), and (2) the average characteristics of firms' industries (across-industry variables). Each variable is reliably priced within-industry and measuring the variables within-industry produces more precise estimates than measuring the variables in their more common form. Contrary to Moskowitz and Grinblatt [1999], we find that within-industry momentum (i.e., the firm's past return less the industry average return) has predictive power for the firm's stock return beyond that captured by across-industry momentum. We also document a significant short-term (one-month) industry momentum effect which remains strongly significant when we restrict the sample to only the most liquid firms.
Download or read book Commonality in the Determinants of Expected Stock Returns written by Robert A. Haugen and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Evidence is presented that the determinants of the cross-section of expected stock returns are stable in their identity and influence from period to period and from country to country. The determinants are related to risk, liquidity, price-level, growth potential, and stock price history. Out-of-sample predictions of expected return, using trailing moving average values for the payoffs to these firm characteristics, are strongly and consistently accurate. Moreover, the stocks with higher expected and realized return rates of return are generally and unambiguously of lower risk than stocks with lower returns. Given the nature of the tests, it is highly unlikely that these results may be attributed to bias or data snooping. Consequently, the results seem to reveal a major failure in the Efficient Markets Hypothesis.
Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Wayne Ferson and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2019-03-12 with total page 497 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.
Download or read book Roughing Up Beta written by Tim Bollerslev and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 65 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate how individual equity prices respond to continuous and jumpy market price moves and how these different market price risks, or betas, are priced in the cross section of expected stock returns. Based on a novel high-frequency data set of almost one thousand stocks over two decades, we find that the two rough betas associated with intraday discontinuous and overnight returns entail significant risk premiums, while the intraday continuous beta does not. These higher risk premiums for the discontinuous and overnight market betas remain significant after controlling for a long list of other firm characteristics and explanatory variables.
Download or read book The Extreme Bounds of the Cross section of Expected Stock Returns written by J. Benson Durham and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book A theory of firm characteristics and stock returns the role of investment specific shocks written by Leonid Kogan and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 67 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We provide a theoretical model linking firm characteristics and expected returns. The key ingredient of our model is technological shocks embodied in new capital (IST shocks), which affect the profitability of new investments. Firms' exposure to IST shocks is endogenously determined by the fraction of firm value due to growth opportunities. In our structural model, several firm characteristics - Tobin's Q, past investment, earnings-price ratios, market betas, and idiosyncratic volatility of stock returns - help predict the share of growth opportunities in the firm's market value, and are therefore correlated with the firm's exposure to IST shocks and risk premia. Our calibrated model replicates: i) the predictability of returns by firm characteristics; ii) the comovement of stock returns on firms with similar characteristics; iii) the failure of the CAPM to price portfolio returns of firms sorted on characteristics; iv) the time-series predictability of market portfolio returns by aggregate investment and valuation ratios; and v) a downward sloping term structure of risk premia for dividend strips. Our model delivers testable predictions about the behavior of firm-level real variables - investment and output growth - that are supported by the data.
Download or read book Evidence on the Characteristics of Cross Sectional Variation in Stock Returns written by and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: Firm size and book-to-market ratios are both highly correlated with the returns of common stocks. Fama and French (1993) have argued that the association between these firm characteristics and their stock returns arises because size and book-to-market ratios are proxies for non-diversifiable factor risk. In contrast, the evidence in this paper indicates that the return premia on small capitalization and high book-to-market stocks does not arise because of the co-movements of these stocks with pervasive factors. It is the firm characteristics and not the covariance structure of returns that explain the cross-sectional variation in stock returns.
Download or read book Firm Characteristics and Stock Returns written by Leonid Kogan and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Average return differences among firms sorted on valuation ratios, past investment, prof-itability, market beta, or idiosyncratic volatility are largely driven by differences in exposures offirms to the same systematic factor related to embodied technology shocks. Using a calibratedstructural model, we show that these firm characteristics are correlated with the ratio of growthopportunities to firm value, which affects firms' exposures to capital-embodied productivityshocks and risk premia. We thus provide a unified explanation for several apparent anomalies inthe cross-section of stock returns--namely, predictability of returns by these firm characteristicsand return comovement among firms with similar characteristics.
Download or read book Evidence on the Characteristics of Cross Sectional Variation in Stock Returns written by Kent D. Daniel and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Firm size and book-to-market ratios are both highly correlated with the returns of common stocks. Fama and French (1993) have argued that the association between these firm characteristics and their stock returns arises because size and book-to-market ratios are proxies for non-diversifiable factor risk. In contrast, the evidence in this paper indicates that the return premia on small capitalization and high book-to-market stocks does not arise because of the co-movements of these stocks with pervasive factors. It is the firm characteristics and not the covariance structure of returns that explain the cross-sectional variation in stock returns.
