Download or read book Extremal Families and Systems of Sufficient Statistics written by Steffen L. Lauritzen and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 1988-11-28 with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book surveys results in the area sometimes denoted as "partial exchangeability" of "de Finetti type theorems". It is to be seen as an attempt to give sense to the general idea that there is a strong coupling between a statistical model and the statistical analysis. So strong that there is a canonical mathematical construction leading from the analysis to the model. Special sections are devoted to the study of sufficiency, of triviality of tails of Markov chains, studied e.g. by coupling methods, Martin boundaries and projective limits of Markov kernels and Polish spaces. In addition, many examples of extreme point models are treated in detail. This book is intended for researchers and graduate students in mathematical statistics and probability.

Download or read book Extremal Families and Systems of Sufficient Statistics written by Steffen L. Lauritzen and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 283 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The pOint of view behind the present work is that the connection between a statistical model and a statistical analysis-is a dua lity (in a vague sense). In usual textbooks on mathematical statistics it is often so that the statistical model is given in advance and then various in ference principles are applied to deduce the statistical ana lysis to be performed. It is however possible to reverse the above procedure: given that one wants to perform a certain statistical analysis, how can this be expressed in terms of a statistical model? In that sense we think of the statistical analysis and the stati stical model as two ways of expressing the same phenomenon, rather than thinking of the model as representing an idealisation of "truth" and the statistical analysis as a method of revealing that truth to the scientist. It is not the aim of the present work to solve the problem of giving the correct-anq final mathematical description of the quite complicated relation between model and analysis. We have rather restricted ourselves to describe a particular aspect of this, formulate it in mathematical terms, and then tried to make a rigorous and consequent investigation of that mathematical struc ture.

Download or read book Mathematics Into the Twenty first Century written by American Mathematical Society and published by American Mathematical Soc.. This book was released on 1992 with total page 514 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the summer of 1988 in Providence, the AMS celebrated its centennial with a wide range of mathematical activities. Among those was a symposium, Mathematics into the Twenty-first Century, which brought together a number of the top research mathematicians who will likely have a significant impact on the mathematics of this century. This book contains the lectures presented by 16 of the 18 individuals who spoke during the symposium. Written by some of the major international figures in mathematical research, this group of articles covers a panorama of the vital areas of mathematics at the turn of the 21st century and gives the general mathematical reader a broad perspective on some of the major trends in research.

Download or read book A Road to Randomness in Physical Systems written by Eduardo M.R.A. Engel and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 166 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There are many ways of introducing the concept of probability in classical, i. e, deter ministic, physics. This work is concerned with one approach, known as "the method of arbitrary funetionJ. " It was put forward by Poincare in 1896 and developed by Hopf in the 1930's. The idea is the following. There is always some uncertainty in our knowledge of both the initial conditions and the values of the physical constants that characterize the evolution of a physical system. A probability density may be used to describe this uncertainty. For many physical systems, dependence on the initial density washes away with time. Inthese cases, the system's position eventually converges to the same random variable, no matter what density is used to describe initial uncertainty. Hopf's results for the method of arbitrary functions are derived and extended in a unified fashion in these lecture notes. They include his work on dissipative systems subject to weak frictional forces. Most prominent among the problems he considers is his carnival wheel example, which is the first case where a probability distribution cannot be guessed from symmetry or other plausibility considerations, but has to be derived combining the actual physics with the method of arbitrary functions. Examples due to other authors, such as Poincare's law of small planets, Borel's billiards problem and Keller's coin tossing analysis are also studied using this framework. Finally, many new applications are presented.

Download or read book Exponential Families of Stochastic Processes written by Uwe Küchler and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-05-09 with total page 325 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive account of the statistical theory of exponential families of stochastic processes. The book reviews the progress in the field made over the last ten years or so by the authors - two of the leading experts in the field - and several other researchers. The theory is applied to a broad spectrum of examples, covering a large number of frequently applied stochastic process models with discrete as well as continuous time. To make the reading even easier for statisticians with only a basic background in the theory of stochastic process, the first part of the book is based on classical theory of stochastic processes only, while stochastic calculus is used later. Most of the concepts and tools from stochastic calculus needed when working with inference for stochastic processes are introduced and explained without proof in an appendix. This appendix can also be used independently as an introduction to stochastic calculus for statisticians. Numerous exercises are also included.

Download or read book Algorithmic Learning in a Random World written by Vladimir Vovk and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2005-12-05 with total page 332 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Algorithmic Learning in a Random World describes recent theoretical and experimental developments in building computable approximations to Kolmogorov's algorithmic notion of randomness. Based on these approximations, a new set of machine learning algorithms have been developed that can be used to make predictions and to estimate their confidence and credibility in high-dimensional spaces under the usual assumption that the data are independent and identically distributed (assumption of randomness). Another aim of this unique monograph is to outline some limits of predictions: The approach based on algorithmic theory of randomness allows for the proof of impossibility of prediction in certain situations. The book describes how several important machine learning problems, such as density estimation in high-dimensional spaces, cannot be solved if the only assumption is randomness.

Download or read book Statistics Probability and Game Theory written by David Blackwell and published by IMS. This book was released on 1996 with total page 428 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Most of the 26 papers are research reports on probability, statistics, gambling, game theory, Markov decision processes, set theory, and logic. But they also include reviews on comparing experiments, games of timing, merging opinions, associated memory models, and SPLIF's; historical views of Carnap, von Mises, and the Berkeley Statistics Department; and a brief history, appreciation, and bibliography of Berkeley professor Blackwell. A sampling of titles turns up The Hamiltonian Cycle Problem and Singularly Perturbed Markov Decision Process, A Pathwise Approach to Dynkin Games, The Redistribution of Velocity: Collision and Transformations, Casino Winnings at Blackjack, and Randomness and the Foundations of Probability. No index. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR

Download or read book Theory of Statistics written by Mark J. Schervish and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 732 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The aim of this graduate textbook is to provide a comprehensive advanced course in the theory of statistics covering those topics in estimation, testing, and large sample theory which a graduate student might typically need to learn as preparation for work on a Ph.D. An important strength of this book is that it provides a mathematically rigorous and even-handed account of both Classical and Bayesian inference in order to give readers a broad perspective. For example, the "uniformly most powerful" approach to testing is contrasted with available decision-theoretic approaches.

Download or read book Case Studies in Bayesian Statistics written by Constantine Gatsonis and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 483 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This third volume of case studies presents detailed applications of Bayesian statistical analysis, emphasising the scientific context. The papers were presented and discussed at a workshop held at Carnegie-Mellon University, and this volume - dedicated to the memory of Morrie Groot-reproduces six invited papers, each with accompanying invited discussion, and nine contributed papers with the focus on econometric applications.

Download or read book Stochastic Models Statistical Methods and Algorithms in Image Analysis written by Piero Barone and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 266 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume comprises a collection of papers by world- renowned experts on image analysis. The papers range from survey articles to research papers, and from theoretical topics such as simulated annealing through to applied image reconstruction. It covers applications as diverse as biomedicine, astronomy, and geophysics. As a result, any researcher working on image analysis will find this book provides an up-to-date overview of the field and in addition, the extensive bibliographies will make this a useful reference.

Download or read book Modelling Longitudinal and Spatially Correlated Data written by Timothy G. Gregoire and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 404 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Correlated data arise in numerous contexts across a wide spectrum of subject-matter disciplines. Modeling such data present special challenges and opportunities that have received increasing scrutiny by the statistical community in recent years. In October 1996 a group of 210 statisticians and other scientists assembled on the small island of Nantucket, U. S. A. , to present and discuss new developments relating to Modelling Longitudinal and Spatially Correlated Data: Methods, Applications, and Future Direc tions. Its purpose was to provide a cross-disciplinary forum to explore the commonalities and meaningful differences in the source and treatment of such data. This volume is a compilation of some of the important invited and volunteered presentations made during that conference. The three days and evenings of oral and displayed presentations were arranged into six broad thematic areas. The session themes, the invited speakers and the topics they addressed were as follows: • Generalized Linear Models: Peter McCullagh-"Residual Likelihood in Linear and Generalized Linear Models" • Longitudinal Data Analysis: Nan Laird-"Using the General Linear Mixed Model to Analyze Unbalanced Repeated Measures and Longi tudinal Data" • Spatio---Temporal Processes: David R. Brillinger-"Statistical Analy sis of the Tracks of Moving Particles" • Spatial Data Analysis: Noel A. Cressie-"Statistical Models for Lat tice Data" • Modelling Messy Data: Raymond J. Carroll-"Some Results on Gen eralized Linear Mixed Models with Measurement Error in Covariates" • Future Directions: Peter J.

Download or read book Wavelets and Statistics written by Anestis Antoniadis and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 407 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Despite its short history, wavelet theory has found applications in a remarkable diversity of disciplines: mathematics, physics, numerical analysis, signal processing, probability theory and statistics. The abundance of intriguing and useful features enjoyed by wavelet and wavelet packed transforms has led to their application to a wide range of statistical and signal processing problems. On November 16-18, 1994, a conference on Wavelets and Statistics was held at Villard de Lans, France, organized by the Institute IMAG-LMC, Grenoble, France. The meeting was the 15th in the series of the Rencontres Pranco-Belges des 8tatisticiens and was attended by 74 mathematicians from 12 different countries. Following tradition, both theoretical statistical results and practical contributions of this active field of statistical research were presented. The editors and the local organizers hope that this volume reflects the broad spectrum of the conference. as it includes 21 articles contributed by specialists in various areas in this field. The material compiled is fairly wide in scope and ranges from the development of new tools for non parametric curve estimation to applied problems, such as detection of transients in signal processing and image segmentation. The articles are arranged in alphabetical order by author rather than subject matter. However, to help the reader, a subjective classification of the articles is provided at the end of the book. Several articles of this volume are directly or indirectly concerned with several as pects of wavelet-based function estimation and signal denoising.

Download or read book Latent Variable Modeling and Applications to Causality written by Maia Berkane and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 285 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume gathers refereed papers presented at the 1994 UCLA conference on "La tent Variable Modeling and Application to Causality. " The meeting was organized by the UCLA Interdivisional Program in Statistics with the purpose of bringing together a group of people who have done recent advanced work in this field. The papers in this volume are representative of a wide variety of disciplines in which the use of latent variable models is rapidly growing. The volume is divided into two broad sections. The first section covers Path Models and Causal Reasoning and the papers are innovations from contributors in disciplines not traditionally associated with behavioural sciences, (e. g. computer science with Judea Pearl and public health with James Robins). Also in this section are contri butions by Rod McDonald and Michael Sobel who have a more traditional approach to causal inference, generating from problems in behavioural sciences. The second section encompasses new approaches to questions of model selection with emphasis on factor analysis and time varying systems. Amemiya uses nonlinear factor analysis which has a higher order of complexity associated with the identifiability condi tions. Muthen studies longitudinal hierarchichal models with latent variables and treats the time vector as a variable rather than a level of hierarchy. Deleeuw extends exploratory factor analysis models by including time as a variable and allowing for discrete and ordi nal latent variables. Arminger looks at autoregressive structures and Bock treats factor analysis models for categorical data.

Download or read book Applications of Computer Aided Time Series Modeling written by Masanao Aoki and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 335 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book consists of three parts: Part One is composed of two introductory chapters. The first chapter provides an instrumental varible interpretation of the state space time series algorithm originally proposed by Aoki (1983), and gives an introductory account for incorporating exogenous signals in state space models. The second chapter, by Havenner, gives practical guidance in apply ing this algorithm by one of the most experienced practitioners of the method. Havenner begins by summarizing six reasons state space methods are advanta geous, and then walks the reader through construction and evaluation of a state space model for four monthly macroeconomic series: industrial production in dex, consumer price index, six month commercial paper rate, and money stock (Ml). To single out one of the several important insights in modeling that he shares with the reader, he discusses in Section 2ii the effects of sampling er rors and model misspecification on successful modeling efforts. He argues that model misspecification is an important amplifier of the effects of sampling error that may cause symplectic matrices to have complex unit roots, a theoretical impossibility. Correct model specifications increase efficiency of estimators and often eliminate this finite sample problem. This is an important insight into the positive realness of covariance matrices; positivity has been emphasized by system engineers to the exclusion of other methods of reducing sampling error and alleviating what is simply a finite sample problem. The second and third parts collect papers that describe specific applications.

Download or read book Conditionally Specified Distributions written by Barry C. Arnold and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 165 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The concept of conditional specification is not new. It is likely that earlier investigators in this area were deterred by computational difficulties encountered in the analysis of data following con ditionally specified models. Readily available computing power has swept away that roadblock. A broad spectrum of new flexible models may now be added to the researcher's tool box. This mono graph provides a preliminary guide to these models. Further development of inferential techniques, especially those involving concomitant variables, is clearly called for. We are grateful for invaluable assistance in the preparation of this monograph. In Riverside, Carole Arnold made needed changes in grammer and punctuation and Peggy Franklin miraculously transformed minute hieroglyphics into immaculate typescript. In Santander, Agustin Manrique ex pertly transformed rough sketches into clear diagrams. Finally, we thank the University of Cantabria for financial support which made possible Barry C. Arnold's enjoyable and productive visit to S- tander during the initial stages of the project. Barry C. Arnold Riverside, California USA Enrique Castillo Jose Maria Sarabia Santander, Cantabria Spain January, 1991 Contents 1 Conditional Specification 1 1.1 Why? ............. ........ . 1 1.2 How may one specify a bivariate distribution? 2 1.3 Early work on conditional specification 4 1.4 Organization of this monograph . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 5 2 Basic Theorems 7 Compatible conditionals: The finite discrete case.

Download or read book Athens Conference on Applied Probability and Time Series Analysis written by P.M. Robinson and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 443 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Athens Conference on Applied Probability and Time Series in 1995 brought together researchers from across the world. The published papers appear in two volumes. Volume II presents papers on time series analysis, many of which were contributed to a meeting in March 1995 partly in honour of E.J. Hannan. The initial paper by P.M. Robinson discusses Ted Hannan's researches and their influence on current work in time series analysis. Other papers discuss methods for finite parameter Gaussian models, time series with infinite variance or stable marginal distribution, frequency domain methods, long range dependent processes, nonstationary processes, and nonlinear time series. The methods presented can be applied in a number of fields such as statistics, applied mathematics, engineering, economics and ecology. The papers include many of the topics of current interest in time series analysis and will be of interest to a wide range of researchers.

Download or read book Differential Geometrical Methods in Statistics written by Shun-ichi Amari and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 302 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the reviews: "In this Lecture Note volume the author describes his differential-geometric approach to parametrical statistical problems summarizing the results he had published in a series of papers in the last five years. The author provides a geometric framework for a special class of test and estimation procedures for curved exponential families. ... ... The material and ideas presented in this volume are important and it is recommended to everybody interested in the connection between statistics and geometry ..." #Metrika#1 "More than hundred references are given showing the growing interest in differential geometry with respect to statistics. The book can only strongly be recommended to a geodesist since it offers many new insights into statistics on a familiar ground." #Manuscripta Geodaetica#2