Download or read book Exchange Rate Regimes and Exchange Market Pressure in the New EU Member States written by André Van Poeck and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic theory has stressed the vulnerability to currency crises of intermediate exchange regimes. ERM II constitutes a fixed but adjustable pegged exchange rate arrangement and can therefore be categorized as an intermediate regime, in contrast to polar regimes such as currency boards and freely floating exchange rates. Our regression results for eight new EU Member States reveal the role of economic fundamentals in explaining exchange market pressure in these countries and confirm the bipolar view on exchange rate regimes. We conclude that the new EU members should not enter ERM II before their fundamentals are strong enough to compensate for the vulnerability of the exchange rate regime. Otherwise the condition for entering EMU, i.e. preceding participation in ERM II without devaluation or serious tensions on the exchange market, could be jeopardized.
Download or read book Exchange Rate Regimes and Exchange Market Pressure in the New EU Member Countries written by André Van Poeck and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Exchange Market Pressures and Speculative Capital Flows in Selected European Countries written by Ms.Inci Ötker and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1994-02-01 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper estimates a speculative attack model of currency crises in an attempt to identify the roles of macroeconomic fundamentals and speculative market pressures in the recent crisis, as well as earlier devaluations in adjustable fixed exchange rate systems in the European currency markets. For a sample of five countries, including Denmark, Ireland, Spain, Norway, and Sweden, our empirical analyses show that both economic fundamentals and speculative factors have a significant influence on the probability of devaluations. The recent experience in the European foreign exchange markets suggests that the latest realignments are mainly the result of foreign exchange market tensions amidst the growing conflict between the needs of the domestic economies and the policies needed to maintain fixed exchange rates. Our results confirm that regardless of the source of the deterioration in economic conditions, market participants perceived the existing parities of the currencies in these five countries as inconsistent with their underlying economic fundamentals, thus effectively bringing about either a realignment or a modification of the exchange arrangement.
Download or read book Exchange Rate Regimes written by Charles Wyplosz and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Financial Integration in the European Union written by Roman Matoušek and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2012-03-15 with total page 361 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This edited collection assesses the level of financial integration in the European Union (EU) and the differences across the countries and segments of the EU financial system. Progress in financial integration is key to the EU’s economic growth and competitiveness and although it has advanced substantially, the process is still far from completion. This book focuses on the pace of financial integration in the EU with special emphasis on the new EU Member States and investigates their progress in comparison with ‘old’ EU countries. The book is the first of its kind to include and evaluate the effects of the global financial crisis on the process of EU financial integration. In particular, the book’s contributors address the issue of whether a high degree of financial integration contributed to the intensification of the financial crisis, or whether a low level of integration prevented countries and financial industries from some of the negative effects of the crisis. Although most of the chapters apply contemporary econometric tools, the technical part is always reduced to indispensable minimum and the emphasis is given to economic interpretation of the results. The book aims to offer an up to date and insightful examination of the process of financial integration in the EU today.
Download or read book Monetary Policy in the European Monetary System written by Joao Loureiro and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 149 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Monetary Policy in the European Monetary Systems (EMS) provides the reader with a critical assessment of the EMS operation, focusing on key issues like intervention in money and foreign exchange markets and credibility of EMS exchange rate bands. The book also reopens the discussion on the "EMS discipline-credibility hypothesis" and the notion of "New EMS", testing both with an original methodology. The conflict between internal and external objectives is made clear and the empirical results show the choices made by the individual countries and the resulting implications. The book is written with an empirical orientation based on a unifying data description framework.
Download or read book Exchange Rate Regimes in Selected Advanced Transition Economies written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2000-04-01 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since beginning economic transition, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Poland, and Slovenia have—with much success—employed diverse exchange rate regimes. As these countries approach EU accession, they will need to avoid the perils of too much or too little exchange rate variability when capital flows are likely to be large and volatile; narrow band arrangements in particular could be problematic. The exception is Estonia, where there are good arguments for retaining the currency board arrangement. Countries wishing to join the euro area at an early stage should not leave the removal of remaining capital controls to the last minute.
Download or read book Monetary Politics written by Thomas H. Oatley and published by University of Michigan Press. This book was released on 2010-05-25 with total page 235 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A single currency--and the necessary prior condition of exchange rate cooperation and the stabilization of exchange rates--has been an elusive goal of many European leaders for more than twenty years. While much of the literature on exchange rate cooperation within the European Union focuses on the integration of national economies as the driving force, Thomas Oatley draws on public choice models to develop an explanation of exchange rate cooperation based on domestic politics. The author then tests hypotheses derived from this model in a detailed consideration of the various efforts to stabilize currencies since the 1970s. Oatley argues that monetary policy has distributional effects and is used by policy makers to achieve domestic policy goals. Thus domestic politics plays an important role in defining the approach leaders take to monetary integration. Oatley suggests that leaders supported the creation of the European Monetary System because governments saw a link to the Bundesbank as a useful instrument to help slow the growth of wages, redistribute income from labor to capital, and achieve domestic stabilization. The later collapse of the System reflected the unwillingness on the part of many leaders to continue to follow the Bundesbank's lead as well as the Bundesbank's own reservations about monetary integration. Given the rising strife in countries such as France over the domestic costs of monetary integration, Oatley's domestic politics explanation will be useful in understanding the continued efforts of European policy makers to work towards an integrated currency. This book should appeal to political scientists and economists interested in international cooperation, the European Union and exchange rate systems. Thomas Oatley is Assistant Professor of Political Science, University of North Carolina.
Download or read book Options for the Exchange Rate Policies of the EU Accession Countries and Other Emerging Market Economies written by Peter Bofinger and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Exchange Rate Regimes in Central Eastern and Southeastern Europe written by Mr.Slavi T Slavov and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-03-31 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There are 13 countries in Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe (CESEE) with floating exchange rate regimes, de jure. This paper uses the framework pioneered by Frankel and Wei (1994) and extended in Frankel and Wei (2008) to show that most of them have been tracking either the euro or the US dollar in recent years. Eight countries, all of them current or aspiring EU members, track the euro. Of the five countries keying on the US dollar in various degrees, all but one belong to the Commonwealth of Independent States. The paper shows that the extent to which each country’s currency tracks the euro (or the dollar) is correlated with the structure of its external trade and finance. However, some countries appear to track the EUR or USD to an extent which appears inconsistent with inflation targeting, trade or financial integration, or the extent of business cycle synchronization. The phenomenon is particularly pronounced among the countries in the CESEE euro bloc, which may be deliberately gravitating around the euro in anticipation of eventually joining the Euro Area.
Download or read book The Periphery of the Euro written by Philippe De Lombaerde and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-11-30 with total page 391 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book analyzes the monetary and exchange rate policies in Eastern European countries not covered by the current EU enlargement process. Specifically the book examines the major CIS countries: Belarus, Kazakhstan, Russia and the Ukraine. (The new Eastern European EU members are also frequently referenced for comparison purposes.) Current and prospective monetary policy options are considered and the applicability of the EU monetary integration experience for the CIS countries and the prospects of a monetary re-unification around the Russian Federation are assessed. This is the first book to formally deal with many of these questions.
Download or read book European Monetary Union and Exchange Rate Dynamics written by Paul J. J. Welfens and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2001 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The creation of the European Central Bank and the Euro have brought new challenges to EU integration and economic policy. This book looks into issues of monetary and factor market policies. The analysis also presents new theoretical and empirical research on the - transitory - decline of the Euro. Issues of exchange rate policy and international economic relations also are addressed.
Download or read book Sustainable Regimes of Capital Movements in Accession Countries written by David Begg and published by Centre for Economic Policy Research. This book was released on 2002 with total page 94 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The European Union is now preparing for the entry of ten new members. As the accession countries (ACs) embark on the next phase of the path toward formal entry into the EU, most are expected to join the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM-II), prior to adoption of the euro. This period will be a time of heightened vulnerability to financial instability, requiring extremely adept economic management. With limited exchange rate flexibility under ERM-II, disinflationary conditions, and no exemptions from full international capital mobility, EU accession countries are likely to experience large 'convergence play' capital inflows - such inflows arise because investment opportunities are large but domestic savings are small and the domestic financial system is still developing; and because a rising real exchange rate offers the prospect of attractive returns - alarmingly, large capital inflows figured in virtually every financial crisis of the 1990s.Building on the lessons learned from past financial crises, CEPR Policy Paper 10 makes the following observations and recommendations for accession countries as they negotiate the tricky path to global financial integration and monetary union: *Although ERM-II may be compatible with many exchange rate regimes, from currency boards to relatively wide bands, its central characteristic as a fixed but adjustable regime without the protection of capital controls makes it an interim stage of some danger. Whatever prudential supervisory arrangements are adequate for Western European financial institutions may not be sufficient for financial institutions in accession countries. This stage therefore requires a period of even longer prudential supervision. *The Report's analysis indicates that real exchange rates will still be appreciating during the ERM-II phase. If there is pressure for ACs' exchange rates to remain within invisible bands the result will be additional and unnecessary inflation. Since low inflation is a requirement of the Maastricht criteria, ERM-II may therefore impede entry to the euro.*The dangerous combination of high capital mobility and an intermediate exchange rate peg could be avoided if ACs were to unilaterally adopt the euro without becoming full members of the euro area. This makes sense for countries that are seeking fast entry into the euro area, and which have achieved fiscal responsibility, price stability and a sound banking sector. *Official readings of the Maastricht Treaty rule out unilateral euroization. At the moment it is necessary for ACs to join the euro area by the same process as the current members. These conditions include the attainment of low inflation and sustainable public finances and the requirement not to devalue the central parity within two years adoption of the euro. *Viewed in isolation, these requirements make little sense. What was necessary to establish the rules of the game is not necessary once the rules have been in place for some time. To believe it wise to make all ACs undergo this process, it is necessary to disregard the experience of the 1990s currency crises that were associated with intermediate exchange pegs.*The authors argue that the economic case for unilateral euroization is strong enough for the European authorities to reconsider this option.
Download or read book Staff Report on the Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies of the Euro Area Supplement Updating Information on Recent Economic Developments and Policies in the Euro Area Supplement on EU Trade Policies Public Information Notice Following Consultation Two Statements by Representative on the IMF Executive Board for France on Behalf of Euro Area and EU Members written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2000-11-09 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For the time being—and possibly for a considerable time to come—developments and prospects for the euro area are quite favorable. This upbeat outlook is underpinned by buoyant activity indicators and a supportive policy mix. High household and business confidence, rising capacity utilization and industrial production, strong job creation, and—so far—employment-friendly wage settlements point to sustained activity in the near term. Moreover, the macroeconomic fundamentals in the euro area appear much sounder than in previous recoveries.
Download or read book Choosing an Exchange Rate Regime written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1990-09-15 with total page 406 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Contiene: Introduction; Choice of exchange rate regime for a smaller economy: a survey of some key issues; Financial market integration and exchange rate policy; Exchange rate experiences of small EMS countries: Belgium, Denmark, and the Netherlands; Exchange rate policy, inflation, and unemployment: the Nordic EFTA countries; Exchange rate policy in advanced commodity-exporting countries: Australia and New Zealand; Credibility and asymmetries in the EMS; Fiscal contraints of a fixed exchange rate regime; Postscript: exchange rate policy in Canada.
Download or read book Financial Markets and European Monetary Cooperation written by Willem H. Buiter and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2001-04-23 with total page 242 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a comprehensive assessment of the causes and implications of the 1992-3 crisis of the exchange rate mechanism.
Download or read book Comparative Analysis of the Exchange Market Pressure in Central European Countries with the Eurozone Membership Perspective written by Daniel Stavarek and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper estimates the exchange market pressure (EMP) in four Central European countries (Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia) during the period 1993-2006. Therefore, it is one of very few studies focused on this region and the very first paper applying concurrently model-dependent as well as model-independent approach to the EMP estimation on these countries. The results obtained suggest that the approaches are not compatible and lead to absolutely inconsistent findings. They often differ in both identification of principal development trends and estimated magnitude and direction of the pressure. Therefore, any general conclusion on those issues is hard to draw. The paper provides evidence that a shift in the exchange rate regime towards the quasi-fixed ERM II should not lead to increasing EMP. However, it is highly probable that some episodes of the excessive EMP will make the fulfillment of the exchange rate stability criterion more difficult in all countries analyzed unless the criterion will have eased.
