Download or read book Evidence Regarding Divergence of Analysts Forecasts of Annual Earnings Per Share written by David Allen Ziebart and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Evidence Regarding Divergence of Analysts Forecasts of Annual Earnings Per Share written by Charles I. Stubbart and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 694 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book A Multivariate Analysis of Annual Earnings Forecasts Generated from Quarterly Forecasts of Financial Analysts and Univariate Time Series Models written by William S. Hopwood and published by . This book was released on 1979 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The study compares the forecast accuracy of financial analysts, ARIMA models, and various permier models considered in the literature in the predicting of annual earnings per share. Various refinements were made of previously used methodologies. The results of the multivariate analysis indicated that financial analysts provide the most accurate forecasts. In addition, the divergence in accuracy between the various sources of forecasts tend to decrease as the end of the year approaches, while at the same time there is a general increase in accuracy. Also specific results are provided for individual model performance.
Download or read book An Empirical Examination of the Divergence Between Managers and Analysts Earnings Forecasts written by Somnath Das and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 55 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study circumstances when analysts' forecasts diverge from managers' forecasts after management guidance, and the consequences of this divergence for investors and analysts. Our results show that investors' return response to earnings surprises based on analyst forecasts is significantly weaker when analyst and management forecasts diverge, and that this attenuating effect is stronger when the management forecast is more credible. When the divergent management forecast is more accurate than the analyst consensus forecast, the subsequent-quarter analyst consensus forecast is significantly more accurate than that of the current quarter, and exhibits less serial correlation. Overall, our findings suggest that, when analyst and management forecasts diverge, investors find the two sources to contain complementary information, and analysts learn to improve their subsequent forecasts.
Download or read book Public Disclosure of Corporate Earnings Forecasts written by Francis A. Lees and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Expectations and the Structure of Share Prices written by John G. Cragg and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2009-05-15 with total page 185 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: John G. Cragg and Burton G. Malkiel collected detailed forecasts of professional investors concerning the growth of 175 companies and use this information to examine the impact of such forecasts on the market evaluations of the companies and to test and extend traditional models of how stock market values are determined.
Download or read book Responses in Divergence of Opinion to Earnings Announcement written by Fanglin Shen and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 111 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The basic asset pricing model is developed under the presumption of homogeneous beliefs; However, Miller (1977) puts forward heterogeneous beliefs along with other early studies. His appealing theoretical verbal model suggests that rather than reflecting the average expectation of all market participants, stock prices reflect the valuation set by the most optimistic investors due to the differences of opinion and short-sales constraints. He predicts the convergence of divergent opinions over time "primarily because the passage of time often resolves certain uncertainties about the future of a company" (Miller 1977, p. 1155). Among the prior empirical studies which provide mixed evidence of Miller hypothesis, the most recent study by Berkman et al. (2009) endeavors to document the negative relationship between excess returns and differences of opinion in a three-day window around earnings announcements when there are binding short-sales constraints. Yet to date there has been little empirical research investigating how divergent opinions affect asset prices of foreign stocks. This dissertation takes a step in this direction. Using the American Depositary Receipts sample, we adopt an event study methodology and use multivariate regressions to examine the host-market response in divergent opinions to the earnings announcements. Overlooked by prior literature, asymmetric reactions to good and bad earnings surprises are allowed in the study. Country-level factors from home market are introduced with firms-characteristic factors to capture the cross-sectional excess returns in the presence of belief dispersion and host-market short-sales constraints. Our sample contains 553 ADRs with 13378 firm-quarter observations from 52 countries. Results from regression analysis show that consistent with Miller hypothesis, quarterly earnings announcements indeed help reduce opinion divergence in ADRs by documenting the negative relation between differences of opinions and excess quarterly earnings announcement returns. Our findings are robust when controlling the financial leverage, illiquidity, analyst forecasts, post-earnings announcement drift and price momentum. Moreover, we find investors do process information asymmetrically based on good and bad earnings shocks when use TURN as the DIVOPN proxy. We observe the price divergence when good earnings are released. Non-news group and bad news group experience the same price convergence. However, we do not find the positive relation between host-market short-sales constraints and excess earnings announcement period returns, even conditioning on home-market short-sales restriction. Last, we include the enforcement of insider trading law, legal origin, investor protection, rating on accounting standard and short-selling feasibility from home market into our baseline model. These home-market country-level factors do not account for our findings.
Download or read book The Magnitude and Timing of Analyst Forecast Response to Quarterly Earnings Announcements written by Lise Newman Graham and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies written by Leonard Zacks and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-08-24 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Investment pioneer Len Zacks presents the latest academic research on how to beat the market using equity anomalies The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies organizes and summarizes research carried out by hundreds of finance and accounting professors over the last twenty years to identify and measure equity market inefficiencies and provides self-directed individual investors with a framework for incorporating the results of this research into their own investment processes. Edited by Len Zacks, CEO of Zacks Investment Research, and written by leading professors who have performed groundbreaking research on specific anomalies, this book succinctly summarizes the most important anomalies that savvy investors have used for decades to beat the market. Some of the anomalies addressed include the accrual anomaly, net stock anomalies, fundamental anomalies, estimate revisions, changes in and levels of broker recommendations, earnings-per-share surprises, insider trading, price momentum and technical analysis, value and size anomalies, and several seasonal anomalies. This reliable resource also provides insights on how to best use the various anomalies in both market neutral and in long investor portfolios. A treasure trove of investment research and wisdom, the book will save you literally thousands of hours by distilling the essence of twenty years of academic research into eleven clear chapters and providing the framework and conviction to develop market-beating strategies. Strips the academic jargon from the research and highlights the actual returns generated by the anomalies, and documented in the academic literature Provides a theoretical framework within which to understand the concepts of risk adjusted returns and market inefficiencies Anomalies are selected by Len Zacks, a pioneer in the field of investing As the founder of Zacks Investment Research, Len Zacks pioneered the concept of the earnings-per-share surprise in 1982 and developed the Zacks Rank, one of the first anomaly-based stock selection tools. Today, his firm manages U.S. equities for individual and institutional investors and provides investment software and investment data to all types of investors. Now, with his new book, he shows you what it takes to build a quant process to outperform an index based on academically documented market inefficiencies and anomalies.
Download or read book BEBR Faculty Working Paper written by and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Analysts Overreaction underreaction to Earnings Information as an Explanation for Anomalous Stock Price Behavior written by Jeffery Abarbanell and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Accuracy of Financial Analysts Forecasts of Earnings Per Share written by Dennis K. K. Fan and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 17 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Structure of Cross sectional Dependence in Analysts Forecasts of Earnings Per Share Evidence and Implications written by Ahmed Mohamed Mohamed El-Galfy and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 225 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book An Evaluation of Security Analysts Earnings Forecasts written by Y. H. Lui and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Analyst Forecasts and the Permanence of the Tax Change Component of Earnings written by Sangwan Kim and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Despite the central importance of equity analysts as information intermediaries in capital markets, prior studies provide only limited evidence on how analysts use tax information reported in financial statements. To seek a deeper understanding of the mechanisms that underlie analysts' use of tax information in GAAP financial statements, we investigate the association between sell-side equity analysts' forecasts and the change in earnings attributable to a change in ETRs (i.e., the tax change component of earnings). We provide evidence that the persistence of the tax change component of earnings embedded in analysts' forecasts is systematically lower than that implied by our model's time-series properties. Recent research shows that the persistence of the tax change component of earnings is a complex combination of both the persistence of pretax earnings and the persistence of the ETR. We provide evidence that the analysts' underestimation of the tax change component of earnings is primarily attributable to analysts' failure to impound the full implications of the difference between permanent and transitory ETR changes. The results also provide strong evidence that analysts' underreaction to the tax change component of earnings is significantly attenuated when managers voluntarily provide earnings forecasts. Further, analysts' incorporation of tax information into earnings forecasts becomes less biased after Regulation FD. This research answers the call from Graham, Raedy, and Shackelford (2012) for more research into the underlying fundamentals of tax-based information prepared in accordance with GAAP, and the extent to which various financial statement users, including sophisticated market participants such as equity analysts, use tax-based information.
Download or read book The Impact of the Global Settlement written by United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book An Empirical Investigation of Bias in Analysts Earnings Forecasts written by Hakan Saraoglu and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 318 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
