Download or read book Evaluation of Human Error Probabilities for Post initiating Events written by Phillip Eng Dawson and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 170 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission is responsible for the safe operation of the United States nuclear power plant fleet, and human reliability analysis forms an important portion of the probabilistic risk assessment that demonstrates the safety of sites. Treatment of post-initiating event human error probabilities by three human reliability analysis methods are compared to determine the strengths and weaknesses of the methodologies and to identify how they may be best used. A Technique for Human Event Analysis (ATHEANA) has a unique approach because it searches and screens for deviation scenarios in addition to the nominal failure cases that most methodologies concentrate on. The quantification method of ATHEANA also differs from most methods because the quantification is dependent on expert elicitation to produce data instead of relying on a database or set of nominal values. The Standardized Plant Analysis Risk Human Reliability Analysis (SPAR-H) method uses eight performance shaping factors to modify nominal values in order to represent the quantification of the specifics of a situation. The Electric Power Research Institute Human Reliability Analysis Calculator is a software package that uses a combination of five methods to calculate human error probabilities. Each model is explained before comparing aspects such as the scope, treatment of time available, performance shaping factors, recovery and documentation. Recommendations for future work include creating a database of values based on the nuclear data and emphasizing the documentation of human reliability analysis methods in the future to improve traceability of the process.
Download or read book On the Evaluation of Human Error Probabilities for Post initiating Events written by Mary R. Presley and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 115 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: (cont.) ATHEANA and the EPRI Calculator are very similar in the contexts they consider in HEP calculation: both factor in the accident sequence context, performance shaping factors (PSFs), and cognitive factors into HEP calculation. However, stemming from the difference in objectives, there is a difference in how deeply into a human action each model probes. ATHEANA employs a HRA team (including a HRA expert, operations personnel and a thermo-hydraulics expert) to examine a broad set of PSFs and contexts. It also expands the accident sequences to include the consequences of a misdiagnosis beyond simple failures in implementing the procedures (what will the operator likely do next given a specific misdiagnosis?) To limit the resource burden, the EPRI Calculator is prescriptive and limits the PSFs and cognitive factors for consideration thus enhancing consistency among analysts and reducing needed resources. However, CBDT and ATHEANA have the same approach to evaluating the cognitive context. The Halden Task Complexity experiments looked at different factors that would increase the probability of human failures such as the effects of time pressure/information load and masked events. EPRI and ATHEANA could use the design of the Halden experiments as a model for future simulations because they produced results that showed important differences in crew performance under certain conditions. Both models can also use the Halden experiments and results to sensitize the experts and analysts to the real effects of an error forcing context.
Download or read book Human Error Probability Using License Event Reports written by and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Method Used to Estimate Screening level Total Failure Probability for Human Error Events written by and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Human Error written by James Reason and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1990-10-26 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This 1991 book is a major theoretical integration of several previously isolated literatures looking at human error in major accidents.
Download or read book Evaluation of the Use of Expert Judgement to Estimate Human Error Probabilities written by D. A. Seaver and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Demonstration Integrated Knowledge Based System for Estimating Human Error Probabilities written by and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 3 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Human Reliability Analysis (HRA) is currently comprised of at least 40 different methods that are used to analyze, predict, and evaluate human performance in probabilistic terms. Systematic HRAs allow analysts to examine human-machine relationships, identify error-likely situations, and provide estimates of relative frequencies for human errors on critical tasks, highlighting the most beneficial areas for system improvements. Unfortunately, each of HRA's methods has a different philosophical approach, thereby producing estimates of human error probabilities (HEPs) that area better or worse match to the error likely situation of interest. Poor selection of methodology, or the improper application of techniques can produce invalid HEP estimates, where that erroneous estimation of potential human failure could have potentially severe consequences in terms of the estimated occurrence of injury, death, and/or property damage.
Download or read book Evaluation of the use of expert judgment to estimate human error probabilities written by D. A. Seaver and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Post event Human Decision Errors written by and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report documents an interim framework for the quantification of the probability of errors of decision on the part of nuclear power plant operators after the initiation of an accident. The framework can easily be incorporated into an event tree/fault tree analysis. The method presented consists of a structure called the operator action tree and a time reliability correlation which assumes the time available for making a decision to be the dominating factor in situations requiring cognitive human response. This limited approach decreases the magnitude and complexity of the decision modeling task. Specifically, in the past, some human performance models have attempted prediction by trying to emulate sequences of human actions, or by identifying and modeling the information processing approach applicable to the task. The model developed here is directed at describing the statistical performance of a representative group of hypothetical individuals responding to generalized situations.
Download or read book Human Error Probability Estimation Using Licensee Eventreports written by J. N. O'Brien and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book NUREG CR written by U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission and published by . This book was released on 1977 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Reliability and Safety Assessment of Dynamic Process Systems written by Tunc Aldemir and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 249 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Current issues and approaches in the reliability and safety analysis of dynamic process systems are the subject of this book. The authors of the chapters are experts from nuclear, chemical, mechanical, aerospace and defense system industries, and from institutions including universities, national laboratories, private consulting companies, and regulatory bodies. Both the conventional approaches and dynamic methodologies which explicitly account for the time element in system evolution in failure modeling are represented. The papers on conventional approaches concentrate on the modeling of dynamic effects and the need for improved methods. The dynamic methodologies covered include the DYLAM methodology, the theory of continuous event trees, several Markov model construction procedures, Monte Carlo simulation, and utilization of logic flowgraphs in conjunction with Petri nets. Special emphasis is placed on human factors such as procedures and training.
Download or read book Risk Analysis in Engineering written by Mohammad Modarres and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2006-01-13 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on the author’s 20 years of teaching, Risk Analysis in Engineering: Techniques, Tools, and Trends presents an engineering approach to probabilistic risk analysis (PRA). It emphasizes methods for comprehensive PRA studies, including techniques for risk management. The author assumes little or no prior knowledge of risk analysis on the part of the student and provides the necessary mathematical and engineering foundations. The text relies heavily on, but is not limited to, examples from the nuclear industry, because that is where PRA techniques were first developed. Since PRA provides a best-estimate approach, the author pays special attention to explaining uncertainty characterization. The book begins with a description of the basic definitions and principles of risk, safety, and performance and presents the elements of risk analysis and their applications in engineering. After highlighting the methods for performing PRAs, the author describes how to assess and measure performance of the building blocks of PRAs, such as reliability of hardware subsystems, structures, components, human actions, and software. He covers methods of characterizing uncertainties and methods for propagating them through the PRA model to estimate uncertainties of the results. The book explores how to identify and rank important and sensitive contributors to the estimated risk using the PRA and performance assessment models. It also includes a description of risk acceptance criteria and the formal methods for making decisions related to risk management options and strategies. The book concludes with a brief review of the main aspects, issues, and methods of risk communication. Drawing on notes, homework problems, and exams from courses he has taught as well as feedback from his students, Professor Modarres provides a from-the-trenches method for teaching risk assessment for engineers. This is a textbook that is easy to use for students and professors alike.
Download or read book Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management written by Cornelia Spitzer and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-01-04 with total page 3803 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A collection of papers presented at the PSAM 7 – ESREL ’04 conference in June 2004, reflecting a wide variety of disciplines, such as principles and theory of reliability and risk analysis, systems modelling and simulation, consequence assessment, human and organisational factors, structural reliability methods, software reliability and safety, insights and lessons from risk studies and management/decision making. This volume covers both well-established practices and open issues in these fields, identifying areas where maturity has been reached and those where more development is needed.
Download or read book The assignment of human error probability for reliability analyses of the NRU safety assessment written by P. Gumley and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Probabilistic Safety Assessment of WWER440 Reactors written by Zoltan Kovacs and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-10-08 with total page 323 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The aim of this book is to summarize probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) of nuclear power plants with WWER440 reactors and demonstrate that the plants are safe enough for producing energy even in light of the Fukushima accident. The book examines level 1 and 2 full power, low power and shutdown PSA, and summarizes the author’s experience gained during the last 35 years in this area. It provides useful examples taken from PSA training courses the author has lectured and organized by the International Atomic Energy Agency. Such training courses were organised in Argonne National Laboratory (Chicago, IL, USA), Abdus Salaam International Centre for Theoretical Physics (Trieste, Italy), Malaysia, Vietnam and Jordan to support experts from developing countries. The role of PSA for the plants is an estimation of the risks in absolute terms and in comparison with other risks of the technical and the natural world. Plant-specific PSAs are being prepared for the plants and being applied for detection of weaknesses, design improvement and backfitting, incident analysis, accident management, emergency preparedness, prioritization of research and development and to support the regulatory activities. There are three levels of PSA, being performed for full power and low power operation and shutdown operating modes of the plants: level 1, 2 and 3 PSA. The nuclear regulatory authorities do not require the level 3 PSA for the plants in the member countries of the European Union. This means that only a limited number of NPPs in Europe have the level 3 PSA available. However, in the light of the Fukushima accident the performance of such analyses is strongly recommended in the future. This book is intended for professionals working in the nuclear industry, researchers and students interested in safety of operational plants.
Download or read book Development and Application of Level 1 Probabilistic Safety Assessment for Nuclear Power Plants written by IAEA and published by International Atomic Energy Agency. This book was released on 2024-03-15 with total page 289 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The objective of this Safety Guide is to provide recommendations for meeting the requirements of GSR Part 4 (Rev. 1) in the development and application of Level 1 Probabilistic Safety Assessments (PSAs) for nuclear power plants (NPPs). The recommendations provided in this publication promoting technical consistency among Level 1 PSA studies, in order to provide reliable support for applications of PSAs and risk informed decision making, particularly to support the design of NPPs and decision making during plant commissioning and operation. The revised Safety Guide's scope encompasses the main methodological aspects of PSA and in particular has been updated to reflect developments in specific areas, such as passive systems reliability, computer based systems reliability, combinations of hazards, human reliability analysis and to expand the scope of PSA to include site level risk considerations such as multi-unit and spent fuel pool PSA.
