Download or read book Evaluating New Keynesian Models of a Small Open Economy written by Paolo Giordani and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We suggest a strategy to evaluate members of a class of New-Keynesian models of a small open economy. As an example, we estimate a modified version of the model in Svensson [Journal of International Economics (2000) Vol. 50, pp. 155-183] and compare its impulse response and variance decomposition functions with those a structural vector autoregression (VAR) model. The focus is on responses to foreign rather than to domestic shocks, which facilitates identification. Some results are that US shocks account for large shares of the variance of Canadian variables, that little of this influence is due to real exchange rate movements, and that Canadian monetary policy is not adequately described by a Taylor rule.

Download or read book Evaluating an Estimated New Keynesian Small Open Economy Model written by and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book A new Keynesian open economy model for policy analysis written by Wendy Carlin and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Monetary Policy Inflation and the Business Cycle written by Jordi Galí and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2015-06-09 with total page 295 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The classic introduction to the New Keynesian economic model This revised second edition of Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle provides a rigorous graduate-level introduction to the New Keynesian framework and its applications to monetary policy. The New Keynesian framework is the workhorse for the analysis of monetary policy and its implications for inflation, economic fluctuations, and welfare. A backbone of the new generation of medium-scale models under development at major central banks and international policy institutions, the framework provides the theoretical underpinnings for the price stability–oriented strategies adopted by most central banks in the industrialized world. Using a canonical version of the New Keynesian model as a reference, Jordi Galí explores various issues pertaining to monetary policy's design, including optimal monetary policy and the desirability of simple policy rules. He analyzes several extensions of the baseline model, allowing for cost-push shocks, nominal wage rigidities, and open economy factors. In each case, the effects on monetary policy are addressed, with emphasis on the desirability of inflation-targeting policies. New material includes the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates and an analysis of unemployment’s significance for monetary policy. The most up-to-date introduction to the New Keynesian framework available A single benchmark model used throughout New materials and exercises included An ideal resource for graduate students, researchers, and market analysts

Download or read book The Cost of Disinflation in a Small Open Economy Vis Vis a Closed Economy written by Oleksandr Faryna and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We use a standard new Keynesian model to evaluate the disinflation cost in a small open economy vis-à-vis a closed economy. Three measures of the cost are evaluated: the sacrifice ratio, the central bank's loss, and the welfare of the representative agent. We show that in the small open economy: (i) welfare benefit of disinflation is lower; (ii) sacrifice ratio and the central bank's loss are higher; (iii) lack of credibility can be more costly; and (iv) monetary policy rules can be different from the closed economy.

Download or read book The Econometrics of Macroeconomic Modelling written by Gunnar Bårdsen and published by Oxford University Press on Demand. This book was released on 2005 with total page 338 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Macroeconometric models, in many ways the flagships of the economist's profession in the 1960s, came under increasing attack from both theoretical economist and practitioners in the late 1970s. Critics referred to their lack of microeconomic theoretical foundations, ad hoc models of expectations, lack of identification, neglect of dynamics and non-stationarity, and poor forecasting properties. By the start of the 1990s, the status of macroeconometric models had declined markedly, and hadfallen completely out of, and with, academic economics. Nevertheless, unlike the dinosaurs to which they often have been likened, macroeconometric models have never completely disappeared from the scene. This book describes how and why the discipline of macroeconometric modelling continues to play a role for economic policymaking by adapting to changing demands, in response, for instance, to new policy regimes like inflation targeting. Model builders have adopted new insights from economic theory and taken advantage of the methodological and conceptual advances within time series econometrics over the last twenty years. The modelling of wages and prices takes a central part in the book as the authors interpret and evaluate the last forty years of international research experience in the light of the Norwegian 'main course' model of inflation in a small open economy. The preferred model is a dynamic model of incomplete competition, which is evaluated against alternatives as diverse as the Phillips curve, Nickell-Layard wage curves, the New Keynesian Phillips curve, and monetary inflation models on data from the Euro area, the UK, and Norway. The wage price core model is built into a small econometric model for Norway to analyse the transmission mechanism and to evaluate monetary policy rules. The final chapter explores the main sources of forecast failure likely to occur in a practical modelling situation, using the large-scale nodel RIMINI and the inflation models of earlier chapters as case studies.

Download or read book Two country New Keynesian DSGE Model written by Marcos Antonio Coutinho da Silveira and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We build a two-country version of the model in Gali & Monacelli (2005), which extends for a small open economy the new Keynesain DSGE model used as tool for monetary policy analysis in closed economies. A distinctive feature of the model is that the terms of trade enters directly into the new Keynesian Phillips curve as a new pushing-cost variable feeding the inflation. Furthermore, home bias in households' preferences allows for real exchange rate fluctuation, giving rise to alternative channels of monetary transmission. Unlike most part of the literature, the small domestic open economy is derived as a limit case of the two-coutry model, rather than assuming exogenous processes for the foreign variables. This procedure preserves the role played by foreign nominal frictions in the way as international monetary policy shocks are conveyed into the small domestic economy.

Download or read book Learning About Monetary Policy Rules in Small Open Economies written by Luis-Gonzalo Llosa and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We evaluate the expectational stability (E-stability) of rational expectations equilibrium in a simple "New Keynesian" small open economy model. In particular, we extend Bullard and Mitra (JME, 2002) results of E-stability in closed economy to an open economy framework by evaluating Taylor-type rules. The main results are the following: a) the stability conditions under learning in open economies are isomorphic to the closed economy counterpart when the central bank targets contemporaneously either domestic price inflation or CPI inflation; b) the problem of instability under learning becomes more serious in open economies when the central bank reacts actively to expected consumer price inflation (CPI). Thus, unlike Bullard and Mitra (2002) the Taylor's principle does not necessarily induce both determinate and learnable rational expectation equilibria, where the degree of openness plays a crucial role c) it is easier for the economy to get into an unstable region when a central bank reacts to expected movements in the exchange rate along with an actively reaction to expected CPI inflation.

Download or read book A Small Open Economy Modelling written by Gan-Ochir Doojav and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Examining the business cycle and the monetary transmission mechanism in a small open economy based on the macroeconomic models is vital for successfully implementing forward-looking and counter-cyclical macroeconomic policies. In the context, this thesis focuses on the importance of various modelling implications (i.e., frictions and shocks) in developing empirically viable small open economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. The thesis comprises three self-contained chapters on formulating, estimating and evaluating the DSGE models using Bayesian methods and data for Australia and the United States (US) (or G7 for Chapter 2), as well as a general thesis introduction and conclusion. Chapter 2 investigates the quantitative role of a cost channel of monetary policy and an uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) modification in an estimated small open economy DSGE model. For this purpose, a small open economy New Keynesian DSGE model developed by Justiniano and Preston (2010a) (i.e., benchmark model for the thesis) is augmented to incorporate the cost channel and the UIP modification based on a forward premium puzzle. The empirical analysis shows that introducing the cost channel and the UIP modification into the estimated model improves its ability to fit business cycle properties of key macroeconomic variables and to account for the empirical evidence on the monetary transmission mechanism. Chapter 3 assesses the importance of news shocks in a small open economy DSGE model for analysing business cycle properties of macroeconomic aggregates, including labour market variables. To this end, the model in Chapter 2 is enlarged in Chapter 3 to include (i) the theory of invoulntary unemployment proposed by Galí (2011), (ii) an endogenous preference shifter, similar to that used by Galí et al. (2011), and (iii) both news (anticipated) and unanticipated components in each structural shock. The results show that the estimated model is able to qualitatively replicate the existing VAR-based results (e.g., Kosaka 2013, Kamber et al. 2014 and Theodoridis and Zanetti 2014) on news driven business cycles, and the presence of news shocks has the potential to improve the model fit. Another important finding is that news shocks have been the main drivers of the Australian business cycle in the inflation-targeting period. Chapter 4 examines the significance of financial frictions and shocks in a small open economy DSGE model for explaining macroeconomic fluctuations. In doing so, Chapter 4 has further extended the model in Chapter 3 to a rich DSGE model in the two-country setting with involuntary unemployment, financial frictions and shocks. The main results include (i) the presence of financial accelerator improves the model fit, (ii) the financial accelerator amplifies and propagates the effects of monetary policy shocks on output, but dampens the effects of technology and labour supply shocks in Australia and the US, and (iii) financial shocks (i.e., shocks to the credit spread) are important for explaining investment and output fluctuations in both countries. Finally, this thesis provides implications for designing macroeconomic policies and building empirically viable open economy DSGE models to analyse the transmission mechanism of monetary policy and the business cycle.

Download or read book Essays on Small Open Economy New Keynesian DSGE Models written by Phuong Nguyen Van and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book New Keynesian Open economy Models and Their Implications for Monetary Policy written by David Bowman and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Also available on Internet.

Download or read book A Behavioral New Keynesian Model of a Small Open Economy Under Limited Foresight written by Seunghoon Na and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This paper investigates exchange rate dynamics in open economies by incorporating bounded rationality. We develop a small open-economy New Keynesian model with an incomplete asset market, wherein decision-makers possess limited foresight and can plan for only a finite distance into the future"--Abstract.

Download or read book Putting the New Keynesian Model to a Test written by Roland Straub and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-05 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years, New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (NK DSGE) models have become increasingly popular in the academic literature and in policy analysis. However, the success of these models in reproducing the dynamic behavior of an economy following structural shocks is still disputed. This paper attempts to shed light on this issue. We use a VAR with sign restrictions that are robust to model and parameter uncertainty to estimate the effects of monetary policy, preference, government spending, investment, price markup, technology, and labor supply shocks on macroeconomic variables in the United States and the euro area. In contrast to the NK DSGE models, the empirical results indicate that technology shocks have a positive effect on hours worked, and investment and preference shocks have a positive impact on consumption and investment, respectively. While the former is in line with the predictions of Real Business Cycle models, the latter indicates the relevance of accelerator effects, as described by earlier Keynesian models. We also show that NK DSGE models might overemphasize the contribution of cost-push shocks to business cycle fluctuations while, at the same time, underestimating the importance of other shocks such as changes to technology and investment adjustment costs.

Download or read book NEOCLASSICAL AND KEYNESIAN DYNAMICS FOR A SMALL OPEN ECONOMY written by Ioannis Litsios and published by LAP Lambert Academic Publishing. This book was released on 2011-01 with total page 220 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The current monograph compares the predictions of various dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models with a view to developing an improved understanding of observed fluctuations in small open economies. An analytical framework, synthesising both neoclassical and Keynesian approaches, is proposed resulting in the construction of four different DSGE models, the predictions of which can be tested in the context of any small open economy. For definiteness, the current research focuses exclusively on the two small open economies of UK and Canada. A DSGE model with full price and wage flexibility is initially constructed and then modified through nominal wage and price rigidities. The ability of the models to replicate important features of the business cycle activity in UK and Canada is explored through statistical and econometric analysis. Evidence suggests that a monetary shock under a Taylor model with price stickiness can replicate a significant portion of the business cycle activity in both UK and Canada.

Download or read book The New Keynesian Phillips Curve in a Small Open Economy written by Syed Kanwar Abbas and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study estimates the new Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) of Gali and Monacelli for a small open economy using Australian data. Our detailed investigation hinges on estimating the structural parameters in five different variants of the Gali-Monacelli NKPC, which relates the inflation process to terms of trade and the real exchange rate; the marginal cost and output gap as proxies for real economic activity and the hybrid version incorporating both forward- and backward-looking inflation expectations. The analysis and extensive robustness checks overwhelmingly establish that the Gali-Monacelli NKPC cannot explain the dynamics of inflation and is rejected by the Australian data.

Download or read book Bifurcation analysis of open economy new Keynesian models written by Unal Eryilmaz and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book The new Keynesian Phillips Curve written by Assaf Razin and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper extends Woodford's (2000) analysis of the closed economy Phillips curve to an open economy with both commodity trade and capital mobility. We show that consumption smoothing, which comes with the opening of the capital market, raises the degree of strategic complementarity among monopolistically competitive suppliers, thus rendering prices more sticky and magnifying output responses to nominal GDP shocks.