Download or read book Evaluating Conditional Asset Pricing Models for the German Stock Market written by Andreas Schrimpf and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Asset Pricing Factor Models in the German Stock Market written by Julian Fischer and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2021-06-14 with total page 109 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Master's Thesis from the year 2021 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 1,7, University of Hannover (Institut für Finanzwirtschaft und Rohstoffmärkte), language: English, abstract: In this paper, we examine how various modern multifactor models, such as the Carhart factor model, five-factor model and its complement six-factor model by Fama and French, the q-factor model by Hou, Wue and Zhang, and the mispricing factor model by Stambaugh and Yuan perform in the German stock market. It is discernible that, depending on the application model, like factor spanning tests, different sortings, return anomalies, sector- and equity fund investigation, they often provide quite similar explanatory power, while in individual cases sometimes one and sometimes the other model performs better. The underlying factors contribute differently to the explanatory power depending on the time period. Thus, in case of doubt, the six-factor model is preferable, as it is the most versatile model. Since the establishment of the capital asset pricing model as a cornerstone of modern capital market theory in the 1960s, new investigations and studies have been built on this model on an ongoing basis. This continuously leads to extensions and modifications of the asset pricing models since then. These models can be used in various ways, for example to explain the pricing of risky financial assets under restrictive assumptions or to gain important insights into the relationship between expected return and risk of securities. These can be used in various ways, for example to explain the pricing of risky financial assets under restrictive assumptions or to gain important insights into the relationship between expected return and risk of securities. In this paper, we aim to answer the overarching research question of how modern asset pricing models perform for the German stock market. For this purpose, we first discuss the characteristics of the German stock market, followed by the milestones of the development of factor models, their empirical evidence and their factors, as well as internationally known return anomalies. In the subsequent part, five modern asset pricing models are tested in different scenarios of the German stock market, including factor spanning tests, different sortings, anomalies, sectors and in equity funds. For this purpose, various analytical methods are used and performed with the software “Stata”. Finally, the comprehensive results are summarized and concluded.

Download or read book Testing the CAPM on the German Stock Market written by Daniel Loskamp and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2007-12 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2005 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 1,3, European Business School - International University Schlo Reichartshausen Oestrich-Winkel, course: Asset Management Seminar, 34 entries in the bibliography, language: English, abstract: Although the model is widely accepted and practically used as explained above, it is nevertheless far from being perfect as outlined in its record of empirical studies.9 Generally criticized is on the one hand that the underlying assumptions of the model are very theoretical and thus not able to illustrate reality and on the other one that there are problems in implementing well-founded tests of the model relating to the choice of the right market portfolio.10 But, the success of the CAPM will remain as long as there is no other model which offers as " ...] powerful and intuitively pleasing predictions about how to measure risk and the relation between risk and return."11 The objective of this study is to empirically test the CAPM on the German stock market. Since most of the empirical studies that have been made in the past focus on the U.S. stock market, this paper will try to find out if the results of these U.S. empirical studies can also be shown on the German stock market. Therefore, the goal of this paper is to analyze the relationship between risk and return on the German stock market to find out whether the CAPM holds.

Download or read book Estimation and evaluation of conditional asset pricing models written by Stefan Nagel and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We find that several recently proposed consumption-based models of stock returns, when evaluated using an optimal set of managed portfolios and the associated model-implied conditional moment restrictions, fail to capture key features of risk premiums in equity markets. To arrive at these conclusions, we construct an optimal GMM estimator for models in which the stochastic discount factor (SDF) is a conditionally affine function of a set of priced risk factors. Further, for the (often relevant) case where a researcher is proposing a generalized SDF relative to some null model, we show that there is an optimal choice of managed portfolios to use in testing the null against the proposed alternative.

Download or read book On the Explanatory Power of the Capm and Multifactor Models on the German Stock Market written by Fabio Martin and published by . This book was released on 2018-05 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bachelor Thesis from the year 2018 in the subject Business economics - General, grade: 1,0, Justus-Liebig-University Giessen, language: English, abstract: The aim of this thesis is to apply the CAPM and the Fama-French model on the German stock market and to see whether the models hold or not. The research methodology in this thesis is mostly an empirical analysis and adopts the approach of Pamane et. al (2014) and Fama and French (1993). However, I will use a different data set and run the test for the CAPM on single stocks rather than on portfolios in order to avoid covariance problems. Firstly, we will calculate the security market line in a two-step regression and then evaluate the influence of non-linear factors and non-systematic risk factors. In addition, the effects of the financial crisis have to be taken into consideration which is why, dummy variables will be used. However, before we interpret the regression results, we make sure that the data are reliable in the first place and correct them if necessary. For the purpose of assessing the Fama-French model, however, we use a quite different approach and follow the original procedure that was used by Fama and French (1993) themselves. This involves classifying the stocks according to size and value and then building a total of four portfolios. Afterwards, returns are computed and regressed against size and value factors. Even though it is quite common to use, for instance, the DAX or the NASDAQ as proxies, I see the chance of facing endogeneity issues when explaining returns of stocks that are listed in the DAX, which is why I will run all tests for a second time but this time using the MDAX instead of DAX as the market portfolio in order to avoid endogeneity problems.

Download or read book Test of Conditional Asset Pricing Models in the Brazilian Stock Market written by and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing Models written by Jau-Lian Jeng and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-03-19 with total page 277 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book analyzes the verification of empirical asset pricing models when returns of securities are projected onto a set of presumed (or observed) factors. Particular emphasis is placed on the verification of essential factors and features for asset returns through model search approaches, in which non-diversifiability and statistical inferences are considered. The discussion reemphasizes the necessity of maintaining a dichotomy between the nondiversifiable pricing kernels and the individual components of stock returns when empirical asset pricing models are of interest. In particular, the model search approach (with this dichotomy emphasized) for empirical model selection of asset pricing is applied to discover the pricing kernels of asset returns.

Download or read book Multi Factor Asset Pricing Models for German Stocks written by Wolfgang Bessler and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The large number of asset pricing models and empirical studies of stock returns are evidence of the desire to understand the return generating process of financial assets in general and for stocks in particular. One focus of the research in this area has been on multi-factor asset pricing models [Chen et al. (1986), Fama/French (1992)]. These models are based on the assumption that stock returns are generated by a limited number of economic variables such as company, industry or macroeconomic factors.The objective of this study is to analyze the importance of various economic factors in explaining the return structure for stocks in Germany and to investigate whether the impact of these factors is time varying. This is important, because in most studies of asset pricing models it is assumed that the parameters are non time varying. In particular, we investigate the time variability of the explanatory power and the beta coefficients in a multi-factor framework. For this we employ a rolling estimation procedure that allows us to analyze the time variability of the model coefficients.In the empirical analysis we use monthly data of four macroeconomic variables and the market index to explain the returns of four German industry indices for the period from 1974 to 2000. In contrast to most studies which exclude banks from their empirical analysis we use three industrial indices and a bank index. The economic factors included in our model are term spreads, interest rates, exchange rates and the ifo business index as well as the market index. The empirical results confirm that the factors used in our empirical analysis seem well suited to explain the stock returns especially for banks. Moreover, it is evident that the explanatory power and the beta coefficients are time varying.

Download or read book Tests of Conditional Asset Pricing Models on Finnish Stock Return Data Using Latent Variables written by Mats Hansson and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Tests of Conditional Asset Pricing Models in the Brazilian Stock Market written by Marco Bonomo and published by Montréal : CIRANO. This book was released on 1997 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book An Evaluation of International Asset Pricing Models written by Magnus Dahlquist and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper assesses the ability of international asset pricing models to explain the cross-sectional variation in expected returns. All the models considered seem to capture national market returns fairly well. However, global portfolios, sorted on earnings-price ratio and market value, pose a special challenge. We find that an unconditional international CAPM cannot explain the cross-sectional variation in these portfolio returns. Interestingly, a conditional international asset pricing model that includes foreign exchange risk factors is able to explain a large part of the variation in average returns. Our empirical work suggests that this model has the same explanatory ability as an international three-factor model, where zero-cost portfolios based on earnings-price ratios and market values are used in addition to the world market portfolio. Importantly, the loadings associated with the zero-cost portfolios are driven out by the characteristics themselves, indicating a misspecification.

Download or read book Asset Management and International Capital Markets written by Wolfgang Bessler and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-08-21 with total page 414 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This innovative volume comprises a selection of original research articles offering a broad perspective on various dimensions of asset management in an international capital market environment. The topics covered include risk management and asset pricing models for portfolio management, performance evaluation and performance measurement of equity mutual funds as well as the wide range of bond portfolio management issues. Asset Management and International Capital Markets offers interesting new insights into state-of-the-art asset pricing and asset management research with a focus on international issues. Each chapter makes a valuable contribution to current research and literature, and will be of significant importance to the practice of asset management. This book is a compilation of articles originally published in The European Journal of Finance.

Download or read book Essays on Empirical Asset Pricing written by Xiang Zhang and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 121 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis consists of three essays on empirical asset pricing around three themes: evaluating linear factor asset pricing models by comparing their misspecified measures, understanding the long-run risk on consumption-leisure to investigate their pricing performances on cross-sectional returns, and evaluating conditional asset pricing models by using the methodology of dynamic cross-sectional regressions. The first chapter is ̀̀Comparing Asset Pricing Models: What does the Hansen-Jagannathan Distance Tell Us?''. It compares the relative performance of some important linear asset pricing models based on the Hansen-Jagannathan (HJ) distance using data over a long sample period from 1952-2011 based on U.S. market. The main results are as follows: first, among return-based linear models, the Fama-French (1993) five-factor model performs best in terms of the normalized pricing errors, compared with the other candidates. On the other hand, the macro-factor model of Chen, Roll, and Ross (1986) five-factor is not able to explain industry portfolios: its performance is even worse than that of the classical CAPM. Second, the Yogo (2006) non-durable and durable consumption model is the least misspecified, among consumption-based asset pricing models, in capturing the spread in industry and size portfolios. Third, the Lettau and Ludvigson (2002) scaled consumption-based CAPM (C-CAPM) model obtains the smallest normalized pricing errors pricing gross and excess returns on size portfolios, respectively, while Santos and Veronesi (2006) scaled C-CAPM model does better in explain the return spread on portfolios of U.S. government bonds. The second chapter (̀̀Leisure, Consumption and Long Run Risk: An Empirical Evaluation'') uses a long-run risk model with non-separable leisure and consumption, and studies its ability to price equity returns on a variety of portfolios of U.S. stocks using data from 1948-2011. It builds on early work by Eichenbaum et al. (1988) that explores the empirical properties of intertemporal asset pricing models where the representative agent has utility over consumption and leisure. Here we use the framework in Uhlig (2007) that allows for a stochastic discount factor with news about long-run growth in consumption and leisure. To evaluate our long-run model, we assess its performance relative to standard asset pricing models in explaining the cross-section of returns across size, industry and value-growth portfolios. We find that the long-run consumption-leisure model cannot be rejected by the J-statistic and it does better than the standard C-CAPM, the Yogo durable consumption and Fama-French three-factor models. We also rank the normalized pricing errors using the HJ distance: our model has a smaller HJ distance than other candidate models. Our paper is the first, as far as we are aware, to use leisure data with adjusted working hours as a measure of leisure i.e., defined as the difference between a fixed time endowment and the observable hours spent on working, home production, schooling, communication, and personal care (Yang (2010)). The third essay: ̀̀Empirical Evaluation of Conditional Asset Pricing Models: An Economic Perspective'' uses dynamic Fama-MacBeth cross-sectional regressions and tests the performance of several important conditional asset pricing models when allowing for time-varying price of risk. It compares the performance of conditional asset pricing models, in terms of their ability to explain the cross-section of returns across momentum, industry, value-growth and government bond portfolios. We use the new methodology introduced by Adrian et al. (2012). Our main results are as follows: first we find that the Lettau and Ludvigson (2001) conditional model does better than other models in explaining the cross-section of momentum and value-growth portfolios. Second we find that the Piazessi et al. (2007) consumption model does better than others in pricing the cross-section of industry portfolios. Finally, we find that in the case of the cross-section of risk premia on U.S. government bond portfolios the conditional model in Santos and Veronesi (2006) outperforms other candidate models. Overall, however, the Lettau and Ludvigson (2001) model does better than other candidate models. Our main contributions here is using a recently developed method of dynamic Fama-MacBeth regressions to evaluate the performance of leading conditional CAPM (C-CAPM) models in a common set of test assets over the time period from 1951-2012.

Download or read book An Empirical Study of a Conditional International Asset Pricing Model for US Japanese and European Stock and Government Bond Markets written by Tom Arild Fearnley and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 263 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The dissertation consists of three papers dedicated to empirical tests of a multivariate conditional international Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). The aim is to evaluate to what extent such a model can explain stock and government bond returns in the US, Japan and Europe over the last 10 to 15 years, and whether the model can be usefully employed in global tactical asset allocation. The starting point is the international CAPM of Adler and Dumas (1983), which is made conditional through a multivariate GARCH-in-mean specification. The additional assumption that local inflation rates are zero or deterministic reduces inflation risk premia to currency risk premia. Data are analyzed at weekly frequency. The first paper introduces regime switching GARCH parameters. The second paper adds government bonds to the analysis, and evaluates four different models for the price of market risk. The third paper introduces regime switching prices of risk and intercept terms.

Download or read book Intertemporal Asset Pricing written by Bernd Meyer and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 295 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the mid-eighties Mehra and Prescott showed that the risk premium earned by American stocks cannot reasonably be explained by conventional capital market models. Using time additive utility, the observed risk pre mium can only be explained by unrealistically high risk aversion parameters. This phenomenon is well known as the equity premium puzzle. Shortly aft erwards it was also observed that the risk-free rate is too low relative to the observed risk premium. This essay is the first one to analyze these puzzles in the German capital market. It starts with a thorough discussion of the available theoretical mod els and then goes on to perform various empirical studies on the German capital market. After discussing natural properties of the pricing kernel by which future cash flows are translated into securities prices, various multi period equilibrium models are investigated for their implied pricing kernels. The starting point is a representative investor who optimizes his invest ment and consumption policy over time. One important implication of time additive utility is the identity of relative risk aversion and the inverse in tertemporal elasticity of substitution. Since this identity is at odds with reality, the essay goes on to discuss recursive preferences which violate the expected utility principle but allow to separate relative risk aversion and intertemporal elasticity of substitution.

Download or read book Evaluating Asset pricing Models in International Financial Markets written by Fadi Zaher and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 181 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book An Examination of Conditional Asset Pricing in UK Stock Returns written by Jonathan Fletcher and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I examine the empirical performance of various specifications of the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) in UK stock returns, using the stochastic discount framework. When the proxy for the market portfolio includes a proxy for labor income growth in addition to the stock market index, the performance of the CAPM improves. The improvement in performance shows in the magnitude and significance of the pricing errors and in the reduced impact of asset characteristics and other factors in the pricing of assets. There is further improvement when I use conditional versions of the models.