Download or read book Estimating Return Periods of Tropical Cyclone Intensities in the Vicinity of Hawaii written by Jianxin Wang and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Estimating Return Periods of Extreme Tropical Cyclone Winds Accounting for Effective Surface Roughness at High Resolution written by Robert Walker Whitfield and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the United States, tropical cyclones (TCs) were the leading cause of natural disaster-related fatalities and Consumer Price Index (CPI)-adjusted costs averaged over the years 1980-2017. Accurately assessing TC-induced extreme winds is crucial to proper risk management related to mitigation of these losses. Several studies attempt to calculate return periods (TRP), or the statistically estimated average time between events of a given magnitude, for extreme TC winds at point locations or along coastlines. This study seeks to further previous work by addressing concerns related to spatial and temporal resolutions, in addition to the consideration of TC winds as a function of surface roughness and fetch over land. We begin by analyzing HURDAT BestTrack Extended (1988-2017) data (EBTRK) at 0.25-degree (~27 km) resolution, assigning a maximum observed windspeed value per grid cell per year, to which several extreme value distributions (EVDs) are fit to the probability distribution function (PDF). The Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD) is found to have the best fit to the EBTRK data, where fitting parameters are calculated based on these observations using the method of moments. We find the EBTRK dataset, while more continuous and higher resolution than previous assessments, lacks sufficient observations for proper fit to an EVD and it appears to not fully consider the effect of surface roughness on TC wind speed, likely because of great limitations on spatial information in the data set. To address these issues, we use 59,000 years of modeled TC winds produced by the Florida Public Loss Hurricane Model (FPLHM), which considers the effects of effective surface roughness on upstream winds on a fine scale (~90m), output at locations of interest roughly every kilometer. The study domain is narrowed down to the Tampa/Clearwater area of Florida for its various terrain and coastline features, from which six locations of varying terrain/coastline proximity are chosen. We reimplement the EVD fitting procedure to the FPLHM data, again finding the GPD to be the best fit, and extrapolating out TRP values for the most extreme TC winds at each location. Empirically calculated TRP values are also plotted for the entire domain to gain a sense of those associated patterns. We find TRP and subsequent expected winds can vary dramatically depending on effective surface roughness over distances at least as short as ~1 km (the finest resolution of the saved modeled data), while distance inland independent of TC weakening plays a lesser of a role after the first few kilometers. The results indicate a need for more accurate future TRP analyses that are both at a fine scale and incorporate effective surface roughness, which also points to the weakness in using historical data in areas with recent changes in land use.
Download or read book Advances in Hurricane Risk in a Changing Climate written by Jennifer Collins and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on with total page 301 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Hurricane Risk in a Changing Climate written by Jennifer M. Collins and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-09-15 with total page 359 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How is a changing climate affecting hurricanes, and how are these changes intersecting with our changing exposure and vulnerability in ways that affect tropical cyclone risk? Crucially, how should this understanding be incorporated into risk management practice? This book takes a cross-sectoral look at how damaging tropical cyclone characteristics are changing and presents novel approaches to integrate science with risk assessment. In this new era of tropical cyclone impacts, understanding effective risk management practice in a changing climate is more important than ever. This book details the outcomes of new research focusing on climate risk related to hurricanes in a changing climate. Topics include characteristics of tropical cyclone risk, perspectives on hurricane risk management strategies in the built environment, and implications for commercial risk. Inspired by the Symposium on Hurricane Risk in a Changing Climate, this book brings together leading international academics and researchers, and provides a source reference for both risk managers and climate scientists for research on the interface between tropical cyclones, climate, and risk. 8 chapters are available open access under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License via link.springer.com.
Download or read book Encyclopedia of Environmetrics written by Abdel H. El-Shaarawi and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2002 with total page 660 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive overview of environmetric research and its applications... Environmetrics covers the development and application of quantitative methods in the environmental sciences. It provides essential tools for understanding, predicting, and controlling the impacts of agents, both man-made and natural, which affect the environment. Basic and applied research in this area covers a broad range of topics. Primary among these are the quantitative sciences, such as statistics, probability and applied mathematics, chemometrics, and econometrics. Applications are also important, for example in, ecology and environmental biology, public health, atmospheric science, geology, engineering, risk management, and regulatory/governmental policy amongst others. * Divided into 12 sections, the Encyclopedia brings together over 600 detailed articles which have been carefully selected and reviewed through the collaborative efforts of the Editors-in-Chief and the appropriate Section Editor * Presented in alphabetical order all the articles will include an explanatory introduction, extensive cross-referencing and an up-to-date bibliography providing literature references for further reading. Presenting state of the art information in a readable, highly accessible style, the scope and coverage provided by the Encyclopedia of Environmetrics will ensure its place as the landmark reference for the many scientists, educators, and decision-makers working across this multidisciplinary field. An essential reference tool for university libraries, research laboratories, government institutions and consultancies concerned with the environmental sciences, the Encyclopedia of Environmetrics brings together for the first time, comprehensive coverage of the full range of topics, techniques and applications covered by this multidisciplinary field. There is currently no central reference source which addresses the needs of this multidisciplinary community. This new Encyclopedia will fill this gap by providing a comprehensive source of relevant fundamental concepts in environmetric research, development and applications for statisticians, mathematicians, economists, environmentalists, ecologist, government officials and policy makers.
Download or read book Tropical Cyclone Intensity Analysis Using Satellite Data written by Vernon F. Dvorak and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Recent Hurricane Research written by Anthony Lupo and published by BoD – Books on Demand. This book was released on 2011-04-19 with total page 634 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book represents recent research on tropical cyclones and their impact, and a wide range of topics are covered. An updated global climatology is presented, including the global occurrence of tropical cyclones and the terrestrial factors that may contribute to the variability and long-term trends in their occurrence. Research also examines long term trends in tropical cyclone occurrences and intensity as related to solar activity, while other research discusses the impact climate change may have on these storms. The dynamics and structure of tropical cyclones are studied, with traditional diagnostics employed to examine these as well as more modern approaches in examining their thermodynamics. The book aptly demonstrates how new research into short-range forecasting of tropical cyclone tracks and intensities using satellite information has led to significant improvements. In looking at societal and ecological risks, and damage assessment, authors investigate the use of technology for anticipating, and later evaluating, the amount of damage that is done to human society, watersheds, and forests by land-falling storms. The economic and ecological vulnerability of coastal regions are also studied and are supported by case studies which examine the potential hazards related to the evacuation of populated areas, including medical facilities. These studies provide decision makers with a potential basis for developing improved evacuation techniques.
Download or read book Risk Modeling for Hazards and Disasters written by Gero Michel and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2017-08-29 with total page 342 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk Modeling for Hazards and Disasters covers all major aspects of catastrophe risk modeling, from hazards through to financial analysis. It explores relevant new science in risk modeling, indirect losses, assessment of impact and consequences to insurance losses, and current changes in risk modeling practice, along with case studies. It also provides further insight into the shortcomings of current models and examines model risk and ideas to diversify risk assessment. Risk Modeling for Hazards and Disasters instructs readers on how to assess, price and then hedge the losses from natural and manmade catastrophes. This book reviews current model development and science and explains recent changes in the catastrophe modeling space, including new initiatives covering uncertainty and big data in the assessment of risk for insurance pricing and portfolio management. Edited by a leading expert in both hazards and risk, this book is authored by a global panel including major modeling vendors, modeling consulting firms, and well-known catastrophe modeling scientists. Risk Modeling for Hazards and Disasters provides important insight into how models are used to price and manage risk. Includes high profile case studies such as the Newcastle earthquake, Hurricane Andrew and Hurricane Katrina Provides crucial information on new ideas and platforms that will help address the new demands for risk management and catastrophe risk reporting Presents the theory and practice needed to know how models are created and what is and what is not important in the modeling process Covers relevant new science in risk modeling, indirect losses, assessment of impact and consequences to insurance losses, and current changes in risk modeling practice, along with case studies
Download or read book Curricula in the Atmospheric Oceanic Hydrologic and Related Sciences written by and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 612 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book State of the Climate in 2009 Special Supplement to the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Vol 91 No 6 June 2010 written by and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Acquisition List written by University of Hawaii at Manoa. Library. Hawaiian Collection and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Estimating Tropical Cyclone Intensity from Climate Models written by Shuhua Li and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Objectively Estimating Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Wind Structure Using the Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit written by Julie L. Demuth and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Effects of Synoptic Factors on the Intensities of Tropical Cyclones Over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean written by Kevin R. Petty and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Climatology Variability and Return Periods of Tropical Cyclone Strikes in the Northeastern and Central Pacific Basins written by Nicholas S Grondin and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Hurricane Climatology written by James B. Elsner and published by OUP USA. This book was released on 2013-03-28 with total page 416 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Hurricane Climatology explains how to analyze and model hurricane data to better understand and predict present and future hurricane activity
Download or read book El Ni o Southern Oscillation in a Changing Climate written by Michael J. McPhaden and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2020-11-24 with total page 528 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Comprehensive and up-to-date information on Earth’s most dominant year-to-year climate variation The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the Pacific Ocean has major worldwide social and economic consequences through its global scale effects on atmospheric and oceanic circulation, marine and terrestrial ecosystems, and other natural systems. Ongoing climate change is projected to significantly alter ENSO's dynamics and impacts. El Niño Southern Oscillation in a Changing Climate presents the latest theories, models, and observations, and explores the challenges of forecasting ENSO as the climate continues to change. Volume highlights include: Historical background on ENSO and its societal consequences Review of key El Niño (ENSO warm phase) and La Niña (ENSO cold phase) characteristics Mathematical description of the underlying physical processes that generate ENSO variations Conceptual framework for understanding ENSO changes on decadal and longer time scales, including the response to greenhouse gas forcing ENSO impacts on extreme ocean, weather, and climate events, including tropical cyclones, and how ENSO affects fisheries and the global carbon cycle Advances in modeling, paleo-reconstructions, and operational climate forecasting Future projections of ENSO and its impacts Factors influencing ENSO events, such as inter-basin climate interactions and volcanic eruptions The American Geophysical Union promotes discovery in Earth and space science for the benefit of humanity. Its publications disseminate scientific knowledge and provide resources for researchers, students, and professionals. Find out more about this book from this Q&A with the editors.
