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Book Essays on Testing for Speculative Bubbles in the Stock Market

Download or read book Essays on Testing for Speculative Bubbles in the Stock Market written by Lii-Tarn Chen and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Essays on Testing for Speculative Bubbels in the Stock Markets

Download or read book Essays on Testing for Speculative Bubbels in the Stock Markets written by LII-Tarn Chen and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 107 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Essays on Speculative Bubbles in Financial Markets

Download or read book Essays on Speculative Bubbles in Financial Markets written by Oswald Mungule and published by LAP Lambert Academic Publishing. This book was released on 2012-08 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial markets have been experiencing episodes of financial crises since the great depression of 1929. The busting of speculative bubbles is one of the causes of most financial crises. Financial crises cause welfare loses. Therefore, Mungule and Malikane's Essays on Speculative Bubbles in Financial Markets presents a thoroughly up-to-date and pedagogically rich advanced knowledge that fits perfectly into the newest segments of both financial and monetary economics course areas. Beginning with Chapter 1 on formation of speculative bubbles, central banks are encouraged to understand speculative bubbles dynamics, measurement issues and the implications of either responding or no response to the bubbles on macroeconomic variables. This edition provides international application of speculative bubbles, helping make issues of monetary policy implications of responding to asset price bubbles easy for policy makers and postgraduate students to understand.

Book Essays on Testing for Specultative Bubbles in the Stock Market

Download or read book Essays on Testing for Specultative Bubbles in the Stock Market written by Lii-Tarn Chen and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Bursting the Bubble  Rationality in a Seemingly Irrational Market

Download or read book Bursting the Bubble Rationality in a Seemingly Irrational Market written by David F. DeRosa and published by CFA Institute Research Foundation. This book was released on 2021-04-02 with total page 206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The presence of speculative bubbles in capital markets (an important area of interest in financial history) is widely accepted across many circles. Talk of them is pervasive in the media and especially in the popular financial press. Bubbles are thought to be found primarily in the stock market, which is our main interest, although bubbles are said to occur in other markets. Bubbles go hand in hand with the notion that markets can be irrational. The academic community has a great interest in bubbles, and it has produced scholarly literature that is voluminous. For some economists, doing bubble research is like joining the vanguard of a Kuhnian paradigm shift in economic thinking. Not so fast. If bubbles did exist, they would pose a serious challenge to neoclassical finance. Bubbles would contradict the ideas that markets are rational or work in an informationally efficient manner. That’s what makes the topic of bubbles interesting. This book reviews and evaluates the academic literature as well as some popular investment books on the possible existence of speculative bubbles in the stock market. The main question is whether there is convincing empirical evidence that bubbles exist. A second question is whether the theoretical concepts that have been advanced for bubbles make them plausible. The reader will discover that I am skeptical that bubbles actually exist. But I do not think I or anyone else will ever be able to conclusively prove that there has never been a bubble. From studying the literature and from reading history, I find that many famous purported bubbles reflect inaccurate history or mistakes in analysis or simply cannot be shown to have existed. In other instances, bubbles might have existed. But in each of those cases, there are credible rational explanations. And good evidence exists for the idea that even if bubbles do exist, they are not of great importance to understanding the stock market.

Book Testing for Speculative Bubbles in Stock Markets

Download or read book Testing for Speculative Bubbles in Stock Markets written by Ulrich-Michael Homm and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Testing for Speculative Bubbles in Stock Prices

Download or read book Testing for Speculative Bubbles in Stock Prices written by Aslı Demirgüç-Kunt and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Speculative Bubbles  Speculative Attacks  and Policy Switching

Download or read book Speculative Bubbles Speculative Attacks and Policy Switching written by Robert P. Flood and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1994 with total page 528 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The papers in this book are grouped into three sections: the first on price bubbles is primarily financial; the second on speculative attacks (on exchange rate regimes) is international in scope; and the third, on policy switching, is concerned with monetary policy.

Book Bubbleology

    Book Details:
  • Author : Kevin A. Hassett
  • Publisher : Random House Digital, Inc.
  • Release : 2002
  • ISBN : 9780609609293
  • Pages : 0 pages

Download or read book Bubbleology written by Kevin A. Hassett and published by Random House Digital, Inc.. This book was released on 2002 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There are only two types of stocks: those safe from bubbles and those that are not. This is a fact of investing many discovered as they saw their fabulous gains whittled away by the extreme calamity of the Internet sector. But what about the future? Is there a way for investors to capture the enormous potential for profit that exists at the frontier of the economy, the place where innovation and genius operate, without placing their fortunes in jeopardy? Is there a way to evaluate price increases--and declines--and identify whether they are happening for good or bad reasons? Bubbleology makes it possible to separate the winners from the losers. It is a brilliant, practical, and original analysis of the stock market that bashes the conventional wisdom about bubbles, showing that such famous examples as Tulipomania were not, in fact, bubbles at all. Bubbleology shows that the traditional way of evaluating risk--equating it with volatility--is inherently flawed and incomplete. If a stock fluctuates a lot in price it is regarded as risky. If the price is stable, then it is not. What this simplistic way of thinking leaves out is the simple fact that companies trying something completely new that may fundamentally alter the economic landscape are operating at the frontier. The stock of such a company swims in a sea of ambiguity, its circumstances uncertain, since there is little to provide guidance about the future. But when nobody knows for sure what will happen, pundits tell us again about Tulipomania, the South Seas Bubble, and now the debacle of the Internet to scare investors away from potentially enormous profits. To realize those profits, however, investors have tounderstand the role that uncertainty and ambiguity--the absence of reliable information about future events--play in the modern stock market. Those who equate ambiguity with bubbles will miss the great opportunities of the future. Bubbleology provides a new way to observe what is really going on in the market, enabling you to understand whether a stock or a sector is suspicious--whether it is in a bubble and therefore something to be avoided. Finding bubbles requires knowing where to look and what to look for. Bubbleology will help you avoid both streaming into speculative manias and shying away from perfectly good business opportunities. It tells you why you need to avoid both pontificating pundits and overconfident stock analysts. With this unique and forward-thinking book, you can inspect suspicious stocks, accurately discern risk, and diagnose a blossoming bubble before it vanishes along with your money.

Book A Specification Test for Speculative Bubbles

Download or read book A Specification Test for Speculative Bubbles written by Kenneth David West and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Bubbleology

Download or read book Bubbleology written by Kevin Hassett and published by Currency. This book was released on 2002-07-23 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There are only two types of stocks: those safe from bubbles and those that are not. This is a fact of investing many discovered as they saw their fabulous gains whittled away by the extreme calamity of the Internet sector. But what about the future? Is there a way for investors to capture the enormous potential for profit that exists at the frontier of the economy, the place where innovation and genius operate, without placing their fortunes in jeopardy? Is there a way to evaluate price increases—and declines—and identify whether they are happening for good or bad reasons? Bubbleology makes it possible to separate the winners from the losers. It is a brilliant, practical, and original analysis of the stock market that bashes the conventional wisdom about bubbles, showing that such famous examples as Tulipomania were not, in fact, bubbles at all. Bubbleology shows that the traditional way of evaluating risk—equating it with volatility—is inherently flawed and incomplete. If a stock fluctuates a lot in price it is regarded as risky. If the price is stable, then it is not. What this simplistic way of thinking leaves out is the simple fact that companies trying something completely new that may fundamentally alter the economic landscape are operating at the frontier. The stock of such a company swims in a sea of ambiguity, its circumstances uncertain, since there is little to provide guidance about the future. But when nobody knows for sure what will happen, pundits tell us again about Tulipomania, the South Seas Bubble, and now the debacle of the Internet to scare investors away from potentially enormous profits. To realize those profits, however, investors have to understand the role that uncertainty and ambiguity—the absence of reliable information about future events—play in the modern stock market. Those who equate ambiguity with bubbles will miss the great opportunities of the future. Bubbleology provides a new way to observe what is really going on in the market, enabling you to understand whether a stock or a sector is suspicious—whether it is in a bubble and therefore something to be avoided. Finding bubbles requires knowing where to look and what to look for. Bubbleology will help you avoid both streaming into speculative manias and shying away from perfectly good business opportunities. It tells you why you need to avoid both pontificating pundits and overconfident stock analysts. With this unique and forward-thinking book, you can inspect suspicious stocks, accurately discern risk, and diagnose a blossoming bubble before it vanishes along with your money.

Book Stock Markets  Speculative Bubbles and Economic Growth

Download or read book Stock Markets Speculative Bubbles and Economic Growth written by Mathias Binswanger and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 368 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Progress in Economics Research

Download or read book Progress in Economics Research written by Albert Tavidze and published by Nova Publishers. This book was released on 2006 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This series spans the globe presenting leading research in economics. It is perhaps a sign of the times that economic weapons such as sanctions seem to be as powerful as or more so than tanks. International applications and examples of economic progress are invaluable in a troubled world with economic booms bursting like so many penny balloons. Globalisation, outstanding and jobless recoveries present economic issues of concern to millions. Business Cycles?; Economic Growth and International Trade in The Mediterranean Area: An Empirical Analysis; An Empirical (Pooled) Analysis of Latin America's Poor: Investment Performance During the 1980-1999 Period; Does Audit Quality Influence Post-IPO Survival?; A Relationship Quality/Stakeholder Perspective of Corporate Performance; Monetary Policy Impacts on US Livestock-Oriented Agricultural Prices; Negative Externality, Tacit Bargaining and Cigarette Demand: The Case of Environmental Tobacco Smoke in Japan; Capital Flows, Information Sharing and Optimal Capital Taxation; PPP Relationship and Real Exchange Rates revised: The Non-Linear Case; Quasitransitive Rational Choice; Index.

Book Rational Speculative Bubbles in the Frontier Emerging Stock Markets

Download or read book Rational Speculative Bubbles in the Frontier Emerging Stock Markets written by M. Kabir Hassan and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We extend the rational speculative bubbles literature to the frontier emerging stock markets. For this purpose, this paper employs fractional integration tests and duration dependence tests based on the ARFIMA models and nonparametric smoothed hazard functions. Unlike traditional bubble tests, fractional integration tests and duration dependence tests do not show strong evidence of rational speculative bubbles in the frontier emerging stock markets.

Book Anatomy Of Stock Market Bubbles

Download or read book Anatomy Of Stock Market Bubbles written by György Komáromi and published by ICFAI Books. This book was released on 2006-11-14 with total page 129 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents one of the most controversial happenings in economics stock market bubbles. The author discusses this topic threadbare and provides a critical analysis of related literature from different economic schools. This book also presents analy

Book A Specification Test for Speculative Bubbles

Download or read book A Specification Test for Speculative Bubbles written by Kenneth D. West and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The set of parameters needed to calculate the expected present discounted value of a stream of dividends can be estimated in two ways. One may test for speculative bubbles, or fads, by testing whether the two estimates are the same. When the test is applied to some annual U.S. stock market data, the data usually reject the null hypothesis of no bubbles. The test is of general interest since it may be applied to a wide class of linear rational expectations models.

Book Three Essays on Financial Instability of Emerging Stock Markets

Download or read book Three Essays on Financial Instability of Emerging Stock Markets written by Thi Bich Ngoc Tran and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 316 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation aims to study some potentially major risks in emerging stock markets after their liberalization. These risks include periodically collapsing speculative bubbles on stock prices, contagion defined as a significant increase in correlations between markets and the market destabilizing behavior of hedge funds. Appropriate empirical methodology is used, such as the robust non-cointegration test developed by Taylor and Peel (1998), the dynamic conditional correlation models (DCC-GARCH(1,1)), the Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models with consecutive rolling windows, Granger non-causality tests, the impulse response functions to a shock, and the forecast error variance decomposition. This dissertation focuses in particular on markets in Asian and Latin American regions during the 1990s and 2000s. The results are the followings. Firstly, there exist speculative bubbles in most of studied markets and the equity market openness seems to be an important factor which is significantly positive related to the formation of speculative bubbles in both Asian and Latin American regions. Secondly, the evidence of contagion effects is detected during the 1994 Mexican crisis, the 1997 Asian crisis, and the 2007 US subprime crisis. The US subprime crisis is found to be the most contagious while the Mexican crisis is the least contagious and has only regional effects. Lastly, hedge funds are found to exert an impact on stock markets due to their significant contribution to the variance of stock markets' returns.