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Book Essays on Monetary Policy in Small Open Economies

Download or read book Essays on Monetary Policy in Small Open Economies written by Gennady Lyakir and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Essays on Monetary Policy in Small Open Economies

Download or read book Essays on Monetary Policy in Small Open Economies written by Inhwan So and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation studies the effects of monetary policy in small open economies. In Chapter 1, I investigate how the openness of banking sector influences the transmission channels of home and international monetary policy shocks in small open economies. For the analysis, I construct a small open economy DSGE model enriched with a globalized banking sector. I consider two forms of bank globalization: international bank capital finance and foreign loan account import. By comparing the effect of each type of bank globalization on monetary policy transmission, the analysis delivers the following results. First, bank globalization leads to a significant attenuation of domestic monetary policy transmission. This is because, in response to home monetary shocks, banks' global activities allow them to maintain bank rates and demands on deposit to some extent compared to those in financial autarky. On the other hand, opening of the banking sector intensifies the impact of foreign interest rate shocks on the local bank activities. In addition to the conventional channel of international monetary transmission through interest-parity condition, global bank operation opens a new channel which makes bank rates more responsive to foreign monetary shock. Chapter 2 investigates the nature of monetary policy transmission in four small open economies - Australia, Canada, South Korea, and the U.K. - and the U.S. (the benchmark) by estimating structural vector autoregressive models using the external instrument identification method. Differing from related studies on U.S. monetary policy, which mostly employ high-frequency futures data on monetary policy operating instruments (federal fund futures rates) to identify monetary policy shocks, we propose and test alternative sets of external instruments for the four focal open economies that do not yet have well-established futures markets in monetary policy instruments. The empirical results obtained by applying this data-oriented method yield important messages from both the econometric and macroeconomic perspectives. First, U.S. monetary policy plays an important role in monetary transmission in SOEs, presumably hampering the effectiveness of domestic monetary policy. In particular, the effect of domestic monetary policy shocks on medium- and long-term interest rates is quite weak and short-lived, while U.S. monetary innovation significantly and persistently influences domestic financial variables. Second, the paper provides some evidence that foreign exchange rates in this process respond to monetary shocks as Dornbusch (1976)’s overshooting hypothesis. Chapter 3 studies the wedge between the interest rate implied by Euler equation and money market rate in five small open economies – Australia, Canada, Finland, Korea, and the U.K. Standard Euler equation predicts strongly positive relationship between the two interest rates. However, data shows significantly large wedge between them, which causes negative correlation. We explore the systemic link between the wedge and two possible influencing factors – monetary policy and net foreign asset position. The empirical results from our analysis deliver the important message that the wedge is closely related to net foreign asset position in open economies, while its relationship to the stance of monetary policy has mixed results.

Book Essays on Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interactions in Small Open Economies

Download or read book Essays on Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interactions in Small Open Economies written by Thitima Chucherd and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 474 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis addresses interactions between monetary and fiscal policies in a theoretical dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model of a small open economy and in an empirical model under a structural vector error correction model (SVECM). The thesis consists of three essays. The contribution is both theoretical and empirical that enables a better understanding of the complexity of interactions between monetary and fiscal policies in small open economies. The first essay examines the equilibrium determinacy under monetary and fiscal rules. The goal is to investigate how monetary and fiscal policy interactions ensure a unique and non-explosive (determinate) equilibrium for a small open economy. The study focuses when policy makers implement a set of policy mixes to address domestic output price inflation control for monetary policy, debt stabilization for fiscal policy, and joint output stabilization tasks. The result indicates that two policy schemes facilitate a determinate equilibrium. First, monetary policy actively controls inflation when fiscal policy sets a sufficient feedback on debt. Second, monetary policy becomes passive against inflation when fiscal policy is insolvent. Adding output stabilization to each rule simply causes variants of this fundamental. An interest rate rule with output stabilization can be more passive against inflation while providing a stronger response to the output gap. Fiscal policy is required to set higher feedback on debt along with its stronger counter-cyclical policy. The second essay links between the equilibrium determinacy and policy optimization. This essay provides insights into the design of policy mixes and compares determinacy outcomes between two theoretical models of a small open economy: with and without an explicit exchange rate role. This study shows that policy interactions in a small open economy with an endogenous exchange rate is quite sophisticated, especially when a monetary rule is added with an output stabilization task and/or targeted to Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation. Additional concern for monetary policy in an open economy causes a partial offset to its reaction on domestic output price inflation that weakens its effect on the real debt burden. To minimize economic fluctuations, policy makers should mute the role of output stabilization for monetary policy, and set minimum feedback on debt that is compatible with the degree of counter-cyclical fiscal policy. Substantially active response to inflation is satisfactory for monetary policy with CPI inflation targeting. The third essay empirically presents monetary and fiscal policy interactions in Thailand's SVECM suggested by a theoretical DSGE model developed from the previous essays. This essay shows that the DSGE-SVECM model can be supported by Thai data. A shock to monetary policy is effective with a lag. Government spending policy is also effective with a lag and some crowding-out effects on output. An adverse shock in tax policy unexpectedly stimulates the economy, indicating room for enhancing economic growth by relaxing revenue constraint. Monetary policy is mainly implemented to correct a consequence of a fiscal shock on inflation (and also the domestic and foreign shocks), while fiscal policy appears to counter a consequence of the monetary policy shock on output.

Book Essays in Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Regimes for Small Open Economies

Download or read book Essays in Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Regimes for Small Open Economies written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Three Essays on Monetary Policy in Small Open Economies

Download or read book Three Essays on Monetary Policy in Small Open Economies written by Kai L. Chan and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the second chapter, a model with nominal wage rigidities is combined with the assumption that all goods are traded in the new open economy framework to derive an outcome where the home country has a strong bias towards its own good. Then it is shown that, under broad assumptions of the parameters of the model, overshooting is a consequence when interest elasticity of money demand is less than unity.

Book Essays on Financial Integration and Monetary Policy in Small Open Economies

Download or read book Essays on Financial Integration and Monetary Policy in Small Open Economies written by Mara Pirovano and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Essays on Monetary Policy for a Small Open Economy

Download or read book Essays on Monetary Policy for a Small Open Economy written by José Angelo Divino and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 153 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Inflation and Employment in Open Economies

Download or read book Inflation and Employment in Open Economies written by Assar Lindbeck and published by North-Holland. This book was released on 1979 with total page 358 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book International Monetary Problems and Supply Side Economics

Download or read book International Monetary Problems and Supply Side Economics written by G. Harcourt and published by Springer. This book was released on 1986-09-29 with total page 170 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Essays on Monetary Policy

Download or read book Essays on Monetary Policy written by Christoph Himmels and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis consists of three essays on optimal monetary policy. In the first essay I study time-consistent monetary policy in an small open economy model with incomplete financial markets. I demonstrate the existence of two discretionary equilibria. The model is capable of explaining periods of different exchange rate volatilities as well as the transition between those regimes. Following a shock the economy can be stabilised either `quickly' or `slow', where both dynamic paths satisfy the conditions of optimality and time-consistency. I also show that a policy of partially targeting the exchange rate results in far worse welfare outcomes relative to a strict inflation targeting policy. In the second essay, I analyse how a policy maker can avoid expectation traps and coordination failures. Using a framework developed by Schaumburg and Tambalotti (2007) and Debortoli and Nunes (2010) in which a policy maker may or may not default on past promises I show that already mild degrees of precommitment are sufficient to generate uniqueness of the Pareto-preferred equilibrium. In the last chapter, I examine optimal monetary policy from an empirical perspective. I estimate a simple small open economy model separately for a policy maker acting under commitment and discretion and find that the data favours the commitment approach. Furthermore, the data suggest that the Bank of Canada did not target the nominal exchange rate in the inspected time period.

Book Two Essays in Monetary Economics

Download or read book Two Essays in Monetary Economics written by P. D. Jonson and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Three Essays on Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy

Download or read book Three Essays on Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy written by Sarbari Banerjee-Rothe and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Essays on Small Open Economies

Download or read book Essays on Small Open Economies written by Jiansheng Zhong and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 90 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation research puts a focus on small open economies, whose policies do not affect world prices and interest rates. In the first chapter, it is shown that recent Canadian data from 2001 to 2013 feature a notable procyclical trade balance, which contrasts with the countercyclical trade balance in 1981-2000. By using a dynamic small open economy model built based upon Mendoza's (1991) framework, driven by correlated domestic productivity shocks and world credit spread shocks, I can generate the observed trade balance pattern in the pre-2000 and post-2000 periods. In addition, my analysis shows that the world credit spread shocks explain a large portion of the considerable change in the cyclicality of trade balance, and that the low world real risk-free interest rate after 2000 partially accounts for the procyclical trade balance in the same time period. Applications of the model to other developed small open economies, such as Australia and New Zealand, yield similar results, suggesting that the world credit spread shocks have an impact on macroeconomic dynamics and help improve model performance. The second chapter concerns an innovative exchange rate policy implemented by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). From 2013 to mid-2015, in order to achieve balanced economic growth, the RBA tried to bring down the Australian dollar by presenting public speeches and monetary policy statements that expressed a strong preference for a lower exchange rate, which is known as jawboning down the currency. To investigate the effectiveness of the central bank's jawboning strategy, I analyze the Australian economy with a structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model, in which the Exchange Rate Stance Index (ERSI) is constructed to measure the magnitude of jawboning. The empirical results show that an unanticipated increase in the ERSI, which is equivalent to strengthened jawboning by the RBA, will lead to a significant and lasting fall in the real exchange rate. However, the ERSI shock fails to improve GDP over the medium term, suggesting that the jawboning strategy is not an effective exchange rate policy tool to boost GDP growth. The third chapter investigates how the global and local financial shocks would contribute to the large fluctuations of the unemployment rates in the emerging markets. We use a panel structural vector autoregressive (VAR) model to analyze monthly data from six emerging countries between 1999 and 2015. The results show that the local financial risk factors, including the country spread and the dividend yield, account for a larger portion of unemployment movements than the global financial risks, including the U.S. risk-free real interest rate and the global financial risk proxied by the U.S. Baa corporate spread.

Book Essays on Inflation Dynamics and Monetary Policy in a Globalized World

Download or read book Essays on Inflation Dynamics and Monetary Policy in a Globalized World written by Muhammad Naveed Tahir and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The aim of this thesis is to analyze the impact of globalization on the dynamics of inflation and monetary policy in a globalized world. It consists of three essays.In the first essay we investigate the impact of financial globalization on the behaviour of inflation targeting emerging market economies with respect to exchange rate - Do central banks respond to exchange rate movements or not? We use quarterly data for six emerging market inflation targeting economies from the date of their inflation targeting adoption to 2009 Q4. The chapter uses small open economy new Keynesian model à la Gali and Monacelli (2005), and employs multi-equation GMM technique to investigate the relationship. We find that the response of central bank to the exchange rate in case of Brazil, Chile, Mexico and Thailand is statistically significant while insignificant for Korea and Czech Republic. Theoretically, it should not be so as even under flexible inflation targeting central bank responds to inflation deviation and output gap; we think that the peculiar characteristics of emerging markets, like fear of floating, weak financial system and low level of central bank credibility make exchange rate important for these economies. In the second essay we investigate empirically the relative importance of monetary transmission channels for Brazil, Chile and Korea. This chapter uses monthly data from the inception of inflation targeting regime to 2009 M12. We use a SVAR model incorporating the main monetary transmission channels combined together instead of individual channels in isolation. The empirical results indicate that the exchange rate channel and the share price channel have higher relative importance than the traditional interest rate and credit channel for industrial production. The results are not much different in case of inflation, except for Korea. The high ranking of exchange rate and share price channel is in line with the results by Gudmundsson (2007), which finds that exchange rate channel might have overburdened in the wake of financial globalization.In the third chapter we investigate empirically the role of openness - real and financial - on the inflation dynamics of Brazil, Chile and Korea. The chapter uses monthly data from the inception of inflation targeting regime to the end month of 2009. In this chapter we employ the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) technique. We use imports to GDP ratio as an indicator for real openness whereas Chinn and Ito index (KAOPEN) and total assets plus total liabilities to GDP ratio form the data set of Lane and Milesi-Ferretti are two proxies for financial openness. The chapter concludes that there exists, generally, a positive relationship between real openness and inflation. However, in case of financial globalization the results are inconclusive as they are sensitive to measurement method of financial globalization.

Book Essays on Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Small Open Economies

Download or read book Essays on Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Small Open Economies written by Keyra Primus and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: