Download or read book Essays on General Equilibrium Asset Pricing Models and Macroeconomics written by James Michael Nason and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 79 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book An Essay on General Equilibrium Asset Princing Models and Macroeconomics written by James M. Nason and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Essays on Macro finance Asset Pricing Models and Estimation written by Kyu Ho Kang and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 108 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In my dissertation, I focus on theoretical asset pricing models and the development of Bayesian econometric methods to estimate them, particularly in the area of bond pricing. The first essay theoretically and empirically examines structural changes in a dynamic term-structure model of zero-coupon bond yields. To do this, we develop a new arbitrage-free one latent and two macro-economics factor affine model to price default-free bonds when all model parameters are subject to change at unknown time points. The bonds in our set-up can be priced straightforwardly once the change-point model is formulated as a specific unidirectional Markov process. We consider five versions of our general model - with 0, 1, 2, 3 and 4 change-points - to a collection of 16 yields measured quarterly over the period 1972:I to 2007:IV. Our empirical approach to inference is fully Bayesian with priors set up to reflect the assumption of a positive term-premium. The use of Bayesian techniques is particularly relevant because the models are high-dimensional and non-linear, and because it is more straightforward to compare our different change-point models from the Bayesian perspective. Our estimation results indicate that the model with 3 change-points is most supported by the data and that the breaks occurred in 1980:II, 1985:IV and 1995:II. These dates correspond (in turn) to the time of a change in monetary policy, the onset of what is termed the great moderation, and the start of technology driven period of economic growth. We also utilize the Bayesian framework to derive the out-of-sample predictive densities of the term-structure. We find that the forecasting performance of the 3 change-point model is substantially better than that of the other models we examine. In the second essay, we develop and estimate a model of the term structure of interest rates within the context of a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model. The model features multiple monetary policy and volatility regimes. We estimate this model by Bayesian methods. Our estimation results reveal that U.S. monetary policy has become ``more active'' since 1995:Q2, that during this period, the average term premium has fallen, and that the price of regime shift risk is always significantly positive over time. These findings highlight the important role that general equilibrium modeling can play in understanding the complex dynamics of the term structure.

Download or read book Three Essays on Asset Pricing Model with Heterogenous Agents written by Tae-Jin Kang and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 174 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Equilibrium Markets and Dynamics written by Cars H. Hommes and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book contains essays in honour of Claus Weddepohl who, after 22 years, is retiring as professor of mathematical economics at the Department of Quantitative Economics of the University of Amsterdam. Claus Weddepohl may be viewed as th~ first Dutch mathematical economist in the general equi librium tradition of Arrow, Debreu and Hahn. The essays in this book are centered around the themes Equilibrium, Markets and Dynamics, that have been at the heart of Weddepohl's work on mathematical economics for more than three decades. The essays have been classified according to these three themes. Admittedly such a classification always is somewhat arbitrary, and most essays would in fact fit into two or even all three themes. The essays have been written by international as well as Dutch friends and colleagues including Weddepohl's former Ph. D. students. The book starts with a review of Claus Weddepohl's work by Roald Ramer, who has been working with him in Amsterdam for all those years. The review describes how Weddepohl became fascinated by general equilibrium theory in the early stages of his career, how he has been working on the theory of markets throughout his career, and how he turned to applications of nonlinear dynamics to price adjustment processes in a later stage of his career. The first part of the book, Equilibrium, collects essays with general equilib rium theory as the main theme.

Download or read book General Equilibrium Growth and Trade written by Jerry R. Green and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2014-05-10 with total page 422 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: General Equilibrium, Growth, and Trade: Essays in Honor of Lionel McKenzie provides information pertinent to the three main areas of Professor McKenzie's scientific research, namely, international trade, economic growth, and general equilibrium theory. This book highlights the main aspects of McKenzie's work. Organized into three parts encompassing 21 chapters, this book begins with an overview of the regularizing effects of aggregation over nonregular microrelations. This text then examines the theory of a multiperiod monopolist incurring nonseparable labor adjustment costs, which is developed when investment is irreversible. Other chapters consider the behavior of a price-maker in a competitive market as a preliminary step to a more complete analysis of pure competition. This book discusses as well the effects of uncertainty on optimal decisions, which constitutes an increasingly essential area of economic research. The final chapter deals with the general equilibrium macroeconomic model. This book is a valuable resource for economists and economic theorists.

Download or read book Asset Pricing for Dynamic Economies written by Sumru Altug and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2008-09-11 with total page 686 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This introduction to general equilibrium modelling takes an integrated approach to the analysis of macroeconomics and finance. It provides students, practitioners, and policymakers with an easily accessible set of tools that can be used to analyze a wide range of economic phenomena. Key features: • Provides a consistent framework for understanding dynamic economic models • Introduces key concepts in finance in a discrete time setting • Develops simple recursive approach for analyzing a variety of problems in a dynamic, stochastic environment • Sequentially builds up the analysis of consumption, production, and investment models to study their implications for allocations and asset prices • Reviews business cycle analysis and the business cycle implications of monetary and international models • Covers latest research on asset pricing in overlapping generations models and on models with borrowing constraints and transaction costs • Includes end-of-chapter exercises allowing readers to monitor their understanding of each topic Online resources are available at www.cambridge.org/altug_labadie

Download or read book Essays in General Equilibrium Asset Pricing written by José Emilio Osambela Zavala and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Partial Vs General equilibrium Models of the International Capital Market written by Bernard Dumas and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this essay, I discuss and compare two ways of modeling international capital market equilibrium: the orthodox, general-equilibrium approach and the heterodox, partial-equilibrium CAPM (Capital Asset Pricing Model) approach. The benchmark for this comparison is the model's ability to provide an explanation for, or take into account, a number of stylized facts of international finance: UIRP deviations, home-equity preference, PPP deviations and their persistence, consumption behavior in relation to wealth. In addition, I ask which approach is more likely in future research to help us identify the relevant state variables of the economy. None of the models satisfactorily explains the stylized facts but the CAPM approach affords the most productive avenue for empirical research in the immediate future.

Download or read book Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis written by Sumru Altug and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2003-11-20 with total page 604 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This collection of essays applies modern micro-founded macroeconomic models to some of the most important economic policy questions facing monetary and macroeconomic policymakers. Key issues surveyed include: consumption investment; growth and business cycles; the role of government; asset pricing; the interaction of monetary and fiscal policy; open-economy issues; stabilization policy and general equilibrium analysis of emerging market crises. The book includes specially commissioned chapters from recognized authorities.

Download or read book Essays on International Macroeconomics and Policy written by Tian Xia and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As the world economy becomes rapidly integrated through the globalization of markets for goods and services, it is crucial to understand how cross-country linkages through goods and financial markets explain observed business cycles in data. Furthermore, interdependent open economies imply that optimal policy is unlikely to be responding to domestic shocks only. This dissertation studies various aspects of open economies from a macroeconomic perspective and discusses related theoretical policy implications. Chapter 1 investigates the implication of intermediate goods on optimal monetary policy in open economies, and in particular, focusing on the welfare gains from monetary cooperation. In a relatively standard two-country dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with input-output relations, I demonstrate that introducing intermediate goods can amplify the welfare gains caused by cost-push shocks by an order of magnitude larger. A detailed analysis on the equilibrium dynamics highlights a new channel that is absent in the previous literature: non-cooperative central banks respond differently to shocks in the intermediate goods market versus shocks in the final goods market, even if these shocks generate the same distortions when the two central banks cooperate. Furthermore, I find that increasing the degree of openness in the intermediate goods market can reduce the welfare gains from monetary cooperation. This casts doubt on whether the recent trend in international economic integration may justify the potential need for international monetary cooperation. Chapter 2 develops a simple framework for computing equilibrium shares of trade currency invoicing in open economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models. The solution method follows closely to Devereux and Sutherland (2011)'s method in solving portfolio choice by applying information from second-order approximations of equilibrium conditions to solving zero-order portfolio shares. The framework is flexible enough to be extended to a Rotemberg sticky price model. To illustrate the approach, I use a simple symmetric two-country model and show that the results are consistent with existing theoretical findings on how monetary policy affects exchange rate pass-through. Chapter 3 investigates the interaction between inequality and financial development in determining the condition for rational asset bubbles to emerge in general equilibrium. I develop a simple overlapping generations model (OLG) with a production economy and financial frictions, which shows that wage inequality can cause dynamic inefficiency in an economy with an underdeveloped financial sector. Furthermore, the model developed in the chapter indicates that trade integration can create asset bubbles through the channel of increasing inequality. The result is consistent with observations where developing countries with export-led growth seem to experience episodes of bubble-like asset price booms and busts in the last three decades.

Download or read book General Equilibrium and Game Theory written by Andreu Mas-Colell and published by Harvard University Press. This book was released on 2016-01-04 with total page 249 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Andreu Mas-Colell revolutionized our understanding of competitive markets, price formation, and the behavior of market participants. This volume presents the papers that solidified his standing as one of the preeminent economic theorists of our time. It also is invaluable for anyone wishing to study the craft of a master of economic modeling.

Download or read book Essays on Money Asset Prices and Liquidity Premia written by Seungduck Lee and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation analyzes the determinants of asset prices and the effect of monetary policy on not only asset prices, but also on other macroeconomic outcomes such as asset market trade volume and welfare in an environment with search frictions. The analysis in such an environment helps to examine an important component of determining asset prices: liquidity, which is assets' ability to facilitate transactions. Hence, the dissertation particularly examines the effect of monetary policy on asset prices that the traditional asset pricing models without search frictions may be missing, and also explain some phenomena which are often considered abnormal in macroeconomics and international macroeconomics such as negative nominal yields and the Uncovered Interest Parity puzzle. The dissertation consists of three stand-alone papers and I provide their abstracts as follows. The first chapter is "Money, Asset Prices and the Liquidity Premium". This paper examines the effect of monetary policy on the market value of the liquidity services that financial assets provide, known as the liquidity premium. Money supply and nominal interest rates have positive effects on the liquidity premium, but asset supply has a negative effect. This implies that liquid financial assets aresubstantive substitutes for money, and that the opportunity cost of holding money plays a key role in explaining variation in the liquidity premium and thus in asset prices. The higher cost of holding money due to higher money growth rates leads to a higher liquidity premium. My empirical analysis with U.S. Treasury data over the period from 1946 and 2008 confirms the theoretical predictions. The theory also suggests that the liquidity properties of assets can cause negative nominal yields when the cost of holding money is low and liquid assets are scarce. I present empirical findings in the U.S. and Switzerland to support this prediction. The second chapter is a joint paper with Kuk Mo Jung, titled "A Liquidity-Based Resolution of the Uncovered Interest Parity Puzzle". In this paper, a new monetary theory is set out to resolve the "Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP)" Puzzle. It explores the possibility that liquidity properties of money and nominal bonds can account for the puzzle. A key concept in our model is that nominal bondscarry liquidity premia due to their medium of exchange role as either collateral or a means of payment. In this framework, no-arbitrage ensures a positive comovement of real return on money and nominal bonds. Thus, when inflation in one country becomes relatively lower, i.e., real return on this currency is relatively higher, its nominal bonds should also yield higher real return. We show that their nominal returns can also become higher under the economic environment where collateral pledgeability and/or liquidity of nominal bonds and/or collateralized credit based transactions are relatively bigger. Since a currency with lower inflation is expected to appreciate, the high interest currency does indeed appreciate in this case, i.e., the UIP puzzle is no longer an anomaly in our model. Our liquidity based theory can in fact help understanding many empirical observations that risk based explanations find difficult to reconcile with. The third chapter is joint work with Athanasios Geromichalos, Jiwon Lee, and Keita Oikawa, titled "Over-the-Counter Trade and the Value of Assets as Collateral" and was published in Economic Theory in 2016. We study asset pricing within a general equilibrium model where unsecured credit is ruled out, and a real asset helps agents carry out mutually benecial transactions by serving as collateral. A unique feature of our model is that the agent who provides the loan might have a low valuation for the collateral asset. Nevertheless, the lender rationally chooses to accept the collateral because she can access a secondary asset market where she can sell the asset. Following a recent strand of the finance literature, based on the influential work of Duffie, Garleanu, and Pedersen (2005), we model this secondary asset market as an over-the-counter market characterized by search and bargaining frictions. We study how the asset's property to serve as collateral affects its equilibrium price, and how the asset price and the economy's welfare are affected by the degree of liquidity in the secondary asset market.

Download or read book Two Essays in Equilibrium Asset Pricing with Imperfections written by Benjamin Croitoru and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 102 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Essays in Financial Economics written by Winston Wei Dou and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 383 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis consists of three essays that theoretically and empirically investigate the asset pricing and macroeconomic implications of uncertainty shocks, propose new measures for model robustness, explain the joint dynamics on equity excess returns and real exchange rates. In the first chapter, I show that the effect of uncertainty shocks on asset prices and macroeconomic dynamics depends on the degree of risk sharing in the economy and the origin of uncertainty. I develop a general equilibrium model with imperfect risk sharing and two sources of uncertainty shocks: (i) cash-flow uncertainty shocks, which affect the idiosyncratic volatility of firms' productivity, and (ii) growth uncertainty shocks, which affect the idiosyncratic variability of firms' investment opportunities. My model deviates from the neoclassical setting in one respect: firms' investment policies are set by the experts who are subject to a moral hazard problem and thus must maintain an non-diversified ownership stake in the firm. As a result, risk sharing between experts and other investors is imperfect. Limited risk sharing distorts equilibrium investment choices, firm valuation, and prices of risk in equilibrium relative to the frictionless benchmark. In the calibrated model, the risk premium on growth uncertainty shocks is negative under poor risk sharing conditions and positive otherwise. Moreover, the cross-sectional spread in valuations between value and growth stocks loads positively on the growth uncertainty shocks under poor risk sharing conditions and negatively otherwise. Empirical tests support these predictions of the model. The second chapter is based on the joint work Chen, Dou, and Kogan (2015), in which we propose a new quantitative measure of model fragility, based on the tendency of a model to over-fit the data in sample with poor out-of-sample performance. We formally show that structural economic models are fragile when the cross-equation restrictions they impose on the baseline statistical model appear excessively informative about combinations of model parameters that are otherwise difficult to estimate. We develop an analytically tractable asymptotic approximation to our fragility measure which we use to identify the problematic parameter combinations. Using these asymptotic results, we diagnose fragility in asset pricing models with rare disasters and long-run consumption risk. The third chapter is based on the joint work Dou and Verdelhan (2015), which presents a two-good, two-country real model that replicates the basic stylized facts on equity excess returns and real interest rates. In the model, markets are incomplete. In each country, workers cannot participate in financial markets whereas investors trade domestic and foreign stocks, as well as an international bond. The investors' asset positions are subject to a borrowing constraint, along with a short-selling constraint on equity. Foreign and domestic agents differ in their elasticity of inter temporal substitution and in their risk-aversion. A time-varying probability of a global disaster implies time-varying risk premia in asset markets, and therefore large and time-varying expected valuation effects on international asset positions. The model highlights the role of market incompleteness and heterogeneity across countries in accounting for the volatility of equity and debt international capital flows.

Download or read book Essays on Asset Pricing written by Bosung Jang and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 140 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation studies how asset prices are related to various macroeconomic and financial factors. In the first chapter, I examine the influence of external financing costs on growth and asset prices. Using U.S. high-tech firm data and the aggregate financing cost measure of Eisfeldt and Muir (2016), I find that an increase in financing cost can have negative effects on R&D by reducing equity finance. This result suggests that financing cost can have substantial impacts on long-run productivity through the R&D channel. Motivated by this idea, I construct a general equilibrium model where financing costs affect innovation activities and future productivity. My model endogenously generates long-run risk and matches key features of macroeconomic and asset price data. The model produces a sizable equity premium, doing a good job of matching macro moments in the data. Furthermore, a large risk premium of R&D-intensive stocks is justified in the model as in the data. In addition, as a higher financing cost forecasts lower productivity growth in the model, this prediction is supported by empirical evidence. In the second chapter, I investigate whether heterogeneity between domestic and foreign households can help explain the cross-section of stock returns. For this analysis, I apply Yogo’s (2006) durable consumption model to a two-country setting using Korean stock market data. In Korea, U.S. investors have been a dominant foreign investor group, given that the total share of foreigners is considerably large. By incorporating the stochastic discount factor of the U.S. into the model, I find that it plays a significant role in pricing assets. In particular, our model is successful in accounting for the expected excess return of relatively high book-to-market equity groups, producing lower pricing errors than the Fama-French 3 factor model. In the third chapter, I study the effects of debt maturity choice on stock returns and financial structure. I construct a model where firms can issue both short-term and long-term bonds, subject to collateral constraints. I also assume that, when they run financial deficits, firms use equity finance paying issuance costs. The model performs well in matching empirical facts about stock returns and the financial structure of firms. In addition, the model provides an interesting implication that firms substitute between leverage and maturity. In the literature, theoretical explanations for the substitution relationship have been mainly based on conflicts between stakeholders. Without hinging on the contract-theoretic approach, my model replicates the theoretical prediction.

Download or read book Essays on International Asset Pricing in General Equilibrium written by Tribhuvan N. Puri and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 316 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: