Download or read book Essays on Fundamental Equilibrium Exchange Rates written by Natalia Salazar and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first chapter presents the estimated trajectory for the US FEER over the period from 1967Q1 to 1994Q4. The estimated trajectory is shown to outperform the random walk in medium-term and long-term forecasting. The second chapter considers bilateral exchange rates. The equilibrium exchange rate trajectories are estimated for 3 pairs of countries: UK-US, Japan-US and Canada-US. These trajectories are compared to the random walk in forecasting real exchange rates and found to be superior in medium-and long-run. In the third chapter, FEER is compared to the equilibrium exchange rates estimates derived from reduced-form equations: Natural Real Exchange Rate (NATREX), and Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate (BEER). It is shown that the medium and long-term forecasts based on the FEER and NATREX models are more accurate than the point predictions of the random walk. The BEER model, however, can beat the random walk only if the actual realized values of the fundamentals are used in forecasting.

Download or read book Essays on Rational Expectations and Flexible Exchange Rates written by Nasser Saidi and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-07-14 with total page 205 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally published in 1982. This book deals with exchange-rate determination and the implications of floating rate regimes for the time paths of prices and quantities. It develops a class of stochastic equilibrium models of the open economy operating under flexible exchange rates, assuming that agents are endowed with rational expectations but do not possess full current information as to the state of the world. Chapters look at a model’s response to economic disturbances, the effect on non-traded goods, and cyclical variations of the terms of trade. The final chapter considers a model to investigate purchasing parity issues.

Download or read book Equilibrium Exchange Rates written by Ronald MacDonald and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 353 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How successful is PPP, and its extension in the monetary model, as a measure of the equilibrium exchange rate? What are the determinants and dynamics of equilibrium real exchange rates? How can misalignments be measured, and what are their causes? What are the effects of specific policies upon the equilibrium exchange rate? The answers to these questions are important to academic theorists, policymakers, international bankers and investment fund managers. This volume encompasses all of the competing views of equilibrium exchange rate determination, from PPP, through other reduced form models, to the macroeconomic balance approach. This volume is essentially empirical: what do we know about exchange rates? The different econometric and theoretical approaches taken by the various authors in this volume lead to mutually consistent conclusions. This consistency gives us confidence that significant progress has been made in understanding what are the fundamental determinants of exchange rates and what are the forces operating to bring them back in line with the fundamentals.

Download or read book Three Essays on Fiscal Policy and a Test of Fundamental Equilibrium Exchange Rates written by Giacomo Barisone and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Three Essays on Exchange Rate Policy and Equilibrium Exchange Rates written by and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Three Essays in International Finance written by Byong-Ju Lee and published by Stanford University. This book was released on 2011 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis consists of three essays on international finance. The first essay is "Exchange rates and Fundamentals". A new open interest rate parity condition that takes account of economic fundamentals is developed from stochastic discount factors (SDFs) of two countries. Through this parity condition, business cycles or fundamentals are linked to exchange rates. Key empirical findings from this parity condition are as follows. First, this model beats the random walk hypothesis: economic fundamentals explain exchange rate movements for high interest rate currencies. Exchange rates of low interest rate currencies act like a random walk because they are less correlated with fundamentals owing to their low risk. For example, U.S. business cycles explain the direction of changes in exchange rates against the dollar. The same thing is true for Japan. Second, this model resolves the forward premium puzzle: the forward premium puzzle is not a general characteristic as regarded in previous studies. It happens when the risk awareness of investors is low, during economic expansions and for low risk currencies. The second essay is "Carry Trade and Global Financial Instability". Carry trade, an opportunistic investment strategy that takes advantage of interest rate differential across countries, is identified the cause of the large-scale depreciations of peripheral currencies in the later half of 2008. A simultaneous equations model, which is derived from a conceptual partial equilibrium model for a local foreign exchange market, is estimated from a cross-sectional sample. The results suggest that the larger appreciation of the yen than the dollar was brought about by a lack of the local supply of the yen rather than a more severe crunch of yen credits. The third essay is "The Economic Origin of Letters of Credit". This essay discusses the economic origin of letters of credit, an instrument widely used in international trade. A game theoretical analysis shows that letters of credit improve efficiency in trade settlements, increasing returns in trade. A few notable facts on letters of credit are discussed. First, the new institution is adopted by merchant banks to maximize their profits and in the process, an improvement in efficiency of international transactions is obtained. Second, the organization established by the legacy institution, bills of exchange, played a critical role in adopting the new institution. Third, the legal enforcement is not essential in this economic institution. Finally, two drivers are identified that improve efficiency of transactions: concentration and projection.

Download or read book Essays on Long run Equilibrium Exchange Rates written by Anthony Thoms Barbosa de Carvalho and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 210 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Three Essays on the Impact of Equilibrium Exchange Rate Misalignments written by Axel Grossmann and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 422 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book An Essay on the Intertemporal General Equilibrium Model of Exchange Rates in a Continuous time Version written by Ki Young Chung and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 298 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Strategic Essays on Real Exchange Rates written by Antonia López Villavicencio and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 362 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Estimating Equilibrium Exchange Rates written by John Williamson and published by Peterson Institute. This book was released on 1994 with total page 608 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The problems of exchange rate misalignments and the resulting payments imbalances have plagued the world economy for decades. At the Louvre Accord of 1987, the Group of Five industrial countries adopted a system of reference ranges for exchange rate management, influenced by proposals of C. Fred Bergstan and John Williamson for a target zone system. The reference range approach has, however, been operated only intermittently and half-heartedly, and questions continue to be raised in policy and scholarly circles about the design and operation of a full-fledged target zone regime. This volume, with chapters by leading international economists, explores one crucial issue in the design of a target zone system: the problem of calculating Williamson's concept of the fundamental equilibrium exchange rate (FEER). Williamson contributes an overview of the policy and analytic issues and a second chapter on his own calculations.

Download or read book Exchange rate movements and their explanation written by Martin Vetter and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2008-02-26 with total page 13 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2004 in the subject Economics - Monetary theory and policy, grade: High Destinction (1), The University of Sydney, language: English, abstract: The essay addresses the topic of exchange rate movements and their explanation. Four different theoretical approaches are therefore taken into consideration, namely the Monetary Fundamentals approach, the Macroeconomic Balance approach, the Dispersed Information or Microstructure approach and the approach of explaining exchange rate movements by dealers. The essay outlines each approach and its assumptions briefly and evaluates the underlying time horizon, short-, medium- or long-term horizon, of each model. Furthermore the four approaches of exchange rate analysis are put into contrast. Finally all approaches are evaluated in spite of their individual strengths and weaknesses and linked to each other.

Download or read book Bankruptcy Costs and the Bankruptcy Code written by Stefan Sundgren and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 346 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Intervention Interest Rates and Charts written by Mr.Mark P. Taylor and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1991-11-01 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper contains essays on sterilized intervention, on covered interest rate parity, and on chartist analysis in financial markets. Each essay contains a definition, brief survey of the empirical evidence and overall assessment of each topic.

Download or read book Fundamental Equilibrium Exchange Rates for the G7 written by Ray Barrell and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Fundamental Determinants of Exchange Rates written by Jerome L. Stein and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 1997 with total page 276 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This book greatly enhances our understanding of the behavior of real exchange rates. It provides an elegant model based on a solid theoretical foundation that links real exchange rates to their fundamental economic determinants and takes proper account of stock and flow considerations. The authors provide a masterful account of how changes in productivity and thrift affect the real exchange rate, and show that the long-run impact depends crucially on whether the change reflects the former fundamental (investment) or the latter (consumption). The empirical implementation uses state-of-the-art cointegration and error correction methodologies that are eminently well suited to capture the short-run adjustment of the real exchange rate to its medium- to long-run equilibrium value. The empirical results are extremely encouraging, as the economic fundamentals identified by the authors can explain a substantial part of the movement in the real exchange rate of a number of countries."--Peter Clark, International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Essays In The Fundamental Theory Of Monetary Economics And Macroeconomics written by John Smithin and published by World Scientific Publishing Company. This book was released on 2013-06-27 with total page 341 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a comprehensive overview, in the form of eight long essays, of the evolution of monetary theory over the three-quarters of century, from the time of Keynes to the present day. The essays are originally based on lecture notes from a graduate course on Advanced Monetary Economics offered at York University, Toronto, written in the style of academic papers. The essays are mathematical in method — but also take a historical perspective, tracing the evolution of monetary thought through the Keynesian model, the monetarist model, new classical model, etc, up to and including the neo-Wickesellian models of the early 21st century. The book will be an essential resource for both graduate and advanced undergraduate students in economics, as well as for individual researchers seeking basic information on the theoretical background of contemporary debates.