Download or read book Equilibrium Exchange Rates in Transition Economies written by Lionel Halpern and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1996-11-01 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A stylized fact of the transition process is an early profound exchange rate depreciation followed by continuing real appreciation. Absent historical reference points, it is difficult to judge whether the real appreciation is threatening competitiveness. This paper interprets the stylized facts and offers estimates of the equilibrium real exchange rate based on an international comparison of dollar wages and on a study of the dynamics of real exchange rates in several transition economies. The results suggest that the process of real appreciation is a combination of a return to equilibrium following the early overshooting and equilibrium appreciation.

Download or read book Equilibrium Real Exchange Rates in Transition written by László Halpern and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Equilibrium Exchange Rates in the Transition written by Balázs Égert and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 63 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper sets out to estimate equilibrium real exchange rates for the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia and Slovenia. A theoretical model is developed that provides an explanation for the appreciation of the real exchange rate based on tradable prices in the acceding countries. Our model can be considered as a competing but also completing framework to the traditional Balassa-Samuelson model. With this as a background, alternative cointegration methods are applied to time series (Engle-Granger, DOLS, ARDL and Johansen) and to three small-size panels (pooled and fixed effect OLS, DOLS, PMGE and MGE), which leaves us with around 5,000 estimated regressions. This enables us to examine the uncertainty surrounding estimates of equilibrium real exchange rates and the size of the underlying real misalignments.

Download or read book Equilibrium Real Exchange Rates in Transition written by László Halpern and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Equilibrium Exchange Rates in Transition Economies written by Balázs Égert and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Equilibrium Real Exchange Rates in Central Europe s Transition Economics Knocking on Heaven s Door written by Balazs Egert and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Equilibrium Exchange Rates in Transition Economies written by Charles Wyplosz and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A stylized fact of the transition process is an early profound exchange rate depreciation followed by continuing real appreciation. Absent historical reference points, it is difficult to judge whether the real appreciation is threatening competitiveness. This paper interprets the stylized facts and offers estimates of the equilibrium real exchange rate based on an international comparison of dollar wages and on a study of the dynamics of real exchange rates in several transition economies. The results suggest that the process of real appreciation is a combination of a return to equilibrium following the early overshooting and equilibrium appreciation.

Download or read book Equilibrium Exchange Rates in the Transition written by Balázs Égert and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper sets out to estimate equilibrium real exchange rates for the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia and Slovenia. A theoretical model is developed that provides an explanation for the appreciation of the real exchange rate based on tradable prices in the acceding countries. Our model can be considered as a competing but also completing framework to the traditional Balassa-Samuelson model. With this as a background, alternative cointegration methods are applied to time series (Engle-Granger, DOLS, ARDL and Johansen) and to three small-size panels (pooled and fixed effect OLS, DOLS, PMGE and MGE), which leaves us with around 5,000 estimated regressions. This enables us to examine the uncertainty surrounding estimates of equilibrium real exchange rates and the size of the underlying real misalignments.

Download or read book Equilibrium exchange rates in the transition written by Balázs Égert and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Tiivistelmä.

Download or read book Equilibrium Real Exchange Rates in Central Europe s Transition Economies written by Balázs Égert and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book The Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate in a Commodity Exporting Country written by Nicola Spatafora and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-05 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Questions about external competitiveness, exchange rate misalignment, and the appropriate exchange rate policy feature prominently in the Russian policy debate. This paper furthers the debate by estimating empirically Russia's equilibrium real exchange rate (ERER)-that is, the rate consistent with the long-run economic fundamentals-and sheds light on the extent to which exchange rate policy should be changed. The paper confirms that the ERER reflects both productivity and the terms of trade. It suggests that Russia should target a significant medium-term current account deterioration and a real appreciation perhaps exceeding 10 percent. However, this latter number remains very sensitive to the assumed long-run oil prices.

Download or read book Structural Change and Exchange Rate Dynamics written by Paul J.J. Welfens and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2005-12-06 with total page 290 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Structural change, economic growth and adequate exchange rate adjustment are key challenges in the context of EU eastern enlargement as are consistent macroeconomic policies. The authors focus on sectoral adjustment across industries in catching-up countries and explain changes in the composition of output – this includes new aspects of the Chenery model. They describe and analyze the spatial pattern of specialization and adjustment in many countries. Theoretical and empirical analysis of foreign direct investment, innovation and structural change shed new light on economic dynamics in Old Europe and New Europe. As regards exchange rate dynamics both traditional aspects (such as the Balassa-Samuelson effect) and new approaches to understanding exchange rate developments are presented. Links between exchange rate changes and innovation are particularly emphasized.

Download or read book Robustness of Equilibrium Exchange Rate Calculations to Alternative Assumptions and Methodologies written by Tamim Bayoumi and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Estimating the Equilibrium Exchange Rate of the Central and Eastern European Acceding Countries written by Balázs Égert and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The ambition of this study is to estimate the equilibrium real and nominal exchange rates for 5 selected Central and Eastern European transition economies, namely for the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia and Slovenia. For this purpose, the fundamental equilibrium exchange rate (FEER) methodology developed by Williamson (1994) is combined with the behavioural equilibrium exchange rate (BEER) approach advocated by Clark and McDonald (1998). Our investigation is based on the notion of internal and external balances defined respectively in terms of the relative price of non-tradable goods and the long-run sustainability of the current account position, and is carried out in the framework of a VAR-based 3-equation cointegration system. Long-term equilibrium values for relative prices are determined using relative productivity and private consumption, whereas the current account is regressed on terms of trade and the openness ratio. To derive the equilibrium real exchange rate and to compute subsequently the extent of misalignment, the long-run values for external and internal balances are substituted in the simultaneously estimated cointegration relationships connecting the real effective exchange rate with relative prices and the current account. The empirical findings show that the gap between the observed and estimated equilibrium real exchange rates differs across the 5 transition countries: the Czech Republic, Poland and Slovakia may have experienced an excessive appreciation of their real effective exchange rate whilst Hungary and Slovenia show little sign of overvaluation during the period under study. These results suggest the role flexible exchange rate regimes may play in exchange rate misalignments. Assuming that the obtained misalignment can be eliminated with adjustments in the nominal exchange rate, the estimated misalignment is used to derive the equilibrium nominal exchange rate against the euro. Finally, we construct a hypothetical ERM-II so as to investigate the nominal exchange rate stability around the estimated equilibrium nominal exchange rate.

Download or read book The Stock flow Approach to the Real Exchange Rate of CEE Transition Economies written by and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Equilibrium Exchange Rates in Transition Countries written by Byung-Yeon Kim and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We use a dynamic heterogeneous panel model to estimate real equilibrium exchange rates for advanced transition countries. Our method is based on out-of-sample estimations from middle-income and high-income countries, and we use a pooled mean group estimator. We find that exchange rates have converged in recent years in five transition countries (Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia, and Slovenia) with real equilibrium exchange rates expressed in the US dollars. However, we also find that the currencies of the transition countries studied are substantially overvalued if real effective exchange rates are used.

Download or read book Balance of Payments Exchange Rates and Competitiveness in Transition Economies written by Mario I. Blejer and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-08-23 with total page 501 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Integrating transition economies into the global commercial and trade market system is a prolonged and risky process. This book is a collection of studies dealing with the different issues related to the liberalization of external relations in economies moving from a socialist to a market-based system The focus is on external sector developments, and the topics deal with balance of payments conditions, exchange rate policies and regimes, international competitiveness, international capital flows, trade, and other matters related to the integration of transition economies into the world economy. An understanding of the principles involved and of the experiences of both transition and advanced economies during this process is crucial to ensure its ultimate success. Written by internationally recognized scholars, the chapters cover these issues in a systematic manner. The first section treats current account developments, capital flows, and exchange rate policies in transition countries, the second section deals with specific issues related to international trade, and the final section consists of six specific country experiences. In this final section, a chapter dealing with the Russian Federation discusses the collapse of the ruble in August 1998.