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Book The National Energy Modeling System

Download or read book The National Energy Modeling System written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1992-02-01 with total page 165 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book addresses the process and actions for developing enhanced capabilities to analyze energy policy issues and perform strategic planning activities at the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) on an ongoing basis. Within the broader context of useful analytical and modeling capabilities within and outside the DOE, this volume examines the requirements that a National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) should fulfill, presents an overall architecture for a NEMS, identifies data needs, and outlines priority actions for timely implementation of the system.

Book NEMS  the National Energy Modeling System

Download or read book NEMS the National Energy Modeling System written by and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Learning and Cost Reductions for Generating Technologies in the National Energy Modeling System  NEMS

Download or read book Learning and Cost Reductions for Generating Technologies in the National Energy Modeling System NEMS written by and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 5 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report describes how Learning-by-Doing (LBD) is implemented endogenously in the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) for generating plants. LBD is experiential learning that correlates to a generating technology's capacity growth. The annual amount of Learning-by-Doing affects the annual overnight cost reduction. Currently, there is no straightforward way to integrate and make sense of all the diffuse information related to the endogenous learning calculation in NEMS. This paper organizes the relevant information from the NEMS documentation, source code, input files, and output files, in order to make the model's logic more accessible. The end results are shown in three ways: in a simple spreadsheet containing all the parameters related to endogenous learning; by an algorithm that traces how the parameters lead to cost reductions; and by examples showing how AEO 2004 forecasts the reduction of overnight costs for generating technologies over time.

Book Modeling the Capacity and Emissions Impacts of Reduced Electricity Demand  Part 1  Methodology and Preliminary Results

Download or read book Modeling the Capacity and Emissions Impacts of Reduced Electricity Demand Part 1 Methodology and Preliminary Results written by and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Policies aimed at energy conservation and efficiency have broad environmental and economic impacts. Even if these impacts are relatively small, they may be significant compared to the cost of implementing the policy. Methodologies that quantify the marginal impacts of reduced demand for energy have an important role to play in developing accurate measures of both the benefits and costs of a given policy choice. This report presents a methodology for estimating the impacts of reduced demand for electricity on the electric power sector as a whole. The approach uses the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS), a mid-range energy forecast model developed and maintained by the U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration (EIA)(DOE EIA 2013). The report is organized as follows: In the rest of this section the traditional NEMS-BT approach is reviewed and an outline of the new reduced form NEMS methodology is presented. Section 2 provides an overview of how the NEMS model works, and describes the set of NEMS-BT runs that are used as input to the reduced form approach. Section 3 presents our NEMS-BT simulation results and post-processing methods. In Section 4 we show how the NEMS-BT output can be generalized to apply to a broader set of end-uses. In Section 5 we disuss the application of this approach to policy analysis, and summarize some of the issues that will be further investigated in Part 2 of this study.

Book Proceedings of the National Energy Modeling System Conference

Download or read book Proceedings of the National Energy Modeling System Conference written by and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 1994 with total page 1044 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides potential users of the Nat. Energy Modeling System under development a detailed look at the components of the new modeling system, and affords the opportunity for critical analysis of the system by recognized experts in the modeling field and input from potential users about how the system can best address their needs. Covers: oil and gas, renewable fuels, electricity planning, petroleum markets, gas transmission and distribution, coal supply and coal synthetics, transport. demand, oil supply, and more. Charts and tables. Over 80 presentations.

Book The National Energy Modeling System

Download or read book The National Energy Modeling System written by and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Nems

    Book Details:
  • Author : United States. Energy Information Administration. Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting
  • Publisher :
  • Release : 1992*
  • ISBN :
  • Pages : 8 pages

Download or read book Nems written by United States. Energy Information Administration. Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting and published by . This book was released on 1992* with total page 8 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book The National Energy Modeling System  An Overview

Download or read book The National Energy Modeling System An Overview written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) is a computer-based, energy-economy modeling system of US energy markets for the midterm period of 1990 to 2010. NEMS projects the production, imports, conversion, consumption, and prices of energy, subject to assumptions on macroeconomic and financial factors, world energy markets, resource availability and costs, behavioral and technological choice criteria, cost and performance characteristics of energy technologies, and demographics. This report presents an overview of the structure and methodology of NEMS and each of its components. The first chapter provides a description of the design and objectives of the system. The second chapter describes the modeling structure. The remainder of the report summarizes the methodology and scope of the component modules of NEMS. The model descriptions are intended for readers familiar with terminology from economics, operations research, and energy modeling. Additional background on the development of the system is provided in Appendix A of this report, which describes the EIA modeling systems that preceded NEMS. More detailed model documentation reports for all the NEMS modules are also available from EIA.

Book NEMS  the National Energy Modeling System

Download or read book NEMS the National Energy Modeling System written by and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 8 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Proceedings of the National Energy Modeling System Conference

Download or read book Proceedings of the National Energy Modeling System Conference written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Purpose of the conference was to give potential users of the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS), under development in the Energy Information Administration, a detailed look at its components, and to provide an opportunity for critical analysis of the system by experts in the modeling field and input about how the system can best address the users' needs. During the conference, 43 reviewers participated in panel discussions of the components of NEMS: oil and gas supply, buildings demand, macroeconomics (national module panel), macroeconomics (interindustry and regional module panel), gas transmission and distribution, renewable fuels, international oil, industrial demand, electricity planning, refineries and petroleum markets, electricity operations, system integration and user interfaces, transportation demand, coal supply and synthetics, and electricity finance and pricing.

Book Implementation of the Provisions of the Energy Policy Act of 2005

Download or read book Implementation of the Provisions of the Energy Policy Act of 2005 written by United States. Congress. Senate. Committee on Energy and Natural Resources and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book National Energy Conservation Partnership Program

Download or read book National Energy Conservation Partnership Program written by and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book NEMS Integrating Module Documentation Report

Download or read book NEMS Integrating Module Documentation Report written by and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 93 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) is a computer-based, energy-economy modeling system of U.S. energy markets for the midterm period. NEMS projects the production, imports, conversion, consumption, and prices of energy, subject to a variety of assumptions. The assumptions encompass macroeconomic and financial factors, world energy markets, resource availability and costs, behavioral and technological choice criteria, technology characteristics, and demographics. NEMS produces a general equilibrium solution for energy supply and demand in the U.S. energy markets on an annual basis through 2015. Baseline forecasts from NEMS are published in the Annual Energy Outlook. Analyses are also prepared in response to requests by the U.S. Congress, the DOE Office of Policy, and others. NEMS was first used for forecasts presented in the Annual Energy Outlook 1994.

Book Scenarios for Benefits Analysis of Energy Research  Development  Demonstration and Deployment

Download or read book Scenarios for Benefits Analysis of Energy Research Development Demonstration and Deployment written by Chris Marnay and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For at least the last decade, evaluation of the benefits of research, development, demonstration, and deployment (RD3) by the U.S. Department of Energy has been conducted using deterministic forecasts that unrealistically presume we can precisely foresee our future 10, 25,or even 50 years hence. This effort tries, in a modest way, to begin a process of recognition that the reality of our energy future is rather one rife with uncertainty. The National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) is used by the Department of Energy's Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EE) and Fossil Energy (FE) for their RD3 benefits evaluation. In order to begin scoping out the uncertainty in these deterministic forecasts, EE and FE designed two futures that differ significantly from the basic NEMS forecast. A High Fuel Price Scenario and a Carbon Cap Scenario were envisioned to forecast alternative futures and the associated benefits. Ernest Orlando Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL) implemented these scenarios into its version of NEMS, NEMS-LBNL, in late 2004, and the Energy Information Agency created six scenarios for FE in early 2005. The creation and implementation of the EE-FE scenarios are explained in this report. Both a Carbon Cap Scenario and a High Fuel Price Scenarios were implemented into the NEMS-LBNL. EIA subsequently modeled similar scenarios using NEMS. While the EIA and LBNL implementations were in some ways rather different, their forecasts do not significantly diverge. Compared to the Reference Scenario, the High Fuel Price Scenario reduces energy consumption by 4 percent in 2025, while in the EIA fuel price scenario (known as Scenario 4) reduction from its corresponding reference scenario (known as Scenario 0) in 2025 is marginal. Nonetheless, the 4 percent demand reduction does not lead to other cascading effects that would significantly differentiate the two scenarios. The LBNL and EIA carbon scenarios were mostly identical. The only major difference was that LBNL started working with the AEO 2004NEMS code and EIA was using AEO 2005 NEMS code. Unlike the High Price Scenario the Carbon Cap scenario gives a radically different forecast than the Reference Scenario. NEMS-LBNL proved that it can handle these alternative scenarios. However, results are price inelastic (for both oil and natural gas prices) within the price range evaluated. Perhaps even higher price paths would lead to a distinctly different forecast than the Reference Scenario. On the other hand, the Carbon Cap Scenario behaves more like an alternative future. The future in the Carbon Cap Scenario has higher electricity prices, reduced driving, more renewable capacity, and reduced energy consumption. The next step for this work is to evaluate the EE benefits under each of the three scenarios. Comparing those three sets of predicted benefits will indicate how much uncertainty is inherent within this sort of deterministic forecasting.

Book Annual Energy Outlook 2014  with Projections to 2040

Download or read book Annual Energy Outlook 2014 with Projections to 2040 written by and published by Government Printing Office. This book was released on 2014-07 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The projections in the U.S. Energy Information Administration's (EIA's) Annual Energy Outlook 2013 (AEO2013) focus on the factors that shape the U.S. energy system over the long term. Under the assumption that current laws and regulations remain unchanged throughout the projections, the AEO2013 Reference case provides the basis for examination and discussion of energy production, consumption, technology, and market trends and the direction they may take in the future. It also serves as a starting point for analysis of potential changes in energy policies.