Download or read book Embracing the Black Swan written by Khalil Dindarian and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-07-31 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Our world is becoming ever more complex. Among the geopolitical and macroeconomic issues currently facing mankind, with serious ramifications for our future, are digitalization and technology, climate change, and globalization. Political upheaval, wars, natural disasters, economic recessions, and pandemics, have all had massive negative impacts on our society. In this new world, various governmental and organizational decisionmakers – including managers, international agencies, NGOs, political leaders, economists, science & technology innovators, and medical professionals – must all learn to anticipate and deal with these emergent risks, the integration of which, along with the management of ‘black swan’ events, has assumed paramount importance. This is the huge challenge now facing us. This book, aimed at both academics and practitioners, shows how a framework for resilience can be created to help modern organizations to not only survive but to thrive. The author considers some of the organizations and bodies that can be said to be highly resilient and examines how ‘Resilience Thinking’ affects different disciplines and environments. He addresses the question of how resilience works and how it is applied in practice. The relationship between resilience and other knowledge areas such as complexity theory, strategy, and risk management – from both top-down and bottom-up perspectives – is examined. Situations are identified where there is a particular need for resilience, and an overview of the best ways of implementing a resilience process is offered.
Download or read book Black Swan Speaks written by Romy Florence and published by Page Publishing Inc. This book was released on 2022-11-03 with total page 86 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Black Swan Speaks is a journey placing emphasis on the ups, downs, twists and turns of life. Every thought and idea had meaning and became another step forward towards the realization that an anthology of poems was key to her sanity. Reacting to tough situations with resilience became her norm, and the grit it took to level up and face adversity is the pinnacle of life as she knows it. This book allows an individual soul to express feelings many hold inside. It opens the door for others to identify and understand they're never alone and can make unconventional, bold moves with purpose and clear vision.
Download or read book The Black Swan of the City Park written by Dan Owl Greenwood and published by Independently Published. This book was released on 2024-01-22 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Step into a heartwarming journey of self-discovery with 'The Black Swan of the City Park: A Tale of Transformation', a poignant story from the 'Reimagined Fairy Tales' series by DanOwlStory. Inspired by the timeless tale by Danish writer and poet Hans Christian Andersen, this book presents a contemporary twist on the classic story of 'The Ugly Duckling'. Set against the backdrop of a lively city park, this narrative follows the journey of a unique duckling, different from his peers and misunderstood by those around him. Teased and neglected, the duckling experiences loneliness and longing, until one day, he undergoes a remarkable transformation into a stunning black swan. This change brings newfound attention and admiration, but more importantly, it brings the black swan self-acceptance and pride in his uniqueness. Authored in the distinctive style of DanOwlStory, this adaptation is intentionally created with minimal illustrations to stimulate the young readers' imagination. Current research shows that books without pictures can be more beneficial for children, encouraging them to create their own images, enhancing memory, attention, logic, and abstract thinking. 'The Black Swan of the City Park' is not just a story about transformation; it's a celebration of the beauty that comes from embracing our differences. It teaches children the value of self-love, the importance of embracing one's journey, and the understanding that true beauty comes from within. Join the black swan in his inspiring journey, and witness how he becomes a symbol of hope and a beacon of change in the city park, reminding everyone that it's our unique qualities that make us truly beautiful.
Download or read book The Gray Rhino written by Michele Wucker and published by St. Martin's Press. This book was released on 2016-04-05 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The #1 English-language bestseller in China--the book that is shaping China's planning and policy for the future. A "gray rhino" is a highly probable, high impact yet neglected threat: kin to both the elephant in the room and the improbable and unforeseeable black swan. Gray rhinos are not random surprises, but occur after a series of warnings and visible evidence. The bursting of the housing bubble in 2008, the devastating aftermath of Hurricane Katrina and other natural disasters, the new digital technologies that upended the media world, the fall of the Soviet Union...all were evident well in advance. Why do leaders and decision makers keep failing to address obvious dangers before they spiral out of control? Drawing on her extensive background in policy formation and crisis management, as well as in-depth interviews with leaders from around the world, Michele Wucker shows in The Gray Rhino how to recognize and strategically counter looming high impact threats. Filled with persuasive stories, real-world examples, and practical advice, The Gray Rhino is essential reading for managers, investors, planners, policy makers, and anyone who wants to understand how to profit by avoiding getting trampled.
Download or read book Black Swan Affair written by K. L. Kreig and published by K.L. Kreig. This book was released on 2016-09 with total page 322 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I've loved him as long as I can remember. The gangly boy with big brown eyes and unruly hair who grew up into an intoxicating man. He wears scruff like he invented it and ambles with a swagger that makes panties drop. Killian Shepard. Shep. We grew up together. We played Ghost in the Graveyard. Had our own rock band. It didn't matter that he was five years older than me. It didn't matter that he looked at me as a kid sister even as I grew into woman. It didn't even matter when he left me behind to go to college and start his adult life. He'd be back. He was always meant to be mine. He came back, all right. But instead of smelling of promises, he stunk of betrayal. And he destroyed me-us-the day he married my sister instead of me. So I did the only thing a girl like me in my position could do. I got my revenge. I married his brother, Kael. Now we're one big happy f**king family.
Download or read book Green Swans written by John Elkington and published by Greenleaf Book Group. This book was released on 2020-04-07 with total page 332 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Even leading capitalists admit that capitalism is broken. Green Swans is a manifesto for system change designed to serve people, planet, and prosperity. In his twentieth book, John Elkington—dubbed the “Godfather of Sustainability”—explores new forms of capitalism fit for the twenty-first century. If Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s “Black Swans” are problems that can take us exponentially toward breakdown, then “Green Swans” are solutions that take us exponentially toward breakthrough. The success—and survival—of humanity now depends on how we rein in the first and accelerate the second. Green Swans draws on Elkington’s firsthand experience in some of the world’s best-known boardrooms and C-suites. Using case studies, real-world examples, and profiles on emergent technologies, Elkington shows how the weirdest “Ugly Ducklings” of today’s world may turn into tomorrow’s world-saving Green Swans. This book is a must-read for business leaders in corporations great and small who want to help their businesses survive the coming shift in global priorities over the next decade and expand their horizons from responsibility, through resilience, and onto regeneration.
Download or read book Black Swan written by Susan Anderson and published by Stonesong. This book was released on 2018-06-11 with total page 90 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Black Swan is a symbol for healing, a spirit guide for overcoming the woundedness of abandonment." Black Swan: The Twelve Lessons of Abandonment Recovery is a self-help tool, a supplement for personal growth. Black Swan provides twelve lessons for healing from the loss of love. It is presented as an allegorical tale of a child who meets a magical black swan after she is abandoned in the forest by her father. This story within a story includes the author’s own experience with loss. The book provides emotional and spiritual healing to those going through heartbreak, loss, and abandonment.
Download or read book The Black Swan written by and published by . This book was released on 1927 with total page 118 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Incerto written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and published by Random House Trade. This book was released on 2021-05-04 with total page 1873 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The landmark five-book series--all together in one boxed set The Incerto is an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision making when we don't understand the world, expressed in the form of a personal essay with autobiographical sections, stories, parables, and philosophical, historical, and scientific discussions, in non-overlapping volumes that can be accessed in any order. The main thread is that while there is inordinate uncertainty about what is going on, there is great certainty as to what one should do about it. This boxed set includes: FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS THE BLACK SWAN THE BED OF PROCRUSTES ANTIFRAGILE SKIN IN THE GAME
Download or read book Fooled by Randomness written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and published by Random House. This book was released on 2008-10-14 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Fooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes. Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb–veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan–has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill. This book is about luck–or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill–the world of trading–Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives. The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness. However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed–the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time–he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance. Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared. Named by Fortune One of the Smartest Books of All Time A Financial Times Best Business Book of the Year
Download or read book The Writings written by Rafael Sabatini and published by . This book was released on 1932 with total page 311 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Skin in the Game written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and published by Random House. This book was released on 2018-02-27 with total page 305 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: #1 NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • A bold work from the author of The Black Swan that challenges many of our long-held beliefs about risk and reward, politics and religion, finance and personal responsibility In his most provocative and practical book yet, one of the foremost thinkers of our time redefines what it means to understand the world, succeed in a profession, contribute to a fair and just society, detect nonsense, and influence others. Citing examples ranging from Hammurabi to Seneca, Antaeus the Giant to Donald Trump, Nassim Nicholas Taleb shows how the willingness to accept one’s own risks is an essential attribute of heroes, saints, and flourishing people in all walks of life. As always both accessible and iconoclastic, Taleb challenges long-held beliefs about the values of those who spearhead military interventions, make financial investments, and propagate religious faiths. Among his insights: • For social justice, focus on symmetry and risk sharing. You cannot make profits and transfer the risks to others, as bankers and large corporations do. You cannot get rich without owning your own risk and paying for your own losses. Forcing skin in the game corrects this asymmetry better than thousands of laws and regulations. • Ethical rules aren’t universal. You’re part of a group larger than you, but it’s still smaller than humanity in general. • Minorities, not majorities, run the world. The world is not run by consensus but by stubborn minorities imposing their tastes and ethics on others. • You can be an intellectual yet still be an idiot. “Educated philistines” have been wrong on everything from Stalinism to Iraq to low-carb diets. • Beware of complicated solutions (that someone was paid to find). A simple barbell can build muscle better than expensive new machines. • True religion is commitment, not just faith. How much you believe in something is manifested only by what you’re willing to risk for it. The phrase “skin in the game” is one we have often heard but rarely stopped to truly dissect. It is the backbone of risk management, but it’s also an astonishingly rich worldview that, as Taleb shows in this book, applies to all aspects of our lives. As Taleb says, “The symmetry of skin in the game is a simple rule that’s necessary for fairness and justice, and the ultimate BS-buster,” and “Never trust anyone who doesn’t have skin in the game. Without it, fools and crooks will benefit, and their mistakes will never come back to haunt them.”
Download or read book Critique on Black Swan and Nicholas Taleb written by IntroBooks Team and published by IntroBooks. This book was released on with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Nassim Nicholas Taleb is a Lebanese born American literateur, scholar, essayist, trade-cum-risk analyst, statistician and so on. His multi-faceted talent and the ability to wander freely amongst diverse faculty of subjects have made him a force to reckon with in the gamut of global intellectual society. Most of Taleb's works are related to the dilemma of volatility, probability and uncertainty. Nicholas Taleb was born in Amioun (Lebanon) in the year 1960. He is an author of international fame and has served as an academician in several universities and is currently positioned as a distinguished professor of Risk Engineering at the New York University (Tandon School of Engineering). He has authored so many books to devour. The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, Fooled by Randomness, The Bed of Procrustes, Dynamic Hedging to name a few (combinedly called Incerto) are termed as Taleb’s most outstanding creations in the contemporary literary world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb has had devoted a good 21 years as a risk-taker (quantitative trader) before becoming a wanderer and researcher in spheres of mathematics, philosophy and largely potential problems with chance and probability. Over and above being impressed as a trader, Taleb has also written over 50 academic articles in multiple subjects as a sequel to Incerto. The topics covered are from physics, philosophy, statistics, economics, ethics, quantitative finance and international affairs. The central idea in all these creations has centered on the notion of risk and probability with an undercurrent of randomness.
Download or read book The Black Swan written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and published by Random House Digital, Inc.. This book was released on 2009-10-13 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the author's point of view, a black swan is an improbable event with three principal characteristics - It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible'.
Download or read book Black Swan Theory 29 Success Secrets 29 Most Asked Questions on Black Swan Theory What You Need to Know written by Kimberly Colon and published by Emereo Publishing. This book was released on 2014-11-04 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Ready for a Black Swan Theory change? The 'black Swan theory' either 'theory of black Swan events' is a figure of speech that explains an happening that appears like a shock, has a chief result, and is frequently insuitably rationalized following the reality with the help of hindsight. There has never been a Black Swan Theory Guide like this. It contains 29 answers, much more than you can imagine; comprehensive answers and extensive details and references, with insights that have never before been offered in print. Get the information you need--fast! This all-embracing guide offers a thorough view of key knowledge and detailed insight. This Guide introduces what you want to know about Black Swan Theory. A quick look inside of some of the subjects covered: Common Cause Variation - Importance to economics, Narrative fallacy, Extreme risk - Black swan theory, The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable - Summary, Evaluative diversity - Against individualism, Wild card (foresight), Nassim Nicholas Taleb - Finance career, Common cause and special cause (statistics) - Importance to economics, Delphi method - Discussion, Index of epistemology articles - B, The Black Swan (2007 book), Potential future exposure - Relevance, The Black Swan (2007 book) - Summary, Decision engineering, Juvenal - Literary and cultural influence, The Black Swan (2007 book) - Part one: Umberto Eco's anti-library, or how we seek validation, Moral diversity - Against individualism, Nassim Taleb - Finance career, Special Cause Variation - Importance to economics, Narrative fallacy - Overview: Black Swan theory, Common-cause and special-cause - Importance to economics, Macro risk, Abductive reasoning - Deduction, induction, and abduction, The Black Swan (Taleb book), Value at risk - History of VaR, Common cause and special cause - Importance to economics, Statistical decision theory - General criticism, Common- and special-causes - Importance to economics, and much more...
Download or read book The Black Swan of Swanlake written by Dean Foley and published by Barayamal Limited. This book was released on 2024-03-25 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the enchanting kingdom of Swanlake, where white swans dance upon shimmering waters, a tale of beauty, unity and the power of an unexpected hero unfolds. "The Black Swan of Swanlake" by Dean Foley is a heartwarming story about Nora, a black swan whose unique presence challenges the long-standing beliefs of her community. As Swanlake faces a dire threat that could spell its end, an ancient legend suggests that only the song of a black swan can save the kingdom. And with the fate of Swanlake resting on her wings, Nora embarks on a journey of self-discovery, courage and the search for her voice. Along the way, she encounters wise allies and confronts the deep-seated prejudices that have divided her world. This beautifully crafted children's picture book is a reminder that diversity is a strength, that courage can be found in the most unlikely places and that everyone has a unique song capable of bringing about change. Through Nora's (short) journey, children are invited to embrace their own differences and discover the unity that lies in diversity. "The Black Swan of Swanlake" is more than a story; it's a celebration of the beauty in being oneself and the magical changes that can occur when we allow every voice to be heard. Join Nora as she transforms not only her destiny but the hearts of all in Swanlake, teaching us that true harmony comes from understanding and acceptance.
Download or read book Black Swan written by James Ryan Morris and published by . This book was released on 1969 with total page 2 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
