Download or read book Efficient Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Using Noisy Observations written by Lan Zhang and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With the availability of high frequency financial data, nonparametric estimation of volatility of an asset return process becomes feasible. A major problem is how to estimate the volatility consistently and efficiently, when the observed asset returns contain error or noise, for example, in the form of microstructure noise. The former (consistency) has been addressed heavily in the recent literature, however, the resulting estimator is not quite efficient. In Zhang, Mykland, Ait-Sahalia (2003), the best estimator converges to the true volatility only at the rate of n wedge{-1/6}. In this paper, we propose an estimator, the Multi-scale Realized Volatility (MSRV), which converges to the true volatility at the rate of n wedge{-1/4}, which is the best attainable. We have shown a central limit theorem for the MSRV estimator, which permits setting intervals for the true integrated volatility on the basis of MSRV.

Download or read book Efficient Estimation of Integrated Volatility and Related Processes written by Eric Renault and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We derive nonparametric bounds for inference about functionals of high-frequency volatility, in particular, integrated power variance. In the absence of microstructure noise, we find that standard Realized Variance attains the nonparametric efficiency bound, also in case of unequally spaced random observation times. For higher powers, e.g., integrated quarticity, the block-based procedures of Mykland and Zhang (2009) can get arbitrarily close to the nonparametric bounds in case of equally spaced observations. The estimator in Jacod and Rosenbaum (2013) is efficient, also at non-constant volatility, still for equally spaced data. For unequally spaced data, we provide an estimator, similar to that of Kristensen (2010), that can get arbitrarily close to the nonparametric bound. Finally, contrary to public opinion, we demonstrate that parametric information about the functional form of volatility generally leads to a decreased lower bound, unless the volatility process is piecewise constant.

Download or read book Efficient Estimation of Volatility Using High Frequency Data written by Gilles O. Zumbach and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The limitations of volatilities computed with daily data as well as simple statistical considerations strongly suggest to use intraday data in order to obtain accurate volatility estimates. Under a continuous time arbitrage-free setup, the quadratic variations of the prices would allow us, in principle, to construct an approximately error free estimate of volatility by using data at the highest frequency available. Yet, empirical data at very short time scales differ in many ways from the arbitrage-free continuous time price processes. For foreign exchange rates, the main difference originates in the incoherent structure of the price formation process. This market micro-structure effect introduces a noisy component in the price process leading to a strong overestimation of volatility when using naive estimators. Therefore, to be able to fully exploit the information contained in high frequency data, this incoherent effect needs to be discounted. In this contribution, we investigate several unbiased estimators that take into account the incoherent noise. One approach is to use a filter for pre-whitening the prices, and then using volatility estimators based on the filtered series. Another solution is to directly define a volatility estimator using tick-by-tick price differences, and including a correction term for the price formation effect. The properties of these estimators are investigated by Monte Carlo simulations. A number of important real-world effects are included in the simulated processes: realistic volatility and price dynamic, the incoherent effect, seasonalities, and random arrival time of ticks. Moreover, we investigate the robustness of the estimators with respect to data frequency changes and gaps. Finally, we illustrate the behavior of the best estimators on empirical data.

Download or read book Parameter Estimation in Stochastic Volatility Models written by Jaya P. N. Bishwal and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-08-06 with total page 634 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book develops alternative methods to estimate the unknown parameters in stochastic volatility models, offering a new approach to test model accuracy. While there is ample research to document stochastic differential equation models driven by Brownian motion based on discrete observations of the underlying diffusion process, these traditional methods often fail to estimate the unknown parameters in the unobserved volatility processes. This text studies the second order rate of weak convergence to normality to obtain refined inference results like confidence interval, as well as nontraditional continuous time stochastic volatility models driven by fractional Levy processes. By incorporating jumps and long memory into the volatility process, these new methods will help better predict option pricing and stock market crash risk. Some simulation algorithms for numerical experiments are provided.

Download or read book Stochastic Volatility and Realized Stochastic Volatility Models written by Makoto Takahashi and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-04-18 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This treatise delves into the latest advancements in stochastic volatility models, highlighting the utilization of Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations for estimating model parameters and forecasting the volatility and quantiles of financial asset returns. The modeling of financial time series volatility constitutes a crucial aspect of finance, as it plays a vital role in predicting return distributions and managing risks. Among the various econometric models available, the stochastic volatility model has been a popular choice, particularly in comparison to other models, such as GARCH models, as it has demonstrated superior performance in previous empirical studies in terms of fit, forecasting volatility, and evaluating tail risk measures such as Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall. The book also explores an extension of the basic stochastic volatility model, incorporating a skewed return error distribution and a realized volatility measurement equation. The concept of realized volatility, a newly established estimator of volatility using intraday returns data, is introduced, and a comprehensive description of the resulting realized stochastic volatility model is provided. The text contains a thorough explanation of several efficient sampling algorithms for latent log volatilities, as well as an illustration of parameter estimation and volatility prediction through empirical studies utilizing various asset return data, including the yen/US dollar exchange rate, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, and the Nikkei 225 stock index. This publication is highly recommended for readers with an interest in the latest developments in stochastic volatility models and realized stochastic volatility models, particularly in regards to financial risk management.

Download or read book Cross Sectional Efficient Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Short Rate Models written by D. Danilov and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications written by Luc Bauwens and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-04-17 with total page 566 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A complete guide to the theory and practice of volatility models in financial engineering Volatility has become a hot topic in this era of instant communications, spawning a great deal of research in empirical finance and time series econometrics. Providing an overview of the most recent advances, Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications explores key concepts and topics essential for modeling the volatility of financial time series, both univariate and multivariate, parametric and non-parametric, high-frequency and low-frequency. Featuring contributions from international experts in the field, the book features numerous examples and applications from real-world projects and cutting-edge research, showing step by step how to use various methods accurately and efficiently when assessing volatility rates. Following a comprehensive introduction to the topic, readers are provided with three distinct sections that unify the statistical and practical aspects of volatility: Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity and Stochastic Volatility presents ARCH and stochastic volatility models, with a focus on recent research topics including mean, volatility, and skewness spillovers in equity markets Other Models and Methods presents alternative approaches, such as multiplicative error models, nonparametric and semi-parametric models, and copula-based models of (co)volatilities Realized Volatility explores issues of the measurement of volatility by realized variances and covariances, guiding readers on how to successfully model and forecast these measures Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications is an essential reference for academics and practitioners in finance, business, and econometrics who work with volatility models in their everyday work. The book also serves as a supplement for courses on risk management and volatility at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels.

Download or read book Handbook of Computational Finance written by Jin-Chuan Duan and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-10-25 with total page 791 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Any financial asset that is openly traded has a market price. Except for extreme market conditions, market price may be more or less than a “fair” value. Fair value is likely to be some complicated function of the current intrinsic value of tangible or intangible assets underlying the claim and our assessment of the characteristics of the underlying assets with respect to the expected rate of growth, future dividends, volatility, and other relevant market factors. Some of these factors that affect the price can be measured at the time of a transaction with reasonably high accuracy. Most factors, however, relate to expectations about the future and to subjective issues, such as current management, corporate policies and market environment, that could affect the future financial performance of the underlying assets. Models are thus needed to describe the stochastic factors and environment, and their implementations inevitably require computational finance tools.

Download or read book Efficient Estimation of the Stochastic Volatility Model by the Empirical Characteristic Function Method written by John L. Knight and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Download or read book Financial Macro and Micro Econometrics Using R written by and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2020-01-25 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial, Macro and Micro Econometrics Using R, Volume 42, provides state-of-the-art information on important topics in econometrics, including multivariate GARCH, stochastic frontiers, fractional responses, specification testing and model selection, exogeneity testing, causal analysis and forecasting, GMM models, asset bubbles and crises, corporate investments, classification, forecasting, nonstandard problems, cointegration, financial market jumps and co-jumps, among other topics. Presents chapters authored by distinguished, honored researchers who have received awards from the Journal of Econometrics or the Econometric Society Includes descriptions and links to resources and free open source R Gives readers what they need to jumpstart their understanding on the state-of-the-art

Download or read book A Primer for Financial Engineering written by Ali N. Akansu and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2015-03-25 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book bridges the fields of finance, mathematical finance and engineering, and is suitable for engineers and computer scientists who are looking to apply engineering principles to financial markets. The book builds from the fundamentals, with the help of simple examples, clearly explaining the concepts to the level needed by an engineer, while showing their practical significance. Topics covered include an in depth examination of market microstructure and trading, a detailed explanation of High Frequency Trading and the 2010 Flash Crash, risk analysis and management, popular trading strategies and their characteristics, and High Performance DSP and Financial Computing. The book has many examples to explain financial concepts, and the presentation is enhanced with the visual representation of relevant market data. It provides relevant MATLAB codes for readers to further their study. Please visit the companion website on http://booksite.elsevier.com/9780128015612/ Provides engineering perspective to financial problems In depth coverage of market microstructure Detailed explanation of High Frequency Trading and 2010 Flash Crash Explores risk analysis and management Covers high performance DSP & financial computing

Download or read book Handbooks in Operations Research and Management Science Financial Engineering written by John R. Birge and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2007-11-16 with total page 1026 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The remarkable growth of financial markets over the past decades has been accompanied by an equally remarkable explosion in financial engineering, the interdisciplinary field focusing on applications of mathematical and statistical modeling and computational technology to problems in the financial services industry. The goals of financial engineering research are to develop empirically realistic stochastic models describing dynamics of financial risk variables, such as asset prices, foreign exchange rates, and interest rates, and to develop analytical, computational and statistical methods and tools to implement the models and employ them to design and evaluate financial products and processes to manage risk and to meet financial goals. This handbook describes the latest developments in this rapidly evolving field in the areas of modeling and pricing financial derivatives, building models of interest rates and credit risk, pricing and hedging in incomplete markets, risk management, and portfolio optimization. Leading researchers in each of these areas provide their perspective on the state of the art in terms of analysis, computation, and practical relevance. The authors describe essential results to date, fundamental methods and tools, as well as new views of the existing literature, opportunities, and challenges for future research.

Download or read book Advances in Theoretical and Applied Statistics written by Nicola Torelli and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-26 with total page 538 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume includes contributions selected after a double blind review process and presented as a preliminary version at the 45th Meeting of the Italian Statistical Society. The papers provide significant and innovative original contributions and cover a broad range of topics including: statistical theory; methods for time series and spatial data; statistical modeling and data analysis; survey methodology and official statistics; analysis of social, demographic and health data; and economic statistics and econometrics.

Download or read book High Frequency Financial Econometrics written by Yacine Aït-Sahalia and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2014-07-21 with total page 683 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive introduction to the statistical and econometric methods for analyzing high-frequency financial data High-frequency trading is an algorithm-based computerized trading practice that allows firms to trade stocks in milliseconds. Over the last fifteen years, the use of statistical and econometric methods for analyzing high-frequency financial data has grown exponentially. This growth has been driven by the increasing availability of such data, the technological advancements that make high-frequency trading strategies possible, and the need of practitioners to analyze these data. This comprehensive book introduces readers to these emerging methods and tools of analysis. Yacine Aït-Sahalia and Jean Jacod cover the mathematical foundations of stochastic processes, describe the primary characteristics of high-frequency financial data, and present the asymptotic concepts that their analysis relies on. Aït-Sahalia and Jacod also deal with estimation of the volatility portion of the model, including methods that are robust to market microstructure noise, and address estimation and testing questions involving the jump part of the model. As they demonstrate, the practical importance and relevance of jumps in financial data are universally recognized, but only recently have econometric methods become available to rigorously analyze jump processes. Aït-Sahalia and Jacod approach high-frequency econometrics with a distinct focus on the financial side of matters while maintaining technical rigor, which makes this book invaluable to researchers and practitioners alike.

Download or read book Statistical Methods for Stochastic Differential Equations written by Mathieu Kessler and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2012-05-17 with total page 507 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The seventh volume in the SemStat series, Statistical Methods for Stochastic Differential Equations presents current research trends and recent developments in statistical methods for stochastic differential equations. Written to be accessible to both new students and seasoned researchers, each self-contained chapter starts with introductions to th

Download or read book Modeling and Stochastic Learning for Forecasting in High Dimensions written by Anestis Antoniadis and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-06-04 with total page 344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The chapters in this volume stress the need for advances in theoretical understanding to go hand-in-hand with the widespread practical application of forecasting in industry. Forecasting and time series prediction have enjoyed considerable attention over the last few decades, fostered by impressive advances in observational capabilities and measurement procedures. On June 5-7, 2013, an international Workshop on Industry Practices for Forecasting was held in Paris, France, organized and supported by the OSIRIS Department of Electricité de France Research and Development Division. In keeping with tradition, both theoretical statistical results and practical contributions on this active field of statistical research and on forecasting issues in a rapidly evolving industrial environment are presented. The volume reflects the broad spectrum of the conference, including 16 articles contributed by specialists in various areas. The material compiled is broad in scope and ranges from new findings on forecasting in industry and in time series, on nonparametric and functional methods and on on-line machine learning for forecasting, to the latest developments in tools for high dimension and complex data analysis.

Download or read book Discrete Time Series Processes and Applications in Finance written by Gilles Zumbach and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-09-26 with total page 326 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book surveys empirical properties of financial time series, discusses their mathematical basis, and describes uses in risk evaluation, option pricing or portfolio construction. The author introduces and assesses a range of processes against the benchmark.