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Book Effects of Restrictive Land Supply on Housing in Hong Kong

Download or read book Effects of Restrictive Land Supply on Housing in Hong Kong written by Ruijue Peng and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book

    Book Details:
  • Author : Frank Joseph Shulman
  • Publisher : Hong Kong University Press
  • Release : 2001-01-01
  • ISBN : 9789622093973
  • Pages : 878 pages

Download or read book written by Frank Joseph Shulman and published by Hong Kong University Press. This book was released on 2001-01-01 with total page 878 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A descriptively annotated, multidisciplinary, cross-referenced and extensively indexed guide to 2,395 dissertations that are concerned either in whole or in part with Hong Kong and with Hong Kong Chinese students and emigres throughout the world.

Book Land Supply Elasticity and the Housing Price Sensitivity to Interest Rate

Download or read book Land Supply Elasticity and the Housing Price Sensitivity to Interest Rate written by Yikun Huang and published by Open Dissertation Press. This book was released on 2017-01-26 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation, "Land Supply Elasticity and the Housing Price Sensitivity to Interest Rate" by Yikun, Huang, 黃逸昆, was obtained from The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong) and is being sold pursuant to Creative Commons: Attribution 3.0 Hong Kong License. The content of this dissertation has not been altered in any way. We have altered the formatting in order to facilitate the ease of printing and reading of the dissertation. All rights not granted by the above license are retained by the author. Abstract: In Hong Kong, housing prices have increased significantly in recent years. Amongst all the reasons for such significant increase, low interest rate has been recognized as one of the major reasons. Many studies have provided empirical evidence to support the negative relationship between interest rate and housing prices. However, in the US, recent studies (Glaeser, Gottlieb and Gyourko, 2010; Kuttner, 2012) show that the observed effect of interest rate changes on housing prices is much less than that predicted by the standard user cost model. According to the Glaeser et al. (2010), there are three potential explanations for the low housing price sensitivity to interest rate fluctuation. First, increase in land (and therefore housing) supply elasticity can reduce the effects of the demand-side variables, including interest rate. Second, high risk premium for long term mortgage rate in the US makes housing prices less sensitive to changes in interest rates. Third, the long-term mortgage contracts in the US cannot reflect the impact of frequent short term interest rate fluctuation. Among these three potential hypotheses proposed to explain the lower than expected housing price sensitivity to interest rate changes, land supply elasticity is more relevant to Hong Kong. By focusing on Hong Kong's housing market, this thesis examines the relationship between land supply elasticity and the sensitivity of housing prices towards interest rate changes. When demand shift due to interest rate change, land supply (and therefore housing supply) may respond accordingly to reduce the impact of interest rate change. The more elastic the supply is, the weaker the housing price sensitivity to interest rate may be. Alternatively, housing prices are more sensitive to interest rate change when land supply is inelastic. To be more precisely, this study provides an empirical test on whether land supply elasticity reduces housing price sensitivity towards interest changes. Two approaches are applied to provide clear pictures of housing price sensitivity. First, data from different housing subsectors with different land supply elasticity are used for the empirical tests. The results show that prices of large units in the Hong Kong Island are significantly more sensitive to interest rate change, compared to those of small units in the New Territories. This is consistent with the implication of our hypothesis because new land for building luxurious units in Hong Kong Island is limited while there are relatively more lands available in the New Territories for smaller mass residential units. Second, in Hong Kong, all new land supply comes from the government in the form of leasehold land. Hence, government's land supply policy has a major impact on land supply elasticity. For example, there was a period of restricted land supply before the handover in 1997, which effectively reduced land supply elasticity. On the other hand, the Application List land sales system adopted by the Hong Kong government from 2000 to 2013 should increase the flexibility in land supply. Therefore, this study makes use of these policy changes as nature experiments to investigate the effect of land supply elasticity on housing price sensitivity towards interest fluctuation. The results show that housing prices are more sensitive to interest rate change during the land supply restriction period and more insensitive

Book Effects of Land Policies and Development Strategies on Housing

Download or read book Effects of Land Policies and Development Strategies on Housing written by Shu Wang and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The objective of this thesis is to investigate the effects of land supply on housing prices in Hong Kong. Studies will be carried out to define whether there are any correlation between land supply, housing supply and residential property prices. In order to better understand Hong Kong's housing market, this study will first present a background of establishment of Hong Kong's land tenure system, land administration system and the government's land sale process, while trying to answer the question of whether the perceived shortage in housing supply is a direct consequence of the shortage in government's land supply. The study then examines the concentration of market shares among a handful of developers and the high barrier to entry that have resulted in such anti-competitive environment. The study analyzes the leading developers' competitive advantages in terms of land bank and financial strength, and their housing supply strategies in relation to the government's land supply decisions. This paper will then insert the theoretical findings into realistic settings of Hong Kong's housing development industry, and apply the methodology of event study to detect the impact of real estate companies' development strategies and how it alters the perceived relationship between the supply of land and the supply of housing. By simultaneously considering the effects of development strategies with government land policies, the paper aims to better evaluate governments measure to regulate housing market and hope to recommend more effective policies on residential land supply in Hong Kong.

Book The Effect of Land Supply Restriction on the Risk of Hong Kong Indirect Real Estate

Download or read book The Effect of Land Supply Restriction on the Risk of Hong Kong Indirect Real Estate written by Ervi Liusman and published by Open Dissertation Press. This book was released on 2017-01-27 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation, "The Effect of Land Supply Restriction on the Risk of Hong Kong Indirect Real Estate" by Ervi, Liusman, was obtained from The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong) and is being sold pursuant to Creative Commons: Attribution 3.0 Hong Kong License. The content of this dissertation has not been altered in any way. We have altered the formatting in order to facilitate the ease of printing and reading of the dissertation. All rights not granted by the above license are retained by the author. Abstract: Abstract of thesis entitled The Effect of Land Supply Restriction on the Risk of Hong Kong Indirect Real Estate Submitted by LIUSMAN ERVI for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy at the University of Hong Kong in September 2007 From 1984 to 1997, the Hong Kong Government was restricted, under Annex III of the Sino British Joint Declaration, to granting new developable land of no more than 50 hectares per year. This artificial constraint provides an excellent opportunity to test how restricting the supply of new developable land, which is free of pre-development risk, affects the risks faced by listed real estate companies, the most common form of indirect real estate in Hong Kong. I have used quarterly data from the second quarter of 1978 through the fourth quarter of 2005 to estimate the multifactor variance decomposition models. The models allowed us to examine the relative contribution of local common stocks, direct real estate, interest rates, global stocks, and idiosyncratic (unexplained) factors to the observed volatility or risk of indirect real estate for the entire observation period and sub-periods during which new land supplies were restricted (1984- 1997) and not restricted (1978-1984 and 1997-2005). My empirical results showed that there was a significant increase in idiosyncratic risk for all indirect real estate from 1984 to 1997. This supported my prediction that new land supply restrictions will result in an increase in the idiosyncratic risk of indirect real estate. Restrictions of new land supplies forced developers to look for alternative sources of land for development, such as redeveloping or changing the use of land and other development constraints. To assemble land for redevelopment and to obtain approval from various authorities to develop these alternative sources of land is a dubious task, and the outcomes are unpredictable. Such uncertainty is priced in the indirect real estate market and manifests itself as a source of volatility not explained by the factors in the variance decomposition model. Another implication of my theoretical analysis is that real estate companies that are more involved in real estate development (as oppose to real estate investment) experienced a larger increase in idiosyncratic risk from 1984 to 1997. My empirical results, which were based on an analysis of all the real estate companies that were listed throughout the entire observation period (the second quarter of 1978 through the fourth quarter of 2005) in Hong Kong, are consistent with this implication. The findings of this study are applicable to situations in which there is a change in the ratio of new developable land (free of pre-development risk) to all sources of land for development (some of which may have incurred pre-development risk), whether due to a change in policy/legislation, physical constraints, or other reasons. When this ratio declines, the idiosyncratic risk of real estate development companies will increase, but the same has no effect on that of companies that are involved purely in real estate investment. This finding has important implications for policy makers, investors and decision makers of real estate companies. ii DOI: 10.5353/th_b3943371 Subjects: Real estate development - China - Hong Kong Land use, Urban - Government policy - China - Hong Kong Real estate in

Book Hong Kong Land for Hong Kong People

Download or read book Hong Kong Land for Hong Kong People written by Yue Chim Richard Wong and published by Hong Kong University Press. This book was released on 2015-01-01 with total page 234 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Hong Kong is one of the world’s most densely populated cities. Land supply, property values, and housing provision are inextricably linked with the city’s economic growth and questions of economic equality. In Hong Kong Land for Hong Kong People, Yue Chim Richard Wong traces the history of Hong Kong’s postwar housing policy. He then discusses current housing problems and their solutions, drawing on examples from around the world. Wong argues that housing policy in Hong Kong, with its multiple, often incompatible objectives, and its focus on supply over demand, can no longer satisfy the needs of a diverse and dynamic population. He recommends three simple low-cost policies to promote homeownership and social mobility: sell public rental housing units to the sitting tenants; make subsidized homes more affordable; and reform the public housing program along lines adopted in Singapore, where government-built housing may be resold or leased in a free market. This is the second of Richard Wong’s collections of articles on society and economy in Hong Kong. The first, Diversity and Occasional Anarchy, published by Hong Kong University Press in 2013, examines the growing contradictions in Hong Kong’s economy predicament in historical context.

Book LAND SUPPLY   HOUSING PRICES

Download or read book LAND SUPPLY HOUSING PRICES written by Qiongqiong Zheng and published by Open Dissertation Press. This book was released on 2017-01-26 with total page 110 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation, "Land Supply and Housing Prices: Empirical Studies of Hong Kong and Guangzhou" by Qiongqiong, Zheng, 郑琼琼, was obtained from The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong) and is being sold pursuant to Creative Commons: Attribution 3.0 Hong Kong License. The content of this dissertation has not been altered in any way. We have altered the formatting in order to facilitate the ease of printing and reading of the dissertation. All rights not granted by the above license are retained by the author. Abstract: It is widely accepted that land supply plays an important role in restricting housing supply and adjusting housing price level. This study aims to explore the dynamic relationship and causality between land supply and housing price with the cases of Hong Kong and Guangzhou, which are two close relative Chinese cities under the framework of 'One country, two systems'. This study employs the vector auto-regression (VAR), Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and Granger Causality test to disentangle the complicated relationship, long-run and short-run, between land supply and housing price. Besides, the dynamic analysis of VAR and VECM are conducted using innovation accounting methods such as impulse response function (IRF) and variance decomposition (VDC). The empirical results show that the land supply and housing price are co-integrated in Hong Kong during the sample period between 2001 and 2011, and a long-run unilateral causality is confirmed from housing price to land supply for Hong Kong. Regarding Guangzhou, although there is no co-integration between land supply and housing price during 2001 and 2011, Granger causality from land supply to housing price shows a time lag of 10 quarters. These findings imply the relative efficient market economy in the Hong Kong housing market compared to Guangzhou, which is also consistent with the differences in land leasing systems and housing markets in Hong Kong and Guangzhou. This study not only sheds light on the discrepancies of land leasing systems and housing market mechanism between capitalism and socialism, but also provides implications for policy makers in formulating strategy to improve housing affordability. DOI: 10.5353/th_b5108692 Subjects: Housing - Prices - China - Hong Kong Land use - China - Guangzhou Housing - Prices - China - Guangzhou Land use - China - Hong Kong

Book Land Supply and Housing Prices

Download or read book Land Supply and Housing Prices written by Qiongqiong Zheng and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Land Supply and Housing Prices

Download or read book Land Supply and Housing Prices written by Qiongqiong Zheng and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 188 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Journal of Housing Research

Download or read book Journal of Housing Research written by and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Markets at Work

Download or read book Markets at Work written by Bertrand Renaud and published by Hong Kong University Press. This book was released on 1997-07-28 with total page 137 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'The real estate economy of Hong Kong is one of the most dynamic and sophisticated in the world, and has contributed greatly to the spectacular development of this vibrant city. More importantly, at a time of rapid globalization of the world economy, it is possibly the best model of the behaviour of an advanced real estate industry operating in an open economy. Hong Kong is thereforeof interest to analysts and policymakers everywhere, not least because of Hong Kong's political reintegration with China in 1997. With this in mind, the authors have managed to capture the key economic features of the private residential real estate market in Hong Kong in this compact volume. They have identified and highlighted critical institutions that contribute to the success and economic factors which shape the dynamics of all sectors of the real estate industry in Hong Kong. This book is essential reading for market analysts, policymakers, students and international readers with an interest in comparative analysis of real estate markets and institutions.' Professor Anthony Walker, Centre for Real Estate and Urban Economics,The University of Hong Kong.

Book International Encyclopedia of Housing and Home

Download or read book International Encyclopedia of Housing and Home written by and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2012-10-09 with total page 3870 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Available online via SciVerse ScienceDirect, or in print for a limited time only, The International Encyclopedia of Housing and Home, Seven Volume Set is the first international reference work for housing scholars and professionals, that uses studies in economics and finance, psychology, social policy, sociology, anthropology, geography, architecture, law, and other disciplines to create an international portrait of housing in all its facets: from meanings of home at the microscale, to impacts on macro-economy. This comprehensive work is edited by distinguished housing expert Susan J. Smith, together with Marja Elsinga, Ong Seow Eng, Lorna Fox O'Mahony and Susan Wachter, and a multi-disciplinary editorial team of 20 world-class scholars in all. Working at the cutting edge of their subject, liaising with an expert editorial advisory board, and engaging with policy-makers and professionals, the editors have worked for almost five years to secure the quality, reach, relevance and coherence of this work. A broad and inclusive table of contents signals (or tesitifes to) detailed investigation of historical and theoretical material as well as in-depth analysis of current issues. This seven-volume set contains over 500 entries, listed alphabetically, but grouped into seven thematic sections including methods and approaches; economics and finance; environments; home and homelessness; institutions; policy; and welfare and well-being. Housing professionals, both academics and practitioners, will find The International Encyclopedia of Housing and Home useful for teaching, discovery, and research needs. International in scope, engaging with trends in every world region The editorial board and contributors are drawn from a wide constituency, collating expertise from academics, policy makers, professionals and practitioners, and from every key center for housing research Every entry stands alone on its merits and is accessed alphabetically, yet each is fully cross-referenced, and attached to one of seven thematic categories whose ‘wholes' far exceed the sum of their parts

Book Land Supply and Housing Price of Hong Kong

Download or read book Land Supply and Housing Price of Hong Kong written by Yuk-Yi Alice Cheung and published by . This book was released on 2017-01-28 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Book Dynamics of Housing in East Asia

Download or read book Dynamics of Housing in East Asia written by Bertrand Renaud and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-03-03 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is the first to evaluate the organisation, behaviour and performance of six major East Asian real estate markets. It offers a unique analysis of the growth and transformation of the real estate sector across East Asia. The authors examine the interactions between volatility in the sector and the overall stability of the economy, in particular during the Asia financial crisis of 1997-98, and the global financial crisis of 2008-09. draws on the best available theoretical and empirical literature applies analytic tools in the context of East Asian institutions and policies helps understand factors affecting resilience and stability in East Asian real estate markets.