Download or read book Econometric Estimates of Army Retention written by and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Econometric Estimates of Army Retention written by and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Efficient allocation of reenlistment bonuses requires the ability to estimate the effect that the bonus will have on reenlistments in an occupational specialty. Previous research, conducted in developing the SRB Management System, estimated the effects of SRB on Zone A, B and C reenlistment decisions made between FY1990 and FY2000. In this analysis, we extend the years analyzed to include FY2001 through FY2004. The additional years of data include Operation Enduring Freedom (OEF) and Operation Iraqi Freedom (OIF). We tested the ability of the existing model to predict reenlistment decision-making post-FY2OOO. To improve fit, we generated new econometric estimates by MOS, CMF and Zone using the more recent years of data, and conducted out-of-sample prediction testing to confirm the validity of the updated model."--Stinet.
Download or read book Estimating Military Personnel Retention Rates written by Glenn A. Gotz and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A Dynamic Econometric Retention Model (DERM) is designed for studying the effects of alternative compensation policies on the retention behavior of Air Force officers, including the Uniformed Services Retirement Modernization Act, the President's Commission on Military Compensation, and the Uniformed Services Retirement Benefits Act. DERM is a model of sequential behavior containing the appropriate econometric method for estimating retention rate. The econometric method is a maximum likelihood procedure endogenously determined by the specification of the behavioral model. It differs from earlier approaches in that it explicitly considers behavioral effects flowing from decomposing the disturbance term into permanent and transitory components. An implication of DERM is that retention rates depend both on prospective future returns to remaining in the military and on past occurrences. If this is correct, then simple regression models should overpredict the retention gains of proposed compensation policies, exactly what happens in two recent reenlistment studies using regression analysis.
Download or read book Design of an Econometric Module to Support the ODCSPER Strength Management Systems Redesign written by Patrick C. Mackin and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book A Model of Reenlistment Behavior written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 78 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A logit model was applied to estimate the effect of selective reenlistment bonuses (SRBs) on the retention rates of Army Soldiers. The model was estimated separately by occupational group and by first (zone A), second (zone B) and third term (zone C) reenlistment decisions. An "annualized cost of leaving" (ACOL) variable was constructed to estimate the net financial returns to reenlisting in the Army compared to leaving for the civilian sector. The model was estimated using data on actual reenlistments from the period FYl99O tlirough FY2OOO. The effects of SRBs on reenlistments at Zones A, B, and C were estimated at three levels of occupational aggregation-all Army, CMF, and MOS. After out-of-sample testing, we re-specified and re-estimated the model. In general, the results for Zone A at all levels of occupational aggregation indicate that reenlistment bonuses have a positive and statistically significant effect on Zone A reenlistments. The magnitude of the effect varied by occupation, but a one-level increase in SRB at Zone A typically increases the reenlistment rate by three to seven percentage points, depending upon the occupation. The results for Zone B are also solid at both the CMF and MOS levels. Results for Zone C, where reenlistment rates are typically very high, were reasonably solid but not as good as the Zone A and B results. We were unable to obtain positive, statistically significant ACOL parameter estimates for a small number of occupation groups. Statistically significant effects for demographic control variables and labor market conditions were also obtained.
Download or read book Army SRB Program written by and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "In this study the effects of Selective Reenlistment Bonuses (SRBs) on Army reenlistments over the 1990-2000 period at Zones A, B, and C at three levels of occupational aggregation - all Army, career management field (CMF), and military occupational specialty (MOS) - were re-estimated to explicitly control for the drawdown in the mid-1990s as well as labor market conditions. In general, the results for Zone A at all levels of occupational aggregation indicate that reenlistment bonuses have a positive and statistically significant effect on Zone A reenlistments. A one-level increase in SRB at Zone A typically increases the reenlistment rate by 3 to 7 percentage points, depending upon the occupation. The results for Zone B are also solid at both the CMF and MOS levels. Results for Zone C, where reenlistment rates are typically very high, were reasonably solid but not quite as good as the Zone A and B results. The results provide the Army with estimates of reenlistment responsiveness to bonus changes for all three zones for all MOS. We also estimated the effect of SRBs on the reenlisting Soldier's choice of length of reenlistment. Increases in the SRB level not only increase reenlistments, but also increase the length of reenlistment. The length of reenlistment effects were incorporated into the SRB Management System to better predict program costs and the additional staff years of contracted service provided by the bonus program."--Stinet.
Download or read book Cash Incentives and Military Enlistment Attrition and Reenlistment written by Beth J. Asch and published by RAND Corporation. This book was released on 2010 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This monograph provides an empirical analysis of the enlistment, attrition, and reenlistment effects of bonuses, applying statistical models that control for such other factors as recruiting resources, in the case of enlistment and deployments in the case of reenlistment, and demographics. Enlistment and attrition models are estimated for the Army and our reenlistment model approach is twofold. The Army has greatly increased its use of reenlistment bonuses since FY 2004, and we begin by providing an in-depth history of the many changes in its reenlistment bonus program during this decade. We follow this with two independent analyses of the effect of bonuses on Army reenlistment. As we show, the results from the models are consistent, lending credence to the robustness of the estimates. One approach is extended to the Navy, the Marine Corps, and the Air Force, to obtain estimates of the effect of bonuses on reenlistment for all services. We also estimate an enlistment model for the Navy. The estimated models are used to address questions about the cost-effectiveness of bonuses and their effects in offsetting other factors that might adversely affect recruiting and retention, such as changes in the civilian economy and frequent deployments"--P. iii.
Download or read book Recent Recruiting Trends and Their Implications for Models of Enlistment Supply written by Michael P. Murray and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 1999 with total page 83 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The authors estimate an econometric model of high-quality enlistment supply using geographically disaggregated data from two periods, FY83-87 and FY90-93. They find that econometric models based on data from the earlier period do not predict the recruiting difficulties reported by the military in the 1990s. This conforms to a preliminary assessment provided by Asch and Orvis (MR-549-A/OSD, 1994). The authors also find that econometric models estimated with the 1990s data give altered counsel about the effects of at least some policy variables, most notably the number of recruiters.
Download or read book The Estimation of United States Army Reenlistment Rates written by Michael J. Streff and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 97 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Tuition Assistance Usage and First Term Military Retention written by and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 87 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Tuition assistance (TA) is a military-sponsored program that reimburses military members for the cost of college classes while on active duty. The program is part of a series of quality-of-life efforts designed to make military service more attractive to youth and encourage them to remain in the military. This report examines tuition assistance and retention behavior for first-term members of the Navy and Marine Corps (similar data were not available for other military services). The analysis examines what types of sailors and marines use TA and examines whether TA users are more prone to reenlist than are military members who take no college classes dur- ing the first term.
Download or read book Study Note written by and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Design of an Econometric Module to Support the ODCSPER Strength Management Systems Redesign written by Patrick C. Mackin and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study assessed alternative approaches to incorporating an econometric module in ODCSPER's redesigned strength management system. It includes an examination of the operation of the strength management system and an assessment of the analytical needs of strength planners. The study also looked at available econometric methodologies and results available in the literature. These findings were integrated with an evaluation of the major management issues for individual Army personnel communities. Study findings include a recommendation on the module's design specification, with description of key module algorithms and identification of appropriate econometric models and parameters. Other results include an evaluation of existing empirical parameters and recommendations for future econometric research to provide the module with new and improved parameters.
Download or read book ARI Research Note written by and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book List of U S Army Research Institute Research and Technical Publications written by U.S. Army Research Institute for the Behavioral and Social Sciences and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Army Manpower Economics written by Curtis L Gilroy and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-03-05 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The U.S. Army Research Institute (ARI) and the Office of the Deputy Chief of Staff for Personnel, U.S. Army, sponsored a Conference on Army Manpower Economics in Williamsburg, Virginia, on December 5-7, 1984. With the military's growing interest in economic research and the usefulness of econometric analyses in addressing military manpower issues, it was appropriate to assemble senior Army policy makers, leading academicians, and other researchers to discuss Army manpower research and policy issues. The collection of articles presented in this volume is a direct outgrowth of that conference.
Download or read book The Quality of Personnel in the Enlisted Ranks written by Beth J. Asch and published by Minnesota Historical Society. This book was released on 2005 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The armed services must attract, retain, and promote high-quality personnel. This monograph examines their ability to meet these goals in the past. Using the quality index, we find that those who complete their first terms, who stay until year of service (YOS) 8 or YOS12, and those who are promoted to higher grades are significantly higher quality. Our conclusions differ from those drawn from traditional measures because our measure includes information that cannot be predicted at entry but is instead revealed on the job.
Download or read book Leveraging Big Data Analytics to Improve Military Recruiting written by Nelson Lim and published by . This book was released on 2019-11-30 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The authors identified current, desired, and prospective data-enabled practices that the U.S. Department of Defense and the services might be able to deploy in their outreach and recruiting processes.
