Download or read book ECB Monetary Policy and Commodity Prices written by Shahriyar Aliyev and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze the impact of the ECB monetary policies on global aggregate and sectoral commodity prices using monthly data from January 2001 till August 2019. We employ a SVAR model and assess separately period of conventional monetary policy before global financial crisis (GFC) and unconventional monetary policy during post-crisis period. Our key results indicate that contractionary monetary policy shocks have positive effects on the aggregate and sectoral commodity prices during both conventional and unconvetional monetary policy periods. The effect is statistically significant for aggregate commodity prices during post-crisis period. In terms of sectoral impact, the effect is statistically significant for food prices in both periods and for fuel prices during post-crisis period; other commodities display positive but statistically insignificant responses. Further, we demonstrate that the impact of the ECB monetary policy on commodity prices increased remarkably after the GFC. Our results also suggest that the effect of the ECB monetary policy on commodity prices does not transmit directly through market demand and supply expectations channel, but rather through the exchange rate channel that influences the European market demand directly.
Download or read book Monetary Policy Transmission Through Commodity Prices written by Jorge Miranda-Pinto and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-10-10 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Monetary policy influences inflation dynamics by exerting impact on a diverse array of commodity prices. At high frequencies, we show that a 10 basis points increase in US monetary policy rate reduces commodity prices between 0.5% and 2.5%, after 18 to 24 business days. Beyond the dollar appreciation channel, the effects are larger for highly storable and industrial commodities, consistent with the cost of carry and the expected demand channel. We then study the quantitative importance of the commodity-price channel of monetary policy on domestic and international inflation at longer horizons (6-36 months). The results indicate that the response of commodity prices—oil, base metals, and food prices—to monetary policy accounts for 47% of the total effect of US monetary policy on US headline inflation, and 57% of the effect of US monetary policy on other countries’ headline inflation. The commodity price channel on core inflation is smaller and mainly driven by base metal prices. Finally, the commodity-price channel of ECB monetary policy is smaller, and it mainly operates through its effect on energy prices.
Download or read book Monetary Policy in Times of Crisis written by Massimo Rostagno and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2021 with total page 449 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first twenty years of the European Central Bank offer a unique insight into how a central bank can navigate macroeconomic insecurity and crisis. This volume examines the structures and decision-making processes behind the complex measures taken by the ECB to tackle some of the toughest economic challenges in the history of modern Europe.
Download or read book Response of European Energy Prices to ECB Monetary Policy written by Hipòlit Torró and published by . This book was released on with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Monetary Policy Strategy in a Global Environment written by Philippe Moutot and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2009 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the mid-1980s the world economy has gone through profound transformations of which the sources and effects are probably not yet completely understood. The process of continuous integration in trade, production and financial markets across countries and economic regions ¿- which is what is generally defined as ¿globalisation¿ ¿- affects directly the conduct of monetary policy in a variety of respects. The aim of this paper is to present an overview of the structural implications of globalization for the domestic economies of developed countries and to deduct from these implications lessons for the conduct of monetary policy, and in particular the assessment of risks to price stability. Charts and tables.
Download or read book The impact of monetary policy shocks on commodity prices written by Alessio Anzuini and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Asset Prices and Monetary Policy written by John Y. Campbell and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2008-11-15 with total page 444 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic growth, low inflation, and financial stability are among the most important goals of policy makers, and central banks such as the Federal Reserve are key institutions for achieving these goals. In Asset Prices and Monetary Policy, leading scholars and practitioners probe the interaction of central banks, asset markets, and the general economy to forge a new understanding of the challenges facing policy makers as they manage an increasingly complex economic system. The contributors examine how central bankers determine their policy prescriptions with reference to the fluctuating housing market, the balance of debt and credit, changing beliefs of investors, the level of commodity prices, and other factors. At a time when the public has never been more involved in stocks, retirement funds, and real estate investment, this insightful book will be useful to all those concerned with the current state of the economy.
Download or read book Euro Area Policies written by International Monetary Fund. European Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2024-07-30 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The euro area economy has been resilient in the face of multiple, large shocks, including the pandemic, Russia’s gas shut-off, and fallout from the war in Ukraine. Nonetheless, the adverse shocks have had persistent effects which shape economic prospects. Energy-intensive industries, in particular, have struggled to adjust to higher input costs and continue to underperform. Despite subdued overall activity, employment growth remains robust. Inflation has declined significantly from its late-2022 peak in response to the ECB’s policy tightening and the decline in commodity prices.
Download or read book General Economics Monetary Policy written by Manfred Damsch and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2011-02 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Research Paper (undergraduate) from the year 2008 in the subject Business economics - Economic Policy, grade: keine, University of applied sciences, Munich, language: English, abstract: For now more than 6 years, starting in 2002, the US-Dollar continuously depreciates in relation to the Euro but also in relation to other strong currencies in the world. The European System of Central Bank can help the dollar but not without affecting the Euro. A stable Euro with low and constant inflation of 2% is the main objective of the ECB and fixed in their statutes. The depreciation of the dollar can be blended by depreciating the Euro in the same relation but that won't help for long. The impacts on the domestic economy which consists of a range of multicultural states within the Euro Area would be unpredictable. At least high Inflation to the Euro would follow - with negative side effects to the European countries. Even if a weaker Euro (or stronger Dollar) would help the German exporters the problem of the Dollar is not caused by the strong Euro. Germany is still leading in foreign trade and increases its net-export even though the Euro gets stronger. Since more than 20 years the USA have increased their trade-deficit year on year. The solution for the weak dollar is not a weak Euro. Beside the trade-deficit the enormous costs for military interventions also charge the government budget and lately the population by inflation tax.
Download or read book Macroeconometric Models and European Monetary Union written by S. G. Hall and published by Duncker & Humblot. This book was released on 2004 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume contains the contributions of a conference dealing with the consequences of the European Monetary Union for the macroeconometric modelling of the Euro area, which took place in Essen in 2000. At the end of the conference the participants were convinced that the discussions including a great variety of theoretical, methodical and factual aspects from the producers' as well as the consumers' perspective will not fail to have a certain impact on the future development of macroeconometric modelling in the Euro area.Once more it became clear, however, that an ideal way to a solution of the problems is still not in sight. The future development will be characterized by a plurality of approaches and models. Thus trends continue which have had a more or less strong, durable or temporary influence on the model landscape since the emergence of the monetarist revolution, the "rational expectations" or the "real business cycle"-models. We are still at the beginning of the theoretical and empirical exploration of the macroeconomic development of the Euro area, it is not always clearly perceptible what is transitory and what is permanent, and this openness should facilitate the reception of the experiences and results which have been presented.The idea for this event was developed in the course of the Project LINK. One of the highlights of the conference was the participation of the nobel prize winner Professor Dr. Lawrence Klein - pioneer and Nestor of macroeconometric modelling - who, as his contribution shows, is following up the creation of the European Monetary Union with critical interest.
Download or read book Background Studies for the ECB s Evaluation of Its Monetary Policy Strategy written by Otmar Issing and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book The Implications of Globalisation for the ECB Monetary Policy Strategy written by and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper assesses how globalisation has shaped the economic environment in which the ECB operates and discusses whether this warrants adjustments to the monetary policy strategy. The paper first looks at how trade and financial integration have evolved since the last strategy review in 2003. It then examines the effects of these developments on global productivity growth, the natural interest rate (r*), inflation trends and monetary transmission. While trade globalisation initially boosted productivity growth, this effect may be waning as trade integration slows and market contestability promotes a winner-takes-all environment. The impact of globalisation on r* has been ambiguous: downward pressures, fuelled by global demand for safe assets and an increase in the propensity to save against a background of rising inequality, are counteracted by upward pressures, from the boost to global productivity associated with greater trade integration. Headline inflation rates have become more synchronised globally, largely because commodity prices are increasingly determined by global factors. Meanwhile, core inflation rates show a lower degree of commonality. Globalisation has made a rather modest contribution to the synchronised fall in trend inflation across countries and contributed only moderately to the reduction in the responsiveness of inflation to changes in activity. Regarding monetary transmission, globalisation has made the role of the exchange rate more complex by introducing new mechanisms through which it affects financial conditions, real activity and price dynamics. Against the background of this discussion, the paper then examines the implications for the ECB's monetary policy strategy. In doing so, it asks two questions. How is the ECB's economic and monetary analysis affected by globalisation? And how does globalisation influence the choice of the ECB's monetary policy objective and instruments? The paper concludes that while globalisation has had profound effects on the world economy, it has not significantly impeded the ECB's ability to achieve price stability autonomously. Nonetheless, over shorter horizons, globalisation has changed monetary policy transmission and affected trade-offs between price stability and other goals, such as stabilising real activity and prices on the one hand and enhancing financial stability on the other. Large financial spillovers strengthen the case for more systematic recourse to additional instruments such as forward guidance and asset purchases. Spillovers may also imply a need for more active macroprudential policy to counter any unduly large effects that global factors may have on domestic financial conditions.
Download or read book The Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on Energy Prices written by Panagiota Makrychoriti and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we examine the effect of ECB's unconventional monetary policy measures on energy prices. Our results indicate that the non-standard ECB monetary policies during the recent financial crises had a significant and negative impact on energy prices. For example, we find that these policies accounted for approximately 10% of the price variance for the Light Crude Oil Futures Contract. The second more important contribution has been to the Bloomberg Commodity Index where 8.42% of price volatility is explained. In addition, Impulse Response Functions suggest that an increase in the ECB's propensity to unconventional monetary policy decreases energy prices for all five energy price proxies during the first two months after the monetary shock. Since unconventional monetary policies have now become part of a central bank's arsenal during financial turmoil and crisis, and thus may be used in future crises, these results shed light on the potential impact of these policies on important economic variables, such as energy prices.
Download or read book The European Central Bank written by D. Howarth and published by Springer. This book was released on 2003-05-14 with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: David Howarth and Peter Loedel provide a theoretically inspired account of the creation, design and operation of the European Central Bank. Issues explored include the theoretical approaches to the ECB, the antecedents of European monetary authority, the different national perspectives on central bank independence, the complex organisation of the bank, the issues of accountability and the difficult first years of the ECB in operation.
Download or read book The Federal Reserve System Purposes and Functions written by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides an in-depth overview of the Federal Reserve System, including information about monetary policy and the economy, the Federal Reserve in the international sphere, supervision and regulation, consumer and community affairs and services offered by Reserve Banks. Contains several appendixes, including a brief explanation of Federal Reserve regulations, a glossary of terms, and a list of additional publications.
Download or read book Handbook Of Energy Finance Theories Practices And Simulations written by Stephane Goutte and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2020-01-30 with total page 827 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Modeling the dynamics of energy markets has become a challenging task. The intensification of their financialization since 2004 had made them more complex but also more integrated with other tradable asset classes. More importantly, their large and frequent fluctuations in terms of both prices and volatility, particularly in the aftermath of the global financial crisis 2008-2009, posit difficulties for modeling and forecasting energy price behavior and are primary sources of concerns for macroeconomic stability and general economic performance.This handbook aims to advance the debate on the theories and practices of quantitative energy finance while shedding light on innovative results and technical methods applied to energy markets. Its primary focus is on the recent development and applications of mathematical and quantitative approaches for a better understanding of the stochastic processes that drive energy market movements. The handbook is designed for not only graduate students and researchers but also practitioners and policymakers.
Download or read book The Monetary Policy of the ECB 2004 written by European Central Bank and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
